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Here's a statement of the obvious: The opinions expressed here are those of the participants, not those of the Mutual Fund Observer. We cannot vouch for the accuracy or appropriateness of any of it, though we do encourage civility and good humor.
  • CD Rates Going Forward
    I get it, yes.
    It has always struck me that many people (and I'm not saying you) are far more worried about the absolute safety of their money than they are about the absolute safety of their own lives. If they were half as worried about their own safety as they are about the safety of their money, they would never ride in a car.
    +1. Totally agree and envious you can get 5.59% in your money market fund. Along the point you are trying to make. It amazes me how worried many are about the safety of their money vs. the safety of their health. They don’t seem to worry about what they eat, their weight, their blood pressure, or their sugar and cholesterol/triglycerides levels. Yet their fret about every little minute detail of their finances as if they all expect to live to be 100.
  • Brandes U.S. Value Fund will be liquidated
    https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/926678/000119312523208784/d538281d497.htm
    497 1 d538281d497.htm 497
    BRANDES INVESTMENT TRUST
    Brandes U.S. Value Fund
    Supplement dated August 10, 2023
    to the Fund’s Summary Prospectus and Prospectus dated January 28, 2023
    and the Statement of Additional Information dated January 28, 2023
    Brandes Investment Partners, L.P., the Advisor to the Brandes U.S. Value Fund (the “Fund”), has recommended, and the Board of Trustees of Brandes Investment Trust has approved, the liquidation and termination of the Fund. The Advisor’s recommendation was primarily based on the fact that the Fund is not economically viable at its present size, and the Advisor did not anticipate that the Fund would experience meaningful growth in the foreseeable future. The liquidation is expected to occur after the close of business on September 28, 2023. Pending liquidation of the Fund, investors will continue to be able to reinvest dividends received in the Fund.
    Effective August 17, 2023, the Fund will no longer accept purchases of new shares. Beginning September 25, 2023, the Fund’s assets will be converted into cash and cash equivalents, as a result the Fund will no longer pursue its stated investment objective and policies effective September 25, 2023. Shareholders of the Fund may redeem their investments as described in the Fund’s Prospectus. Accounts not redeemed by September 20, 2023, will automatically be closed and liquidating distributions, less any required tax withholdings, will be sent to the address of record.
    If you hold your shares in an IRA account directly with Northern Trust Company, you have 60 days from the date you receive your proceeds to reinvest your proceeds into another IRA account and maintain their tax-deferred status. You must notify the Fund or your financial advisor prior to September 28, 2023 of your intent to reinvest your IRA account to avoid withholding deductions from your proceeds.
    Please contact the Fund at (800) 395-3807 or your financial advisor if you have questions or need assistance.
    This Supplement should be retained for future reference.
  • Janus Henderson Sustainable Multi-Asset Allocation Fund will be liquidated
    https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/277751/000119312523209466/d476338d497.htm
    497 1 d476338d497.htm 497
    Janus Investment Fund
    Janus Henderson Sustainable Multi-Asset Allocation Fund
    Supplement dated August 11, 2023
    to Currently Effective Prospectuses
    and Statement of Additional Information
    At a meeting of the Board of Trustees (the “Trustees”) of Janus Investment Fund on August 10, 2023, the Trustees approved a plan to liquidate and terminate Janus Henderson Sustainable Multi-Asset Allocation Fund (the “Fund”), with such liquidation effective on or about October 19, 2023, or at such other time as may be authorized by the Trustees (the “Liquidation Date”). The termination of the Fund is expected to occur as soon as practicable following the Liquidation Date.
    Effective on or about August 11, 2023, the Fund will no longer accept investments by new shareholders. It is expected that the Fund will be required to make a distribution of any income and/or capital gains of the Fund in connection with its liquidation.
