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Here's a statement of the obvious: The opinions expressed here are those of the participants, not those of the Mutual Fund Observer. We cannot vouch for the accuracy or appropriateness of any of it, though we do encourage civility and good humor.
  • What You Know About Retirement Investing Is Wrong
    Reply to @MJG: >>>> I have been a long advocate for these workhorse financial tools, and have been surprised at the reluctance of an MFO minority who persistently resist application of these proven tools. Thank you for referencing these noteworthy Monte Carlo simulation programs.<<<<
    I am in a great mood tonight. Found several old historical cemeteries on my off trail hike today. So, this is not meant in a mean spirited tone, albeit it may sound like such. We have been through this before. But what you don't and never will get (can you say inflexible) is some of us have no need whatsoever for Monte Carlo mumbo jumbo. That's because instead of obsessing about retirement probabilities/tools/statistics, etc., we were obsessing with an *insane focus* on the markets and compounding our trading/investment capital to such an extent that all that stuff would be meaningless.
  • Lightyear Capital and Ridgeworth Investments
    Does anyone have opinions/insight regarding Lightyear Capital and/or their acquisition of Ridgeworth Investments. I am not sure how the change from Suntrust will affect Ridgeworth and their stewardship of my investment in SAMBX. Would appreciate any guidance.
  • What You Know About Retirement Investing Is Wrong
    Reply to @bee: Pretty much what we did also. Years prior to retirement divided our expenses into a number of categories so that we could see what was going where; what was essential, and what was discretionary. (Wine consumption was a pretty big number under "discretionary". :-))
    Then ran the same types of numbers you did re potential income sources.
    Then plugged in a whole lot of variables, including many "worst case at worst time" scenarios (foreseeing 2008, as it so happened). This may not be pure "Monte Carlo", but it worked pretty well for us. Couldn't have done it without a spreadsheet, though.
    So far so good- our income, exclusive of any investment gains, still exceeds the outgo. No complaints at all, and now we are able to use good investment income years (like last year) for major projects such as housing maintenance and remodeling.
    I'm probably still too conservative on the investment exposure side, but we do sleep well.
    Right on with "The biggest gift of retirement is the gift of time." Absolutely true!
  • Matthews Asia Webcast Replay
    Thanks for the link, JC. I didn't even know Matthews did webcasts.
    From the MAPIX/MACSX owner's perspective, this may be an interesting inflection point happening now -- MAPIX fading a bit, MACSX picking up -- Indonesia is back to gains after the big selloff.
  • Better than Marketfield?
    Reply to @equalizer: BDMCX returned over 18% for the past year. Only a few other "market-neutral' labeled funds returned over 10% over that time (Whitebox L/S and Causeway Global Absolute).
    So I'm not sure which bucket BDMCX fits into, or whether that is all just semantics. The name of the fund contains the words "long/short". Obviously they are changing up their net exposure if they can capture that much in gains.
  • PRIMECAP Odyssey Aggressive Growth Fund to close to new investors
    http://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1293967/000089418914000157/primecap_497e.htm
    PRIMECAP ODYSSEY FUNDS
    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    SUPPLEMENT DATED JANUARY 13, 2014 TO THE
    PROSPECTUS DATED FEBRUARY 28, 2013
    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    This supplement provides new and additional information that affects information contained in the Prospectus and should be read in conjunction with the Prospectus.
    Effective January 20, 2014, the PRIMECAP Odyssey Aggressive Growth Fund (the “Aggressive Growth Fund” or “Fund”) will be closed to most new investors. PRIMECAP Management Company (“PRIMECAP”), the Fund’s investment advisor, believes that it is in the best interest of the shareholders of the Aggressive Growth Fund to reduce the amount and pace of investments into the Fund. In addition, in most cases you will not be permitted to exchange shares of another PRIMECAP Odyssey Fund into the Aggressive Growth Fund unless you are already a shareholder of the Aggressive Growth Fund.
    You may continue to purchase shares of the Aggressive Growth Fund, or open a new account to do so, only if:
    - You are an existing shareholder of the Aggressive Growth Fund (either directly or through a financial intermediary) and you:
    o Add to your account through the purchase of additional shares;
    o Add to your account through the reinvestment of dividends or capital gain distributions;
    o Open a new account that is registered in your name or has the same taxpayer identification or social security number assigned to it as an existing Fund account (this includes UGMA/UTMA accounts with you as custodian). This applies only to individuals or organizations opening accounts for their own benefit. It does not apply to institutions opening accounts on behalf of their clients, except as follows: institutions that maintain omnibus account arrangements with the Aggressive Growth Fund may purchase shares of the Aggressive Growth Fund in their omnibus accounts for clients who currently own shares of the Aggressive Growth Fund through such accounts.
    - You are a separately managed account client of PRIMECAP.
