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Here's a statement of the obvious: The opinions expressed here are those of the participants, not those of the Mutual Fund Observer. We cannot vouch for the accuracy or appropriateness of any of it, though we do encourage civility and good humor.
  • MetWest Flexible Income Fund - MWFEX, MWFSX
    BigTom, I do see this fund as aggressive for a bond holding, but I think there is room for aggressive bond funds within an overall portfolio, especially when managers like Scott Minerd are saying stocks are priced for perfection but there is still value in certain sectors of fixed income.
    That's correct. It depends on your style, age and goals. I use mostly bond funds and doing pretty good.
    In the biggest meltdown in the last 10 years, MWFSX peak to trough was about 6%, VCIF was about 13%, BND (US bond index) all investment grade was about 6.5%. It shows that MWFSX managers did a great job. Is it a guarantee? of course not.
    BTW, the Portfolio Composition(Characteristics,Sector Weight,Credit Quality,Duration Maturity) for MWFSX is as of 5/31/2020 based on real data. See (link).
    Another observation, the monthly yield keeps getting smaller in the last 5 months.
    So, only you can make this decision after gathering all the information.
  • An MFS Investment Manager Is Fighting FOMO and Dumping Stocks
    https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.bloomberg.com/amp/news/articles/2020-06-29/an-mfs-investment-manager-is-fighting-fomo-and-dumping-stocks
    https://finance.yahoo.com/news/mfs-investment-manager-fighting-fomo-124622458.html
    An MFS Investment Manager Is Fighting FOMO and Dumping Stocks
    Manager at $500 billion firm resists chasing historic rally
    This recession is worse than previous downturns: Almeida
    Wall Street is counting on FOMO, or fear of missing out, to power the next leg of this fierce stock rally. But some, like Rob Almeida, refuse to be drawn in.
  • MetWest Flexible Income Fund - MWFEX, MWFSX
    I don't promote anything.
    This is exactly the type of fund I love to own. Great managers, new fund, small AUM, under the radar fund. In the Multi sector bond category it has the best year to date performance + great volatility + very high yield. The fund has about 50% in MBS/securitized and about 55% in IG(investment grade) bonds, duration about 2.7.

    My numbers are from TCW(
    link) then Portfolio Composition.
    You can see SD compared to PIMIX,JMUTX,PUCZX since inception, see PV(link)

    Why are you still 'pumping' risky funds with low SD?
    SD deviation does not necessarily equate to risk.
    Haven't you learned from the other funds you 'pumped' like SEMMX, IOFFX, JMUTX and PUCZX because they have short term 'momentum' with low SD?
    Some of these funds were down 17% in one month.
    Promoting a fund which has a small AUM, risky assets and low liquidity is irresponsible.
    If investors flee from small AUM funds, it will put pressure on the fund to sell illiquid assets. The fund will be selling these illiquid assets at huge discounts resulting in significant losses.
    An investor only has to look at what happened to Third Avenue Focus Credit fund to see the result.
    https://www.cnbc.com/2015/12/11/third-avenue-to-liquidate-junk-bond-fund-that-bet-big-on-illiquid-assets.html
    Here we go again. We haven't seen you for a while.
    Just because I like a fund doesn't mean you should own it. Do your own due diligence. I have used it for my own purposes successfully.
    Even a fund with 1-3 billion in AUM doesn't guarantee to be liquid. In 2008 money market fund broke the buck(link)
    VCIT, about 100% investment-grade fund from Vanguard, lost about 13% from peak to trough. It did recover after the Fed promised to buy bonds but you could not forecast that.
    When a black swan shows up bad things happen.
    There is a reason for..."Past performance is no guarantee of future results"
    Now, if you have any data please post about it. Is this fund resembles SEMMX,IOFIX or Third Avenue Focus Credit fund?
  • MetWest Flexible Income Fund - MWFEX, MWFSX
    This is exactly the type of fund I love to own. Great managers, new fund, small AUM, under the radar fund. In the Multi sector bond category it has the best year to date performance + great volatility + very high yield. The fund has about 50% in MBS/securitized and about 55% in IG(investment grade) bonds, duration about 2.7.

