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History, as Kurt Vonnegut reminded us, is merely a list of surprises. The next world war will certainly not start with the assassination of an Austro-Hungarian archduke. You're probably not going to make a fortune peddling pet rocks.
On the other hand, you can learn something from history, and in this case, you can learn quite a bit from the bond market since July 5, 2016, the day the 10-year Treasury note yield hit an all-time low of 1.37%. The bellwether yield is now 2.37%, a full percentage point higher. For investors, the question is: Which bond funds have fared the best since bond yields hit record lows, and will they continue to do so if bond yields continue to climb?
Regards,
Ted
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