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Here's a statement of the obvious: The opinions expressed here are those of the participants, not those of the Mutual Fund Observer. We cannot vouch for the accuracy or appropriateness of any of it, though we do encourage civility and good humor.
  • FOMC Statement, 6/14/23
    YBB Notes
    Hawkish-hold, so the fed funds remain at 5.00-5.25%, but it could go up by 25-50 bps by 2023YE; the (bank) reserve balance rate is 5.15%; the discount rate is 5.25%. The pause now is to let the effects of Fed actions so far work given some lag. The 2-yr is a good indicator of where the fed funds may be going. The Fed doesn't want to surprise the markets (so, monitor CME FedWatch). Any Fed rate cuts may not be for 2 years.
    The QT continues at -60 billion/mo for Treasuries, -35 billion/mo for MBS. The large Treasury issuance will further reduce financial liquidity. The Fed balance sheet is declining. The Fed is keeping an eye on money-markets. But the Fed only watches the Treasury and fiscal (by Congress) actions.
    The economy has slowed. The inflation has moderated but is still high (PCE +4.4%, core PCE +4.7%). The service inflation is sticky. The goal remains average +2% inflation to be achieved without causing much damage the the economy. Soft landing is possible. The labor market is tight and wages will rise, but slower growth will be desirable; labor demand still exceed supply. The consumer spending is also strong. The Fed can only watch the news on labor strikes.
    Housing has slowed due to higher mortgage rates and lease renewals have been weak.
    Regional banking has stabilized. Credit conditions has tightened. Many small banks have significant CRE exposures and some may have trouble. The Fed is keeping an eye on systemic risks in banks and nonbank financials (that is where problems were during the pandemic).
    https://ybbpersonalfinance.proboards.com/post/1070/thread
  • Does Fido charge to reinvest dividends in a non NTF fund?
    Many brokerages charge for both buy and sell fund transactions. Back in the dark days (pre-2019) when most brokerages charged stock commissions, they charged fees on both ends. Should funds be any different?
    As I recall, it was in the 1990s that Fidelity first went to a one-way (buy) fee of $75. Schwab took some time to follow before it changed from a $35 two-way fee to a $76 one-way fee. A few other brokerages gradually followed suit.
    Some of the brokerages still charging fees on both ends include:
    Vanguard: $20/trade. "Fees apply per trade for all purchases, sales, and exchanges, regardless of order size."
    T. Rowe Price: $35/trade. "If you purchased a fund and paid a transaction fee, one will be charged upon its sale ..."
    Merrill: $19.95/transaction. "Applies to buy, sell and exchanges."
  • Vanguard raises fees, mins on legacy (fund) platform and brokerage platform
    FWIW, I spoke with a Vanguard rep and found out we can still receive our TAX Forms by US Mail without paying a fee. I think there may be a tax law that requires tax forms to be mailed unless taxpayer agrees to another delivery method. Not sure.
    I, like some others, would like to continue receiving statements by mail for the benefit of my wife if something were to happen to me, but not enough to pay $25 per account. I suppose she could call VG and change back to paper.
  • Strange VIX, SKEW, SP500
    Today, PPI +1.1% (vs exp +1.5%), core PPI +2.8% (vs exp +2.9%). So, if (wholesale) PPI << (retail) CPI, that means future CPI will decline.</blockquote>
    Will U.S. equity markets rise or fall after today’s 2 PM FOMC announcement?
    Mostly going nowhere today. Unusual lack of volatility in recent days.
  • Strange VIX, SKEW, SP500
    Today, PPI +1.1% (vs exp +1.5%), core PPI +2.8% (vs exp +2.9%). So, if (wholesale) PPI << (retail) CPI, that means future CPI will decline.
  • Treasuries Flood is Coming
    I continue to use MM which pays 4.9-5% compared to 3-6 months treasuries at 5.2-5.3%. The difference is insignificant. MM lets me trade in/out of funds very easily.
  • Fidelity - same day fund exchange restrictions and my experience
    I have been complaining about the above for over 10 years to Fidelity reps/supervisors. Several reps told me it's a finra/sec rules but it's not correct. It's Fidelity's own imposed rules.
