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Here's a statement of the obvious: The opinions expressed here are those of the participants, not those of the Mutual Fund Observer. We cannot vouch for the accuracy or appropriateness of any of it, though we do encourage civility and good humor.
  • PTIAX falling like a rock.
    While PTIAX may have disappointed you, it has outperformed many other popular multisector funds the past week, month, and YTD.
    Fund 1Wk 1Mo YTD
    PTIAX -3.24 -0.56 1.45
    PIMIX -4.64 -5.69 -4.54
    VCFAX -2.72 -2.42 -1.07
    PUCZX -7.59 -8.20 -6.61
    JMUTX -4.52 -4.42 -2.99
  • PTIAX falling like a rock.
    @Crash FWIW. These are just a few random thoughts....
    It doesn't surprise me that many bond funds took a hit this week. Maybe the bond market is in an "early stage" and rather dysfunctional way saying the bottom is approaching on interest rates (zero percent is a pretty low rate!). Doesn't the NAV for most multisector bond funds tend to decrease as rates start to bump off a rate bottom? (I suspect the current bump was partly related to technical issues and is just a bump for the time being.)
    I am not convinced the world as we know it is coming to an end. Its my sense the Fed will move heaven and earth to keep credit flowing and prevent a total meltdown in the bond markets...zero percent discount rate, quantitative easing, and new tricks yet to be unveiled. Here is a look at the state of the bond market. It can profitably be read just for the generalist highlights.
    https://seekingalpha.com/article/4332039-when-black-swans-collide
    A recession is likely in the offing. So, I suspect the fiscal floodgates will open to prop up the economy over the next year or so.
    https://washingtonpost.com/business/2020/03/14/recession-economy-coronavirus-jobs/
    My thought is the markets and the economy will move past this. The PTIAX dividends will keep arriving and management is skilled enough to make lemon aide out of the lemons. (I own some too.)
    Maybe I acted too early, but on Friday I bought some more ZEOIX (down 2.94% year to date) and initiated a postion in RCTIX (down 0.56% year to date).
  • Stocks Are Plunging -- Here's What You Need to Know
    last 11 days down ~12%, SP500 down ~10%, bond sauce aggravating things rather than the opposite
    But oh, those monthly dividends just keep adding more shares.
  • Stocks Are Plunging -- Here's What You Need to Know
    last 11 days down ~12%, SP500 down ~10%, bond sauce aggravating things rather than the opposite
  • Old_Skeet's Market Barometer ... Spring & Summer Reporting ... and, My Positioning
    @Crash: Thanks for making comment.
    The two equity dividend paying funds that I have been buying (during the market swoon) are IDIVX with a yield of 4.0% and INUTX with a yield of 3.2%. And, yes they have been hit hard during this stock market sell-off. On Friday's stock market rebound, I have the S&P 500 Index being up for the day 9.27% while IDIVX was up 7.45% and INUTX was up 8.80%. And, in comparison, VEIRX with a 3% yield was up for the day 9.18%. And, so it goes. With this, they will recover as the market recovers and I will collect coupons and dividends while I wait.
    In the stock market, investors have the trade day plus two days to settle their trades. This gives those shorting the trade day plu two days to cover and secure borrowed shares that cover their short positions. Otherwise, they would become a naked short position and a buy-in takes place thus keeping it form becoming illegal. The stock market is the only place that I know of where you can sell something that you don't own and not go to jail. Below is how shorting is supose to work.
    When a trader or speculator engages in a practice known as short selling—or shorting a stock—they are essentially borrowing the shares. The short trader borrows shares from an existing owner through their brokerage account. They will then sell those borrowed shares at the current market price. Here, the objective is that they believe the share's market price will decrease before they are forced to pay back the borrowed shares allowing the trader to pocket the difference in the two share prices.
    With this, I removed the word naked from my above script. But, there again, investors have trade plus two days to settle their accounts (Trade plus 2 days, aka T+2).
    Now here is another take on how shorting is actually working in the markets. The below script comes from the Naked Short Site.
    What is Naked Short Selling?
    Before we get into Naked Short Selling let’s understand the basic premises around short selling.
    Short selling is the sale of a security that is not owned by the seller.
