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Here's a statement of the obvious: The opinions expressed here are those of the participants, not those of the Mutual Fund Observer. We cannot vouch for the accuracy or appropriateness of any of it, though we do encourage civility and good humor.
  • Help buying individual BOND
    YB-Let me try - Cusip - 912796ZU6 UNITED STATES TREAS BILLS ZERO CPN 0.00000% 02/14/2023 - asking 98.6860 ask yield 4.155 what will I get when it matures on 2/14/2023.
    Thanks,
    D
  • Help buying individual BOND
    @kings53man, the secondary market for Treasuries is huge and liquid, so bid-ask spreads are tiny, unlike those for corporates and munis.
    I do prefer buying Treasuries at auctions, but I was saying that it is easy to START a Treasury ladder by buying in the secondary market.
  • Help buying individual BOND
    I think interest rates will be lower in 2 to 3 years, so I would buy either 3 to 5 year treasuries or solid corporates that are non-callable
    Does anyone else have different ideas about how far out to go on the yield curve?
    Any body tempted by "make whole Calls" ? As I understand them, if called the issuer has to also pay you the interest owed till maturity. While there is an opportunity cost if rates have fallen significantly, you would do better than with a traditional call.
    Several low yield bonds ( APPL 2025 under 1%) are trading for 85 to 90, ie as almost zero coupons with YTM of 4 to 5%. I would think the issuer would be unlikely to call a bond with that low an interest rate.
    There are others paying higher rates, which would also cost a bundle to call.
  • Analyst Says Apple to Launch Health Insurance Product in 2024

    The ACA pre-existing condition requirement covers ALL health insurance plans unless it’s a grandfathered plan: https://www.hhs.gov/healthcare/about-the-aca/pre-existing-conditions/index.html
    The information there is at best poorly written. If it is meant to describe only individual plans, the writing is poor because it doesn't say that. If it is meant to apply more generally, it is simply wrong.
    Medicare supplemental health insurance plans can deny coverage (except during initial open enrollment period or in special circumstances) based on health conditions.
    https://www.medicare.gov/supplements-other-insurance/when-can-i-buy-medigap
    There is a lot in the ACA that is specifically targeted to Medicare. So I don't wish to give the impression that the ACA does not apply at all to Medicare.
    In addition to Medicare supplemental plans, the medical underwriting restrictions in the ACA do not apply to large employer plans. Though they do apply to small employer plans. The rationale for the distinction is that if a small employer has one employee who is costly to insure, and if the insurer consequently hikes the plan rate, it could become unaffordable for the employer. Health coverage for every employee might vanish as a result.
    The Affordable Care Act limits the factors that can be used to charge consumers greater health insurance premiums. For insurance coverage effective January 1, 2014, health insurance issuers in the individual and small group markets are allowed to vary premiums based on age (within a 3:1 ratio for adults), tobacco use (within a 1.5:1 ratio and subject to wellness program requirements in the small group market), family size, and geography.
    https://www.cms.gov/CCIIO/Programs-and-Initiatives/Health-Insurance-Market-Reforms/Market-Rating-Reforms
  • SPR, Oil Futures, US Budget
    The US SPR is getting alarmingly low. Increasingly, the SPR is involved in the US oil policy and the fiscal/budget policy.
    In the WH announcement, notably item #2 implies using futures contracts, probably privately negotiated, not the public futures markets; or a mix of the two. Those futures prices are seen at CME for 2024 but there isn't any meaningful trading activity or volume in those futures.
    https://www.whitehouse.gov/briefing-room/statements-releases/2022/10/18/fact-sheet-president-biden-to-announce-new-actions-to-strengthen-u-s-energy-security-encourage-production-and-bring-down-costs/
    https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/equities/sp/e-mini-sandp500.quotes.html
  • from Canada: consumers will now be dunned
    Here in California, ARCO has perhaps the lowest cost gasoline. Since the composition of the profit margin for fuel from any gas station is a "black box", it's pointless to wonder what part of the price may be ascribed to anything.
    ...
    ARCO's price differential between cash and credit is also significant. So it's a no-brainer: if there's a convenient ARCO station, go there, use cash.
    Years ago (the last time I lived near ARCO stations), ARCO didn't take credit cards and sold cheaper grade (not Top Tier™) gasoline.
    Apparently not any more. ARCO's moved up in the world. Still cheaper, though.
    https://www.savingadvice.com/articles/2020/10/30/1034665_is-arco-gas-bad-for-your-car.html
    This got me looking, Where I live, the cheaper stations tend to be BP (no ARCOs). It seems that last year BP stopped selling Top Tier gasoline. Though BP claims that its Invigorate® additive exceeds Top Tier requirements.
