FYI: Ivestors spend a lot of time trying to figure out what returns the markets will give them in the future. It feels like a weekly occurrence that I see another fund firm or well-known investor trot out their forecasts for future market performance.
People have been predicting lower future returns for a number of years now (the opposite has happened) so this is obviously easier said than done. I’m sure these people will be right eventually, but there are simply far too many variables to precisely predict future stock market returns.
The variable investors don’t spend enough time on is the one that’s much easier to predict — risk.
Regards,
Ted
http://awealthofcommonsense.com/2016/12/expected-risk/