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Here's a statement of the obvious: The opinions expressed here are those of the participants, not those of the Mutual Fund Observer. We cannot vouch for the accuracy or appropriateness of any of it, though we do encourage civility and good humor.
  • Expense ratio on Schwab's MM fund, SWVXX
    While I wish you could buy VMFXX at Schwab or Fido, the inconvenience and nuisances at Vanguard IMHO do not make up the difference. For $50,000 I am loosing $50 to put up with Vanguard
    I don't have $1,000,000 to put into cash which is the minimum for institutional funds at least at Schwab and Fidelity I think.
    Never looked at Merrill online.
    @msf Is it worth looking at?
    I have tried not to leave much in MMF recently, as T bills and CDs pay better and are a little bit more secure
  • Expense ratio on Schwab's MM fund, SWVXX
    When rates were effectively zero, fund sponsors subsidized their funds so that they all yielded 0.01%.
    SWVXX 7 day yield w/waivers: 4.49%: w/o waivers: 4.48% (as of 3/22/23)
    https://www.schwabassetmanagement.com/products/swvxx
    E/R (after waiver); 0.34%
    E/R (w/o waiver): 0.35%
    Summary prospectus
    If one is willing to trade convenience for small improvements in yield (which can make sense for larger piles of cash), instead of VMFXX (0.11% ER, 4.55% yield, gov fund), one might use VUSXX (0.09% ER, 4.59% yield, pure treasury).
    For Fidelity MMFs (again, sacrificing convenience for return) one might use FSIXX (0.21% ER, 0.18% w/waivers; 4.48% w/waivers; pure treasury), available with a $1K min at Merrill.
    https://olui2.fs.ml.com/Publish/Content/application/pdf/GWMOL/ICCRateSheet.pdf
  • Expense ratio on Schwab's MM fund, SWVXX
    Not sure why I didn't pay attention to this before, but I never bothered to look at the expense ratio of the Schwab MM fund, SWVXX. It's 0.34%. The 7day yield given is 4.49% but with an added stipulation, 7 day yield with waivers. So, is the actual "net yield " actually 4.49-0.34 = 4.15% after expenses? Or, is the expense ratio known as "waivers"?
    I'm assuming the Fidelity MM fund has the same connotation, with waivers(?)
    Which now has me thinking, a couple years ago when rates were measured in fractions of a percent, 0.1, 0.2% yield, were we actually losing money being in this fund?
  • TCAF, an ETF Cousin of Closed Price PRWCX
    There is a filing for several active Price ETFs, including TCAF (although 80%+ equity; ER 0.31% only) to be managed by Giroux (PRWCX). Filing also includes several other active ETFs.
    https://www.sec.gov/ix?doc=/Archives/edgar/data/1795351/000174177323000901/c485bpos.htm
  • T. Rowe Price New Horizons and Emerging Markets Stock Funds reopening to new investors
    There is a filing for several active Price ETFs, including TCAF (although 80%+ equity; ER 0.31% only) to be managed by Giroux (PRWCX). Filing also includes several other active ETFs.
    https://www.sec.gov/ix?doc=/Archives/edgar/data/1795351/000174177323000901/c485bpos.htm
  • AAII Sentiment Survey, 3/22/23
    For the week ending on 3/22/23, bearish remained the top sentiment (48.9%; very high) & bullish remained the bottom sentiment (20.9%; very low); neutral remained the middle sentiment (30.2%; above average); Bull-Bear Spread was -28.0% (very low). Investor concerns: Inflation (moderating but high); economy; the Fed (hiked by +25 bps); dollar; cryptos; market volatility (VIX, VXN, MOVE); Russia-Ukraine war (56+ weeks, 2/24/22- ); geopolitical. For the Survey week (Th-Wed), stocks were up, bonds down, oil up sharply, gold up, dollar down sharply. Global banking crisis continued; the US regulation of smaller banks needs reforms. #AAII #Sentiment #Markets
    https://ybbpersonalfinance.proboards.com/post/988/thread
  • Sell all bond funds?