    As a trader, it's just annoying and wasting extra time. When I'm invested, I want to be in all the time and not wait an extra day since I hardly ever use the exchange feature by selling/buying funds from the same family funds. The use of 90% of the proceeds for the buy order is also annoying, especially when I sell bond funds on regular days when they move less than 0.5%
    Over the years, I see a deterioration in the knowledgeable reps. Years ago, I hardly ever had any issues calling a rep to enter the buy trade, in the last couple of years, I get replies such as You can't do it and must wait another day or I need to change you a fee. In these cases, I ask to talk to a supervisor to solve the problem. It can take up to 30 minutes.
    At Schwab it's a lot easier, I just enter the sell first, and seconds later, I enter the buy order, and I'm responsible to make sure the buy amount is small than the sell. In most cases, I trade bonds OEFS and why I use 99%. The process takes 1-2 minutes, and no reps are involved.
  • Does Fido charge to reinvest dividends in a non NTF fund?
    The dividend and cap gain distribution will be reinvest without transaction fee. You can to decide if the distribution goes to the sweep account (money market) or reinvest. Make sure you make this selection online.
    Learned from @msf years ago, you can buy more later for $5 transaction fee using their automatic investment feature: schedule the purchase day and the $ amount. A second one is scheduled a monthly later but you can cancel it before the purchase date. As for selling TF funds, there is no transaction fee whereas Schwab charges the full transaction fee as buying.
  • Does Fido charge to reinvest dividends in a non NTF fund?
    DODGX and DODWX transferred to Fidelity without issues. However, cost to trade is steep at 75 bucks. Not a problem for me since I just leave them alone. If they charge me for distributions I'll be on the move again soon.
    Yes, That’s my thinking. The amount still with D/C is relatively small. Makes sense for me to consolidate everything. Frankly, even if dividends couldn’t be reinvested (free of charge) I’d be comfortable with that and could roll those into a different (NTF) fund.
  • Does Fido charge to reinvest dividends in a non NTF fund?

    If you perform a trade on D&C fund (as testing), it will tell you the $2,500 minimum and $49.95 transaction fee. It seems that D&C funds are still sold through Fidelity but somewhere in the maintenance process it got foul up.
    That's interesting. I ran my test on a Dodge fund in my IRA and got the 75$ quote.
  • Does Fido charge to reinvest dividends in a non NTF fund?
    @hank, I have been talking with Fidelity on this topic. D&C funds disappeared from Fidelity mutual fund listing in the last few weeks. Very strange since it was on their Transaction Fee platform for years. It is also strange that when you enter the D&C ticker symbol, nothing shows up. The representative cannot explain that either.
    If you perform a trade on D&C fund (as testing), it will tell you the $2,500 minimum and $49.95 transaction fee. It seems that D&C funds are still sold through Fidelity but somewhere in the maintenance process it got foul up.
    This needs to be resolved on Fidelity side before you perform the in-kind transfer. I would call their help desk.
  • Does Fido charge to reinvest dividends in a non NTF fund?
    Has this in-kind transfer happened or are you thinking about it?
    D&C doesn't seem to be supported at Fidelity platform (NTF or TF). D&C tickers don't even pull up a quote at Fido site. So, such in-kind transfer may not even be allowed.
    No direct experience.
    DODGX and DODWX transferred to Fidelity without issues. However, cost to trade is steep at 75 bucks. Not a problem for me since I just leave them alone.
    If they charge me for distributions I'll be on the move again soon.
    BTW, if you meet with a rep they will review your portfolio to see if they can handle everything in it.
  • Does Fido charge to reinvest dividends in a non NTF fund?
    Has this in-kind transfer happened or are you thinking about it?
    D&C doesn't seem to be supported at Fidelity platform (NTF or TF). D&C tickers don't even pull up a quote at Fido site. So, such in-kind transfer may not even be allowed.
    No direct experience.
    D&C funds are available with TF at Fido.
    The Fido search seems to be broken. If you search from its fund research page, you can find them: https://fundresearch.fidelity.com/mutual-funds/summary/256219106
  • Treasuries Flood is Coming
    It's not just a flood, it's a tsunami. My headline. Fortune by way of Yahoo.
    Now a $1 trillion tsunami of high-quality government paper is slated to hit markets before September, at a time when Michele warns the Fed is already draining $95 billion in liquidity—the oxygen that fuels asset prices—every month through quantitative tightening.
    Students of seismic events, and informed residents of coastal areas, will remember that tsunamis are preceded by water calmly receding from the coast line.
    The article is actually about Bob Michele's view that:
    “This [regional bank failures] does remind me an awful lot of that March-to-June period in 2008,” Michele told CNBC in an interview on Friday, citing the three-month rally that followed the Bear deal. “The markets viewed it as: there was a crisis, there was a policy response and the crisis is solved.”
