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The Breakfast Briefing: U.S. & European Stocks Lifted by Better Economic Data

FYI: U.S. stock index futures were slightly higher Friday morning, following three straight days of market losses.

Around 5:25 a.m. ET, Dow futures indicated a positive open of nearly 60 points. Futures on the S&P and Nasdaq were both seen marginally higher.

Wall Street closed lower on Thursday amid uncertainty over U.S.-China trade. Chinese President Xi Jinping said Friday that Beijing wants to work for a trade deal with the U.S. but is not afraid to “fight back.” Reinforcing the upbeat tone adopted by China in recent days, Xi told a visiting U.S. business delegation that China holds a ‘positive attitude’ toward the trade talks.

European stocks looked set to end the week on a brighter note after German and French industrial survey data proved to be better than expected for November.

The Stoxx Europe 600 index advanced 0.4% while futures linked to the S&P 500 index climbed 0.2%. That followed a mixed performance in Asian markets, where Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index ended the day up 0.5% and the Shanghai Composite gauge finished 0.6% lower.

For the eurozone as a whole, monthly manufacturing activity showed an improvement from October and beat the market’s expectations, buoying investor sentiment. Germany’s manufacturing and services purchasing managers indexes for November were stronger than expected, although both continue to signal contractions with readings below 50. At the same time, Germany’s economy returned to growth in the third quarter, meeting expectations for a 0.1% expansion.

The data bolstered recent signs of stabilization in the European economy that have led some economists, such as those at Morgan Stanley, to strike off expectations for a further interest rate cut from the European Central Bank in coming months.

Meanwhile, Christine Lagarde on Friday called for help from fiscal policy in her first public speech since taking over as the new ECB president. She said monetary policy could achieve its goal faster with fewer side effects if other policies were supporting it.

Government bond yields fell in Europe with German 10-year bund rates sliding to minus 0.356% from minus 0.336%. French, Italian and other major European government bond yields also slipped. The euro was mostly flat against the dollar, trading at $1.105.

Elsewhere in markets, gold advanced 0.5% higher to $1,471.10 a troy ounce.

Later in the day, the University of Michigan’s final consumer sentiment index for November will provide an indication on whether Americans’ outlook has dimmed from earlier in the month.

European stocks looked set to end the week on a brighter note after German and French industrial survey data proved to be better than expected for November.

The Stoxx Europe 600 index advanced 0.4% while futures linked to the S&P 500 index climbed 0.2%. That followed a mixed performance in Asian markets, where Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index ended the day up 0.5% and the Shanghai Composite gauge finished 0.6% lower.

For the eurozone as a whole, monthly manufacturing activity showed an improvement from October and beat the market’s expectations, buoying investor sentiment. Germany’s manufacturing and services purchasing managers indexes for November were stronger than expected, although both continue to signal contractions with readings below 50. At the same time, Germany’s economy returned to growth in the third quarter, meeting expectations for a 0.1% expansion.

Meanwhile, Christine Lagarde on Friday called for help from fiscal policy in her first public speech since taking over as the new ECB president. She said monetary policy could achieve its goal faster with fewer side effects if other policies were supporting it.

Government bond yields fell in Europe with German 10-year bund rates sliding to minus 0.356% from minus 0.336%. French, Italian and other major European government bond yields also slipped. The euro was mostly flat against the dollar, trading at $1.105.

Elsewhere in markets, gold advanced 0.5% higher to $1,471.10 a troy ounce.

Later in the day, the University of Michigan’s final consumer sentiment index for November will provide an indication on whether Americans’ outlook has dimmed from earlier in the month.

Regards,
Ted

WSJ:
https://www.wsj.com/articles/european-stocks-lifted-by-better-economic-data-11574416516


Bloomberg:
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2019-11-21/asia-stock-futures-rise-as-traders-eye-trade-news-markets-wrap

IBD:
https://www.investors.com/market-trend/stock-market-today/dow-dones-futures-tesla-cybertruck-splunk-ross-stores-pure-storage-earnings-movers/

CNBC::
https://www.cnbc.com/2019/11/22/dow-futures-amid-us-china-trade-uncertainty.html

Reuters:
https://uk.reuters.com/article/us-global-markets/global-shares-inch-up-but-trade-worries-linger-idUKKBN1XW011

U.K.
https://uk.reuters.com/article/uk-britain-stocks/uk-shares-bounce-back-after-trade-driven-losses-idUKKBN1XW0SJ

Europe:
https://www.reuters.com/article/us-europe-stocks/european-shares-recover-as-pmis-quell-trade-fears-idUSKBN1XW0ZZ

Asia:
https://www.marketwatch.com/story/asian-shares-mostly-higher-despite-us-china-trade-anxiety-2019-11-22/print

Bonds:
https://www.cnbc.com/2019/11/22/us-bonds-treasury-yields-in-focus-amid-us-china-trade-uncertainty.html

Currencies:
https://www.cnbc.com/2019/11/15/forex-markets-us-china-trade-deal-in-focus.html

Oil:
https://www.cnbc.com/2019/11/22/oil-markets-us-china-trade-war-in-focus.html

Gold:
https://www.cnbc.com/2019/11/22/gold-markets-us-china-trade-talks-in-focus.html

Cuirrent Futures:
https://finviz.com/futures.ashx
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