    Shareholders of the Fund may redeem their shares or exchange their shares for shares of another Janus Henderson fund for which they are eligible to purchase at any time prior to the Liquidation Date. If a shareholder has not redeemed their shares as of the Liquidation Date, the shareholder’s account will generally be automatically redeemed and proceeds will be sent to the shareholder of record. For shareholders investing through a tax-deferred account, shares will be exchanged for shares of Janus Henderson Government Money Market Fund as soon as practicable following the Liquidation Date.
    To prepare for the closing and liquidation of the Fund, portfolio management expects to increase the Fund’s assets held in cash and similar instruments in order to pay for Fund expenses and meet redemption requests. As a result, the Fund will likely deviate from its stated investment strategies and policies and accordingly cease being managed to meet its investment objective during its liquidation.
    Additionally, any asset reductions and increases in cash and similar instruments could adversely affect the Fund’s short-term performance prior to the Liquidation Date. The Fund will incur transaction costs, such as brokerage commissions, when selling portfolio securities as a result of its plan to liquidate and terminate. These transaction costs may adversely affect performance.
    Furthermore, Janus Henderson Investors US LLC has contractually agreed to waive its advisory fee, effective August 11, 2023 through the Liquidation Date.
    Unless shares of the Fund are held in a tax-deferred account, the liquidation of shares held by a shareholder will generally be considered a taxable event. A shareholder should consult their personal tax adviser concerning their particular tax situation.
    Shareholders may obtain additional information by contacting a Janus Henderson representative at 1-800-525-3713.
  • CrossingBridge lowers initial minimum for institutional share class
    Lowering from $50k to $5k is indeed very good news for retail investors. CrossBridge funds are on transaction fee fund platform at many brokerages. Fidelity customers can use their automatic investment features for additional purchases for $5; no fee for selling. Other brokerages charge fee on both ends of transaction.
  • CD Rates Going Forward
    Hi dryflower, I do take higher risks but I want to make a lot more than an extra 0.2-0.3% annually. This is why I trade bond funds for weeks-months and back to MM.
    Regardless, making 5+% for SOME of the money is great for most.
  • CD Rates Going Forward
    Excellent yield, but generally I don't trust Wells and/or Allspring. I prefer Vanguard, Fidelity, and Schwab.
    Issues with the above fund, see quotes from 2 sites(the above site + https://www.wellsfargo.wallst.com/EBrokerageDesktop/Public/Mf/Profile?symbol=96641854)
    1) Money Market Funds may impose a fee upon sale of your shares or may temporarily suspend your ability to sell shares if the fund’s liquidity falls below required minimums because of market conditions or other factors.
    2) Offers potentially higher yields than a money market portfolio limited to Treasury-or government-related issues and mitigates risk by investing in a broadly diversified portfolio of securities across a range of eligible money market investments that may include, but are not limited to, bank obligations such as time deposits and certificates of deposit; commercial paper; asset-backed securities; corporate and medium-term notes; adjustable-rate securities; repurchase agreements; and government-related debt.
    Basically, this fund takes more risk by venturing into less "safe" holdings + may have gates/fees in stressful times. Since 2022, I switched our Schwab SNAXX with now 5.37% yield with possible gates(as the fund above) to SCOXX at 5.21% and no gates/fees. The extra yield isn't worth for me if I want to trade at any moment and I can't sell the fund.
  • CD Rates Going Forward
    Short-term rates are peaking, but it would still be hard to call the absolute top. It is now? Or, 1-2 +25 bps hikes? But that should be it.
    Long-term rates are now a puzzle. When people were expecting a recession, they were calling for long-rates to drop to 2-3%. But now, with recession off the table, and soft landing at best, and inflation not tamed yet, there are concerns that long-rate may shoot up to 6%+. The Fed has little control over the long-term rates and it is in the QT mode now (QE did bring down or held or suppressed long-rates).
    Sticking with short/intermediate-term seems wise now.
  • MOVEit Data Transfer Breach
    MOVEit Data Transfer Breach
    MOVEit data transfer is used institutionally & they found that it had a hackable access/trap door that some bad people used to access data being transferred. This breach has affected many firms - banks, brokers, several government organizations (including Social Security), but I haven't heard anything from anyone else EXCEPT from PBI on behalf of TIAA.
