FYI: It’s a rare year when total returns on U.S. Treasuries are negative, but when they are, the ripple effect on global markets is potent.
Stocks, credit, high yield and emerging markets, in particular, suffer as investors bail out of the world’s safest and most liquid asset, pushing up the cost of money, squeezing liquidity and tightening financial conditions.
That’s the running assumption, and it’s setting the narrative for financial markets right now as the U.S. bond selloff gathers pace and Treasuries close in on what will be only their fifth year of negative returns since the early 1970s.
Regards,
Ted
https://www.reuters.com/article/global-bonds-vigilantes/column-bad-years-for-us-treasuries-dont-mean-bad-years-for-markets-mcgeever-idUSL8N1WL49E
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Regards,
Ted