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Here's a statement of the obvious: The opinions expressed here are those of the participants, not those of the Mutual Fund Observer. We cannot vouch for the accuracy or appropriateness of any of it, though we do encourage civility and good humor.
  • Retirement strategies
    Thank you all for the links and thoughts!!!
    Interesting article bee!!
    hank, you are right the TRP retirement calculator is interesting and of some value!!
    Any other suggestions are very welcome; a wide breathe of info is the only way to valuable and useful knowledge!!!
    great conversation all !!!!!
  • Retirement strategies
    @mcmarasco
    After some searching I found this article written by Bruce Miller that sheds a little light on using open ended mutual funds to fund retirement withdrawals.
    Back testing isn't full proof, but it helps shape the discussion in this article.
    https://seekingalpha.com/article/4050402-long-term-growing-income-open-end-mutual-fund-possible
  • Retirement strategies
    This retirement planner / calculator from T. Rowe Price looks like it might be a hoot to monkey around with. https://www3.troweprice.com/ric/ricweb/public/ric.do
    Than there’s Ben Franklin’s adage for those too busy to plan ahead: “Experience keeps a dear school, but a fool will learn in no other.”
  • Retirement strategies
    There are books by Bruce Miller and Lowell Miller (coincidence?) on dividend strategies that you might want to check out. I remember a lot of proponents of that strategy on M* yrs ago,
    Also, Jane Bryant Quinn wrote a somewhat fluffy book on general aspects of planning for retirement back in 2017. That might spark some thoughts.
  • Vanguard Market Neutral Fund & Vanguard Alternative Strategies Fund lowers initial minimums
    https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1409957/000093247119007247/supplementmarketneutral.htm
    497 1 supplementmarketneutral.htm MARKET NEUTRAL FUND INVESTOR SHARES SUPPLEMENT
    Vanguard Market Neutral Fund
    Supplement Dated August 1, 2019, to the Prospectus Dated
    April 26, 2019
    The minimum investment amount required to open and maintain a Fund account for
    Investor Shares will be reduced from $250,000 to $50,000. The account minimum
    change is expected to become effective on or about November 4, 2019.
    The Fund's investment objective, strategies, and policies will remain unchanged.
    Prospectus Text Changes
    The following replaces similar text under the heading “Purchase and Sale of Fund
    Shares” in the Fund Summary section:
    You may purchase or redeem shares online through our website (vanguard.com), by
    mail (The Vanguard Group, P.O. Box 1110, Valley Forge, PA 19482-1110), or by
    telephone (800-662-2739). The minimum investment amount required to open and
    maintain a Fund account for Investor Shares is $50,000. The minimum investment
    amount required to add to an existing Fund account is generally $1. Financial
    intermediaries and institutional clients should contact Vanguard for information on
    special eligibility rules that may apply to them regarding Investor Shares. If you are
    investing through an intermediary, please contact that firm directly for more
    information regarding your eligibility. If you are investing through an employer-
    sponsored retirement or savings plan, your plan administrator or your benefits office
    can provide you with detailed information on how you can invest through your plan.
    The following replaces similar text under the heading “Account Minimums for
    Investor Shares” in the Investing With Vanguard section:
    To open and maintain an account. $50,000. Financial intermediaries and institutional
    clients should contact Vanguard for information on special eligibility rules that may
    apply to them regarding Investor Shares. If you are investing through an intermediary,
    please contact that firm directly for more information regarding your eligibility.
    To add to an existing account. Generally $1.
    © 2019 The Vanguard Group, Inc. All rights reserved.
    Vanguard Marketing Corporation, Distributor. PS 634 082019
    https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/313850/000093247119007246/alternativestrategies497.htm
    497 1 alternativestrategies497.htm ALTERNATIVE STRATEGIES 497
    Vanguard Alternative Strategies Fund
    Supplement Dated August 1, 2019, to the Prospectus Dated
    February 27, 2019
    Important Changes to the Fund
    The Fund's Board of Trustees has approved changes to the investment
    objective and benchmark of the Fund. The Fund's investment objective will
    change to: “The Fund seeks to generate returns that have low correlation with
    the returns of the stock and bond markets and seeks capital appreciation.” The
    Fund's performance benchmark will change from the FTSE 3-month US T-Bill
    Index +4% to the FTSE 3-month US T-Bill Index.
    The Fund will also adopt a risk methodology that targets a fixed volatility range
    of 5-7% measured at the portfolio level. However, the Fund's volatility from time
    to time may move outside this targeted range.
    The account minimum required to open and maintain an account will be reduced
    from $250,000 to $50,000.
    The investment objective and benchmark changes for the Fund, together with
    the risk methodology adoption, are expected to become effective on or about
    November 1, 2019. The Fund's registration statement will be updated at that
    time to reflect these changes. The account minimum change is expected to
    become effective on or about November 4, 2019.