    The motivation for short selling is an investor's belief that a stock's price will decline, enabling the short seller to buy the stock back in the future at a lower price and make a profit.
    Normally, when one short sells a stock, their broker will lend them the shares to sell. The loaned stock will come from the broker's own inventory, from another one of the firm's customers, or from another brokerage firm. The shares are sold and the proceeds are credited to the short seller's account. As payment for borrowing the shares, the short seller is charged a fee, quoted as an annualized percentage of the value of the loaned securities - i.e. a borrower of a stock with a 5% stock borrow rate will be charged $5 per year for every $100 of stock borrowed. Stock borrow rates change daily based in large part on the supply and demand to borrow that particular stock.
    If the number of shares available to borrow is in short supply and/or great demand (which is often the case in highly shorted stocks), finding shares to borrow can be difficult and expensive.
    A frequently asked question and outlined in our FAQ’s but let’s look at naked short selling from various perspectives.
    How does naked short selling effect the stock market?
    When a seller "naked short sells a stock" they do not own the shares they are selling and therefore are selling artificial shares. This is like counterfeiting a stock. This process creates an obvious unfair advantage to the seller and an imbalance in the market as the sell side is now increased with more shares – many of which are counterfeit. There is a time limit on how long the seller can sell these shares and be naked on the trade and the time limit is 3 days. This is where the RegSho rules come in and the data we track. If the sellers broker-dealer has not located a borrow to cover this short trade within 3 days they will need to purchase back the shares they have sold on the open market. This process is referred to as a "Buy In".
    "When it comes to illicit short selling, the shorts win over 90% of the time"Naked Short – A license to steal?
    Naked short selling is yet another creation of the securities industry and is in essence nothing more than a license to create counterfeit shares. When you are inflating the amount of stock that is outstanding in a company, this is considered counterfeiting. The rules justify the practice by saying it helps create smooth, efficient and orderly markets. Same stuff we have heard countless times around high-frequency trading, but in reality we believe this practice leads to shady characters creating unlimited supplies of counterfeit stocks which in turn results in your investment continuing to decline and you wondering why?
    I am sure you here because you are a shareholder in a company that just continues to go down, and you have no idea why. Nothing material has happened but the trading doesn’t make any sense. We hear it all the times. Most CEO’s don’t even understand, and are baffled. The worst part is, good luck getting anyone to listen! There is a major epidemic going on right now with naked short selling right now.
    It's funny when we hear CEO's say , I will just buy all the shares up and own the whole O/S and they wont be able to short me anymore. Really?
    Read about: Global Links Corporation and see what happened when Robert Simpson purchased 100% of Global Link’s 1,158,064 shares. Then you will truly understand how the system is rigged. Back to counterfeiting…
    I'm now thinking that one can come to a better understanding of how shorting is working in this high frequency trading market and why the short volume was elevated for the past couple of weeks.
  • AAA longer duration bonds a bit better, U.S.T. issues, March 20, Friday PM close, watching.....
    The Fed is expecting to cut 75 to 100 basis points. The race to the bottom is on! Next is to buy assets at even more higher level than 2008.
  • AAA longer duration bonds a bit better, U.S.T. issues, March 20, Friday PM close, watching.....
    (I’m agnostic on the issue of duplicate links.)
    More importantly - on the bond issue Catch raises, I’ve been searching for a word to characterize the present situation. A seldom used noun, “Confuscation” seems to best fit. The word is so rarely used that your spell-checker will likely try to override it.
    Confuscation - Collins Dictionary: (1) n. “designed to confuse, e.g. a maze or puzzle” (link)
    Just when everyone was expecting rates to decline forever in the lee of Fed rate cuts, bond rates have begun to rise. As Gomer Pyle would say, “Surprise, Surprise!”. The 10-year spiked from somewhere around 0.40% early in the week to near 0.90% at week’s end. That’s a doubling in less than a week’s time.
    The Fed can try to set market rates with its peg on the overnight lending rate (and often succeeds), but there is no absolute guarantee longer rates will follow suit. Apparently, the “real world” bankers and bond vigilantes fear price inflation / depreciation of paper currencies more than the Federal Reserve does. I suspect this is all related to the repo and liquidity issues David and others have commented on in the past - but it’s a bit beyond my pay grade.