    Who he? I didn't know either.
    Bob Michele, who is responsible for managing $700 billion in assets for the world’s most valuable bank [JP Morgan], believes there are too many current parallels to the 2008 global financial crisis to simply dismiss the idea of a repeat out of hand.
    He also sees problems in commercial real estate.
    More than $1.4 trillion in U.S. CRE loans are due to mature by 2027, with $270 billion alone coming due this year, according to real estate data provider Trepp. Much of this debt will have to be rolled over at higher rates.
    “There are a lot of companies sitting on very low-cost funding,” Michele said. “When they go to refinance, it will double, triple or they won’t be able to [roll it over] and they’ll have to go through some sort of restructuring or default.”
  • Floating rate funds in rising, flat, and falling rate environments
    I have invested in BL/FR bonds in last several years and managed to have a modest gain. Now it is time to rotate these bonds into longer duration investments grade bonds - treasury and corporate. If and when the recession arrives, the FED will cut rates and that will benefit the longer bonds as the bond prices appreciate. This may be one of those rare year where double digit total return is possible for some of these bonds.
    I still have a high cash allocation in T bills, CDs, money market, and stable value. It is the sticky inflation (4%) that erode the 5% yield of the cash equivalents. As these cash equivalents mature every month, I will reinvest them in bond funds.
  • Vanguard raises fees, mins on legacy (fund) platform and brokerage platform
    Since Sept 2022, opting into e-delivery only gets some annual fees waived. To get annual mutual fund fees (legacy platform) waived, one must meet the minimum Vanguard investment requirement. In 2022 that was $1M; it is about to go up to $5M.
    Mutual fund-only customers will need to pay an annual $20 fee per fund starting in September [2022], FA-IQ sister publication Ignites writes, citing Vanguard’s website.
    That’s on top of the $20 annual account fee, according to the publication.
    While clients can avoid the account fee by going paperless or meeting other standards, the same option doesn’t extend to the per-fund fee, Ignites writes, citing the disclosure.
    https://www.financialadvisoriq.com/c/3717064/478154/vanguard_drive_clients_brokerage_platform
  • Floating rate funds in rising, flat, and falling rate environments
    Keep wanting to buy FFRHX, but conflicted feelings. The chart above shows Floating rate funds don't excel during times of falling interest rates....which could be on the medium-term horizon. Then you have the YTD runup that Junkster mentioned, along with default risk. Plus the fact that the portfolio is, well, "junk".
    But what keeps catching my eye are the close to double-digit yields. Sticking with FFRHX, the 30 day yield is 9.55% (Distribution yield daily is 8.27%) per Fido. High risk, but also decent potential long-term compensation (yield). Is this the definition of "reaching for yield"?
    I suppose that if you are a trader, it's a bit late to get on board. But for long-term investors pondering an entry point....do you really wait for the next oscillation down? There might not be one if the Fed pauses and then decides to stop raising rates altogether.
    In 2008, Bank Loan Funds lost approx. -30% on average. The waves can be large.
    Lastly, I would rather collect close to 5% in Money Markets funds than buy RPHIX. Not a fan, used to own the fund when interest rates were nil.
  • Vanguard raises fees, mins on legacy (fund) platform and brokerage platform
    Vanguard is raising its fees again if you use their legacy platform or get paper statements. Starting September 1, you will have to have $5M (was $1M) invested with Vanguard to avoid a $25 (was $20) annual fee. Likewise, if you don't meet this new min in a brokerage account, you'll be charged $25 annually for paper statements.
    https://www.bogleheads.org/forum/viewtopic.php?p=7292940#p7292940
    History
    Through early 2022:
    - Legacy platform: $20/fund - waived w/$10K in fund
    - Brokerage platform: $20/brokerage account - waived w/$10K in Vanguard assets in account or w/e-delivery
    - Fees also waived with combined Vanguard investments of $50K across all accounts
    September 30, 2022
    - Legacy platform: $20/fund - waived with Flagship status ($1M in Vanguard investments)
    - Brokerage platform: $20/brokerage account - waived with Flagship status or e-delivery
    (Start date was for existing accounts and is found in @LewisBraham's Barron's article.)
    June 1, 2023 (September 1 for existing accounts) the new fee schedule kicks in.
    https://investor.vanguard.com/client-benefits/brokerage-fees-commissions