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Here's a statement of the obvious: The opinions expressed here are those of the participants, not those of the Mutual Fund Observer. We cannot vouch for the accuracy or appropriateness of any of it, though we do encourage civility and good humor.
  • FAIRX or individual stocks?
    I know I'm not going to out-invest Berkowitz in the long run. I'll venture a guess and say know one on this board will do so. So, that is why I hold onto FAAFX. It's only 5% of my portfolio. I sit back and listen to the death-watch of Sears, St. Joes and AIG on this discussion board and in other publications and just have to tell myself Bruce is not a dummy. Maybe it's blind faith on my part, but I'll stick with the small amount I have invested in him.
    John, I disagree as to top reason to invest in funds. I'm a believer that focused funds have the better chance to out perform diversified funds and focused funds have the only chance of out-performing a market index over time.
    1) Proven management - 2) capital preservation focus - 3) focused portfolio - 4) smaller asset base... these principles drive my fund selection. FAAFX has 3 out of 4 of those attributes. Can't double guess the managers skills.
  • FAIRX or individual stocks?
    Diversification is the top reason to invest in a mutual fund. That is one reason I stayed away from Janus Twenty back in the 90's when everything was going up and up. Twenty stocks seemed too focused for my taste. FAIRX has less than half of that. One big loss impacts the fund hard. Berkowitz has done well up to now, but his buy and hold strategy is killing that fund instead of selling and going for something else. It's his gut feeling shareholders are buying.
    It might sound like I am trashing the fund and I am not. But ten years or even 15years ago I would not have bought Sears. Just my thought. I felt they were on the way out then. Both Sears and JCPenny are stores that should have gone out of business long ago but they keep them alive somehow.
    I don't think Berkowitz listened to Kenny Rogers.
  • Has the Fat Lady Sung at Sears?
    So, is BB in or out?
    If he is not extending credit, is he still holding the stock?
    He didn't mention Sears in his interview today.
    He did give a nice interview, and presented the case for AIG, BAC, Fannie and Freddie.
    I thought he did a good job.
    http://www.mutualfundobserver.com/discuss/discussion/15851/fairholme-fund-s-bruce-berkowitz-on-this-weekend-s-wealthtrack#latest
  • Two "new" T Rowe Price Funds
    Just received an alert from TRP about "two new investment opportunities", though the first opened in July and the second in August. PRCNX was mentioned in MFO July 2014 Funds in Registration.
    "We are pleased to announce two new choices within our lineup of mutual funds:
    The Intermediate Tax-Free High Yield Fund (PRIHX) seeks a high level of income, exempt from federal taxes, with an intermediate duration that can help manage interest rate risk.
    The International Concentrated Equity (PRCNX) focuses on the potential growth of foreign equities that are believed to be undervalued, using a strategy previously offered only to institutional investors."
    Although PRCNX is non-diversified, it plans to hold 40-60 stocks, and the top 10 holdings currently only account for 18% of assets. EM limited to 15%. Regional Exposure is 56.2% Europe, 18.5% Japan, 6.8% Pacific Ex Japan, and 2.1% Latin America. At $2M AUM, it's a little early to make much out of any of those numbers.
  • Has the Fat Lady Sung at Sears?
    Copied from TheStreet.com via StockPro. According to this article, the loan was needed to purchase stock for the holidays.
    http://www.thestreet.mobi/story/12859465/1/jim-cramers-mad-dash-sears-is-unraveling-faster-than-i-thought.html
  • Bill Gross Joins Janus Capital
    Hey, Janus is one of better performing fund familes...
    image
    Over long term through Spring anyway.
  • Bill Gross Joins Janus Capital
    Clarifying the Janus Fund Name
    09-26-14 Announcement from Janus CEO Richard Weil
    Bill will help us build out a new Global Macro Fixed Income business and he will be named the Portfolio Manager of the recently launched Janus Global Unconstrained Bond Fund
    Fund Page (D Class): Janus Global Unconstrained Bond
    With a current E.R. of 96 bps and 08-31-14 net assets of $12.9 Million.
