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Here's a statement of the obvious: The opinions expressed here are those of the participants, not those of the Mutual Fund Observer. We cannot vouch for the accuracy or appropriateness of any of it, though we do encourage civility and good humor.
  • Canadian banks news: RY and BNS and National Bank of Canada
    The Big 5 plus National Bank are rock solid. Disappointing earnings news. BNS is more international, especially in Latin America. Basically, they comprise a monopoly together. At the moment, I think BMO is atop the pack for attractiveness. CM. BNS. BMO. RY. TD
    https://www.morningstar.com/stocks/xnys/cm/quote
    https://www.morningstar.com/stocks/xnys/bns/quote
    https://www.morningstar.com/stocks/xnys/bmo/quote
    https://www.morningstar.com/stocks/xnys/ry/quote
    https://www.morningstar.com/stocks/xnys/td/quote
  • OIL
    Energy may have redefined volatility (besides cryptos, of course). XLE was very strong, crashed in June/July, and rebounded now with fury. ALL of its components are again above 200-dMA. If oil remains $90+ (new OPEC-put price?) and crack-spread remain strong, refiners would be swimming in profits and cashflows. This may sound very strange with the talk of recession but then 2022 has been a very unusual year.
    Chart from Twitter Link.
    image
  • AAII Sentiment Survey, 8/24/22
    For the week ending on 8/24/22, Bearish remained the top sentiment (42.4%; high) & bullish became the bottom sentiment (27.7%; low); neutral became the middle sentiment (29.9%; below average); Bull-Bear Spread was -14.7% (low). Investor concerns: Recession/slowdown; inflation (more fiscal stimulus); supply-chain disruptions; the Fed Conf at Jackson Hole; market volatility (VIX, VXN, MOVE); Russia-Ukraine war (26+ weeks); geopolitical. For the Survey week (Thursday-Wednesday), stocks were down sharply, bonds down, oil up sharply (OPEC put?), gold down, dollar up sharply. #AAII #Sentiment #Markets
    https://ybbpersonalfinance.proboards.com/thread/141/aaii-sentiment-survey-weekly?page=7&scrollTo=751
  • LNG news thing. 23rd Aug, '22
    24 august '22:
    HOUSTON, Aug 24 (Reuters) - U.S. pipeline operator Energy Transfer LP on Wednesday said it agreed to supply 2.1 million tonnes of liquefied natural gas (LNG) per year to Shell Plc for 20 years.
    The deal for supplies from its proposed Lake Charles, Louisiana, facility comes as demand and prices for LNG are soaring over Russia's February invasion of Ukraine. LNG prices at the Dutch hub in Europe this week hit $83 per million British thermal units (mmBtu), more than twice that of early March.
    Shell was an original backer of the facility, which received U.S. permits in 2015 to produce 16.4 million tonnes per annum (MTPA) of the superchilled fuel. But the British oil giant quit the project two years ago as energy markets tumbled during the coronavirus pandemic.
    Energy Transfer more recently has signed a string of agreements with potential buyers to supply about 8 MPTA. The Shell agreement anticipates first LNG deliveries under the contract as early as 2026. U.S. permits for the project were issued in 2015, but Energy Transfer has not yet reached a financial greenlight. (Reporting by Rithika Krishna in Bengaluru; Editing by Aditya Soni and Richard Pullin)
  • NightShares 100 ETF in registration
    No, avoid. results since inception 28 july are:
    s & p 500. +8.6%
    nspy 500. -3.7%
    niwm 2000 -5.8%
    inauspicious start
  • NightShares 100 ETF in registration
    NightShares debuted NSPY and NIWM about two months ago (last week of June) and they have since trailed SPY and IWM by, 12 and 15% (not annualized), respectively.
    Any thoughts from forum members in trying to explain this big underperformance would be great.
  • .....And....... fizzle. Again. 24 Aug. '22.
    Yes sir
    ....now or 12 months later sp500 may reach that stage
    Although most analysts from big-whales institutions are now singing sp500 finish near average 4400 -4500 by yr end
    [boa ML Subramanian most bearish 3600s -Jp Morgan Lakosstate 4900 bullish]
  • .....And....... fizzle. Again. 24 Aug. '22.
    @johnN
    One of these days, months or years; with your various predictions on an almost daily basis recently, your money ship may arrive.
    Sp500 ~4600 - 4750 by yr end
  • .....And....... fizzle. Again. 24 Aug. '22.
    Hopeful Sp500 finishes near ~4600 - 4750 by yr end
  • M* screwing everything up again
    Yeah. Thanks @Catch22. I need a simple list of numbers / dates or durations to reference. From that data I can draw connecting arrows, circle things and make little notations on the side with pointy arrows. And instead of a road map, just say “Go north 3 blocks and turn right. Proceed to the next …”
    Yeah - @Old_Joe. For sure. I refuse to stay “signed in” as they and others ask. Of course, that won’t stop the tracking. Off the reservation now (sorry) - But what will be the state of AI in 50 years? / 500 years?
    Might make a good OT thread.