    - You are a participant in a qualified defined contribution retirement plan (for example, 401(k) plans, profit sharing plans, and money purchase plans), 403(b) plan, or 457 plan that invests through existing accounts in the Fund (each, a “Plan”). A Plan may open new participant accounts within the Plan. IRA transfers and rollovers from a Plan can be used to open new accounts in the Aggressive Growth Fund. PRIMECAP also may selectively allow new retirement plan accounts to invest in the Fund, but it reserves the right without further notice to restrict purchases by retirement plans that did not previously own shares of the Fund.
    - You are a current trustee or officer of the Aggressive Growth Fund, or an employee of PRIMECAP, or a member of the immediate family (spouse or child) of any of these persons.
    - You are a client of an investment advisor that invests client assets in the Funds.
    Once you close an account with the Fund, the Fund will not accept additional investments from you unless you meet one of the specified criteria above. PRIMECAP reserves the right to: (i) make additional exceptions that, in its judgment, do not adversely affect its ability to manage the Aggressive Growth Fund; (ii) reject any investment or refuse any exception, including those detailed above, that it believes will adversely affect its ability to manage the Aggressive Growth Fund; and (iii) close and re-open the Fund to new or existing shareholders at any time. You may be required to demonstrate eligibility to buy shares of the Aggressive Growth Fund before an investment is accepted.
    The PRIMECAP Odyssey Stock Fund and PRIMECAP Odyssey Growth Fund remain open to all investors, and you may purchase shares of those Funds at any time.
    * * * * *
    Please retain this supplement for future reference.
  • The Most Unloved Medalist Funds Of 2013
    "What Can You Do If You Have a Mismatch?
    So how should investors attempt to mend fences if their risk tolerance is fighting with their risk capacity? A couple of ideas come to mind.
    Employing hybrid-type funds as core holdings is one way to help heal the divide, especially for investors with a high risk capacity but below-average risk tolerance. Such investors might seek out investments that are primarily composed of stocks, but hold smaller positions in more conservative securities that help tamp down volatility; that's the approach in play at fine funds such as Vanguard Wellington (VWELX) and T. Rowe Price Capital Appreciation (PRWCX)."
    PRWCX. ABOVE-average volatility, albeit with HIGH returns, as rated by Morningstar. This fund is mentioned in here at Mutual Fund Observer with glowing estimates and recommendations. Is Morningstar simply wrong about its above-average risk profile?
  • Portfolio Review
    PRLAX 4 TRP Latin America ( Sell )
    VFSVX 3 Vanguard FTSE All-Wld ex-US SmCp Idx Inv ( Sell )
    VGXRX 4 Vanguard Global ex-US Rel Est Idx Inv ( Sell )
    TRAMX 6 T. Rowe Price Africa & Middle East ( Sell )
    VEMAX 3 Vanguard Emerging Mkts Stock Idx Adm ( Keep )
    VEUSX 4 Vanguard European Stock Index Adm ( Sell )
    VHDYX 5 Vanguard High Dividend Yield Index Inv ( Sell )
    PRMTX 5 T. Rowe Price Media & Telecommunications ( Sell )
    PRGTX 5 T. Rowe Price Global Technology ( Sell )
    VGSIX 4 Vanguard REIT Index Inv ( Keep )
    PRNEX 8 T. Rowe Price New Era ( Sell )
    PRHSX 9 T. Rowe Price Health Sciences ( Keep )
    PRWCX 4 T. Rowe Price Capital Appreciation ( Keep )
    VWELX 5 Vanguard Wellington Inv ( Sell )
    VGSTX 6 Vanguard STAR Inv ( Keep )
    VWINX 8 Vanguard Wellesley Income Inv ( Keep )
    PRSVX 5 T. Rowe Price Small-Cap Value ( Keep )
    PRFDX 4 T. Rowe Price Equity Income ( Sell )
    VMGMX 4 Vanguard Mid-Cap Growth Index Admiral ( Keep )
    VGAVX 4 Vanguard Emerg Mkts Govt Bd Idx Admiral ( Sell )
    ARTGX ( Add )
    MACSX ( Add )
    PONDX ( Add )
    I would use VGSTX, PRWCX, and VWINX as your core positions around 10-20% each. Use the other funds ( as your risk tolerance allows ) to build yourself a well rounded portfolio. Of course, this is all based on my opinion.
  • Portfolio Review
    Dearjafink63: I really am working against my own interest as a holder of TROW, but let's cut this down to eight funds, with about 12% in each.