    I’ve played around a bit with CCOR over the past year or two. Small amounts. Currently out. From what I’ve read it buys / sells deep in the money options with about 10% of assets and so provides a strong hedge on big down days. For whatever reason, that wasn’t the case today, as it fell 0.72% . A guess is that the speed and suddenness with which the markets turned upside down prevented it from working its magic. I still think it’s a good defensive fund - but one needs to find the right role for it inside a diverse portfolio.
    Re: CCOR - ”Options are then used to control portfolio volatility and to maintain cash flows. As a hedge, the fund may sell S&P 500 calls to finance the purchase of S&P 500 puts. This strategy may cause the fund to give up some upside potential in exchange for downside protection. Managers may utilize other option strategies like spreads for hedging and income generation as well.” - Source
  • T. Rowe Price New Horizons and Emerging Markets Stock Funds reopening to new investors
    Email from T Rowe Price concerning the reopening:
    View in browser
    T. Rowe Price Log in to your account T. Rowe Price
    Dear Investor,
    Fund Name Ticker CUSIP
    T. Rowe Price Emerging Markets Stock Fund – Investor Class PRMSX 77956H864
    T. Rowe Price Emerging Markets Stock Fund – I Class PRZIX 77956H484
    T. Rowe Price Institutional Emerging Markets Equity Fund IEMFX 74144Q203
    T. Rowe Price New Horizons Fund – Investor Class PRNHX 779562107
    T. Rowe Price New Horizons Fund – I Class PRJIX 779562206
    We are writing to inform you that effective April 26, 2023, we are removing the purchase restrictions on the Emerging Markets Stock Fund, Institutional Emerging Markets Equity Fund, and New Horizons Fund.
    These funds have been restricted to all investors due to capacity constraints. At that time, we were concerned that continued significant cash inflows would overwhelm the portfolio manager’s ability to invest prudently. This change now allows investors who trade directly with T. Rowe Price to open new accounts in the funds.
    Since that time, market conditions have changed, and overall assets under management have decreased. Following a thorough review of net flows and other factors related to the potential capacity of the strategy, we believe we can accommodate controlled asset growth over time.
    Thank you for your continued business and partnership with T. Rowe Price. If you have any questions regarding this matter, please feel free to reach out to us.
    Download a prospectus for the T. Rowe Price Emerging Markets Stock Fund, the T. Rowe Price Institutional Emerging Markets Equity Fund and the T. Rowe Price New Horizons Fund.
    All funds are subject to market risk, including the potential loss of principal.
    This communication does not undertake to give investment advice in a fiduciary capacity. T. Rowe Price Associates, Inc., and/or its affiliates receive revenue from T. Rowe Price investment products and services.
    This email may be considered advertising under federal law.
    T. Rowe Price Investment Services, Inc.
  • Sell all bond funds?
    Unless you bought at the peak of CCOR's performance late last year as David described, it has proven generally more defensive than DSTL, up 2.5% in 2022 overall while DSTL was down 10.6%. Yet no question, CCOR is struggling this year. But these two funds seem quite different in their strategies.
  • Be thankful you didn’t retire on 1/1/2022.
    Let’s say one retired on 1/1/2022 with 1m investable in tax deferrred accounts. Not yet doing RMD. Let’s say you had no imagination and did 50% SPY and 50% AGG. Let’s say you reinvested your Divs and withdrew 4% annually. According to Portfolio Visualizer by the end of Feb. 23 you would now be sitting on $827,299. Yuuup. That is the classic SORR. Of course nobody here retired at the start of 2022 and nobody here would invest that way. So let’s all be thankful.
  • Janet Yellen to Reassure Bankers
    These folks are a tough spot on whether to deal with the inflation while facing with the bank mess ant the same time. Clearly something broke. Even with this 25 bps rate hike, the market sold off for 1%. Guess Powell chose inflation over bank crisis. Will watch Powell speech this evening. Tomorrow will be interesting.
  • FOMC, 3/22/23
    Notes from FOMC Statement & Powell's Presser

    Fed fund rate hike of +25 bps to 4.75-5.00%; bank reserve balance rate 4.9%; discount rate 5%. Guidance changed from "ongoing rate increases" to "tightening as necessary" based on future data and events. Rate cuts are unlikely this year despite market expectations. The Fed deals with fiscal policy as it comes and has no comments or input into it. Inflation is moderating but remains high; path to +2% average inflation may be long and bumpy.