    Holdings and Details
    Footnote:
    Effective October 6, 2014, the Fund's name changes from Janus Unconstrained Bond Fund to Janus Global Unconstrained Bond Fund with the transition of the Fund to William Gross
  • Bill Gross Joins Janus Capital
    What? No B shares?
    This is what happens when you have fund families that try to sell funds through all channels - traditional (load-based) advisors, wrap accounts, direct retail, supermarket, retirement plan, and institutional. Three families come to mind - Janus, PIMCO, and American Century. I'm sure there are others.
    Anyway, though Janus uses a couple of unconventional letters for some of their share classes, the classes you listed follow these basic channels:
    traditional load - A, C (front load, level load)
    D - direct retail sale (no 12b-1 fee, but 0.12% admin fee, for bookkeeping)
    I - institutional (no admin/12b-1 fees)
    N - retirement (no admin/12b-1 fees)
    T - supermarket (0.25% admin fee)
    S - wrap accounts (0.25% admin fee, plus 0.25% 12b-1 fee)
    Some more common designations are Inv(estor) for directly sold noload shares, Adv(isor) for wrap or supermarket shares.
    Many families use R to denote retirement class shares (or just use I shares w/o creating a different share class).
    Usually, fund families use the same share class for more than one channel, which is why you don't often see as many as seven (or eight, with B shares) different classes.
    (I'm not going into families that charge different fees depending on how big the account is - notably American Funds; but also Vanguard with Investor/Admiral, Institutional/Institutional Plus, Signal, ETF. These are just a couple of the more obvious families.)
    For all this confusion, one nice thing about Janus is that if you're buying on your own, you only have to worry about T class (unless you're one of the grandfathered investors buying directly from Janus, in which case you just look at D shares). You don't have to think about multiple share classes.
  • Bill Gross Joins Janus Capital
    Can't stand the "Alphabet Soup" of mutual fund share classes, and the marketing/sales of funds with loads.
    If they want to have a retail share class and an institutional share class, that's more than enough.
    image
  • Has the Fat Lady Sung at Sears?
    It has been speculated that part of the reason for Lampert's loan is that there was an attempt to sell the interest in Sears Canada and there were no takers.
    http://seekingalpha.com/news/1994365-report-lack-of-interest-in-sears-canada
    From the NY Post Article:
    "As reported by The Post earlier this week, an auction by Chicago-based Sears Holdings of its 51 percent stake in Sears Canada failed to attract any bids in its second round.
    That’s because prospective bidders in the auction run by Bank of America got spooked after getting a look at the company’s fast-deteriorating financials, sources said."
  • Bill Gross Joins Janus Capital
    Doug Kass: Buy Oaktree (OAK) On Gross's Departure
    http://blogs.barrons.com/focusonfunds/2014/09/26/seabreeze-buy-oaktree-on-grosss-departure/?mod=BOLBlog
    "Instead, Kass says he is buying into Oaktree stock, on the basis of their 22% ownership stake in DoubleLine Capital—which was also in talks with Gross, Jeff Gundlach confirmed this morning. “At $50/share, Oaktree’s stock is well off their early 2014 high of over $62 and, arguably possesses the best management team in the industry,” Kass says."
  • Bill Gross Joins Janus Capital
    Maybe I'm reading too much into this paragraph from the PR, but it doesn't seem to me that Gross will have anything to do with JUCDX:
    Mr. Gross will ... be responsible for building-out the firm’s efforts in global macro fixed income strategies. His concentration on such strategies will be separate and complementary to Janus’ existing and highly successful credit-based fixed income platform, built under the leadership of Janus’ Fixed Income Chief Investment Officer, Gibson Smith.
    JUDCX is run by Gibson Smith (and Darrell W. Watters).
