Howdy, Stranger!

It looks like you're new here. If you want to get involved, click one of these buttons!

Here's a statement of the obvious: The opinions expressed here are those of the participants, not those of the Mutual Fund Observer. We cannot vouch for the accuracy or appropriateness of any of it, though we do encourage civility and good humor.
  • JPMorgan Hedged Equity -JHQDX (JHQAX)
    JHQAX (reviewed series) annual distributions have been about 1% (though M* shows the fund has about 40% annual turnover). My thought was to put it in a taxable account. The inevitable question is, how tax risky is it to put it in a taxable account? It seems this fund provides a 15% downside protection, if S&P 500 falls 20% or more (no protection for first 5% loss). In a choppy, sideways market, it could lose more than the SPY because of the cost of its option outlays and the Calls written may not fetch as much premium as they have in the past. It would be a tragedy if the fund ends up distributing a lot of cap gains in a year when it is not performing well, which is probably the scenario when it would trigger cap gains because of AUM outflows. Prior to November 2021, the only month of net outflows was March 2020. The other month of net outflows was November 2021, which was a surprise to me. What do its shareholders expect from it? What would constitute "not performing well" for this fund? I do not know the psychological make up of a typical investor in this fund as it is not a mainstream strategy. (May be I should head over to the Bogleheads forum and see if there is an interest there for this strategy - I am told those guys tend to be buy and holders!)
    As an aside, its performance from inception (2014) until the beginning of Covid is about the same (more or less) as a good high yield fund but bond funds had falling rates as a tail wind - may be not a fair comparison.
    Please share your reasonable comments / thoughts.
  • ARKK: one number and one target
    Cathie Wood worked in the hedge fund business in the past.
    In 1998, along with Lulu C. Wang, Wood co-founded Tupelo Capital Management, a hedge fund based in New York City
    Many fund managers have disciplined buy and sell processes with a holding period of 5 years or longer. Also the positions are built on multiple buys without rising the stock prices.
  • DSEEX Drop?
    Well, not so large, but there have been high distributions in its history:
    2017 $1.06
    2018 $1.53
    2019 $0.39
    2020 $0
    2021 $4.79
    Drops for 2017, 2018, 2021 are noticeable in Stockcharts with the start date of 1/1/17 (reset if defaults to 1 yr), https://stockcharts.com/h-perf/ui?s=DSEEX&compare=_DSEEX&id=p74276459757
  • DSEEX Drop?
    It uses derivatives for equity exposure. So, much of the capital gain shows up as realized CG. Check its history.
    This is the same issue with many Pimco equity funds. It is best to hold such funds in tax-deferred/free accounts.
    Yes, I'm aware of the Pimco issue (long time holder of PSLDX) but I don't recall this issue with DSEEX, at least not to this extent, I don't think I've ever seen a Pimco distribution this large either.
  • DSEEX Drop?
    It uses derivatives for equity exposure. So, much of the capital gain shows up as realized CG. Check its history.
    This is the same issue with many Pimco equity funds. It is best to hold such funds in tax-deferred/free accounts.
  • DSEEX Drop?
    Year end distribution. You'll find info on it in the Shadows thread here. Look under Doubleline Funds.
  • PRWCX
    Synchrony bank is part of GE Capital. DO NOT do business with them.
  • ARKK: one number and one target
    1 - 1 - 1
    The last profitable day for initiating a buy-and-hold position in ARK Innovation was one year, one month and one day ago. Somewhere in the mid-day. Good news, I guess, is that any purchase made after that day is a candidate for tax-loss harvesting.
    64.9%
    The amount by which ARK will have to rise for get positions established in early February 2021 out of the red. The fund saw huge inflows in the fourth quarter of 2020 and most of the first quarter of 2021 as investors rushed to buy the previous five years' returns. Which is to say, almost all of ARKK's investors are likely underwater.
    - - - - -
    There's an interesting (somewhat semi-pro) piece on Wood's long term record at the anonymous InvestmentWatch blog. The author's takeaway is
    almost all of Cathie’s major outperforming years come during special periods in the market cycle, particularly in the periods following a market crash ... Outside of those special events, Cathie’s funds generally underperform equivalent style peers on a year-by-year basis. She has a history of leaving a fund during or following a period of underperformance, then “rebooting” in another fund. This includes a short stint in a hedge fund that lost over 80% of it’s AUM.
    That last caveat shouldn't apply now, but the others are useful reminders.