    QT continues at -$60 billion/mo for Treasuries and -$35 billion/mo for MBS. The recent expansion of the Fed balance sheet due to temporary and short-term bank lending isn't really offsetting the QT that is for its longer-term securities.
    Labor market remains strong now but the unemployment rate may rise to 4.5% later this year.
    Economy is slowing overall. Services and consumer spending (possibly due to milder Winter) are strong, but goods and housing are weak. Risks now are to the downside, but soft landing is still possible.
    Banking crisis: Strong actions were taken to boost confidence in the banking system. This crisis may lead to some tightening of financial conditions. The new FTBP and Discount Window lending facilities available to all banks should protect deposits and avoid runs (some happened very quickly). The failed banks and several others were under Fed watch, but runs and collapses still happened. Fed VC Barr is leading a review of bank supervision and regulation. The CRE exposure of smaller banks isn't seen as an issue now. Resolution of Swiss Credit Suisse was a huge relief.
    Reaction of the stock market was mixed - first up, then down. Most Treasury rates fell on the day of fed fund rate hike.
    https://ybbpersonalfinance.proboards.com/post/986/thread
  • Fed Watch
    As I am retired and threw my back out yesterday chain sawing I listened to entire press conference.
    Hiked 0.25% but gee he could not predict if the turmoil in banks would lead to tighter lending and there fore make recession more likely and rate cuts sooner.
    Incredibly wide range of expected federal funds rate at end of 2023 5% to 2%
    Impressive performance, but reporters were complaining it was "Dull". Sorta speaks to their priorities. Calm cool and reasoned discussions don't sell papers.
    They quickly changed focus to Yellen who apparently said she did not believe every bank should be bailed out
    Regional Banks crashed
    Another day in the big city
  • Fed Watch

    WASHINGTON (AP) — The Federal Reserve extended its year-long fight against high inflation Wednesday by raising its key interest rate by a quarter-point despite concerns that higher borrowing rates could worsen the turmoil that has gripped the banking system.
    “The U.S. banking system is sound and resilient,” the Fed said in a statement after its latest policy meeting ended. At the same time, the Fed warned that the financial upheaval stemming from the collapse of two major banks is “likely to result in tighter credit conditions” and “weigh on economic activity, hiring and inflation.”
    The central bank also signaled that it’s likely nearing the end of its aggressive streak of rate hikes. In its statement, it removed language that had previously said it would keep raising rates at upcoming meetings. The statement now says “some additional policy firming may be appropriate” — a weaker commitment to future hikes.
    The Fed included some language that indicated its inflation fight remains far from complete. It noted that hiring is “running at a robust pace” and “inflation remains elevated.” It removed a phrase, “inflation has eased somewhat,” that it had included in its statement in February.
    Speaking at a news conference Wednesday, Chair Jerome Powell said, “The process of getting inflation back down to 2% has a long way to go and is likely to be bumpy.”
    The latest rate hike suggests that Powell is confident that the Fed can manage a dual challenge: Cool still-high inflation through higher loan rates while defusing turmoil in the banking sector through emergency lending programs and the Biden administration’s decision to cover uninsured deposits at the two failed banks.
    The central bank’s benchmark short-term rate has now reached its highest level in 16 years. The new level will likely lead to higher costs for many loans, from mortgages and auto purchases to credit cards and corporate borrowing. The succession of Fed rate hikes have also heightened the risk of a recession.
    The troubles that suddenly erupted in the banking sector two weeks ago likely led to the Fed’s decision to raise its benchmark rate by a quarter-point rather than a half-point. Some economists have cautioned that even a modest quarter-point rise in the Fed’s key rate, on top of its previous hikes, could imperil weaker banks whose nervous customers may decide to withdraw significant deposits.
    The above was excerpted from a current Associated Press article, and has been edited for brevity.
  • Fed Watch
    Well, wrong again, as usual. I thought that Powell might pass on an immediate rate hike, but he did in fact go with the 0.25% as most of you folks predicted. Maybe I should send my brain back to the factory for an upgrade.