    Invigorate® FAQ
    On the investment side, BP purchased ARCO in 1999. In 2012 it sold the ARCO brand and a refinery to Tesoro (now part of Marathon Petroleum), while licensing back the name for gas stations in Northern California, Oregon, and Washington State.
    As near as I can tell, OJ's ARCO station is still owned by BP. I don't know what brand gasoline comes out of its pumps.
  • Help buying individual BOND
    Graust - my understanding was 1/4 of 5.75 but wrote incorrectly - will fix.
    I am looking at new issue now in my fidelity account - cusip - 17330RME2 CITIGROUP GLOBAL MKTS HLDGS IN SER N 5.45000% 10/21/2024 MTN - looks like 2 year Bond - callable after 1 year and then can be quarterly.
    Rating: Moody's: A2
    Rating: S&P: A
    Coupon: 5.75
    Maturity: 10/21/2024
    Callable: Yes - after 1 year and then quarterly.
    My understanding - will collect 2.725 every six months - 2 times (i.e. 1 year) and then the accumulated interest with face value when it matures or called.
    Plan is to hold till maturity or called.
    Just 10K investment so moving slow, hopefully dust will settle by then.
    Thanks,
    D
  • Help buying individual BOND
    This helped me a lot.
    (Snip)
    Plan is to collect 5.75% every 3 months till maturity or called earlier.
    (Snip)
    Thanks a lot to everyone.
    D
    Just a reminder that the 5.75% is annual…so you will get a quarter of that (1.875%?), every quarter :)
    Never thought I would actually be buying treasuries, or CDs, or individual bonds in general, in my investing account! Thanks everyone for all the knowledge-sharing!
  • Help buying individual BOND
    YB - I am just starting my journey on this individual bond purchase so not confident about buying bonds in secondary market at this time
    Progress - I checked my Fidelity account - trade executed today at 3:58 p.m. I now own 100 bonds of 3134GX4W1 FEDERAL HOME LN MTG CORP MTN 5.75000% 10/27/2027. I will ignore the market price which will fluctuate. I expect to get 143.75 every quarter till the bond is called.
    Next looking for Corporate bond category - JohnN mentioned about it - will look for new issue and will come back with Q.
    Thanks to all of you for helping me in this journey.
    D
  • from Canada: consumers will now be dunned
    Outside of the US, surcharges for credit card purchases are common. Once when I returned from a foreign trip, I was surprised to see not only 4% card surcharges (expected) but also 3% currency fees (unexpected), for a total of 7%!
    Merchants have dealt with these costs for a long time (sale-billing-payment; even check payments may take several days to clear and some may bounce). In pre-credit-card days, "factoring" was common - merchants sold 30-90 day receivables at 3-5% discount to raise quick cash. So, they didn't mind much when a more efficient credit card system developed and credit card "interchange" fees replaced the old "factoring" costs (messy, cumbersome, inefficient). Merchants may complain about such costs, but they have been used to these 3-5% sales related costs for decades, if not centuries.
  • from Canada: consumers will now be dunned
    Here in California, ARCO has perhaps the lowest cost gasoline. Since the composition of the profit margin for fuel from any gas station is a "black box", it's pointless to wonder what part of the price may be ascribed to anything.
    That makes the choice very clear: ARCO's prices, both cash and credit, are clearly posted for comparison against competitors, and ARCO prices are typically much lower- 30, 40, 50¢ per gallon... sometimes even more, especially when compared to Chevron.
    ARCO prices are roughly equivalent to Costco, but Costco stations are few and far between, and of course there's the membership charge at Costco.
    ARCO's price differential between cash and credit is also significant. So it's a no-brainer: if there's a convenient ARCO station, go there, use cash. Every week we travel back and forth between SF and our weekend place, and fortunately there's an 18-pump ARCO just north of the Golden Gate bridge, with some of the lowest prices in the Bay Area.
  • Help buying individual BOND
    @kings52man, setting up Treasury ladder is easy at Fido with secondary market Treasury purchases, and then you rollover at auctions as they mature.
    I recently helped a friend set up 6-12-18-24 mo T-Bills/Notes ladders at Fido and Vanguard. He will rollover into 2-yr T-Notes as each matures.