    My numbers are from TCW(
    link) then Portfolio Composition.
    You can see SD compared to PIMIX,JMUTX,PUCZX since inception, see PV(link)

    Why are you still 'pumping' risky funds with low SD?
    SD deviation does not necessarily equate to risk.
    Haven't you learned from the other funds you 'pumped' like SEMMX, IOFIX, JMUTX and PUCZX because they have short term 'momentum' with low SD?
    Some of these funds were down 17% in one month.
    Promoting a fund which has a small AUM, risky assets and low liquidity is irresponsible.
    If investors flee from small AUM funds, it will put pressure on the fund to sell illiquid assets. The fund will be selling these illiquid assets at huge discounts resulting in significant losses.
    An investor only has to look at what happened to Third Avenue Focus Credit fund to see the result.
    https://www.cnbc.com/2015/12/11/third-avenue-to-liquidate-junk-bond-fund-that-bet-big-on-illiquid-assets.html
  • MetWest Flexible Income Fund - MWFEX, MWFSX
    This is exactly the type of fund I love to own. Great managers, new fund, small AUM, under the radar fund. In the Multi sector bond category it has the best year to date performance + great volatility + very high yield. The fund has about 50% in MBS/securitized and about 55% in IG(investment grade) bonds, duration about 2.7.
    My numbers are from TCW(link) then Portfolio Composition.
    You can see SD compared to PIMIX,JMUTX,PUCZX since inception, see PV(link)
  • Assessing Opportunities across the Risk Spectrum
    https://www.google.com/search?sxsrf=ALeKk01srMZj2IX_eWzrfjWRskgbTPbnxw:1593454260683&source=hp&ei=tC76XvmbJ5b6-gS06oGQDg&q=Assessing+Opportunities+across+the+Risk+Spectrum+June+8,+2020&oq=Assessing+Opportunities+across+the+Risk+Spectrum+June+8,+2020&gs_lcp=ChFtb2JpbGUtZ3dzLXdpei1ocBAMOgcIIxDqAhAnUNsbWNsbYL4paAFwAHgAgAGpAogBqQKSAQMyLTGYAQCgAQKgAQGwAQ8&sclient=mobile-gws-wiz-hp
    Assessing Opportunities across the Risk Spectrum
    June 8, 2020
    While recent market performance would suggest that investor optimism appears to be in full flower, there are still a great many uncertainties associated with how economies and markets will respond to pandemic-related developments in the months ahead. Long-term investors weighing their options for such an environment may be well served by employing an active manager offering a breadth of carefully constructed strategies to navigate the changed investment landscape of a post-coronavirus world.
    After the March sell-off and the spring rally, where should investors focus their attention? Here, we outline four strategies that may align with different levels of risk tolerance in this uncertain environment.
  • The stock market has correctly predicted who will win the presidency since 1984. Here's what to look
    https://www.google.com/amp/s/markets.businessinsider.com/amp/news/stock-market-correctly-predicted-next-president-biden-donald-trump-election-2020-6-1029351214
    The stock market has correctly predicted who will win the presidency since 1984. Here's what to look for as we approach the November election.
    Matthew Fox
    The stock market has a solid track record of predicting who will win the US presidential election.
    Since 1984, the S&P 500 has correctly predicted every single presidential election based on its price movements in the three months leading up to the election.
    And since 1928, the S&P correctly predicted the next US President 87% of the time.
    As we approach the November 2020 election, investors should keep an eye on the stock market to gain clues as to which candidate may win the 9election: incumbent Donald Trump, or Joe Biden
    Probably wild goose chase next 4 months until nov3
    Think best lock up Schumer Pelosi Trump Pence Harris Russian-Mitch Warren in covid19 ward for 3 months, whomever comes out alive is our potus nov3
  • Fed bought debt in Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway, Coca-Cola, Walmart, and McDonald
    The Federal Reserve spent $428 million buying debt in individual companies in the first wave of its corporate bond-buying programme, data released Sunday showed.
    It bought the corporate bonds in households names such as Walmart, Coca-Cola, McDonald's, and Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway, the data showed.
    The Fed spent $5.7 million on debt in Berkshire Hathaway Energy, a subsidiary of Buffett's conglomerate.
    $6.8 billion worth of corporate debt ETFs were also bought by the Fed, with the central bank pouring $1.8 billion into a single ETF.

    https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/federal-reserve-buys-corporate-debt-berkshire-hathaway-walmart-mcdonalds-cocacola-2020-6-1029349199
  • Ping Junkster on HY Data
    Quote from David Rosenberg's newsletter "Breakfast with Dave":
    Wealth-Track_Breakfast_with_Dave_2020_06_24.pdf

