Where did they all go The number of "funds" in 2023 looks more like share classes than actual funds.
The nine style boxes of broad based domestic equity funds add up to 6,9
18. ICI reports a total of 8.578 domestic equity share classes (including all domestic categories but excluding funds of funds), but only 2,880
unique domestic equity funds. In fact, in total ICI reports just 7,222 funds including equity, bond, hybrid, and money market funds.
The 2024 figure (totaling 3,454) still exceeds the ICI fund figure (YE 2023) of 2,880, but at least it's in the right ballpark.
2024 ICI Investment Company Fact Book - list of tables
ICI table of number of funds by type and year
ICI table of number of share classes by type and year
It would have been so much easier to examine M* figures with its premium fund screener. That had a "distinct funds only" filter. But alas, M* now offers only a crude tool on its "Investor" site. FWIW, that screener reports a total of 6,033 domestic "funds" in the nine style boxes. Well less than the 6,9
18 total of the nine boxes.
This suggests that M* is including in its "number of funds" counts some esoteric classes or types of funds that neither ICI nor M* itself (in its screeners) is counting. That in turn lends credibility to the idea that M* switched from share classes to funds in its reporting of total funds in category.
From the M* glossary (UK version):
Number of Funds in Category
The number of funds classified in the same category as this fund.
https://www.morningstar.co.uk/uk/glossary/98231/number-of-funds-in-category.aspx
Where did they all go It seems that number of funds have gone down significantly for all 9-box categories.
2023
1,200 1,430 1,217
553 420 397
597 615 489
2024/YTD/Daily View
603 705 610
277 201 211
298 298 251
These correspond to:
IVW IVV IVE
IJK IJH IJJ
IJT IJR IJS
Where did they all go
Where did they all go So I tend to look at the Buy-Sell-Why thread often and just today focused on the Large Cap Growth category. Scrolling down to the Growth of $10K graph I saw that over a 10-yr time span the number of funds so categorized by M* dropped by nearly 66% if I'm reading or interpreting the data correctly. Is this true? Is it because of the explosion in ETF's or other?
From the FSCVX data page (from 2014 - 2024):
# of Invest. in Cat. 1,710- 1,681- 1,463- 1,363- 1,405- 1,360- 1,289- 1,237- 1,235- 1,200- 603
Buy Sell Why: ad infinitum. Results since 20220
10
1 ("Normalization")
dinky linky.
Results since 20200
10
1 ("Covid")
dinky linky.
I added the covid period because I will look at the Martin ratios for the funds.
It's down to FDSVX or PRWAX. Tip of the cap to
@stillers for drawing my attention to funds I had missed.
Buy Sell Why: ad infinitum. @Stillers, the money was previously invested in tech funds, so moving to growth seems appropriate. Good point about the inflation news, OTOH, if it's good news . . .
I look at the last three years to see how the funds have behaved since the end of ZIRP. And when I run them through Portfolio Visualizer I'll start the clock at January 2022 for an even tougher challenge. I think the issues of inflation and interest rates are likely to be with us for a while.
I did have to look at five and ten year returns to insure that the funds I am testing have performed at least as well a AMAGX over those time periods. I then looked for funds with an active share over 50. That left me with FDSVX, PRWAX, and FTRNX which I am examining now.
I am at 30% bonds,
10% cash. Most of the bonds are low duration floaters. But I'll leave that for another day. That's about as high as it will get for me given what I have in IYK, FSUTX, and GLIFX.
Buy Sell Why: ad infinitum. Tough choice for us between FDSVX and FBGRX but settled on the former. PRWAX is one of the most underrated LCG funds. We would own any of them over AMAGX.
Other thoughts:
Not sure of your situation, but if this is new money, might not be the best time to plow into Growth after its epic, current bull run. FWIW, we have recently reduced overall stock exposure including Growth and may go to all Cash if things start getting ugly en route to Nov. Also, if plowing money in this week, we would at least do some before/after Thu/Fri CPI/PPI announcements. They've been market movers this year.
We always look beyond 3 years of performance and think that everyone should. If its the same manager(s), not sure why anyone wouldn't.
Baron's Growth funds can run very hot/cold. We're likely done with that family of funds because of it.
ERs are important but TR is obviously far more important (to us at least). A great, managed LCG fund will run ~.50-.80, as do the ones I listed. Coupled with a LCG index fund at ~.02 and you're at half that. FWIW, our weighted portfolio ER is .46. If ERs though are a primary driver for you, looks like AMAGX's ER of .91 is the highest of the bunch here and almost double FBGRX's .48.
Investing in CEFs - Tips & views from 3 different sources FWIW: My 30/70 retirement portfolio has 4 CEFs which are 31.9% of the total PF. They run from 7 to 9% each.
Property Fraud Allegations Snowball as Commercial Real-Estate Values Fall Yet it is legal and acceptable for banks to carry CREs at their book values, i.e. the CREs don't have to be marked-to-market promptly. That was one of the issues that shook up the regional banks in early-2023. There are other problems too - e.g. HTM and AFS classifications of Treasurues and bonds held.
Those issues are just no longer in the news, but those problems didn't disappear.
BTW, originators of securitized debt (MBS, ABS, CLO) are now required to keep some on their books and there are also stricter clawback provisions for bad/defective debt found in the pool. These reforms came after the GFC.
Regional Bank ETF KRE
https://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=KRE&p=D&yr=2&mn=0&dy=0&id=p19878069220
Property Fraud Allegations Snowball as Commercial Real-Estate Values Fall This looks like the variation of the housing disaster we had only 15 years ago. That was not too long ago and how the mechanics are already in rinse and repeat cycle. I guess greed never sleeps.
As a society, we admire / glorify people that commit white color crimes. The more blatant ones get elected to public offices.
(A easier fix would be to require the originators and underwriters to hold a percentage of the loans that they originate / bring to the market.)
The Week in Charts | Charlie Bilello The Week in Charts (07/08/24)The most important charts and themes in markets, including...
00:00 Intro
00:2
1 Topics
0
1:30 Betting on a Rate Cut
06:07 The All-Time High Party Continues
12:25 Investors Getting Greedy
14:
18 Apple's Highest Valuation Ever
16:37 Tesla's Incredible Comeback
18:28 A Coordinated Contraction
2
1:
11 More Listings = More Price Drops
23:
17 Cheaper Rents
Video
Property Fraud Allegations Snowball as Commercial Real-Estate Values Fall "U.S. prosecutors are cracking down on commercial mortgage fraud, a growing push that is sending shudders through the $4.7 trillion industry by raising questions about the numbers underpinning major property loans.""At the heart of the problem is the way lenders underwrite commercial mortgages. Borrowers typically submit financial statements called T-12 that show building income and expenses for the past year. Lenders use these documents to estimate the building’s value and calculate how much they are willing to lend. But in most cases they don’t audit these statements to verify that the sums listed in the spreadsheets actually flowed in and out of the landlord’s accounts." "Landlords have an incentive to come up with inflated building profits so that they can land bigger loans. But lenders also often have an incentive to accept these inflated numbers, especially if they plan to repackage the loan and sell it off to investors, Griffin said. That is because bigger loans mean bigger fees."https://www.wsj.com/real-estate/property-fraud-allegations-snowball-as-commercial-real-estate-values-fall-492d964c?st=5b6slrn9dyyq3u9&reflink=desktopwebshare_permalink