    For what that's worth, David
  • PRWCX
    Wasn’t a very far reaching or in-depth interview. It opened with the CNBC interviewer plugging a book Giroux’s written, although Giroux didn’t comment on his book. Interview was only 4 or 5 minutes long. Giroux plugged Amazon, GE and one utility (Ameren?) - all of which the fund owns, of course. No mention of bonds or fixed income. Says he won’t buy more equities until “there’s blood in the streets”. And, not enough blood yet. (But I suspect he’s done some recent buying.)
    The book
    Digital (Kindle) Edition $39.99 / Hard Cover $60
    570 pages
    Link
    image
  • Vanguard Trade settlement and transferring cash out of
    This is about converting an existing account at an institution to a brokerage account at the same institution. Was that your experience, or did you transfer assets to an account at a different institution? In reality, all that transfers between institutions are assets (and some cost basis/transaction history), not the entirety of the account.
    https://www.finra.org/investors/learn-to-invest/brokerage-accounts/understanding-brokerage-account-transfer-process
    https://www.sec.gov/reportspubs/investor-publications/investorpubsacctxferhtm.html
    Vanguard told me that aside from the exceptional circumstances pertaining to a small number of investors' POAs including mine, POAs would be retained when converting fund platform accounts to brokerage platform accounts. That was Vanguard's explanation for why it did not not mention this in its conversion emails.
    I misspoke in saying that Vanguard requires a signature guarantee. You are correct that it requires notarization not a signature guarantee, but it also requires witnesses. My recollection was from 2020 when "shelter in place" was the norm and getting a third party involved was problematic regardless.
  • Vanguard Trade settlement and transferring cash out of
    I have joined carew338 in abandoning Vanguard for anything other than their funds that are unique are Admiral class or that I have a large capital gain in.
    Why not transfer the non-Vanguard holdings in kind to another brokerage?
    It's cheaper to trade TF funds at Fidelity: $5/purchase using automated investing, $0 to sell vs. $20 to buy or sell at Vanguard.
    Here's Investopedia's comparison of Vanguard and Fidelity. While clearly recognizing the superiority of Fidelity's platform, FWIW they consider Vanguard's platform adequate for its target (buy-and-hold and retirement) investors.
    https://www.investopedia.com/vanguard-vs-fidelity-4587961
    On the other end of the spectrum, looking at option trading, Fidelity and Schwab pay for order flow. Vanguard does not. Schwab receives payment for order flow on equity orders as well.
    There are features that one loses by moving to Vanguard's brokerage platform. On the fund platform, one can (or could, last I checked) convert an exact dollar amount from a traditional IRA to a Roth. On the brokerage platform, one specifies the in-kind conversion by number of shares.
    Checkwriting is affected. From the brokerage agreement:
    immediately upon the transfer of Your Vanguard Funds into Your [Brokerage] Account You agree to cease using the checkwriting drafts (CWRs) issued on Your Vanguard Funds and to destroy any unused checks.
    https://www.vanguard.com/pdf/vbsaac_042016.pdf
    Power of attorney may not transfer over to the brokerage platform. In that case, one would have to set up power of attorney again, including paper forms and signature guarantees. This only affects a relatively small number of Vanguard customers. But I happen to be among them, and would not have known had I not asked. This alone is sufficient to dissuade me from converting.
  • Roth conversion
    Most Medicare Part B participants pay a premium that covers 25% of the actual cost of the coverage. (The government picks up the rest, using general tax revenue.) In 2021, that 25% comes to $148.50/mo, or $1782/year.
    If one's MAGI¹ (AGI from line 7 of form 1040 plus tax-exempt interest from line 2a) is above $88K (single or married filing separately) or $176K (married filing jointly), then one's share of the actual Part B cost increases.
    If one's MAGI is just over this threshold, then instead of paying 25% of the cost of Part B, one will pay 35%. That's a 40% increase (35%/25% = 1.4x). So in 2021, the first level of IRMAA comes to 40% x $148.50 = $59.40/mo, or $712.80/year.
    https://www.medicare.gov/your-medicare-costs/part-b-costs
    There are also higher brackets, where one pays 50% of the actual part B cost (IRMAA = 100% of Part B premium), 65% of Part B cost (IRMAA = 160% of premium), 80% of part B cost (IRMAA = 220% of premium), or 85% of part B cost (240% of premium). No matter what one's income level, the government is still picking up some of the tab.
    https://secure.ssa.gov/poms.nsf/lnx/0601101031
    In 2022, the first threshold is at $91K ($182 married filing jointly), and IRMAA is $68/mo. All the thresholds for 2021 and 2022 along with the total (part B premium plus IRMAA) amounts are on the Medicare.gov site given above.