    1.High yield rates “should be” trading closer to 11.0% than 6.4% to compensate for default risk. And that’s for today’s default rate — we haven’t even hit the peak yet. A no-brainer assessment of how mispriced this asset class is at the moment. In fact, when you look at the 50-year history of the data, you will see that the norm is for the average coupon in the high yield market to be about 500 basis points above the prevailing default rate at any given moment of time. Today, the two levels are dead-even — and another case to be made that appropriate compensation for the inherent default risk is much closer to 11% than it is to 6%.
    2.The high yield market seems to be pricing in a default rate of 3.25%, which is half today’s level. Instead of discounting a recessionary default rate, the market is pricing in a default rate we typically see three years into the economic recovery.
    and,
    To be sure, the stock market is way too overpriced for my liking. But the future earnings outlook is a source of debate, and the bulls have stated their case.And I get it. But high yield bonds —come on, it’s as plain as day. It’s about default risk and getting the compensation you deserve as an investor. But you see — it is the debtor, the borrower, that the Fed is most concerned about... creating this massive gap between the current artificial price and true intrinsic value will not, in the end, serve anyone very well.
    @Junkster - Are you drinking from this punch bowl?
  • Wealthtrack - Weekly Investment Show - with Consuelo Mack
    The following episodes are all with David Rosenberg.
    June 12th Episode:

    June 19th Episode:

