Here's a statement of the obvious: The opinions expressed here are those of the participants, not those of the Mutual Fund Observer. We cannot vouch for the accuracy or appropriateness of any of it, though we do encourage civility and good humor.
"Staten Island Chuck claimed that spring is imminent." But there are allegations of fake news: "Chuck's prognostication was suspiciously made in a pre-taped Staten Island Zoo video."
Since this is an investing site and predictions seem to be the subject, one must consider the Super Bowl indicator. Clearly the Chiefs represent the AFC. But what about the Buccaneers? For its first season the team was in the AFC. Does that mean it's a sure bet that the market will fall this year (since there's arguably no team originally from the NFC)?
@JonGaltill You’re probably right. It won’t matter because the truth is most CEOs don’t matter and most great ostensibly world shaking Ayn Randian “heroes” don’t matter as it is really their employees who do all the work and produce all the real value at corporations while CEOs take all the credit. So true that.
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Actually... something even more impactful... the groundhog just saw his shadow which means six more weeks of winter.
THE groundhog? If we're talking prognosticators, shouldn't we go with the better track record? https://gothamist.com/arts-entertainment/data-staten-island-chuck-or-punxsutawny-phil-which-groundhog-is-historically-more-accurate
"Staten Island Chuck claimed that spring is imminent." But there are allegations of fake news: "Chuck's prognostication was suspiciously made in a pre-taped Staten Island Zoo video."
Since this is an investing site and predictions seem to be the subject, one must consider the Super Bowl indicator. Clearly the Chiefs represent the AFC. But what about the Buccaneers? For its first season the team was in the AFC. Does that mean it's a sure bet that the market will fall this year (since there's arguably no team originally from the NFC)?
Not so fast. The accuracy of this indicator goes down as attendance declines. With the pandemic, attendance (excluding cutouts) will be the lowest ever.
https://www.thestreet.com/investing/does-the-super-bowl-indicator-work
Lies, darn lies, and statistics.