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Bespoke: Similar Declines On Both Sides Of Atlantic, But From Different Levels

FYI: In looking at equity market returns in the US and Europe since the January highs, both the S&P 500 and Europe’s benchmark STOXX 600 have seen declines of similar magnitudes. Depending on which side of the Atlantic you reside on, however, the level from which equities sold off is entirely different. Let’s start with a look at recent performance from the eyes of a US investor.

As shown in the top chart below, the S&P 500 headed into Wednesday down 6.2% from its January high. The index ended its 100+ trading day streak of consecutive closes above its 50-DMA on Monday, and even after an enormous intraday rebound on Tuesday, it remains below that level.

The chart of the STOXX 600 looks similar to the S&P 500. Up until late January, US investors saw steady gains in the index on a dollar-adjusted basis. Since the late January peak, though, the index has seen a decline of 7.5% and like the S&P 500 broke down below its 50-DMA earlier this week. As shown in the chart, though, at current levels the index is sitting right at a pretty significant support level.

Similarly, the chart of the STOXX 600 looks much weaker in local currency terms than the dollar-adjusted version above. January’s high represented just a modest breakout from prior resistance that quickly failed miserably as the index is now comfortably below both its 50 and 200-day moving averages. Over in Europe, they’re saying, “Bull? What bull?”
Regards,
Ted
https://www.bespokepremium.com/think-big-blog/similar-declines-on-both-sides-of-atlantic-but-from-different-levels/
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