FYI: There are no can’t-miss-works-every-time signals in the stock market or the economy. It’s never quite that easy. But inverted yield curves have been a fairly reliable indicator in the past in terms of danger ahead for stocks and the economy. I did a deep dive on what this could mean based on historical observations in a piece for Bloomberg.
Regards,
Ted
http://awealthofcommonsense.com/2018/02/yield-curve-inversions-arent-great-for-stocks/