    ¹MAGI is calculated using the last income tax return filed. For 2022 IRMAA, that is the income tax form for 2020, filed as recently as just two months ago, including extensions. Your Jan 2022 IRMAA can't be based on 2021 income since you haven't reported it yet.
  • Vanguard Trade settlement and transferring cash out of
    I have joined carew338 in abandoning Vanguard for anything other than their funds that are unique are Admiral class or that I have a large capital gain in.
    Their systems are slow, clunky and full of restrictions that "Mommie" Vanguard claims are necessary to "protect" investors from horrible errors, like no inverse or leveraged ETFs
    The Independent Adviser for Vanguard Investors reports horror stories every month of arithmetical mistakes, poor customer service and other ridiculous problems
  • Anybody holding DUST?
    @Derf - The hoops is a reference to Fido requiring you to acknowledge (by clicking an accept icon) that you have read and understand the warning and that you feel experienced enough to proceed with the purchase.
    Next bet? Nothing looks attractive, No major changes except continuing a near month-long 4-5% bet on TAIL (which requires you to acknowledge a warning at Fido). It’s not enough to overcome gains if the market continues upward, but serves as a “brake” in sharply declining markets, limiting losses. Rose .81% yesterday. The effect of holding a small amount is similar to driving forward while riding the brake a bit.
    PS - The other kind of hoops. :) Been on the losing end of a few lately. Taking a breather.
  • Fighting Inflation Without Getting Carried Away
    I can't read Mark's article, need a subscription.
    @sma3, what do you mean by this comment:
    It is pretty sad when your bonds and bond funds loose money all year but the alternative for bear market protection- cash- is worse.
    Why is cash, that may have little to no appreciation, worst than bond funds that, well, many think will lose money going forward? One, cash, has loss of value per inflation and the other (bond funds) has loss of capital value + loss of value per inflation. Or am I missing something?
    Also I would say, yes, TIPS have lost money most of the time over past years, but inflation during those years has been nil. Of course they would not perform as well as a core bond or most any bond fund in that environment. But the inflation rate is changing, quickly. The time may be coming where they will out-perform core bond funds for years to come - ok, maybe.
  • Roth conversion
    @ Hank
    Does it matters what you convert, if you can always buy or sell anything in either account tax free?
    Once you have the capital in a Roth, I agree it should be probably devoted to more risky, long term investments.
    Converting before you are on Medicare and after are two different calculations.
    It is important to remember that the IRMAA surcharges go from zero dollars ( B Medicare Premium $1776 /year in 2021) to $700 for ONE DOLLAR of income ( AGI before the standard deduction) above $176,000 for a couple and $111,000 single. A couple would therefore pay $1400 extra.
    IRMAA is based on two years before 1040, so 2022 will look at 2020 AGI. Once you file 2021 taxes in 2022 you can ask for redo, if your 2021 income is lower. It takes a month or so, so you will end up paying more for a few months.
    One strategy I am considering is to do a large conversion, all in one year, before I take SS at 70. Then the impact of the conversion on the IRMAA will be limited to one year.
    Other things to consider. IRS lets you put up to $135,000 in a QLAC which will reduce you RMD proportionally.
    Lawrence Kotlikoff from BU has a great article in Barrons
    https://www.barrons.com/articles/most-retirement-planning-is-wrong-laurence-kotlikoff-51631207476
    He also runs a web site with a neat financial planning program for $100, Maxifi. It may be overkill for a lot of folks, but it will allow you to run all sorts of projections and scenarios about Roth conversions pretty easily
  • Roth conversion
    Actually, any time is pretty good. I did 3 - all between the ages of 63 and 70.
    But (from my inner speculative nature), the more depressed the asset at the time, the better the eventual outcome. There’s a big “IF” here. This only works if you are correct in your assessment that a given asset (fund, stock, etc.) will turn around within your expectant time horizon and you have the patience to allow that to occur. The tax-free winnings are hard to beat - if your gambit works.
    It’s easier in this environment, I think, to consider what not to convert. I wouldn’t do anything related to bonds or other fixed income. If my own time horizon were just a bit longer, I’d look at EM or international funds. And, I’d probably try to time the evolving disaster in AARK-type funds at a future point. But my general reading says it’s still too early to buy those. (If they keep falling at this rate, however, “It shan’t be long”.) :)
    If you do succeed in grabbing off a rising star with a Roth conversion, consider scaling out a bit at some future point to partially lock in the gains.