    Bonds got hammered late in the week. If your bond fund has some credit risk (ie BBB / high yield) it probably held up better at week’s end as equity markets stormed ahead (good for lower rated bonds). The bloodbath Friday was more related, I think, to the high quality (rate sensitive) areas. By way of example, here’s one way it affected me: Over the past 7-10 days the nav on T. Rowe’s ultra-short bond fund TRBUX has tumbled from around $5.05 / $5.06 all the way down to $5.01 on Friday. That’s a huge decline for a sedate cash-equivalency fund like this one.
    As Catch mentions, many other synergies investors had come to depend on over recent years decoupled last week as well. Miners suffered double-digit losses on several days (-13% on Friday alone). Absolute carnage. That move defied the prevailing wisdom among many gold “experts” that the miners were undervalued relative to gold. A lot of $$ was lost last week by those employing leverage to bet on miners outpacing the metals. Likely we haven’t yet seen all the fallout from that bust.
  • PTIAX falling like a rock.
    @Crash
    You're are likely still in the sleep zone at your house. But, you may review this link regarding the reactions of your bond fund relative to the broad bond market actions.
    While it is unknown what the managers attempted of the fund did during the past week, if you review the fund web page, you may have a better understanding based upon (somewhat) the last reported holdings.
  • AAA longer duration bonds a bit better, U.S.T. issues, March 20, Friday PM close, watching.....
    I've already stepped through this previous; but a re-do for those who didn't read/see.
    A quick look at S&P's bond rating guide:
    "AAA" and "AA" (high credit quality) and "A" and "BBB" (medium credit quality) are considered investment grade. Credit ratings for bonds below these designations ("BB," "B," "CCC," etc.) are considered low credit quality, and are commonly referred to as "junk bonds."
    For those wondering why no support for their portfolio via the bond route, well; this past week didn't really matter. AAA U.S. gov't. issues had no support for whatever reasons remain in something still "broke to hell" with credit freeze or whatever is amiss. For bond portfolios that have a much lower rating for bond holdings, the damage was more critical. I'm sure active managed funds attempted to "fix" their holdings with better quality bonds, but this didn't help either. I expect more action from the Treasury and/or the Fed. next week to attempt to slow down the falling knife.
    I now see, my link has already been posted while this write was delayed in draft mode. None the less, this will stay here.
    Corporate debt at $75 trillion.
  • Old_Skeet's Market Barometer ... Spring & Summer Reporting ... and, My Positioning
    As of market close March 13th, according to the metrics of Old_Skeet's stock market barometer, the S&P 500 Index remains extremely oversold with a reading of 175. This is on the high side of the barometer's scale. A higher barometer reading indicates there is more investment value in the Index over a lower reading. For the past two weeks, the short volume has averaged 64% of the total volume for SPY. The VIX (which is a measure of volatility) has moved from 36 to 53 which reflects volatility has been high. The the stock Index's valuation lost ground during the week moving from a reading of 2972 to 2711 for a -8.8% loss and off it's 52 week high by 19.9%. From a yield perspective, I'm finding that the US10YrT is now being listed at 0.98% while at the beginning of the year it was listed at 1.92%. With the recent stock market swoon the S&P 500 Index is currently listed with a dividend yield of 2.15% while at the beginning of the year it was listed at 1.82%. As you can see there is now a good yield advantage for the stock Index over the Ten Year Treasury. With this, I'm favoring equity income over fixed income due to this yield spread. I also feel that the stock market is somewhat oversold and bonds are somewhat overbought.
    For the week, I was a buyer of equity income at the 19% and 27% decline marks with also having bought equities earlier during this swoon at the 8% and 13% decline marks. I most likely will continue to buy equities as long as they remain in bear market territory and there is a fit for them within my asset allocation. Otherwise, I will simply sit tight and enjoy the upward equity ride when it comes.
    It is interesting how my asset allocation has moved with the changes that have taken place within the capital markets. Both my cash and income percentages have risen (acting as stabilizers), during this stock market swoon, while my equity allocation percentage has fallen due to the decline in equity values. With this, Old_Skeet has been busy buying equities during the stock market swoon thus keeping my equity allocation on bubble. This equity buying caused a cash draw. As I write, I am 18% cash, 42% income and 40% equity.
