The Wall Street Journal is today reporting that
"The global bond market flashed two prominent warning signals on the economy Friday, spooking investors and feeding a selloff in stocks—particularly bank stocks.""The yield on 10-year German government bonds, the European benchmark, turned negative for the first time since 2016. Across the Atlantic, the 10-year Treasury yield fell below that of three-month Treasury bills. This “inversion,” which was last seen in August 2007, is considered to be a reliable predictor of recessions in the U.S."
"“You have a very clear signal here that the market is anticipating a notable slowdown on both sides of the Atlantic,” said Richard McGuire, head of rates strategy at Dutch group Rabobank."(The WSJ is a subscriber-only web site.)
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Regards,
Ted