    Edit / Add:
    @Sven I thought it would be helpful to add that you can be selective as to which fund(s) you convert. Once you’ve converted a fund (or other asset) your fiduciary (ie Fido) sets this up as a separate account. With my Fido accounts, both the Roth and Traditional IRA appear on one easy to access page. One reason for the separate accounts is to allow you to move money around (buy and sell) inside that account. Obviously, transfers back and forth between a Roth and Traditional IRA would not be allowed.
  • Anybody holding DUST?
    The SEC has issued several warnings on leveraged ETFs under its "Investor Alerts & Bulletins" since 2009 with most recent being in 2021. These explain that the leveraged ETFs work as indicate only over "days" and should be used only for very short-term trading. Actually, the 2009 warning caused a strong reaction from the ETF industry over the SEC defining short-term as "days" rather than other vague meanings of short-term. In 2020, the SEC issued rules limiting NEW leveraged ETFs to +/- 2x, but allowed existing ETFs with higher leverage to continue; strangely, it excluded leveraged ETNs (really sponsors' IOUs or debt instruments) from these restrictions.
    2021 Alert https://www.investor.gov/introduction-investing/general-resources/news-alerts/alerts-bulletins/investor-bulletins-2
    2020 SEC Rule https://www.sec.gov/news/press-release/2020-269
    2009 Alert https://www.investor.gov/introduction-investing/general-resources/news-alerts/alerts-bulletins/investor-alerts/sec-finra
  • Rubbing Some VIX over the S&P 500 Index
    The VIX (Volatility Index) is closing in on 30 this AM. We touched above this level one year ago (Nov. 30, 2020) when we briefly reach the 33 level.
    Here's a chart of the VIX showing it's movement over the last 5 years along with the S&P 500.
    image
  • JP Morgan converts four OEFs to ETfs

    497 1 d245107d497.htm UNDISCOVERED MANAGERS FUNDS
    JPMORGAN TRUST I
    J.P. Morgan Income Funds
    JPMorgan Inflation Managed Bond Fund
    JPMORGAN TRUST II
    J.P. Morgan International Equity Funds
    JPMorgan International Research Enhanced Equity Fund
    J.P. Morgan U.S. Equity Funds
    JPMorgan Market Expansion Enhanced Index Fund
    UNDISCOVERED MANAGERS FUNDS
    JPMorgan Realty Income Fund
    (Class R2, Class R5 and Class R6 Shares)
    Supplement dated December 1, 2021
    to the Current Prospectuses, as supplemented
    As previously supplemented on August 11, 2021, at meetings held on August 9, 2021, the Boards of Trustees agreed to consider in early 2022 the conversion of the following four mutual funds to newly created exchange-traded funds (the “ETFs”) (each, a “Conversion”):
    •JPMorgan Inflation Managed Bond Fund
    •JPMorgan International Research Enhanced Equity Fund
    •JPMorgan Market Expansion Enhanced Index Fund
    •JPMorgan Realty Income Fund
    Each new ETF will be managed in a substantially similar manner as the current mutual funds. If approved by the Boards of Trustees, it is anticipated that the Conversions would occur in 2022.
    By converting these strategies to ETFs, J.P. Morgan Investment Management Inc. (“JPMIM”), the investment adviser for the mutual funds, believes shareholders in these mutual funds could benefit from reduced costs, including lower transfer agency costs for certain classes and no Rule 12b-1 or service fees. JPMIM is communicating the proposed plans prior to formal board approval, in order to provide shareholders with ample notice of the planned Conversions and allow them time to engage with JPMIM on the implications of the proposed transactions, including the need to have a brokerage account prior to the Conversion.
    Each Conversion would consist of (1) the transfer of all or substantially all of the mutual fund’s assets, subject to its liabilities, to the corresponding shell ETF for shares of the ETF; and (2) the distribution of the ETF shares to the mutual fund shareholders in complete liquidation of the mutual fund. It is anticipated that if approved by the Boards of Trustees, each Conversion will not require shareholder approval.
    When the Conversions are considered, each Board of Trustees, including the Trustees not deemed to be “interested persons” of the mutual funds pursuant to Section 2(a)(19) of the Investment Company Act of 1940, as amended, will need to determine whether it is in the best interests of the target mutual fund and that the Conversion would not dilute the interests of the mutual fund’s shareholders.
