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Presidential Cycles and the S&P 500 Index (SPY)

beebee
edited August 2014 in Fund Discussions
Are we in for a 20% correction with respect to the S&P 500 over the next three month? If history rhymes a potential drop in the S&P 500 to around the 1750 level is a good possibility.

Here's an interesting historical look at where we are in the presidential cycle and the historical returns of the S&P 500 Index during this period (and the next three-six months) of this cycle:

image

Link:
2nd_presidential_years_are_different/

Comments

  • Old_JoeOld_Joe
    It looks like one hell of a buying opportunity may be coming! I wonder if the "recovery" phase is at all dependent on either the party winning the election or the general perception of (and hopes for) the new sucker chief executive?
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