  • M* screwing everything up again
    @Catch22, Are the 5-day, 3 month etc returns given only in graph form or are they numerically stated? Heavy left brain here. Graphs , maps and other visualizations drive me nuts. Like Sgt. Friday always said: “Just the facts Mam … Just give us the facts.” In my case that means numerically shown specific returns - not graph based.
  • M* screwing everything up again
    Hi @hank
    I've used Google Finance for more than 10 years to build and use a "watchlist". Mine is only for watching changes for etf's and/or stocks. These may be viewed "real time" (1 day view) or you may select other time frames (5 day, etc.). If one places a traditional mutual fund ticker, the shortest performance time frame is one month. I use M* to view daily/weekly changes for traditional mutual fund tickers (5 characters). This link should show DKNG real time. You should also see an icon oval with the word "follow". You may click this icon to set this ticker in a watchlist. Using the search window at the top, you may enter other tickers and continue to build a watchlist. The search will also begin to build a "choice list" as you enter a ticker, to help one be able to select what they are searching. You may also remove watchlist items you no longer want to monitor.
    If there are particular news items about a ticker, scroll down the page to check.
    NOTE: to the best of my knowledge, one does not need a Google account or have to log-in to build a watchlist (this link was posted without any log-in). Perhaps one can have more functions with a log-in to Google. I use Google Chrome for the browser, so I don't know what you'll see or be able to do using other browsers.
    So, you won't have piles of data about a ticker, but is a fast and easy reference page for a watchlist.
    Google Finance, set for DraftKings
    Let us know what you discover.
    Remain curious,
    Catch
  • Is Berkshire more like a Mutual Fund than a stock?
    Several past posts:
    1) "MSF describes it—blend—a blue chip stock with its heady growth days in the past.
    "Agree with msf and Lewis assessment. The fast growing business (iPhones, computers, music, and AppleTV) since Steve Jobs's returned has plateaued. In some area Apple is trailing."
    2) "Growth is about revenues, cash flow and earnings versus the benchmark and industry peers and it’s forward looking, not from five or ten years ago."
    FD: Reality check, after close to 3 years, Apple proved to be MORE THAN JUST A BLEND BLUE CHIP
    One year performance......AAPL +12.3....VFINX -6.6%......JPM -23.7%
    Three year performance...AAPL +49.65...VFINX +14.9%...JPM +6.1%
    In just 3 years AAPL made 174% more than VFINX(SP500)....221.8 vs 47.8%...see (chart)
  • LNG news thing. 23rd Aug, '22
    Take a look at FLNG or Flex LNG. Pays $.75 quarterly dividend and will be paying a $.50 one time dividend.
    https://www.nasdaq.com/market-activity/stocks/flng/dividend-history
  • Time to invest in natural gas ?
    NEW YORK, Aug 23 (Reuters) - North American liquefied natural gas (LNG) developers and producers this year have struck deals to sell 48 million tonnes of LNG, which will eventually pump up exports 60% from current levels, although much of the output remains years away.
    LNG demand is soaring as the conflict in Ukraine pushes global prices to their highest in at least 14 years. Buyers in Europe have looked West in a move away from Russian gas, and Chinese buyers are striking long-term deals after a pause.
    New gas-export plants are being developed across the United States, and Mexico and Canada are poised to join as significant gas exporters, with plants proposed for their west coasts.
    Eight North American LNG export terminals are under construction and over a dozen more could receive financial greenlights by 2023. Some buyers have locked in supplies from plants that have not yet been approved for construction, so not every supply agreement may go ahead.
    "The dynamics have shifted," said Charlie Riedl, executive director for trade group Center for Liquefied Natural Gas. "Buyers are trying to lock up firm agreements where they can (to) guarantee that gas is going to be delivered," he said.
    For a factbox on North American LNG export plants, see
    This week, European gas prices hit $84 per million British thermal units (mmBtu) and U.S. gas futures on Tuesday topped $10 per mmBtu for the first time since 2008.
    'LONG-TERM ROLE'
    Goldman Sachs forecasts global LNG demand to rise about 12% 424 MTPA next year and expects new plants that will supply 156 MTPA to be approved within the next five years.
    Growing demand has made the United States this year's largest LNG exporting nation during the first six months. Approved projects that are expected to begin shipments between 2023-2026 could keep the country in first place.
    "It is important for the United States to supply the market to support allies in Europe and Asia and improve the ability of the developing world to access gas," said Mike Sabel, Venture Global LNG's chief executive. His firm has entered into agreements to sell 18.5 MTPA of LNG since last September.
    Some of the biggest deals are from Chinese firms returning to the U.S. market after a pause over tariff disputes. Late last year, Venture Global LNG struck deals for 11 MTPA with units of China's Sinopec and CNOOC Ltd. China's ENN Natural Gas Co signed separate deals last year with Cheniere Energy and Energy Transfer.
    Due to the lack of available capacity, some recent deals have involved facilities whose construction have not yet received financial approvals. Those agreements "reinforce our conviction in the long-term role" for LNG in global energy markets, said Tim Wyatt, a Cheniere senior vice president.
