Do Gurus Follow Their Own Advice? (w/a note on Snowball's portfolio) You're exactly write about reading my profiles: these are not recommendations for anyone to buy a particular fund nor a signal that I'm buying them. Most profiles close with either a statement of skepticism or a recommendation to for a particular type of investor ('folks looking for a conservative core holding") add it to their due-diligence list. Whenever I own, or intend to purchase, a fund, I try to flag that fact.
For what interest it holds, I've got three portfolios: very conservative (which we have in lieu of a savings account), moderately conservative (my non-retirement holdings) and moderately aggressive (my 403b and Roth). In general, the very conservative funds avoid equities and the moderately conservative ones have mandates which give their managers some flexibility about where to invest. Only about 5% of the very conservative portfolio is investing in stocks, which about 40% of the moderately conservative one is. That latter estimate changes as the managers shift their equity allocations, of course.
Here are the funds in the first two, in order of their weight in the portfolio:
Very conservative (up about 3.5% YTD):
T. Rowe Price Spectrum Income (RPSIX), a fund of funds with low expenses and about a 15% equity stake
Hussman Strategic Total Return (HSTRX), increasingly a bear market fund given H's performance on down-market days
Bank savings account, mostly a holding pen of sorts.
RiverPark Short Term High-Yield (RPHYX), a particularly low volatility fund which I'm test driving as a cash-management alternative
Moderately conservative (down about 3.5% YTD):
T. Rowe Price Spectrum Income (RPSIX), see above
Leuthold Global (GLBLX), marketed as "Leuthold Core goes global," this is a quant-driven, fairly pricey fund that can invest anywhere, in pretty much anything, long or short. Its been about the strongest of the Leuthold stable since launch.
Matthews Asian Growth & Income (MACSX), a singularly low-volatility way to invest in Asian markets, occasionally invests heavily in convertible securities
FPA Crescent (FPACX): another go-anywhere fund whose manager scours a corporation's finances to determine where (if at all) to invest, from their stocks and bonds to convertibles and loans.
Artisan International Value (ARTKX): solid, large-cap GARPy, from the folks who also manage Artisan Global Value
Artisan Small Cap Value (ARTVX), my oldest holding and one that has thrived in an array of markets.
RiverPark Short-Term High Yield (RPHYX), my newest and smallest holding, also above.
I've profiled about 120 funds for FundAlarm and/or the Observer. Of those, I have non-retirement investments in Leuthold Global, RiverPark Short-Term High Yield, Hussman Strategic Total Return, and Matthews Asian Growth & Income. I had a small investment in Utopia Core, which crashed and liquidated.
Getting into my portfolio is durned difficult, because I'm not interested in expanding the number of funds I own (dilutes performance, complicates record-keeping) so there needs to be an open spot. That results if (1) a current holding implodes (Utopia Core, sigh), (2) a new opportunity set emerges (the called HY bonds are an example, but master limited partnerships or e.m. local currency debt would also qualify), (3) a manager I own launches a new, more-interesting fund (I'm on the bubble about Artisan International Value versus Artisan Global Value) or (4) my needs - and hence my target asset allocation - change.
For those with high cash levels, when will you start to buy? I always have a bottom line number and when it gets approached I have to bail even though I own mostly conservative, balanced and flexible portfolio funds. The day of the first 5% rebound following the first 5% drop I sold about 50% of my fund investments. I did not sell any shares of PRPFX, RNDLX, DBLTX, VWINX, GLRBX, WEFIX. Totally agree with Louise Yamada "would rather be out of the market wishing I was in that in the market wishing I was out" (thanks Catch).
Holding a lot of cash in Vanguard MM but have moved some into RPHYX which I'm watching carefully and increased positions in RNDLX, DBLTX and added HSTRX for now.
RiverPark Short-Term High Yield update 1, major insider buying Thanks for the update on RPHYX. There's a lot of interest in it right here.
BTW, I am so glad you brought RNDLX to my attention, it's holding up better than any other fund I own.
RiverPark Short-Term High Yield update 1, major insider buying David Sherman purchased [a huge number of] additional shares of
RPHYX after Monday's rout. He seems in pretty good spirits and we're scheduled to talk Thursday morning about the market and his corner of it. (An earlier version of this note specified an amount and he seemed a bit embarrassed by the public disclosure so I've shifted to the demure but accurate 'huge number' construction.]
The fund's down a bit more than a half percent since making its monthly distribution (which accounts for most of its NAV changes). For those keeping score, since August 1,
RPHYX is down 0.7%, Fidelity Floating Rate High Income (a floating-rate loan fund that some funds here guessed would parallel RiverPark) is down 3.7%, their new Global High-Income fund is down 5% and Fidelity High Income is down 6%.
Mr. Sherman's reflections of the fund's positioning appears in update 2. My original profile of the fund is
http://www.mutualfundobserver.com/article.php?article=riverpark-short-term-high-yield-fund-rphyx-july-2011
observations from an ugly day in the market (08/03/11) Couldn't quite manage a "top ten" list but . . .
1. Birds of a feather fell together: A number of fund families clustered at the top (or bottom) of the one-day returns. The Fairholme's suffered across the board – Fairholme Allocation (FAAFX) and Fairholme Focused Income (FOCIX) were at the bottoms of their respective peer groups while Fairholme (FAIRX) was merely "well below average." Likewise with Templeton's global bond lineup (Global Bond, International Bond, Global Total Return) and the Driehaus income funds (Active Income and Select Credit) were uniformly trashed.
2. On the flip side, Hussman Strategic Total Return (HSTRX), Strategic Growth (HSGFX) and Strategic International (HSIEX) all topped their respective groups.