    Prospectus Text Changes
    The following replaces similar text under the heading “Investment Objective” in
    the Fund Summary section:
    The Fund seeks to generate returns that have low correlation with the returns of
    the stock and bond markets and seeks capital appreciation.
    The following paragraph is added after the third paragraph under the heading
    “Principal Investment Strategies” in the Fund Summary section:
    The Fund has adopted a risk methodology that targets a fixed volatility range of
    5-7% measured at the portfolio level. However, the Fund's volatility from time to
    time may move outside this targeted range.
    The following replaces similar text under the heading “Annual Total Returns”:
    The following bar chart and table are intended to help you understand the risks of
    investing in the Fund. The bar chart shows how the performance of the Fund has
    varied from one calendar year to another over the periods shown. The table
    shows how the average annual total returns of the Fund compare with those of a
    relevant market index, which has investment characteristics similar to those of the
    Fund. Effective November 1, 2019, the FTSE 3-month US T-Bill Index +4% was
    replaced with the FTSE 3-month US T-Bill Index in order to align with the Fund's
    investment objective and risk methodology. The Spliced Alternative Strategies
    Index reflects the performance of the FTSE 3-month US T-Bill Index +4% through
    October 31, 2019, and the FTSE 3-month US T-Bill Index thereafter. Keep in mind
    that the Fund's past performance (before and after taxes) does not indicate how
    the Fund will perform in the future. Updated performance information is available
    on our website at vanguard.com/performance or by calling Vanguard toll-free at
    800-662-7447....
  • DLEUX as a replacement for VXUS?
    I never got into DLEUX, but I am a fan of DSENX and CAPE. It's hard to make a case for international stocks. CAPE has gained 96% over the past five years while VXUS has lost 1.27%. The highly touted FMIJX has a yearly return of about 5% for the same time period. I own some SMID global/international and some MIOPX, but the days when I owned a big chunk of international either in my TIAA retirement account or my actively managed portfolio are long gone. Foreign under performance is quite long standing as typified by the demise of Harbor International, a former kingpin. On the other hand, I am a fan of global funds (MGGPX, ADPFX, ARTRX).
  • Retirement strategies
    I am looking for any recommendation, insight or opinion on books, white papers or any other material that I can obtain to get up-to-speed on various, reasonable and implementable "Income Harvesting (borrowed phrase)" and variable/dynamic withdrawal strategies.
    My wife and I are about a decade away from retiring, but I thought it might be a good time to familiarize myself with the latest and greatest retirement strategies.
    Like everyone else, we do not want to run out of money during retirement!
    Any thoughts, recommendations or perspectives are greatly appreciated!
    Matt
  • any comment on Michael MCClung and his book for asset drawdown in retirement?
    https://www.bogleheads.org/forum/viewtopic.php?f=10&t=192105&sid=d9d66a27ff049344a50981
    catch....thanks for your prompt reply!
    above is a link to a M* bogleheads dicussion from a few years ago.
    chapter 3 of the free link of the first 3 chapters of the book is the most crucial to get the gist of what McClung
    has studied to be a way of providing a reasonably probable MSWR for varying projected years of retirement.
    i understand his concepts with a layman's knowledge,and my library has been able to get me a copy of
    'LIVING OFF YOUR MONEY'
    what i'm curious about is if any of the MFO community know of McCLUNG's study,and possibly have any experience
    w/ using his concepts for establishing stock/bond allocations,withdrawal patterns, and various asset allocation
    breakdowns.(us/intl/lc/mc/sc/ growth/ value/bond choices/etc)
    it is fairly complex, not a simple strategy.........and he does provide a remarkable trove of research
    to support his premises.
    i'm most curious to know if anyone has familiarity/opinions re his work, and how his credentials/work have been received.
    thanks again,
    tony
  • any comment on Michael MCClung and his book for asset drawdown in retirement?
    I was able to find this discussion regarding your question. Perhaps some of the links may help discover more answers.
    A complex question that would involve at least several common scenarios based upon needs, and money sources at retirement.
    Sorry, that I don't have time now to read more about this, or provide anything of value to submit.
    Regards,
    Catch
  • any comment on Michael MCClung and his book for asset drawdown in retirement?
    http://livingoffyourmoney.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/05/LivingOffYourOwnMoney_eBook_FirstThreeChapters.pdf
    before M* went haywire this was mentioned on their old discussion board re long lasting MSWR for retirement account
    distributions.
    apparently there was a flurry of comment at M* when the book was published in 2015.
    any comments on MFO would be useful as i'm currently close to beginning account distribution.......RMD next year.
    thanks all!
