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in case you were wondering how the 401k was currently allocated: https://osterweis.com/outlooks/Strategic_Income_Outlook_Q4For fixed income investors, the AI-themed names are a cohort that exists largely outside our investment purview (although we did have one very successful investment in an AI-related convertible, which we exited at the end of 2024). Most of the AI-themed names are private, VC-owned cash burners that are not prime candidates for borrowing in the credit markets. The few that have come to market to borrow have very dubious credit profiles and have asked lenders to invest largely based on their future prospects. This is a sensible arrangement for equity holders, who receive unlimited upside in exchange for the risk they take, but for bondholders it is far less appealing, as their upside is limited to the coupon they receive while the risk is the same. We are, however, carefully monitoring this because we believe it is an apt barometer for broad investor sentiment, which is unabashedly risk-on.
The hyperscalers are budgeting hundreds of billions of dollars of CapEx to build data centers, which they hope will power a massive expansion of AI adoption in the years ahead. The numbers are astonishing, and the hype and activity around AI reminds us of the excitement around all things dot-com and dark fiber in the 1990s. The birth of the internet was a society-changing phenomenon, and AI could prove to be the same. However, it is unlikely that AI adoption will pan out exactly as planned. Given the lofty valuations ascribed to these early-stage, unproven companies, any deviation from the expected adoption rate and the ensuing revenue forecasts (many of which are still years away) could trigger at least a tremor, and possibly a much larger quake as winners and losers are parsed by the market. Stay tuned.
Don't tell FD....Sold my TDS preferreds to lock in some TLH offsetting on some large gains this year.
May sell other paper-loss holdings going into year-end too since PRWCX looks to be delivering another large payout as well.
@rforno. So, you did have "TDS", but got over it? lolSold my TDS preferreds to lock in some TLH offsetting on some large gains this year.
May sell other paper-loss holdings going into year-end too since PRWCX looks to be delivering another large payout as well.
Thank you for the details. I'm always open to correction. I didn't recognize either of those names. I can't say that I'm surprised that Fido is higher on the list than I discerned.I was pleased to note on the M* ownership tab that Fido was not among the top 20 "institutional" owners of Tesla.
FMR is #10 on the list of major institutional owners.
Goede Capital, spun off from Fidelity and the firm sub-advising Fidelity's index funds, is #4.
The largest shareholder is not an institution. It is Musk.
Not just a win for Musk and his (current) 15% stake, but apparently a "win" for the small investor as well.Mr. Musk also probably had the support of many smaller investors who retained their stock despite slumping profits and car sales — and as Mr. Musk’s foray into politics in the last year, in support of Mr. Trump, alienated many people.
“The people who have stayed as shareholders after all this are the people who have drunk the Elon Kool-Aid,” said Randall Peterson, a professor of organizational behavior at the London Business School.
https://vcm.com/assets/fund-docs/Mutual Funds Planned Name Changes Feb 23 2023 Final.pdfIn early Q2 2023, the USAA Mutual Funds will be rebranded as Victory Funds. There will be no changes to the funds’ investment objectives, the investment teams managing the funds or their respective investment processes due to the change in the product branding, and there is no action required on the part of current investors. The Ticker symbols and Cusips are not changing.
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