  • Help buying individual BOND
    So many good CD at fidelity
    If you buy CD day price 99.965, is that the same price you place for trade
    Tried get CD for mama this morning keep getting rejected - Morgan Stanley CD ytm 5.1% 12 months
    Also Bought mama gm bond bbb 3 yrs mature 5.4% ytm
    Cusip 37045vaw0
    Slow buying in next 6 9 months
    Don't jump in too fast and put all eggs in one basket
  • Help buying individual BOND
    This helped me a lot.
    FYI - My account is with Fidelity so it was the source of CUSIP number.
    3133ENT26 - it got fully subscribed so couldn't buy today.
    So went with cusip - 3134GX4W1 FEDERAL HOME LN MTG CORP MTN 5.75000% 10/27/2027 ('AAA' rated - callable every quarter), invested a small amount.
    Plan is to collect 1.875 % every 3 months till maturity or called earlier.
    Purchase is in retirement account so it will fund my withdrawal.
    I have been buying CDs - 1 month - riding the interest rate increases - started with 1.75 to now 3.015, may go for higher maturity when dust settles (Central banks pause).
    I don't plan to open account with any other entity (bank or brokerage) - just Fidelity is fine for me now.
    Now going to hunt for Treasury bills/notes - shorted duration - to build up the bond ladder, will post what I do and/or ask Q.
    Thanks a lot to everyone.
    D
    Edit - corrected the % above - 1.875 (Thanks Graust).
  • from Canada: consumers will now be dunned
    The retailer pays for the card service by incorporating its cost into the price of merchandise. Everybody pays, regardless of whether they charge their purchase or not. The retailer pockets the excess when a customer pays with cash. That's greed.
    Or perhaps the retailer guesses what percentage of future customers will use credit cards and prices to break even. Now card customers (who are paying less than cost) are sponging off of cash customers (who are still paying for service not desired or requested).
    Same idea with NTF funds. Funds' NTF share class collect higher fees so that they can pay for the brokerage services. Everyone pays those higher ERs, even if they buy directly from the fund distributor.
    Often that extra fee is buried in "other expenses" or increased management fees. The management even looks noble, by "absorbing" the brokerage cost.
    Other times, it is made more transparent as a line item: a 12b-1 fee and/or a "service fee". This seems to be when investors start to complain. Not because the fee is being charged, but because it is now (somewhat) transparent, right in front of their eyes.
    Another example: I will soon be purchasing a pair of concert tickets (about $60/ticket). The fee for doing this by phone/online is $9/ticket. Aside from that fee seeming, well, rather high, it's also transparent. So I know about it, and I will instead buy the tickets at the venue the next time I'm in the neighborhood. At least I have that opportunity.
    Would it be better for the venue to have added, say, $8.50 to the purchase price figuring that 95% of its customers won't be buying in person?
  • from Canada: consumers will now be dunned
    Every gas station in my state advertises a credit price and a cash price.
    We use a Sam's Club MasterCard for gas -- 5% cashback (at any gas station). That's better than the cash discount (which is usually 10 cents).
    David
    Yes, if we're going to buy something anyhow, we use our cards to get the points. Ours is not as good as 5% however. But your membership fee at Sam's is the "hook." ours are with Navy. Visa and Amex. We get 3% on gas with Amex. And because we have direct deposit, we get 1.5 on the visa.
    I just think it sucks, dunning the customer for what had been an arrangement b/w retailer and card company. Greed knows no bounds. Spooge lickers.
  • from Canada: consumers will now be dunned
    Every gas station in my state advertises a credit price and a cash price.
    We use a Sam's Club MasterCard for gas -- 5% cashback (at any gas station). That's better than the cash discount (which is usually 10 cents).
    David
  • Help buying individual BOND
    Found that on Schwab:
    FEDERAL FARM CR BKS CONS SYSTEMWIDE BDS
    Rating: Moody's: Aaa
    Rating: S&P: AA+
    Coupon: 5.3
    Maturity: 10/19/2026
    Callable: Yes
    CUSIP - 3133ENT26
    Personally, I prefer to buy individual bonds rather than bond funds for exactly the reasons that you mention. Here's some of the bad things that can happen with an individual bond:
    • Issuer bankruptcy- (Given the Moody's and S&P ratings, improbable with this one)
    • General interest rates decline, so issuer calls bond before maturity. You get your money back, plus accrued interest
    • General interest rates continue to climb, so that newly issued bonds pay better interest rates, but your money is tied up until maturity.
    The overall direction of general interest rates between now and maturity is your main concern. If you're comfortable with locking in 5.3%, susceptible to a premature call, then it seems like a reasonable situation. Your understanding is correct- I hope that this is helpful.