interesting suggestion about TIPS I've seen things like this suggested before. As the writer points out, there are two concerns.
The first is volatility, which he addresses by purchasing a ladder at time t0 that mature in 1 year, 2 years, 3 years, and so on.
The second concern is that one needs to buy bonds with a positive real rate of return. Right now, at least, that seems to be possible. If bonds had only a zero real return then you'd exhaust them after 2
5 years (4% inflation adjusted x 2
5 years = 100%).
Likely one would want to do this with only part of one's portfolio, for two related reasons. One is that there's no upside potential. The thing about a safe withdrawal rate is that it is usually a floor, meaning that in most scenarios one comes out better. Not here. The other is that there's always the possibility of living longer than 30 years. (Well, not always; one might be starting at age 80.)
It would be interesting to compare results with an inflation adjusted annuity. That would address the risk of living "too long". The problem here is that this is a product that may no longer exist.
https://obliviousinvestor.com/inflation-adjusted-annuities-no-longer-available-now-what/(This column points out the same longevity risk with TIPS and of course inflation risk with nominal annuities.)
So... Are the past couple of days upward just a head-fake? Paxlovid seems an effective medication. It is by prescription but is free from government or from health insurance. I don't know, how much Pfizer gets paid for it although I read somewhere that it would sell it for $530/box (5-day course) list.
It did cause a very bad taste in the mouth that I searched for and found a less common symptom that it is called Paxlovid-Mouth. Also, every 2-3 hours of sitting up, I get sleep-tired, and I am not even a day napper.
Both my wife and I got it. Bright side is that sort of solves the isolation logistics for now.
So... Are the past couple of days upward just a head-fake? @yogibb, hope you recover quickly. That remind me to get the bivalent booster shot.
I have friends who were in your situation and they recovered fully in a week or so. Make sure you take the
5 days dosage as instructed. Best wishes.
So... Are the past couple of days upward just a head-fake? I had planned some transactions for October and I got them done by last week. Some were minor tinkering. One move was higher allocations for multi-asset funds (FMSDX, VPGDX) with money coming from some traditional allocation funds.
This bounce could be for pre-election or the month-end or the UK-political-situation-resolving or just a no-reason bounce.
I am slowed down by Covid and Paxlovid this week.
Charts
https://stockcharts.com/h-perf/ui?s=$SPX&compare=$COMPQ,$INDU,$TRAN,IWM&id=p80059377082
Buy Sell Why: ad infinitum. Added next Fri mature cash secure put google 95...moore Qqq also
Steady rising yields in CDs and treasuries I have 80 year old friends who are 90% equities and are very worried. They are having to seriously reduce expenses of new purchases. Not cutting into food or gas yet, and their house is paid for but he wanted a new boat at $50,000 and he thinks he should hold off.
Even most of the mainstream advisors, before this year, advised "60/40", although there was gradually an increasing tide that recommended cutting equity exposure going into retirement and then slowly adding it back, to avoid having this kinda Bear market arrive in your early retirement
GQHPX I did not finalize the transaction at my TRP brokerage. Just testing. But I did find out that for NON-TRP funds, there is a $5k MINIMUM to get in. I just don't have that much today available to trade, so maybe that's why it appeared not to recognize my attempt. It was behaving as if the ticker symbol was not recognized. But we're dealing with MACHINES, as always--- since we put THEM in charge. Oy.
Hybrid Meat The choice before us — if we’re serious about climate action and animal welfare — is to either significantly change the meat we eat or eat significantly less of it. Should hybrid meat fulfill its promise, we may be able to do both.
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