    The new ETFs have not commenced investment operations, and it is anticipated that each will not have shareholders prior to the Conversion. If the Conversions are approved by the Boards of Trustees, existing shareholders of each mutual fund will receive prior to the Conversion a combined information statement/prospectus describing in detail both the Conversion and the surviving ETF, and summarizing the Board’s considerations in approving the Conversion.
    It is anticipated that each Conversion will qualify as a tax-free reorganization for federal income tax purposes and that shareholders will not recognize any gain or loss in connection with the Conversion, except to the extent that they receive cash in connection with the liquidation of any fractional shares received in the Conversion.
    In connection with the proposed Conversions discussed herein, an information statement/prospectus that will be included in a registration statement on Form N-14 will be filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission (the “SEC”). After the registration statement is filed with the SEC, it may be amended or withdrawn and the information statement/prospectus will not be distributed to shareholders unless and until the registration statement is declared effective by the SEC. Investors are urged to read the materials and any other relevant documents when they become available because they will contain important information about the Conversions. After they are filed, free copies of the materials will be available on the SEC’s web site at www.sec.gov. These materials also will be available at www.jpmorganfunds.com and a paper copy can be obtained at no charge by calling 1-800-480-4111 .
    This communication is for informational purposes only and does not constitute an offer of any securities for sale. No offer of securities will be made except pursuant to a prospectus meeting the requirements of Section 10 of the Securities Act of 1933.
    INVESTORS SHOULD RETAIN THIS SUPPLEMENT WITH THE
    PROSPECTUSES FOR FUTURE REFERENCE
    J.P. MORGAN TRUST I
    JPMorgan Income Funds
    JPMorgan Inflation Managed Bond Fund
    J.P. MORGAN TRUST II
    JPMorgan International Funds
    JPMorgan International Research Enhanced Equity Fund
    JPMorgan U.S. Equity Funds
    JPMorgan Market Expansion Enhanced Index Fund
    UNDISCOVERED MANAGERS FUNDS
    JPMorgan Realty Income Fund
    (each, a “Fund” and together, the “Funds”)
    (Class R2, Class R5 and Class R6 Shares)
    Supplement dated December 1, 2021
    to the current Prospectuses, as supplemented
    As previously supplemented on November 23, 2021, as announced on August 11, 2021, the Boards of Trustees have agreed to consider in early 2022 the conversion of the Funds to newly created exchange-traded funds (the “ETFs”) (each, a “Conversion”). If the Conversions are approved, each new ETF will be managed in a substantially similar manner as the current Fund. In connection with the Conversions, the Board of Trustees considered and approved certain actions described below. Each of the actions will be implemented on January 18, 2022 (the “Effective Date”) only if the Boards of Trustees approve the Conversions.
    On the Effective Date, the following will be added as a new section for each of the Funds except the JPMorgan International Research Enhanced Equity Fund under the heading “Investing with J.P. Morgan Funds — LIMITED OFFERING — Funds Subject to a Limited Offering — Limited Offering of Class A and Class C Shares”
    Class A and C Shares (each, a “Limited Class”) are publicly offered only on a limited basis and investors are not eligible to purchase a Limited Class except as described below. Except as otherwise described below, shareholders permitted to continue to purchase shares of a Limited Class include existing shareholders of record and, if the shareholder of record is an omnibus account, beneficial owners in that account as of the effective date of the limited offering.
    • Existing shareholders of each Limited Class may continue to purchase additional shares of the Limited Class in their existing Fund accounts either through J.P. Morgan Funds Services or a Financial Intermediary and may continue to reinvest dividends or capital gains distributions from shares owned in the Fund.
    •Group Retirement Plans (as defined in the glossary) (and their successor, related and affiliated plans), which have a Limited Class available may continue to open accounts for new participants and can purchase additional shares in existing participant accounts.
    For JPMorgan International Research Enhanced Equity Fund, the following will replace the current disclosure under “Investing with J.P. Morgan Funds — LIMITED OFFERING — Limited Offering of Certain Share Classes” on the Effective Date:
    Class A Shares of the JPMorgan International Research Enhanced Equity Fund (the “Limited Class”) are publicly offered only on a limited basis and investors are not eligible to purchase the Limited Class except as described below. Except as otherwise described below, shareholders permitted to continue to purchase shares of the Limited Class include existing shareholders of record and, if the shareholder of record is an omnibus account, beneficial owners in that account as of the effective date of the limited offering...