Howdy, Stranger!

It looks like you're new here. If you want to get involved, click one of these buttons!

Here's a statement of the obvious: The opinions expressed here are those of the participants, not those of the Mutual Fund Observer. We cannot vouch for the accuracy or appropriateness of any of it, though we do encourage civility and good humor.
  • World Allocation Fund With Low Risk
    Over at M* boards, CCAPX (Chiron Capital Allocation) has been topic of conversation - newer World Allocation fund that has done fine in its very short life. Its on my watchlist.
  • M*: An Outstanding Large-Cap Fund For Patient Investors: (DODGX)
    "Huh? Gosh, the three ]LCV funds] I moved to long ago from DODGX (before placing everything LCV in DSEEX): PRBLX. YACKX, and TWEIX."
    What is long ago? DODGX was in the top quintile for 2009 and top fiftieth (second percentile) in 2011 and 2012. D&C funds often go through multi year funks and multi year spurts. 2008 is an important benchmark, as is 2015 for value funds. (By that latter metric, DSEEX looks good, at least so far.)
    If one wants a smooth ride, shorter term, D&C funds are not the way to go. M* seemed to agree, saying that DODGX had enviable long term results. But (assuming that the long term market trend is upward) there is a problem with long term investors placing too much emphasis on the down years.
    For example, one investor here five years ago almost to the day (Aug 2012) wrote about another D&C fund (DODBX):
    "it certainly seems to have improved, but (recent, tempting) past performance does not etc. I cannot imagine why anyone would automatically prefer it now over Oakbx, Glrbx, and even AOR / AOM, my two 'new' favorite ETFs. "
    Here's the five year chart comparing these five funds.
    (Data per M* as of 7/17/17) Growth of $10K:
    DODBX: $18,358.73
    OAKBX: $15,848.45
    AOR: $14,959.24
    AOM: $13,422.89
    GLRBX: $13,366.85
    Now I'm not suggesting that one compare any of these funds with the S&P 500 (or S&P 1500); they're a different type of fund and the comparison wouldn't be meaningful. Likewise, I wouldn't go comparing value funds with blend (e.g. SPY) or growth funds, especially over the past decade when growth had a decided advantage. Heck, if I were to do that I'd just dump everything into a growth fund - even the average (median) LCG fund (NMFAX) returned 7.48% over the past decade, beating the S&P 500.
    D&C, like many peers (and also unlike many other peers) completely blew 2008, getting caught in a value trap - continuing to hold on the way down. The questions are: how likely is another 2008, has D&C modified its investment process since then, is short term (e.g. 2015) or even prolonged underperformance acceptable in exchange for longer term gains? Different people have different answers.
  • Q&A With Dennis Gartman, Editor, The Gartman Letter
    FYI: Dennis Gartman is the man behind The Gartman Letter, a daily newsletter discussing global capital markets. For almost 30 years, The Gartman Letter has tackled the political, economic and social trends shaping the world's markets. ETF.com recently caught up with Gartman to discuss the latest developments in the financial markets.
    Regards,
    Ted
    http://www.etf.com/sections/features-and-news/gartmans-favorite-trades-right-now?nopaging=1
  • SFGIX Underperformance
    I have no reason to believe Foster has suddenly taken dumb pills. He has ably managed dollars for my clients and me for about 10 years, first at MAPIX and with SIGIX since he started that fund. I frankly do not care if the fund under-performs during an EM bull market. It is up about 12% year to-date. I'll gladly take that. The way bigger test for me is when EM is struggling, as they did in 2013, 2014, 2015, and even 2016 to some extent. In those years, SIGIX came through as I expected it would. If you bought SIGIX for outsized gains during EM bull markets, you bought the wrong fund. That is not how the fund is run. While I am sure Andy would like to be at the top this year, and that he is frustrated to be near the bottom, that does not bother me one bit.
  • John Waggoner: A Shares Live On, Despite Some Hefty Upfront Sales Charges
    Hi @Derf,
    Not all the nav transfers were in retiremnt accounts as ira accounts were not available (I believe) until sometime in the 80's. And, I started investing during my early teenage years around 1960. Therefore, some nav transfers were subject to capital gain taxation on profits.
    Skeet
  • SFGIX Underperformance

    I don't give a hoot about meeting any particular performance benchmark but my own.
