FYI: People have seemingly been predicting the next recession before the last one even ended (remember the double-dip recession forecasts?). The problem is the economic machine is a complex organism. It doesn’t operate on a set schedule. And even if you could predict the exact timing of the next recession it still might not be all that useful for your investing needs. Here’s my exploration of this idea in a recent piece for Bloomberg. (Original Bloomberg article 8/3/17)
Regards,
Ted
http://awealthofcommonsense.com/2017/10/predicting-the-next-recession/