    We got letters from PBI (with ID numbers) about the TIAA breach & we both signed up with Kroll for 2 years of free credit monitoring. Signup requires providing DOB, Social Security number, etc & answering a short Q&A based on some personal credit history - the most common answer was N/A but not for all.
    Kroll is the old Duff & Phelps. The old Duff & Phelps bought Kroll & renamed the whole thing Kroll. So, it is a very old company that you may not have heard of (1932- ).
    Has anyone gotten info/letters on this breach from other institutions?
    Those with access to M* or Facebook may also follow details there.
    Edit/Add. From MFO Search, I found this for TD Ameritrade/Schwab, https://www.mutualfundobserver.com/discuss/discussion/comment/165831/#Comment_165831
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2023_MOVEit_data_breach
    https://securityintelligence.com/news/the-moveit-breach-impact-and-fallout-how-can-you-respond/
    https://www.pionline.com/courts/retired-teacher-sues-tiaa-over-moveit-data-breach
    https://www.healthcaredive.com/news/612K-Medicare-beneficiaries-affected-MoveIt-data-breach/689346/
  • The case for a soft landing in the economy just got another boost
    I’m noticing many price drops at the grocery store. Things like eggs, bread and yogurt have dropped a lot at my store. However, prices are still high for sodas, cereal, meats, beer, etc. I have no qualms about buying generic brands or skipping items when prices get too high for me. I have totally quit buying name brand cereals for that reason. I am not paying $7 for a box of Cheerios, particularly when the store brand is only $2.50. Likewise, we seldom eat beef nowadays. There are healthier options for less money.
  • Bonds: Why you should invest in short-term bonds over longer-term securities.
    Diversification, duration, and experience don't guarantee better risk-adjusted performance, especially in markets as we had since early 2022.
    You can own 10 bond funds and still have higher volatility + lower performance.
    The article predicts stability for the coming months to 2024. The Fed funds watch tool predicts mostly a stable 5.25-5.5% until March 2024.
    Even if a fund has experienced managers, they can't do too much. Most lost money in 2022.
    Sometimes, special funds do better than most.
    Example:
    DODIX+PIMIX are great funds + more flexible in their categories.
    Since 01-01-2022 both are down. RCTIX is up with lower volatility
    (https://schrts.co/hieByVgX)
    YTD: RCTIX still made more with lower volatility. See the chart (https://schrts.co/nWzudGjU)
    I can add 5 more funds with different duration + bond ratings + flexibility and all 7 still made less than RCTIX. There are better options than RCTIX YTD.
  • The case for a soft landing in the economy just got another boost
    @davidmoran
    So what's the overall message of the article (hiiden behind paywall etc)?
    Noting that Kraft-Heinz and Kellog's prices have risen by 25-30% over the past two years....you might scoff at this but I can tell you that cost increase inputs continue...I haven't seen any cost reductions at the grocery store....
    Baseball Fan
    - did you try privacy / incognito browser sessions using various browsers?
    - I see many price drops. Costco meats, MarketBasket (big NE discount chain) cereals, milk everywhere, fresh produce (corn locally picked; blueberries)
  • Janus Henderson Net Zero Transition Resources ETF to be liquidated
    https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1500604/000119312523208135/d120852d497.htm
    497 1 d120852d497.htm 497
    Janus Detroit Street Trust
    Janus Henderson Net Zero Transition Resources ETF
    Supplement dated August 10, 2023
    to Currently Effective Prospectus and
    Statement of Additional Information (“SAI”)
    The Board of Trustees of Janus Detroit Street Trust (the “Trust”) approved a plan to liquidate and terminate Janus Henderson Net Zero Transition Resources ETF (“JZRO” or the “Fund”), effective on or about October 24, 2023 (the “Liquidation Date”). After the close of business on or about October 16, 2023, the Fund will no longer accept creation orders. Trading in the Fund will be halted prior to market open on or about October 20, 2023. Proceeds of the liquidation are currently scheduled to be sent to shareholders on or about October 26, 2023. Termination of the Fund is expected to occur as soon as practicable following the liquidation.