    For a factbox on recent North American LNG deals, see
    But rising demand has led to construction of three new U.S. export projects and several more could be approved in 2023.
    "The global energy crisis has been years in the making due to significant underinvestment," said Octavio Simoes, CEO of Tellurian, which recently started construction on its long-delayed plant in Louisiana.
    TOP EXPORTERS
    In 2021, top LNG exporters were Australia at 78.5 MTPA, Qatar at 77.0 MTPA, the United States at 67.0 MTPA and Russia at 29.7 MTPA, according to the International Gas Union (IGU), an industry group.
    The United States, with vast reserves of shale gas, is on track to produce a record 85 MTPA of LNG this year, according to U.S. government projections.
    About 68% of U.S LNG exports went to Europe during the first half of 2022 versus just 35% in all of 2021, according to data provider Refinitiv.
    There are four export plants under construction in the United States that will boost the nation's capacity to produce LNG from 104.6 MTPA now to 156.3 MTPA in 2026.
    In addition, two export plants are under construction in Canada and two in Mexico that will add another 20.8 MTPA to North America's LNG production once all of the facilities enter service by 2027.
    (Reporting by Scott DiSavino; Editing by David Gregorio)
  • LNG news thing. 23rd Aug, '22
    You'll recognize the names that are dropped.
    Taken from the TRP webpage.
    NEW YORK, Aug 23 (Reuters) - North American liquefied natural gas (LNG) developers and producers this year have struck deals to sell 48 million tonnes of LNG, which will eventually pump up exports 60% from current levels, although much of the output remains years away.
    LNG demand is soaring as the conflict in Ukraine pushes global prices to their highest in at least 14 years. Buyers in Europe have looked West in a move away from Russian gas, and Chinese buyers are striking long-term deals after a pause.
    New gas-export plants are being developed across the United States, and Mexico and Canada are poised to join as significant gas exporters, with plants proposed for their west coasts.
    Eight North American LNG export terminals are under construction and over a dozen more could receive financial greenlights by 2023. Some buyers have locked in supplies from plants that have not yet been approved for construction, so not every supply agreement may go ahead.
    "The dynamics have shifted," said Charlie Riedl, executive director for trade group Center for Liquefied Natural Gas. "Buyers are trying to lock up firm agreements where they can (to) guarantee that gas is going to be delivered," he said.
    For a factbox on North American LNG export plants, see
    This week, European gas prices hit $84 per million British thermal units (mmBtu) and U.S. gas futures on Tuesday topped $10 per mmBtu for the first time since 2008.
    'LONG-TERM ROLE'
    Goldman Sachs forecasts global LNG demand to rise about 12% 424 MTPA next year and expects new plants that will supply 156 MTPA to be approved within the next five years.
    Growing demand has made the United States this year's largest LNG exporting nation during the first six months. Approved projects that are expected to begin shipments between 2023-2026 could keep the country in first place.
    "It is important for the United States to supply the market to support allies in Europe and Asia and improve the ability of the developing world to access gas," said Mike Sabel, Venture Global LNG's chief executive. His firm has entered into agreements to sell 18.5 MTPA of LNG since last September.
    Some of the biggest deals are from Chinese firms returning to the U.S. market after a pause over tariff disputes. Late last year, Venture Global LNG struck deals for 11 MTPA with units of China's Sinopec and CNOOC Ltd. China's ENN Natural Gas Co signed separate deals last year with Cheniere Energy and Energy Transfer.
    Due to the lack of available capacity, some recent deals have involved facilities whose construction have not yet received financial approvals. Those agreements "reinforce our conviction in the long-term role" for LNG in global energy markets, said Tim Wyatt, a Cheniere senior vice president.
    For a factbox on recent North American LNG deals, see
    But rising demand has led to construction of three new U.S. export projects and several more could be approved in 2023.
    "The global energy crisis has been years in the making due to significant underinvestment," said Octavio Simoes, CEO of Tellurian, which recently started construction on its long-delayed plant in Louisiana.
    TOP EXPORTERS
    In 2021, top LNG exporters were Australia at 78.5 MTPA, Qatar at 77.0 MTPA, the United States at 67.0 MTPA and Russia at 29.7 MTPA, according to the International Gas Union (IGU), an industry group.
    The United States, with vast reserves of shale gas, is on track to produce a record 85 MTPA of LNG this year, according to U.S. government projections.
    About 68% of U.S LNG exports went to Europe during the first half of 2022 versus just 35% in all of 2021, according to data provider Refinitiv.
    There are four export plants under construction in the United States that will boost the nation's capacity to produce LNG from 104.6 MTPA now to 156.3 MTPA in 2026.
    In addition, two export plants are under construction in Canada and two in Mexico that will add another 20.8 MTPA to North America's LNG production once all of the facilities enter service by 2027.
    (Reporting by Scott DiSavino; Editing by David Gregorio)
  • GQHPX
    looking damn good right about now.
    investor class. 2,500.
    https://www.morningstar.com/funds/xnas/gqhpx/performance