For I Bonds bought by October 31, the one year yield will likely be 4.8%This is understated. He's assuming 0% inflation in August and for September. It was 0.3% for the month of August, or
5.3% Y/Y Aug 2021/Aug 2020.
The combined return from November 1, 2021, through October 31, 2022, will therefore be close to the combination of 1.77% for the six months ending and the 3.07% (6.14% annualized) likely for the subsequent six months, if not higher. The total one year inflation component combining the two is 4.84%Assuming a savings bond purchased Nov 1, the inflation adjustments would be the Mar '21 - Sept '21 inflation rate for the first six months, then the Sept '21 - Mar '22 inflation rate. The old 1.77% rate (inflation Sept '20 - Mar '21) would be irrelevant.
OTOH if you were to purchase a savings bond before Nov, then you would get the rate as described for a year. But that year would start the in the month you purchased the savings bond and terminate before Oct 31, 2022. At that point you'd start getting the Sept '21 - Mar '22 inflation rate.
Either way, he's missing this future, completely unknown rate in what you'd earn through Oct 31, 2022.
https://www.treasurydirect.gov/indiv/research/indepth/ibonds/res_ibonds_iratesandterms.htm#changeIMHO, an argument for purchasing Series I savings bonds now instead of after Nov. 1 is that you're getting a guaranteed 3.
54% (annualized) rate for six months in addition to whatever the future holds. Not too shabby.
One can argue about the defects of the Urban CPI but it's what is used for all important measures such as resets of Social Security payments. Bzzzt. Try again. CPI-W is used for the all important measure of
SS COLA.
For I Bonds bought by October 31, the one year yield will likely be 4.8%. You can buy $10,000 electronically at TreasuryDirect and another $5000 with your tax refund.Yes, but a couple can't buy $10K with their refund if they file jointly. The purchase amount is limited to $
5K/savings bond type/filing. So a couple filing jointly could purchase just $
5K, though they could purchase $
5K each if they filed separate returns.
https://www.nytimes.com/2021/07/09/your-money/us-savings-bond-inflation.html I Bonds give you the opportunity to avoid this [tax on phantom income] problem by electing to defer taxes until maturity.Meaning that you have the option to pay tax annually, e.g. if the savings bond is in the name of a low income tax payer.
Not mentioned is the opportunity for a deceased savings bond owner to pay tax on accumulated interest to date of death. This can be advantageous if the deceased is in a low tax bracket (likely if retired), or in the alternative, if the deceased is subject to estate taxes at state or federal level. If the deceased elects to pay the deferred taxes after death, that reduces the size of the taxable estate. And similar to inheriting a Roth, the beneficiary inherits savings bonds with no built in tax liability. Though liability attaches going forward, as the savings bond continues to accrue interest.