FYI: Stock-market investors should prepare themselves for a wild ride in coming weeks.
I say that not because I have any special insight into all the things that could sabotage the stock market in coming weeks—everything from an escalating trade war to political turmoil in Washington. Instead, my prediction is based on something far less inscrutable: The calendar.
October is just around the corner.
As you can see from the accompanying chart, the stock market historically has experienced well-above-average volatility in October. The difference is quite significant, as judged by a measure of volatility known as the standard deviation: For all Octobers since 1896, when the Dow Jones Industrial Average DJIA, -0.68% was created, the standard deviation of the Dow’s daily changes has been 1.44%. That compares to 1.05% for all months other than October.
Regards,
Ted
https://www.marketwatch.com/story/fasten-your-seat-belt-october-is-almost-here-2018-09-25/printCXO Advisory October Trading Calendar:
https://www.cxoadvisory.com/trading-calendar/october/