3. Mr. Gundlach & co. had a string of strong performances with DoubleLine Emerging Markets Fixed Income (DBLEX), RiverNorth Doubleline Strategic Income (RNSIX), and ASTON/DoubleLine Core Plus Fixed Income (ADLIX) all posting top 10 results. All of the DoubleLine funds (include Core Fixed Income, Total Return and Multi-Asset Growth) were in the black, with gains of 0.35 - 0.70%.
4. RiverPark Short Term High Yield (RPHYX) ignored the market again. NAV dropped a penny (0.1%), which is a fairly common fluctuation for the fund. It finished in the top 10 high yield funds.
5. Eric Cinnamond's Aston / River Road Independent Value (ARIVX) was one of the top five small-value funds, along with cash-heavy Pinnacle Value (PVFIX), Queens Road Small Cap Value (QRSVX) and his former fund, Intrepid Small Cap (ICMAX). The Observer has profiled all of them as solid, conservative choices.
6. Frontier markets paid less attention to the turmoil than did emerging markets. Of the 10 best-performing emerging markets funds, eight were explicitly "frontier" funds or e.m. small caps.
7. Matthews dominated Asia: almost all of the Matthews funds finished in the top ten. Those include Asia Dividend, Asia Growth, Asian Growth & Income, Asia Small Companies, India, Pacific Tiger and Japan. Of them all, Asia Dividend had the smallest loss, down 0.55% They also represent three of the 10 best international funds of any variety.
8. Fidelity Leveraged Company Stock (FLVCX) reminded me of why its investors rarely make money; the fund dropped over 4% for one of the day's worst showings.
9. I don't know what the First Trust Value Line Target 25 (no ticker) is supposed to do, but I'm betting that dropping 7% in a day – the worst performance of any unleveraged fund and the second worst among all funds – won't help it.
for August: Grandeur Peak plans, RiverPark answers, ARIVX inflows, a tepid T Rowe, and Marathon Thanks for update to RiverPark Short Term High Yield (
RPHYX).
Took a position in this unusual fund after being introduced here,
NAV continues to be extremely stable while (theoretically) avoiding
most interest rate risk and credit risk. Practice may vary from theory,
see triple-A securitizations eventuating in half the global debt issuance
being riskless AAA followed by misplaced shirts. Global debt issuance is
again over half riskless triple-A, sovereign. To avoid misplacement a strait-jacket
that buckles in the back and keeps hands off keyboard is recommended.
http://seekingalpha.com/article/279674-the-horrifying-aaa-debt-issuance-charthttp://www.pimco.com/EN/Insights/Pages/Kings-of-the-Wild-Frontier.aspxRiverNorth Doubleline Strategic Inc (RNSIX) continues to do well with both
yield and probably from the closed end fund sleeve, gains.
Riverpark short term high yield fund (RPHYX) looks like a great place to park money. Hi, guys.
In pursuit of answers to your questions, I spoke again by the RiverPark folks. Morty Schaja, the president, made several worthwhile points which mostly accorded with my own understanding:
1. Cohanzick had no stand-alone accounts using this strategy in 2008
2. Cohanzick did use this strategy in 2008 as an element of other accounts and these bonds "performed exceedingly well."
3. Cohanzick does not resell the bonds it buys, it holds them until they're bought back. As a result, a "market freeze" as in 2008 is largely irrelevant to them since they have a guaranteed buyer.
4. A "market freeze" would, however, temporarily decrease the fund's NAV since pricing of the bonds would become difficult. For buyers who held their shares, though, the NAV would rebound quickly because of the exceedingly short time that the "impaired" bonds would remain in the portfolio.
5. If the fund saw net purchases in such a crisis, the fund could "realize unusually and unsustainable significantly higher returns" as it snapped up other mispriced bonds. David Sherman, the manager, reported during our interview that the fund generates $600,000/month in cash on its $20 million in holdings; he believes that cash flow alone would be enough to cover redemptions in most scenarios.
6. The fund's risk profile should be better than a floating-rate funds because the average duration is much shorter and the managers won't buy securities unless they believe the issuer will have the money - often 30 days hence - to complete repurchase.
By way of a side observation, RPHYX's NAV was unchanged after Monday's market panic, sparked by debt issues in Europe.
For what it's worth,
David
Riverpark short term high yield fund (RPHYX) looks like a great place to park money. mobryon,
I have no doubt that RPHYX is different from all the other junk bond funds in buying only called bonds with an average of 30 days until the call date where there is cash on the corporate balance sheet to redeem. Before the OP randolf "parks" money in such a strategy, it might be helpful to ask, "what could possibly go wrong?" In a liquidity crunch when LIBOR spikes and lines of credit are being suddenly withdrawn, the cash on hand might not be sufficient for redemption, yet the bonds have been called. This would not be good.
You mention LCMAX, and KC Nelson is a very clever manager, however this fund has a bit of beta to the equity markets as he hedges out interest rate risk but not credit risk. My choices to "park" money that fared pretty well in 2008 would be SNGVX and, if available, DFIHX.
Riverpark short term high yield fund (RPHYX) looks like a great place to park money. RPHYX is very interesting and appears to be fairly low-risk fund with steady returns. However, whenever there is a "free lunch" inherent in a strategy, a black swan lurks close by. This fund was started after the liquidity crunch of Q3 & 4 of 2008. Are there partnership returns for this strategy that would indicate how well it held up when everything else was crumbling?
Riverpark short term high yield fund (RPHYX) looks like a great place to park money. Riverpark short term high yield fund (RPHYX) looks like a great place to park money.