    Prior to and through the close of trading on NYSE Arca, Inc. (“NYSE”) on October 19, 2023, the Fund will undertake the process of winding down and liquidating its portfolio. This process may result in the Fund holding cash and securities that may not be consistent with its investment objectives and strategies. Furthermore, during the time between market open on October 20, 2023 and the Liquidation Date, because the shares will no longer be traded on NYSE, there may not be a trading market for the Fund’s shares.
    Shareholders may sell shares of the Fund on NYSE until the market close on October 19, 2023 and may incur typical transaction fees from their broker-dealer. Shares held as of the close of business on the Liquidation Date will be automatically redeemed for cash at the then current net asset value. Proceeds of the redemption will be paid through the broker-dealer with whom you hold shares of the Fund. Shareholders will generally recognize a capital gain or loss on the redemptions. The Fund may or may not, depending upon its circumstances, pay one or more dividends or other distributions prior to or along with the redemption payments. Please consult your personal tax advisor about the potential tax consequences.
  • Paychecks, Not Portfolios: Why Income is the Key to Financial Success
    Income investing is a myth that has been promoted for years. In many cases, the writer wants to sell you something. Income investing as someone's main/first criterion has no legs in reality because TR=total return (performance) is the ultimate indicator. TR includes everything and all distributions are part of it. Risk-adjusted performance is the first thing you look for, after that, you can look for high distributions.
    I have been discussing HIGH INCOME since 2010.
    First came ATT,VZ,IBM as a must vs SPY,QQQ. A simple chart can prove how pathetic ATT,VZ,IBM were since 2010.
    Then came MLP which lost more than half.
    Then came fixed income CEFs where they made a total of 6-7% in the last 5 years while SPY made over 70%.
    Lastly, I'm not against high distributions, I'm against using it as someone's main criterion.
    At times like this, the young people say:
    "Sir, this is a Wendys."
    Older folks might remember what Emily Litella used to say.
  • Paychecks, Not Portfolios: Why Income is the Key to Financial Success
    We know that compounding on investments made early in one’s lifetime makes a huge difference in one’s financial success. Even though I was a very low earner when I started my career in 1970, we still were able to buy a house in 1973 based on my income alone. Interest rates were around 4%. I borrowed the 5% down payment from my father. My employer, despite paying me a pittance, paid 10% into my retirement account at TIAA. With one kid, one starter home, one car, and a frugality drummed into us by our Depression-era parents, we eventually realized quite amazing gains on what we honestly did not know would become our sources of “wealth.”
    In today’s economy, as @Anna aptly points out, the young couple setting out on a path similar to ours, face overwhelming obstacles. The price of a starter home, in almost any part of the country, now presents the biggest barrier, to say nothing of the huge down payment. What employer these days would be paying 10% of base salary into retirement? It seems trite to say that our kids won’t do as well as their parents, a complete reversal of what had been accepted wisdom about the American economy. The American Dream, for a great many of our brethren, is nothing more than a chimera. The participants on MFO, IMHO, have a whole lot to be grateful for. I’m not sure that my kids, who are between 25 and 43, will be able to feel secure in their retirements.
  • Moody's downgrades 10 US banks
    My preference is to use a local institution for checking and direct deposit.
    I'm a member of a locally-based credit union with many nearby branches.
    If any issues arise, I can readily speak to someone in person.
    Over the years, I've found that CUs generally offer better terms for loans, credit cards,
    and checking/savings accounts than many brick-and-mortar banks.
    Their customer service is also superior to big banks in my experience.
    My credit union provided a Medallion signature guarantee when I transferred
    a Roth IRA from one institution to another.
    Note: I also have an Ally online savings account.
    Same here. They do banking basics very well and efficiently. They're not out to beat quarterly numbers and 'analyst estimates' or start making tons of money for themselves. I've been a member of my CU since 1995 and for the most part I remain very happy with them.
