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Is September/October a bad time to invest?

edited September 2012 in Fund Discussions
With all the bad stuff that has come down the pike at this time of year, plus a major election year, is this the time to invest in the market? I realize that this is a broad brush type of question, yet I think it's a good one to consider. So very many variables--should I just park it and go to sleep? Or should I open an account in mscfx and pray to the appropriate chieftain? As George Carlin once said, "Trying to be happy by accumulating possessions is like trying to satisfy hunger by taping sandwiches all over your body." Does this mean that ol' George eschewed any form of investing, but habitually taped his lunch to various parts of his body?

Comments

  • Always an iffy proposition IMHO. I generally like to have available cash to take advantage of black swans and irrational behavior and positions I probably wouldn't sell unless all h*** broke loose.

    As for George, if you read his autobiography the man was an incredible jerk but oh was he funny. I've often wondered how these tortured souls tormented by demons of their own making pull it off. A shame.
  • edited September 2012
    My concern with something like MSCFX is that looking at that at this point may wind up being a little performance chase-y. I'd rather be looking for things that haven't fared quite so well in recent months rather than something that's done so well. (but that's just me.)

    As for whether or not to invest during this time period, I'm not, but I'm also not selling, either - there will be volatility, but I can sleep fairly well with things yielding 4-5-6%, flexible funds (Marketfield - MFLDX, for example) and hedges. There will absolutely be volatility. Significant downside will be met - I believe - with Fed action. I'm not saying I agree with it, I'm just saying that's how I view it. Stay invested at your comfort level, which is really only something that you can know.
  • Who knows...

    October: This is one of the peculiarly dangerous months to speculate in stocks. The others are July, January, September, April, November, May, March, June, December, August and February.
    Mark Twain

    If past history was all there was to the game, the richest people would be librarians.
    Warren Buffett

    But then again:

    The four most dangerous words in investing are 'This time it's different'.
    John Templeton

  • Some great laughs provided here and Mark Twain competing with ol' George to cap it all off, along with good ol' Warren.
  • Kudos to sir John.
  • I bought into some mscfx. Maires and Power go back a long way and this fund has an interesting philosophy revolving around their home turf which I believe in. The Midwest always has had a great work ethic.
  • Who knows. I still have 25% in cash, so I'm ready to buy if opportunities arise. Regardless of the month, things don't go straight up.
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