    Regards,
    Ted
    PRLAX 4 TRP Latin America- Sell
    VFSVX 3 Vanguard FTSE All-Wld ex-US SmCp Idx Inv-Sell
    VGXRX 4 Vanguard Global ex-US Rel Est Idx Inv-Sell
    TRAMX 6 T. Rowe Price Africa & Middle East-Sell
    VEMAX 3 Vanguard Emerging Mkts Stock Idx Adm- Keep
    VEUSX 4 Vanguard European Stock Index Adm-Keep
    VHDYX 5 Vanguard High Dividend Yield Index Inv-Sell
    PRMTX 5 T. Rowe Price Media & Telecommunications-Sell
    PRGTX 5 T. Rowe Price Global Technology-Keep
    VGSIX 4 Vanguard REIT Index Inv-Sell
    PRNEX 8 T. Rowe Price New Era-Sell
    PRHSX 9 T. Rowe Price Health Sciences- Keep
    PRWCX 4 T. Rowe Price Capital Appreciation-Keep
    VWELX 5 Vanguard Wellington Inv-Keep
    VGSTX 6 Vanguard STAR Inv-Sell
    VWINX 8 Vanguard Wellesley Income Inv-Sell
    PRSVX 5 T. Rowe Price Small-Cap Value-Keep
    PRFDX 4 T. Rowe Price Equity Income-Sell
    VMGMX 4 Vanguard Mid-Cap Growth Index Admiral-Keep
    VGAVX 4 Vanguard Emerg Mkts Govt Bd Idx Admiral-Sell
  • Portfolio Review
    I lurked on Fund Alarm and visit MFO a couple of times a week. All of our mutual funds are between Vanguard and TRP. The only which is not in our Roth IRA is the Star fund as I use this for a savings account because CD's don't pay much. My wife and I are both 51 and contribute the max amount to the IRA's each year by Dollar Cost Averaging. We both contribute to 401K up to match. I'm retired from the Air Force so I receive a pension check each month and we both work full time. Our portfolio returned 7.72% in 2013 and I do all my own investing. When the market turned down in 2008 and later, I continued to invest in these funds and had I think in my view a good end of year reinvestment for 2013 for St & Lt Cap gains and dividends.
    Looking for feedback and possible changes that I could make on my own to increase growth. According to different retirement calculators, I am on the right path to ensuring I have money when it comes to retirement age, whenever that may be. The numbers represented is the percentage of the portfolio where the money is allocated.
    Kind Regards John.
    PRLAX 4 TRP Latin America
    VFSVX 3 Vanguard FTSE All-Wld ex-US SmCp Idx Inv
    VGXRX 4 Vanguard Global ex-US Rel Est Idx Inv
    TRAMX 6 T. Rowe Price Africa & Middle East
    VEMAX 3 Vanguard Emerging Mkts Stock Idx Adm
    VEUSX 4 Vanguard European Stock Index Adm
    VHDYX 5 Vanguard High Dividend Yield Index Inv
    PRMTX 5 T. Rowe Price Media & Telecommunications
    PRGTX 5 T. Rowe Price Global Technology
    VGSIX 4 Vanguard REIT Index Inv
    PRNEX 8 T. Rowe Price New Era
    PRHSX 9 T. Rowe Price Health Sciences
    PRWCX 4 T. Rowe Price Capital Appreciation
    VWELX 5 Vanguard Wellington Inv
    VGSTX 6 Vanguard STAR Inv
    VWINX 8 Vanguard Wellesley Income Inv
    PRSVX 5 T. Rowe Price Small-Cap Value
    PRFDX 4 T. Rowe Price Equity Income
    VMGMX 4 Vanguard Mid-Cap Growth Index Admiral
    VGAVX 4 Vanguard Emerg Mkts Govt Bd Idx Admiral
  • Three 100% + Gainers Already In 2014: Can You Say Healthcare & Biotech
    Reply to @JohnChisum: That was the point I was trying to make. Performance chasing with these kinds of headlines never end well. Even people who use TA would never pile on with such a runup because the risk/reward is not compelling.
    Also unless one times the bottom and top perfectly with buy and sell, nobody realizes these kinds of gains. A very similar thing happened with BioTech and Airline sector last year but the realized gains would have been much less. It is usually too late to get in by the time these kinds of headlines come out.
    Either one has to develop the type of intuitive/seat-of-the-pants investing Ted seems to do or rely on some technicals to detect trends early enough to get in and have an exit plan. Getting in with headlines like this with no exit plan is a recipe for disaster regardless of what might happen to these sectors going forward.
  • Harbor Global Value Fund to liquidate
    http://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/793769/000119312514007952/d659044d497.htm
    497 1 d659044d497.htm HARBOR FUNDS
    Harbor International & Global Funds
    Supplement to Prospectus dated March 1, 2013
    Harbor Global Value Fund
    Harbor Funds’ Board of Trustees has determined to liquidate and dissolve Harbor Global Value Fund. The liquidation of the Fund is expected to occur on February 28, 2014. The liquidation proceeds will be distributed to any remaining shareholders of the Fund on the liquidation date.