  • AAII Sentiment Survey, 8/9/23
    AAII Sentiment Survey, 8/9/23
    Bullish remained the top sentiment (44.7%; above average) & bearish remained the bottom sentiment (25.5%; below average); neutral remained the middle sentiment (29.8%; below average); Bull-Bear Spread was +19.2% (above average). Investor concerns: Inflation (still high); economy; the Fed; dollar; crypto regulations; market volatility (VIX, VXN, MOVE); Russia-Ukraine war (76+ weeks, 2/24/22-now); geopolitical. For the Survey week (Th-Wed), stocks were down, bonds up, oil up sharply, gold down, dollar flat. Moody's downgrades several regional banks due to concerns about real estate/CRE exposures, deposit flights, credit card delinquencies. #AAII #Sentiment #Markets
    LINK
  • Bonds: Why you should invest in short-term bonds over longer-term securities.
    SA article (https://seekingalpha.com/article/4625927-federal-funds-rate-is-going-down-what-about-bond-prices?mailingid=32345426&messageid=2850&serial=32345426.3245)
    I can read all SA articles for free for years and never paid anything.
    Quote (excerpts)
    "Summary
    The Federal Reserve will likely cut rates next year.
    Rate cuts might impact bond prices, depending on their magnitude, and on market expectations.
    Market expectations are very dovish, and more dovish than the Fed. Higher bond prices seem unlikely.
    A look at federal reserve rates, expectations thereof, and their possible impact on bond prices follows.
    .................................
    Investor Takeaway
    Investors expect significant federal reserve interest rate cuts in the coming years, and are pricing treasuries and other bonds accordingly. Due to this, small rate cuts will likely have limited impact on bond rates and prices.
    Under these conditions, I would personally invest in T-bills and other short-term bonds over longer-term securities. These have higher yields and lower interest rate risk. Longer-term securities yield more, are riskier, and are pricing-in an aggressive set of fed hikes already."
  • WSJ: Banks’ Problems Aren’t Over, According to the Bond Market
    Following are excerpts, heavily edited for brevity, from a current Wall Street Journal report:
    Moody’s [downgraded] the credit ratings of 10 banks and put others under review, or giving their ratings a negative outlook. Credit ratings are very important for banks, which fund themselves partly with deposits, but also by selling bonds.
    But the ratings moves are a reminder that many of the core issues revealed by the crisis this year—such as the risks posed by higher interest rates—are only beginning to be addressed. And one risk that investors can’t afford to ignore is that longer-term interest rates could keep pushing higher, even as the Federal Reserve looks to be pausing its rate hikes.
    However, Moody’s also wrote that it saw some key issues unaddressed by the Fed’s thousand-plus-page proposal.
    Moody’s analysts acknowledged in their Monday report that the Fed’s tougher capital requirements for banks with over $100 billion in assets should be positive for their credit risk, [but also said] that interest-rate risk is “significantly more complicated” than that. For example, there is the diminished value of loans like fixed-rate mortgages—a huge problem for First Republic, for one. In its analysis, Moody’s applied a 15% haircut to the value of banks’ outstanding residential mortgages.
    The bond market’s focus on worst-case scenarios may explain the gap between the performance of many lenders’ debts versus their shares. In theory, higher capital requirements coming for many banks ought to provide more comfort for bondholders, who focus more on existential risk, than shareholders, who should be worried about the drag on banks’ returns on equity from higher equity levels.
    But this security cushion isn’t what markets appear to be reflecting. Across regional banks with A ratings, though their bonds have rallied in recent weeks, investors are still demanding a lot more return to own them than they were prior to SVB’s collapse. The gap between those banks’ senior bond yields versus Treasurys was still about 50% wider than on March 8 as of Monday.
    It is a relief that banks have found a number of ways to stabilize their earnings and rebuild some capital, but bond market jitters show there is still a lot more work to be done.

    Note: text emphasis in above was added.