  • Jeff Gundlach: Fed Will Be In "Panic Mode" When A Recession Hits
    @_catch. During volatile 2008 crash probably not 2000 pts swing my corrections but dows 1k up or down every day from 14k+until the bottom ~5.6k I think. . I remember Obama and Feds system pumped so much cash back then to keep market afloat... Everyone here /market/colleagues at work and of course @mfo fundalarm were in panic mode
    Lucky kept everything intact in Tsp and private portfolio same did not sale.. Made Stella come back next few yrs
    Thx to many experts /experienced old members at fundalarm including you of course
    The near retirees were selling pumping in cash and jumping off market in a hurried
    So now I f you are 6mons to two yrs near retirement maybe very good idea to sell a large portion out of equities and keeps stuff in bonds cd fixed-income
  • Merrill Edge - just shoot me now
    Merrill Edge fudges tax lots for mutual funds. If on one day I buy:
    100.671 shares @$29.80 for $3,000
    Merrill records this as either:
    100 shares @$29.80 for $2,980, or
    100 shares @$29.80 and 1 share @$20 for $3,000
    Merrill says that showing two different prices for purchases of a fund on the same day is acceptable. It's silent on the fact that either way, it's got the wrong number of shares purchased that day.
    Merrill Edge has an interest-bearing BofA sweep account for cash. ME writes: "You will see it referenced online and on your statements as ML Direct Deposit Program for non-retirement accounts and Bank of America, NA RASP for retirement accounts." Same service, different name, right? Wrong.
    In RASP accounts, all the interest is credited to the bank account as you'd expect. In Direct Deposit Program accounts, pennies of interest are not credited to the bank account but instead recorded as additions to a non-interest bearing "cash balance" within Merrill.
    My advice about any investment is that if you can't understand it, don't invest in it. The Merrill Edge taxable accounts are either being mishandled or I don't understand them. Either way, I give up. I will be closing all taxable accounts with them.
    See also: https://mutualfundobserver.com/discuss/discussion/47100/merrill-edge-not-very-mutual-fund-friendly

  • Josh Brown: Elizabeth Warren’s Banking Sector Napalm
    Some of Warren's ideas are quite good:

    Holding private equity firms responsible for certain pension obligations of the companies they buy, so that workers have a better shot of getting the retirement funds they earned.
    Changing the tax rules so that private equity firms don’t get sweetheart tax rates on all the debt they put on the companies they buy.
    Modifying bankruptcy rules so that when companies go bust, workers have a better shot at getting pay and benefits and executives can’t pocket special bonuses.
    Preventing lenders and investment managers from making reckless loans to private equity-owned companies already swimming in debt and then passing along the danger to the market by requiring them to retain some of the risk.
    Empowering investors like pension funds with better information about the performance and effects of private equity investments and preventing private equity funds from requiring investors to waive their fiduciary obligations.
    Closing the carried interest loophole that lets firm managers pay ultra-low tax rates on the money they loot.
    Private equity firms pushing companies into bankruptcy with debt, then screwing workers by voiding the companies' pension and healthcare obligations as the companies re-emerge from bankruptcy is a classic strategy for them. That really should stop.
  • Berkshire Hathaway Stock Is Lagging The Market, And A Giant Pension Fund Just Slashed Its Stake
    FYI: Warren Buffett isn’t close to beating the market this year, and a giant pension fund has cut its investment in Berkshire Hathaway , the investment juggernaut that Buffett helms.
    Class B shares of Berkshire Hathaway stock (ticker: BRKb ) have only managed a 0.9% gain so far in 2019 through Friday’s close, in sharp contrast to the S&P 500’s 18.7% rise.
    We’ve noted that Buffett suffered “a reputational and financial black eye” earlier this year as Berkshire took a $1 billion paper loss when Kraft Heinz stock (KHZ)—one of its larger investments—tumbled. Years ago, Buffett backed the combination of H.J. Heinz and Kraft Foods Group that created the company.
    Oregon’s Public Employees’ Retirement Fund slashed two-fifths of its Berkshire stock investment by selling 141,822 Class B shares in the second quarter. OPERF, as the pension is known, made the disclosure in a form it filed this week with the Securities and Exchange Commission. OPERF, which recently was counted as the 42nd largest public pension in the world by assets, now owns 222,763 Class B Berkshire shares.
    Regards,
    Ted
    https://www.barrons.com/articles/berkshire-hathaway-stock-is-lagging-and-a-giant-pension-just-slashed-its-stake-51563707754
  • Defined Benefit Plan for Self Employed
    2019 contribution limits are:
    401(k): $56K + $6K (catch up) = $62K
    SEP: $56K (no catch up provision)
    https://www.irs.gov/retirement-plans/cola-increases-for-dollar-limitations-on-benefits-and-contributions
    The IRS has not yet announced 2020 figures for retirement plans. If Vanguard provided contribution limits for 2020, they were projections.
    Projected for 2020:
    401(k): $57K + $6.5K (catch up) = $63.5K
    SEP: $57K (no catch up provision)
    https://thefinancebuff.com/401k-403b-ira-contribution-limits.html
    Again, see Schwab example cited above for comparison between SEP and DB plan. (For a fair comparison, you need to account for the earnings that are added to the DB plan but not to the SEP. This significantly reduces the gap between the two.)