    Gross' star value could pull money into all of Janus' bond funds even if he has nothing to do with them, so you still might see that boost in inflows.
    (My error in mentioning this fund/share class in an earlier post I made to this thread; I was following up on another post that described this fund as a load fund.)
    Edit Definitely not having a good day. My error, again. Thanks to JohnChisum for pointing out that Janus quickly changed the name of the fund. So it seems Gross steamrolled Smith. Here's the SEC filing, dated today, short and sweet (fund name changed, Gross in as manage, Smith and Watters out):
    http://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/277751/000095012314009838/d31178e497.htm
  • Bill Gross Joins Janus Capital
    He seems to like closed end bond funds a lot, especially when trading at a discount to NAV. Probably Janus doesn't have that, nor the variety of bond fund choices Bill Gross is used to. Right now JUCTX has less than 13 million in assets! I always like when a manager goes big into his own fund.
    Did you hear the high words of praise for Bill Gross coming from Jack Bogle? Pretty amazing coming from Bogle.
    http://www.mutualfundobserver.com/discuss/discussion/15862/vanguard-s-bogle-bill-gross-is-real-deal-video-presentation-how-gross-landed-at-janus#latest
  • The Closing Bell: U.S. Stocks Bounce Back
    FYI: Investors were cautiously stepping in after Thursday's selloff, though volumes were relatively subdued, a sign that some investors were opting for a wait-and-see approach, traders said. On Thursday, the Dow shed 1.5% and the S&P 500 declined 1.6% amid a flurry of concerns.
    Regards,
    Ted
    http://online.wsj.com/articles/u-s-stock-futures-slightly-higher-1411734069#printMode
    Markets At A Glance: http://markets.wsj.com/us
  • Bill Gross Joins Janus Capital
    Instead of starting a new thread, I'll just note here that the biggest mutual fund beneficiary of this (speaking of TODAY only) is Ariel Fund ARGFX. My calculator says it will pick up about 1.4% today on Janus alone. Should gain 2.5% or more on the day which will take it all the way from well below average to downright subpar for the year! Yay!
  • PDI
    Last evening, I had posted that I was looking to add to PDI on a dip. The NAV performance of the fund has been good (I think better than the open-ended version PIMIX) and increases in the discount had represented good buying opportunities. This morning, with the news about Gross, I was anticipating buying PDI on a pullback. However, I have had a chance to rethink this more and am holding off on any buys of PDI. A big reason is that Gross is one of the biggest holders of PDI. I don't know whether he will now liquidate his holdings in PDI but his previous purchases had often acted as a floor on the market prices of PDI.
    According to Yahoo, he holds 1,195,534 shares of PDI
    http://biz.yahoo.com/t/48/5911.html
    According to M*, the largest institutional holder of PDI is Morgan Stanley Smith Barney, with 912,132 shares.
    http://investors.morningstar.com/ownership/shareholders-major.html?t=PDI&region=usa&culture=en-US&ownerCountry=USA
    GLTA
  • Bill Gross Joins Janus Capital
    Just to confirm: the new Gross fund is Unconstrained Bond, not "Global Unconstrained Bond." The Unconstrained Bond fund prospectus contains only one limit on the income-producing securities in which it might invest: no more than 50% of the portfolio may be invested in emerging markets. It is, otherwise, unconstrained and lists loans, international bonds, preferred stock, dividend paying common stock, money markets, junk bonds, derivatives and zero-coupons among its options.
    Gross will lead a new Global Macro division of Janus headquartered in Newport Beach CA, just over a thousand miles distant from the Mile High investment headquarters.
    More soon,
    David
  • Bill Gross Joins Janus Capital
    JUCAX the Class A version of the Janus Unconstrained Bond Fund (Inception: May 2014) carries a 4.75% front load. Can't imagine a typical small investor paying such a load today for any bond fund. There are however several other share classes (likely for institutions, large investors, and retirement plans) that do not carry a load.