    If a fund I hold gains 16% and everyone else gains 25% in a given year, I am not worried; it's still a very solid rate of return imho. Conversely, if a given fund loses significantly less than everyone else, I will chalk that up as a 'win' for the year, as it shows some concern over downside risks and/or good allocations.
    And besides, one year does not matter if you're a long-term fund investor. Unless you're in a bubble, not everything moves equally and in the same direction at all times.
  • Periodic Table: Annual Asset Class Returns: 2003-YTD
    FYI: The chart below shows several issues investors struggle with all the time. It’s difficult to pick the best performing investment year after year, yet for many investors, it’s an annual event. They look for an encore, picking the best asset class last year with the hope of a repeat performance. Yet, betting on last year’s winner rarely works out.
    Assets at the top of the chart one year could be at the bottom the next, and vice versa. Much of this is due to reversion to the mean. But over the long-term, those big swings even out. The chart shows annual returns for eight asset classes against a diversified portfolio. Diversification works to smooth out those big swings in the short-term. While you’ll never get the biggest gains of any year, you avoid the huge losses.
    The table below ranks the best to worst investment returns by asset class over the past 15 years. Hover over the table to highlight the asset class returns.
    Regards,
    Ted
    https://novelinvestor.com/asset-class-returns/
  • M*: Fund Focus: American Funds Capital Income Builder
    FYI: Silver-rated American Funds Capital Income Builder delivers an above-average and rising income stream without neglecting total return.
    Regards,
    Ted
    http://news.morningstar.com/articlenet/article.aspx?id=814636
    Lipper Snapshot CAIBX:
    http://www.marketwatch.com/investing/fund/caibx
    CAIBX Ranks #12 In The (WA) Fund Category By U.S. News & World Report:
    http://money.usnews.com/funds/mutual-funds/world-allocation/american-funds-capital-income-bldr/caibx
  • Clouds Are Forming Over The Bond Market
    FYI: The bond market is flashing warning signals that bad times may be ahead for the stock market and the economy.
    That is probably not what most people want to hear — stock investors especially. In the first half of the year, after all, stocks have performed spectacularly. The Standard & Poor’s 500-stock index returned 9 percent through June, churning out gains so regularly that it may seem churlish to note that clouds are appearing on the horizon.
    Yet like a long-range forecast about a possible storm, an old and trusted financial indicator is telling us that trouble may be looming.
    Regards,
    Ted
    https://www.nytimes.com/2017/06/30/your-money/clouds-are-forming-over-the-bond-market.html
  • Muni bonds in troubles?
    Hi,
    I most likely will add to my single state muni fund (FMTNX) when the US 10 Year reaches a yield of 2.5%, or thereabouts, with current yield at about 2.3%. Remember, generally bond prices fall as their yield rises. I hold this fund as part of my infrastructure theme along with PGUAX since muni bonds fund a lot of local government infrastructure projects. Plus, the fund is both state and federal tax exempt, for me, unless it has capital gains to disburse.
  • Bruce Berkowitz’ Bets Big On Sears, Fannie Mae, And Freddie Mac
    @Shostakovich,
    Actually when I look at the old portfolios and annual reports I see the fund was then a truly all-cap fund with a few large companies like--Berkshire Hathaway--to some tiny companies like Gladstone Capital and Wlitel Communications and a number of mid-sized ones too. Here's an excerpt from the 2003 semi-annual report:
    We continue to act with the knowledge that the golden rule of investing is: Don't Lose. And the best way we know to follow that rule is to buy parts of good businesses run by exceptional people at the right price. We are continually on the search to find the next Warren Buffett and Charlie Munger, Joe Steinberg and Ian Cumming, Jack Byrne - the next business thoroughbreds. While our search goes on, we will continue to buy more of what we know and understand best, subject only to paying the right price and the position limits imposed on the Fund by law.
    https://sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1096344/000109380103000886/ncsr-703.txt
    Even in the case of large companies it did own back then, I don't know how you go from buying a company like Berkshire Hathaway, which has long had a balance sheet like Fort Knox, to AIG and Fannie Mae.
  • Grand Prix Investors Fund to liquidate
    https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1496315/000116204417000567/grandprixfundsupplement.htm
    497 1 grandprixfundsupplement.htm
    GRAND PRIX INVESTORS TRUST
    (the “Trust”)
    566 West Lancaster Blvd., Suite #1
    Lancaster, CA 93534
    GRAND PRIX INVESTORS FUND
    Supplement dated June 29, 2017 to the Grand Prix Investors Fund’s Prospectus, Summary Prospectus and Statement of Additional Information, each dated December 1, 2017
    ______________________________________________________________________
    The Board of Trustees of Grand Prix Investors Trust (the “Trust”) has determined that it is in the best interests of the Grand Prix Investors Fund (the “Fund”) and its shareholders to close the Fund effective July 28, 2017 (“Liquidation Date”).
