Bank of America declares ‘the end of the 60-40’ standard portfolio My usual comment.
For most investors, buy and hold a simple target fund is one of the best. I believe you can do worse.
For above-average knowledge investors, there are several other good options.
I see stocks as a simpler portion of one's portfolio. The US LC is the dominated category and SPY/VTI is a pretty good risk-adjusted index. The biggest difference is the bond portion and the older you get the more you should pay attention. For most, it's several years prior to retirement and thru retirement.
Bond land has opportunities such as Multi sector and Non trad bond OEFs and all the way to leverage FI CEF. These funds have much higher dist and in most cases reasonable risk attributes (SD, Max draw, Sharpe, Sortino). Examples: PIMIX,SEMMX,IOFIX,JMSIX...PDI,PCI.
For about 20 years I have used best risk/reward funds.
I can name several for stocks/allocation...PRWCX,USMV,SPLV and maybe DSEEX, AUEIX...recently I looked at international stocks and came up with MFAIX/MFAPX.
Most/all of these articles, opinions and research papers are discussing simple bond funds which are planes without a pilot.
Fisher Investments Launches Diversity Task Force @hank and I, and maybe other MI residents receiving
retirement benefits from our state, will now have about $600M of the pension fund administered in house. I have no idea if Fisher's company did well for us or not (see Lewis' comment above about performance) nor will I be able to assess how the new managers will do with that chunk of change.
Portfolio changes for retirement History may make me look foolish but I don't think the market will be in serious trouble unless and until its clear that Trump will leave office which seems unlikely in the next 6 months. Since you are conservative I would go with 25% oakbx 60% the capital preservation fund and 15% the PIMCO fund or other fund you think looks best.
You will surely be following Buffett's advice
Rule 1 Don't lose money
Rule 2 Don't forget rule 1
remember that even when conservative your retirement account should provide a real return (i.e beat inflation)
I think my suggestion will meet that goal and I hope your desired future investments will do that.
Portfolio changes for retirement I had my 401 set up as you suggest until recently.
The question I asked was:
''Which funds of my 401 choices would you leave money in the next 6 months.''
Got it. You're not asking about portfolio allocation, just fund selection. There's no apparent reason to have significantly different asset allocations five months from now (pre-
retirement) and seven months from now (post-
retirement).
But the specific funds you have available will change in six months, when you roll over your 401k. So you're asking about funds to use now for the next six months given your target allocation.
(If it helps you feel better, you might check to see whether your plan allows
in-service distributions after age 59½, assuming you're that old. Then you could just move the money now; end of problem.)
Frankly it won't matter which 401k funds you pick. They are all respectable.
Whether you get your chosen large cap domestic equity exposure by using VFINX or a combo of AMRMX and VIGRX won't make a big difference. Whether you take one of these options and add PTTRX for your bond exposure, or use OAKBX for both stocks and bonds won't make a big difference either.
Building on
@MikeM's comment - if you have a stable value fund that is paying as much as an intermediate term bond fund, that might actually be a better choice than PTTRX or OAKBX for bond exposure. Long term (the past year was an anomaly for bonds) that could give you similar returns with less volatility. You could roll over your other assets while leaving money in the stable value fund (if that's what you've got) when you leave.
Portfolio changes for retirement @Art, you may not want to take much risk with your nest egg just before you retire, so I would be inclined to go conservative the next 6 months until you are able to rollover and set up the portfolio the way you want it for long term
retirement. Yeah, you may miss a little upside but you may be more unhappy to lose what you thought you planned to start your
retirement with. Just my 2 cents.
For less risk, I would just keep OAKBX and get rid of the other funds. Not sure what a preservation fund is, but if it is similar to a GIC I would split between that and the balanced fund OAKBX at whatever percentages you're comfortable with.
Good luck.
Portfolio changes for retirement Hi
@Art, (FWIW) I'd say you are conservatively invested at about 70% (cash & bonds) /30% (equity) more so than me being at about 60% (cash & bonds) /40% (equity). With this, you know your risk tolerance better than me. I'd would stay invested along the lines of the long term asset allocation you plan to use going forward in
retirement. I'm also thinking the asset allocation is more important, in the near term, over fund selection since you will be reconfiguring your portfolio in six months or so. For me, though, I'd add some small/mid caps along with some emerging markets and follow a global mix of about 70% domestic and 30% foreign. I'm thinking there is presently better value to be had in foreign equity over domestic; but, I would not venture to far towards foreign.
However, some say, you really don't need foreign holdings since about 40% of the revenue found in the S&P 500 Index now comes form abroad. Perhaps so.
I sincerely wish you the very best in the years ahead.
Skeet
Portfolio changes for retirement I would ask myself how would I feel if the date you moved the funds coincided with a 20% bear market and you had lost a chunk? There is an increasing awareness that people who loose large amounts in early retirement bear markets sometime don't have the confidence to stay in the market for the comeback. The next time it may not snap back like it did in 2009
Consequently I would lighten up on the developing markets and stocks