Would the combination of these two bond funds comprise a CORE band holding? I was thinking of selling $5,000 of TGEIX in my Roth and adding $5,000 of DBLFX instead, perhaps with adding more DBLFX as I sell more of my TGEIX. DBLTX is now my only "core" bond fund in my non-retirement portfolio at Fidelity. I can "sneak in with DBLFX by only needing a minimum of $5,000 for an IRA. Comments and or suggestions would be greatly appreciated. Thanks
Paul
Comments
Paul
My inflation adjusted 2 cents worth.
As I don't recall your other bond fund holdings at the moment; I can only note about what you asked.
DBLTX and DBLFX do not offer what I consider to be bond diversification; although both funds have very nice returns at this date. The two combined offer exposure to the mortgage and Treasury bond areas. For this reason, our house would not consider these two alone as a core holding, because of the narrow focus of the holdings.
You did not note whether the selling of TGEIX would only reduce this holding or eliminate this holding.
EM bond funds have been impacted during periods of 2011 from a stronger dollar; as the Euro Zone problems persist. However, at the very least, being invested in EM bonds offers diversification of a bond portfolio area, with perhaps a static NAV at this time; but one is being paid a decent yield while waiting for a reversal in dollar strength, which will likely happen going forward.
TGEIX indicates a recent yield of about 6.9%. Even with a NAV that is sorta stuck at this time, with a little forward and then a little backward related to the U.S. dollar strength, I look at this in the following manner.
Let us assume the NAV of the EM or any bond/equity fund is sideways or stuck for the full calendar year and in the end really never changed much for 12 months. For the EM bond fund you noted, the result would be similar to the fact that one placed $5K, $25K or $100K into a CD or any other investment you choose, and the underlying original money outlay is not expected to grow by itself (the NAV), but the real reward is the yield one is earning.
The funds you noted, are all decent choices; but by themselves for our house do not offer enough diversification in bonds. Bonds, no less than diversification in equity investments may offer support for one another if a particular sector is impacted by a special event.
Not unlike a diverse collection of equity sectors that may form a core of equity holdings in a given time frame, the same applies to bonds. Not all bond sectors react to given events in the same fashion. What could be a negative impact upon the mortgage bond area; may have a positive impact upon another bond sector; from an unforseen event.
A current prime example is the U.S. 10yr Treasury (2% yield), vs the Italian 10 yr gov't bond bond at about 7% yield. This is a hugh spread in the bond world. Where one's bond money may have been 3 months ago in either of these areas would have had very large outcome differences for one's monies.
I note all of the above jabber; as to "what if" related to mortgage bond area is greatly impacted by federal level legislation or a more serious problem in the mortgage related area that we can not forsee today.
In my opinion, one either needs to have 5 bond funds that invest in different sectors; or perhaps 2 bond funds that have total flexibility to move their/your monies wherever management feels is the best bond sectors to provide the maximum return.
These and this number of mixed bond funds then become "a core" holding of bonds; without one fund standing by itself in a narrow sector.
Take care,
Catch
If you consider the fund to have a short track record, here's how to scope out the long term record:
* Go to M* and type in TGCFX (JG's old fund at TCW).
* From the summary/quote page for TGCFX, select the chart page.
* In the compare box, type in DBLFX or DLFNX.
* The latter line overlaid on the former gives you JG's long term track record as a core bond fund manager. You'll note that his new fund has been whacking his old one since the MetWest managers took it over.
Actually, right now, I think a bond portfolio made up of his old fund (run by TCW/MetWest) and the new Dbl fund are pretty close to the ideal combo for a minimalist U.S.-based core-(slightly) plus bond allocation (the former fund, pretty conservative; the latter, just a little adventurous).
It would be very helpful for many of us if we could see several broad diversified bond portfolios with emphasis on simplicity and not including many different funds in the same class.
There after the MFO board members could add additional funds to the class on their own to diversify the class. For maximum benefit the help we need should be focused precise and simple. I find bonds to be much more challenging than equities. I hope David will participate in this discussion.
Burt
Personally, I hold MWTRX, LSBRX and HSTRX in my fixed income bucket. Yes, I know the Hussman fund is not labeled a bond fund, but it has similar conservative volatility and steady bond-like returns.
Personally, I thought about adding DBLFX to my mix, but ultimately decided against it. My reasoning was that great returns, like the Doubleline funds are having, has to come with added risk. I already have a bond fund with that type of risk - LSBRX. The Loomis Sayles fund has proven management on it's side so I'll stick with that. And, hot funds can never stay hot forever. Heck, just a year ago the Pimco Total return fund was on everyone's star list.
I also thought about some comments on this board made by BobC and David. I can only paraphrase, but essentially Gundlach may be a good bond picker, but there is something lacking in his moral and possibly business judgement. Does it matter that he's not a nice guy? Of course not, but I'm not sure I trust him totally- that's just me.
Good luck to you.