    Effective immediately, the Grand Prix Investors Fund will not accept any new investments, and will no longer pursue its stated investment objective. The Grand Prix Investors Fund will begin liquidating its portfolio and will invest in cash equivalents until all shares have been redeemed. Any capital gains will be distributed as soon as practicable to shareholders and reinvested in additional shares, unless you have previously requested payment in cash. Shares of the Fund are otherwise not available for purchase.
    Accordingly, the prospectus has been amended:
    References to Grand Prix Investors Fund. All references to the Fund in the Trust’s Registration Statement are deleted effective as of June 29, 2017.
    Suspension of Sales. Effective immediately, the Fund will no longer accept orders to buy shares of the Fund from any new investors or existing shareholders.
    Prior to July 28, 2017, you may redeem your investment in the Fund, including reinvested distributions, in accordance with the “How to Redeem Shares” section in the Prospectus. Unless your investment in the Fund is through a tax-deferred retirement account, a redemption is subject to tax on any taxable gains. Please refer to the “Tax Status, Dividends and Distributions” section in the Prospectus for general information. You may wish to consult your tax advisor about your particular situation.
    ANY SHAREHOLDERS WHO HAVE NOT EXCHANGED OR REDEEMED THEIR SHARES OF THE GRAND PRIX INVESTORS FUND PRIOR TO JULY 28, 2017 WILL HAVE THEIR SHARES AUTOMATICALLY REDEEMED AS OF THAT DATE, AND PROCEEDS WILL BE SENT TO THE ADDRESS OF RECORD. If you have questions or need assistance, please contact your financial advisor or the Fund at 1‐800‐453-6556.
    IMPORTANT INFORMATION FOR RETIREMENT PLAN INVESTORS
    If you are a retirement plan investor, you should consult your tax advisor regarding the consequences of a redemption of Fund shares. If you receive a distribution from an Individual Retirement Account or a Simplified Employee Pension (SEP) IRA, you must roll the proceeds into another Individual Retirement Account within sixty (60) days of the date of the distribution in order to avoid having to include the distribution in your taxable income for the year. If you receive a distribution from a 403(b)(7) Custodian Account (Tax-Sheltered account) or a Keogh Account, you must roll the distribution into a similar type of retirement plan within sixty (60) days in order to avoid disqualification of your plan and the severe tax consequences that it can bring. If you are the trustee of a Qualified Retirement Plan, you may reinvest the money in any way permitted by the plan and trust agreement.
    You should read this Supplement in conjunction with the Prospectus and Statement of Additional Information dated December 1, 2016, which provides information that you should know about the Grand Prix Investors Fund, and should be retained for future reference. These documents are available upon request and without charge by calling the Fund at 1‐ 800‐453-6556.
    ______________________________________________________________________
    PLEASE RETAIN THIS SUPPLEMENT FOR FUTURE REFERENCE
    #
  • U.S. Housing Stocks May Rally As Millennials Age:
    FYI: Stocks of large U.S. home builders and building materials companies are poised to rise as millennials age and need housing, according to Bill Smead, the chief executive of Smead Capital Management.
    Regards,
    Ted
    http://www.reuters.com/article/us-smeadcapital-housing-idUSKBN19J2JX?il=0
    M* Snapshot SMVLX:
    http://www.morningstar.com/funds/XNAS/SMVLX/quote.html
    Lipper Snapshot SMVLX:
    http://www.marketwatch.com/investing/fund/smvlx
    SMVLX Is Unranked In The (LCB) Fund Catrgory By U.S. Nesws & World Report:
    http://money.usnews.com/funds/mutual-funds/large-blend/smead-value-fund/smvlx
  • Arrow Commodity Strategy Fund to liquidate
    https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1527428/000158064217003629/arrowcommodity_497e.htm
    497 1 arrowcommodity_497e.htm 497
    ARROW COMMODITY STRATEGY FUND
    CLASS A SHARES: CSFFX
    CLASS C SHARES: CSFTX
    INSTITUTIONAL CLASS SHARES: CSFNX
    (a series of Arrow Investments Trust)
    Supplement dated June 27, 2017 to
    the Summary Prospectus, Prospectus and Statement of Additional Information dated December 1, 2016
    The Board of Trustees of Arrow Investments Trust (the “Board”) has determined, based on the recommendation of the Fund’s adviser, that, with respect to the Arrow Commodity Strategy Fund (the “Fund”), a series of the Arrow Investments Trust, it is in the best interests of the Fund and its shareholders that the Fund cease operations. The Board has determined to close the Fund and redeem all outstanding shares on July 28, 2017.