    From my perspective the advantage of my buying during the swoon means I should get back to even quicker when the upswing comes. Plus, I increased my portfolio's income generation as the equity income funds that I bought have a yield of about 3% to 4% while the cash used to make these purchases was yielding about 1%.
    Thanks for stopping by and reading.
    I wish all ... "Good Investing."
    Old_Skeet
  • Here's what could really sink the global economy: $19 trillion in risky corporate debt
    http://www.wicz.com/story/41895546/heres-what-could-really-sink-the-global-economy-19-trillion-in-risky-corporate-debt
    /Here's what could really sink the global economy: $19 trillion in risky corporate debt
    Posted: Mar 14, 2020 2:32 AM CDT
    By Julia Horowitz, CNN Business
    Companies have spent the years since the global financial crisis binging on debt. Now, as the coronavirus pandemic threatens to push the world into recession, the bill could come due — exacerbating damage to the economy and feeding a meltdown in financial markets./
    We may have to monitor the junk bonds closely, value declined significantly few wks. Difficult tell if they recover in short terms especially oil energy sectors
  • VLAAX
    Now I see for EACH of my $100 x 4 investments I've been charged $50 commission. If anyone contemplating TIAA, stop. I'll try to figure it out. The funds STILL show NTF. And I was never charged for my initial investment. It's also clear additional investment is just $100. Either they fix the problem, or I'm filing complaint with (WHO? someone tell me please) and closing my account.
    I've had recent success filing a complaint with the SEC. (I filed because Merrill Edge had doctored up quantities and prices of fund purchases - Merrill couldn't handle fractional shares.)
    I don't recall if the SEC form below was the exact one I used, but it should suffice:
    https://www.sec.gov/oiea/Complaint.html
    See also Investor Complaints at Investor.gov
    https://www.investor.gov/introduction-investing/general-resources/news-alerts/alerts-bulletins/investor-bulletins-48
    I've posted before about botched brokerage transactions in TIAA's managed accounts (details irrelevant here). TIAA provides a good product for 403(b)s, notably the TIAA Traditional and TREA options. And they have a good retail VA. Aside from those products, I'd be inclined to look elsewhere for investing services.
  • PTIAX falling like a rock.
    @Crash LOL. I'm not sure you have a legitimate complaint about your fund "only up 1.45%". Falling like a rock indeed :-D
  • PTIAX falling like a rock.
    PTIAX was approaching +5% for the year. Now at +1.45%, but this is from Morningstar, so take it with a pound of salt...
  • VLAAX
    FYI. I bought VLAAX and VALIX each a $1000 investment in TIAA. Then I bought $100 in each. At the same time I also bought $100 in BEGIX and BOPIX. All show up NTF and I was never charged any commission.
    Now I see for EACH of my $100 x 4 investments I've been charged $50 commission. If anyone contemplating TIAA, stop. I'll try to figure it out. The funds STILL show NTF. And I was never charged for my initial investment. It's also clear additional investment is just $100. Either they fix the problem, or I'm filing complaint with (WHO? someone tell me please) and closing my account.
    Mother pus-buckets, eh? I hate when I run into that.
  • VLAAX
    FYI. I bought VLAAX and VALIX each a $1000 investment in TIAA. Then I bought $100 in each. At the same time I also bought $100 in BEGIX and BOPIX. All show up NTF and I was never charged any commission.
    Now I see for EACH of my $100 x 4 investments I've been charged $50 commission. If anyone contemplating TIAA, stop. I'll try to figure it out. The funds STILL show NTF. And I was never charged for my initial investment. It's also clear additional investment is just $100. Either they fix the problem, or I'm filing complaint with (WHO? someone tell me please) and closing my account.
  • Individual Investors Calmly Buy Stocks During Sell-Off

    Yes, I was buying this week. I've allocated about 50% of my cash pile into new and/or existing long-term positions as I've posed in the other thread.
    My biggest buy this week was BIP, which I loaded up on in both accounts.