    June 26th Episode:
    From where I sit, there are things I do like even if I’m not a buyer of the Dow, S&P 500 or Nasdaq outright. I still like growth over value; I like essentials over cyclicals; I like “Big Safety”; I like the “homebody” stay-at-home stocks; I like the long end of the Treasury curve; I like Japan as a secular Abe-led turnaround story; I like secular themes tied to medical technology and cyber security investments; ESG is here to stay; and my strongest conviction is in gold and gold stocks (silver too — “ poor man’s gold”). While the Fed may be backstopping the outer limits of the corporate bond market, I wouldn’t touch it. They are so mispriced for the current and prospective default wave, it’s not even funny. If you’re that bullish, just buy stocks. If you want to invest defensively and seek yield, look at preferreds, or the solid dividend yields in selective REITs, telecom with financial depth, and utilities.
    Wealth-Track_Breakfast_with_Dave_2020_06_24.pdf
  • 7 reasons the stock market may face a severe bout of turbulence next week and beyond—only one is ris
    https://www.marketwatch.com/story/7-reasons-the-stock-market-may-face-a-severe-bout-of-turbulence-next-week-and-beyondonly-one-is-rising-coronavirus-cases-2020-06-27?mod=markets
    7 reasons the stock market may face a severe bout of turbulence next week and beyond—only one is rising coronavirus cases
    Buckle up, Wall Street investors!
    The ride from here could get a lot bumpier after the Dow registered its worst one-day loss since June 11 on Friday, knocking the blue-chip index to its lowest point since May 26, and at least momentarily knocking the wind out of equity investors who may be gradually losing their bullish thesis as U.S. COVID-19 infection rates climb higher.
  • Guide To Municipal Bond Funds
    https://www.forbes.com/sites/baldwin/2020/06/26/guide-to-municipal-bond-funds/#5e5dabcc54b5
    Guide To Municipal Bond Funds
    William BaldwinSenior Contributor
    You’ll get a real return of maybe 1% from a tax-exempt portfolio. Should the middlemen get to keep most of that?
    How hungry people are for a tax dodge—and how eager Wall Street is to satisfy them. So it is that there are 564 tax-exempt mutual funds. How to choose?
  • Investors that stick with stocks will be rewarded
    https://m.washingtontimes.com/news/2020/jun/27/investors-that-stick-with-stocks-will-be-rewarded-/
    Investors that stick with stocks will be rewarded illustration by The Washington Times
    By Peter Morici - - Saturday, June 27, 2020:
    The challenges imposed by social distancing in businesses and telecommuting leave little doubt the economy will be radically different going forward, but for ordinary investors — saving for retirement and college tuition — stocks remain the cornerstone of a sound strategy.
  • 2019 Luxury Index Lists Whisky As Most Coveted Collectable
    “The report out this month, produced by Knight Frank, says Rare Whisky has grown in value the most over the last 10 years at +564% and increased by +5% in the past 12 months; and states casks remained in huge demand. By comparison cars have seen an increase of 194%, art by 141% and wine by 120%.”
    Story
  • Will there 2nd wave..?
    From where I sit there will be wave after wave after wave until people start treating this as the public health emergency that it is rather than a political issue. See what's happened in New York, Michigan and Minnesota for example where the Governors were ostracized for imposing restrictions on masks and reopenings yet their states fail to make the hot list.
    Edited to add: Think I'm kidding, the following from the NYTimes.
    Health Officials Had to Face a Pandemic. Then Came the Death Threats.
  • Learn About The Many Types Of Retirement Income Generators
    @hank I agree with you. I was going to post something along those lines but it was taking too much time to dig up the examples I wanted and I got somewhat sidetracked :-)
    The way I was planning to begin: We're talking apples, oranges, and tangerines.
    There's income, there's cash flow, and there's taxes. These are getting all conflated:
    An RMD can provide a heuristic for cash flow needs, but is not income. You're just moving an existing position from a tax-deferred account to a taxable account (a tax event). Whether you choose to sell that investment or not is independent of RMD.
    Selling a position increases cash flow, it does not generate income.
    A reverse mortgage enables one to generate cash flow using your home as security. Put simply, it's a loan for cash flow, generating negative income (it has a cost).
    Income is an increase in value. That increase can be by a "fixed" rate, or it may be variable, depending upon market conditions. It may be immediately taxable, or it may be taxable when realized.
    Consider TIPS or zeros. They are continuously growing in value, i.e. you keep getting income from them. And that income is immediately recognized (taxed). But there's no cash flow - you don't realize the income (get cash in hand) until the bonds mature or you sell them.
    But put them into a bond fund, e.g. BTTRX, and you get interest divs. The fund does this by effectively selling off some of its underlying bonds. (It reduces the size of its portfolio and does reverse splits to preserve NAV of each share.)
    The point here is that you've got the same income whether you own individual zeros or a bond fund that pays divs. To generate cash flow, one sells off bonds (arguably "principal"). If people are happy getting these "interest" divs from the bond fund, they should be just as happy selling off some zeros themselves.
    Which brings us back to hank's point. One generates income from multiple sources. The distinction between "interest", "dividends", and "capital gains" is somewhat arbitrary.
  • Will there 2nd wave..?
    Maybe this news will help slow down the increase in confirmed cases in Texas. As the moron said at his rally, "we need to slow down testing".
    From Barrons:
    Coronavirus Testing Sites Will Lose Federal Funding in July
    Updated June 24, 2020 5:32 pm ET / Original June 24, 2020 11:35 am ET
    • The Trump administration is halting federal funding for 13 coronavirus testing facilities at the end of July, including seven in Texas. The Texas testing sites are of particular concern as the state’s cases spike, with more than 5,000 new confirmed cases a day. On Tuesday, Gov. Greg Abbott advised Texans to stay home and gave mayors and county judges the authority to restrict gatherings of more than 100 people.
  • T. Rowe Price 2020 Midyear Market Outlook: Path Ahead For Financial Markets Depends On How Quickl
    https://www.heraldmailmedia.com/news/state/t-rowe-price-2020-midyear-market-outlook-path-ahead-for-financial-markets-depends-on-how/article_356ab962-38a8-59d3-8fc8-91f3dd26301c.html
    T. Rowe Price 2020 Midyear Market Outlook: Path Ahead For Financial Markets Depends On How Quickly Global Economies Navigate Through Pandemic
    By T. Rowe Price Group, Inc. Jun 23, 2020
    BALTIMORE, June 23, 2020 /PRNewswire/ -- The longest equity bull market in history came to a sudden and shattering end in March as the Covid-19 pandemic killed hundreds of thousands of people worldwide, forced governments to impose a strict and prolonged quarantine of citizens, and plunged the shuttered global economy into recession. By mid-June, some countries began to emerge from quarantine, leading to concerns about a second wave, while some developing market countries continued to see a troubling rise in new infections. The global economy and markets are likely to remain volatile as scientists race to develop effective treatments and to deploy a vaccine in mass quantities, potentially sometime in 2021.
  • Retirees: It may be time to ditch your investment strategy
    https://www.marketwatch.com/story/retirees-it-may-be-time-to-ditch-your-investment-strategy-11593008864
    Outside the Box
    4 ways to build your wealth and make it last longer
    Retirees: It may be time to ditch your investment strategy
    By Jonathan Clements
    What to do with your money now that yield has dried up?
    They’ve long been endangered, but 2020 may mark their demise: After four decades of falling interest rates, it seems safe investments offering attractive yields have finally disappeared.