    Effective June 28, 2017, the Fund will not accept any purchases and will no longer pursue its stated investment objective. The Fund may begin liquidating its portfolio and may invest in cash equivalents such as money market funds until all shares have been redeemed. Any capital gains will be distributed as soon as practicable to shareholders. Shares of the Fund are otherwise not available for purchase.
    After June 28, 2017 and prior to July 28, 2017, you may redeem your shares, including reinvested distributions, in accordance with the “How to Redeem Shares” section in the Prospectus. No redemption fee or contingent deferred sales load will be charged on any redemption or exchange. Unless your investment in the Fund is through a tax-deferred retirement account, a redemption is subject to tax on any taxable gains. Please refer to the “Tax Status, Dividends and Distributions” section in the Prospectus for general information. You may wish to consult your tax advisor about your particular situation.
    Arrow Investment Advisors, LLC, the Fund’s investment adviser, serves as investment adviser to several other mutual funds in the Trust. As discussed in the Fund’s prospectus, you may exchange your Fund shares for shares of the same Class of another fund in the fund complex advised by Arrow Investment Advisors, LLC (an “Arrow Fund”). Exchanges are made at net asset value. Except as stated herein, exchanges are subject to the terms applicable to purchases of an Arrow Fund’s shares as set forth in the applicable fund’s prospectus. An exchange of Fund shares to another Arrow Fund will be treated as a sale for federal income tax purposes.
    ANY SHAREHOLDERS WHO HAVE NOT REDEEMED THEIR SHARES OF THE FUND PRIOR TO JULY 28, 2017 WILL HAVE THEIR SHARES AUTOMATICALLY REDEEMED AS OF THAT DATE, AND PROCEEDS WILL BE SENT TO THE ADDRESS OF RECORD. IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS OR NEED ASSISTANCE, PLEASE CONTACT YOUR FINANCIAL ADVISOR DIRECTLY OR THE FUNDS AT 1-877-277-6933.
    IMPORTANT INFORMATION FOR RETIREMENT PLAN INVESTORS
    If you are a retirement plan investor, you should consult your tax advisor regarding the consequences of a redemption of Fund shares. If you receive a distribution from an Individual Retirement Account or a Simplified Employee Pension (SEP) IRA, you must roll the proceeds into another Individual Retirement Account within sixty (60) days of the date of the distribution in order to avoid having to include the distribution in your taxable income for the year. If you receive a distribution from a 403(b)(7) Custodian Account (Tax-Sheltered account) or a Keogh Account, you must roll the distribution into a similar type of retirement plan within sixty (60) days in order to avoid disqualification of your plan and the severe tax consequences that it can bring. If you are the trustee of a Qualified Retirement Plan, you may reinvest the money in any way permitted by the plan and trust agreement.
    This Supplement and the existing Summary Prospectus, Prospectus, and Statement of Additional Information dated December 1, 2016, provide relevant information for all shareholders and should be retained for future reference. The Summary Prospectus, Prospectus, and Statement of Additional Information dated December 1, 2016, have been filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission, are incorporated by reference and can be obtained without charge by calling the Fund at 1-877-277-6933.
