Here's a statement of the obvious: The opinions expressed here are those of the participants, not those of the Mutual Fund Observer. We cannot vouch for the accuracy or appropriateness of any of it, though we do encourage civility and good humor.
FYI: The period from 2000 through 2009 is referred to as a “lost decade” for U.S. stocks. Over this period, investors were not rewarded with an equity risk premium, they were better off in risk-free treasury bills. Not only were they not rewarded, they were punished by two peak-to-trough crashes of greater than fifty percent. Regards, Ted http://theirrelevantinvestor.tumblr.com/post/108551333738/what-lost-decade-the-period-from-2000-through
I think the most optimal outcome would be a return to a long-ago normal of 1) You don't have a rising QE tide lifting all boats 2) If you get a 5-10% return in a year, great. 3) A return to realistic volatility, whereas people don't act like the market is broken if it goes down in a day.
I can think of a very possible least optimistic outcome, as well.
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I can think of a very possible least optimistic outcome, as well.