    Shareholders may exchange shares into another Harbor fund, or redeem shares out of the Fund, in accordance with Harbor’s exchange and redemption policies as set forth in the Fund’s prospectus, until the date of the Fund’s liquidation.
    In order to ready the Fund for liquidation, the Fund’s portfolio of investments will be transitioned prior to the planned liquidation date to one that consists of all or substantially all cash, cash equivalents and debt securities with remaining maturities of less than one year. As a result, shareholders should no longer expect that the Fund will seek to achieve its investment objective of long-term growth of capital.
    Because the Fund will be liquidating, the Fund is now closed to new investors. The Fund will no longer accept additional investments from existing shareholders beginning on February 14, 2014.
    January 10, 2014
  • FPRAX Tanks
    The fund made a capital gains distribution of $4.97 a share. Assuming that you have your account set to reinvest dividends and capital gains distributions, that money immediately went to buy more shares of the fund for your account at the new, lower price. The distribution did not decrease the value of your account but it did, likely, increase your 2014 federal tax bill.
    This is an unusually large distribution reflecting the fact, which we reported on in fall, that the fund is being repositioned from a "quality growth" fund under its old managers to an "absolute value" one under the new guys.
    As ever,
    David
  • Fund Focus: Osterweis Strategic Income Fund
    BobC summed it up best "cautious, conserative, capital preservation mandate" Seems the manager likes to be where the action is but in a very conservative way. It's now primarily a *short* term high yield bond fund, before that it was listed as a multi-sector bond fund and before that in the convertible category. It's rarely a star performer in its particular category, but overall, a real steady eddie of a bond fund.
  • Heads up: Vanguard brokerage accounting seems broken
    CMAN, thanks for the heads up. In my account, a 12/31/2013 short term capital gain was misidentified as a dividend with a 01/02/2014 settlement date. It was corrected as a STCG with a 01/07/2014 settlement date so no problem as dollar amounts were equal and I don't reinvest. MourningStars gave good advise, call Vanguard and verify the transactions. They will adjust your account if necessary.
  • Is there a Natural Resource Mutual Fund that focuses on dividends?
    Reply to @Ted:
    Ted thank you very much - that is exactly what I'm looking for.
    Where do you research for such funds? For example, I posted a similar question about Health Fund that focuses on dividends and would like to do the research if I could.
    PS - I think we are in for a period of moderating stock market increases so I would like to get a little income even at the chance of lower capital gains.
  • Is there a Natural Resource Mutual Fund that focuses on dividends?
    Hi Dex (oops). Great question. At first blush, it would seem a contradiction. Natural resource companies (and funds) rely greatly on price appreciation of materials along with capital appreciation of the infrastructure to produce them. They do best in inflationary environments. My guess is that most industries paying high dividends do best under slower economic growth and low or stable interest rates. Utilities is a prime example.
    Now, a "growth and income" fund might come close to what you're looking for. And, of course, the fund brew-masters are always ready and willing to mix up and sell a new concoction. So, who knows? Maybe there is a natural resources fund that also focuses on dividends. Regards
  • Heads up: Vanguard brokerage accounting seems broken
    After looking at it closely, the problem seems to be in funds that had a reinvestment date of 12/31/2013. Distributions are either unaccounted for or reclassified between short term and long term capital gains multiple times with varying NAVs used for reinvestment.
    If you have a taxable account, I would also check the tax statement later on for correct reporting.
  • Fund Focus: Osterweis Strategic Income Fund
    We had used the sister fund, OSTFX, for some time when Strategic Income was introduced. Almost without hesitation, after a due diligence review, we began using OSTIX and have been consistently happy with how Carl Kaufman (and later, Simon Lee) has run the fund. Cautious, conservative, capital preservation mandate. M* recently moved it from multi-sector bond, where it had been for a long time, to the high yield group. Of course, had M* done any real digging, they would know that the fund can invest anywhere in the fixed-income market, and have done so over the history of the fund. With the switch in asset classes, the fund went from 5* to 2*. Maybe there is a bright side to this lower rating. Perhaps it will mean slower asset growth, which is not bad from our viewpoint. Anyone who passes this gem up because of M* gaffe and a 2* rating is missing out on a great opportunity. Osterweis Capital Management is one of the very best fund companies in terms of service and careful stewardship of investor dollars.
  • Do Money-Market Funds Still Make Sense ?
    Remember a time when one would think about whether one wanted to be in a tax-free MM fund or taxable! Seems like another world altogether when MM funds generated interest worth worrying about.
    Now, it is just a parking place for currently uninvested cash that is assumed to earn nothing. I don't even bother with CDs or trying to ladder them to extract that additional .1%. The annual gains from that is far less than the daily portfolio movements to think it makes a difference.