  • New Century Portfolios to liquidate
    What a shame to see these go. A mere 1.96% ER gets you this portfolio of 32 MFs & ETFs (in the Capital Portfolio):
    http://portfolios.morningstar.com/fund/holdings?t=NCCPX&region=usa&culture=en-US
  • New Century Portfolios to liquidate
    New Century Capital Portfolio
    New Century Balanced Portfolio
    New Century International Portfolio
    New Century Alternative Strategies Portfolio
    https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/838802/000139834417007945/fp0026390_497.htm
    497 1 fp0026390_497.htm NEW CENTURY PORTFOLIOS - 497E
    Filed Pursuant to Rule 497(e)
    1933 Act File No. 33-24041
    1940 Act File No. 811-5646
    NEW CENTURY PORTFOLIOS
    (the “Trust”)
    Supplement dated June 26, 2017 to the Trust’s
    Prospectus and Statement of Additional Information, each dated March 1, 2017
    On June 15, 2017, the Board of Trustees (the “Board”) of the Trust, based upon the recommendation of Weston Financial Group, Inc. (the “Adviser”), the investment adviser to the Trust, and having considered the interests of the shareholders of the Trust, voted to recommend that the shareholders adopt an Agreement and Plan of Liquidation (the “Plan”) to close and liquidate the Trust. The Board concluded that it would be in the best interest of the Trust and its shareholders that the Trust be closed and liquidated effective as of the close of business on September 29, 2017. The Trust has called a special meeting of shareholders to be held in the offices of the Trust at 10:00 a.m. EST on Tuesday, August 22, 2017, to vote on the proposed Plan.
    The Board recommends approval of the proposed Plan, which determines the manner in which the Trust will be liquidated. Pursuant to the Plan and in anticipation of the Trust’s liquidation, the Trust will be closed to new purchases effective as of the close of business on June 30, 2017. However, (i) any dividends or distributions declared to shareholders of the Trust after June 30, 2017, and until the close of trading on the New York Stock Exchange on September 29, 2017 will be automatically reinvested in additional shares of the Trust unless a shareholder has requested that such distributions be paid in cash, and (ii) investments received from existing Automatic Investment Programs (an “AIP”) will be accepted by the Trust through September 1, 2017. If the Plan is approved at the special shareholders meeting, shareholders with an AIP should arrange to direct their contributions to another investment alternative of their choosing. Results of the special meeting of shareholders will be posted on the Trust’s website on August 23, 2017 at www.newcenturyportfolios.com.
    Although the Trust will be closed to new purchases as of June 30, 2017, you may redeem your shares of the Trust at any time as provided in the Prospectus. Please note, however, that if the Plan is approved, the Trust will be liquidating and distributing its assets no later than the close of business on September 29, 2017. Redemption requests received immediately preceding the September 29th liquidation may be honored by the delivery of the liquidation proceeds to the shareholder.
    Pursuant to the Plan, if the Trust has not received your redemption request or other instruction prior to the close of business on September 29, 2017, the effective time of the liquidation, your shares will be redeemed, and you will receive proceeds representing your proportionate interest in the net assets of the Trust as of September 29, 2017, subject to any required withholdings. As is the case with any redemption of Trust shares, liquidation proceeds will generally be subject to federal and, as applicable, state and local income taxes if the redeemed shares are held in a taxable account and the liquidation proceeds exceed your adjusted basis in the shares redeemed. If the redeemed shares are held in a qualified retirement account such as an IRA, the liquidation proceeds may not be subject to current income taxation under certain conditions. You should consult with your tax adviser for further information regarding the federal, state and/or local income tax consequences of this liquidation that are relevant to your specific situation.
    All routine expenses incurred in connection with the usual and customary operations of the Trust (including brokerage commissions associated with the sale of portfolio securities) will be charged to the Trust, however, expenses incurred in connection with the consideration and approval of the proposed Plan and expenses outstanding on and after the time of liquidation will be paid by the Adviser.
    Please retain this supplement with your Prospectus and Statement of Additional Information.
  • Josh Brown: Opposite Day
    Brown's analysis ignores the role human capital or job security play into one's portfolio. A young person who has no job security and little saved should actually be more conservative investment-wise than someone older to maintain for instance an emergency fund in case of job loss. Jobs are much less stable today than in the past in general, so some conservative behavior may be warranted. Young people also may want to invest in their human capital by getting an advanced professional degree instead of investing in their financial portfolio. Would you tell for instance a young future medical student to invest more in stocks or pay their tuition and invest the remainder conservatively?
  • L.A.'s Capital Group Accused Of Bilking Employees — By Pushing Its Own Mutual Funds
    FYI: Los Angeles finance giant Capital Group manages dozens of mutual funds, all of them run by human beings who pick individual stocks and bonds to buy or sell.
    And the vast majority of the assets of the company’s employee retirement savings plan is invested in those same funds.
    Now, a former Capital Group worker is suing the firm, alleging it violated federal retirement savings rules by pushing workers into its own funds rather than offering investments from outside firms that charge lower fees.
    Regards,
    Ted
    http://www.latimes.com/business/la-fi-capital-group-retirement-20170622-story.html