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AAII Sentiment Survey, 6/8/22

yogibearbullyogibearbull
in Other Investing
For the week ending on 6/8/22, Sentiment reverted to very negative: Bearish remained the top sentiment (46.9%; very high) & bullish became the bottom sentiment (21.0%; very low); neutral became the middle sentiment (32.1%; above average); Bull-Bear Spread was -25.9% (low). Investor concerns included high inflation & supply-chain disruptions; the Fed (how many hikes; whether its +2% average inflation target would be moved; the FOMC meeting next week); market volatility (VIX, VXN, MOVE); Russia-Ukraine war (15+ weeks; no longer in headlines). For the Survey week (Thursday-Wednesday), stocks were up, bonds down, oil up sharply, gold up, dollar flat. #AAII #Sentiment #Markets
https://ybbpersonalfinance.proboards.com/thread/141/aaii-sentiment-survey-weekly?page=6&scrollTo=661

Comments

  • Sven
    Next week FOMC meeting is when the Fed will announce the next rate hike and how many basis point.
  • yogibearbullyogibearbull
    edited June 2022
    The NEXT 50-bps is baked in. What has been in the media are speculations of how many MORE 50-bps hikes to come, whether there may be a September PAUSE, whether a shift from +2% average TARGET to around +4% average target (even temporary) may affect the Fed/FOMC (it was just 1-2 yrs ago recently that the Fed introduced "average" for the target).
  • Sven
    How many 50 bps rate hike depends on the PCE number that the Fed is tracking. The 2% target may need to shift upward. The root cause of this inflation is more complex than that of the 70’s. Today we are facing supply chain disruption, war, wages, and oil supply.
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