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I can't give you hard numbers, but somewhere around 75% equity/25% cash to begin with in the IRA.Look at who are predicting 6500 - 4 of 5 largest market participating banks. That is 6.5% from here. Probably easier to make that much with reasonably comfortable bond funds.
David Giroux’s 5300 is a 14% drop from here. So many members of this forum are invested heavily with David.
Thanks @bee and @stillers.
@bee, @stillers, @WABAC, @rforno, . . .
By how much are you reducing or have you reduced your equity allocation from the 2024 peak level?
It Giroux is right, I’d expect he’ll be on the cover of Barron’s shortly thereafter.”David Giroux’s 5300 is a 14% drop from here. So many members of this forum are invested heavily with David.”
I have been saying the following over 15 years in all the sites I post.A very quick look shows that
VIX(SP500 SD) < 15
MOVE(treasury SD)=87=low
SP500 is in an uptrend.
I don't need to check beyond that.
My big picture = "normal" market = I'm invested at 99+% for several months now.
but you're invested 99+% in bonds, not the SP500, and in "special" bonds that don't move the way most bond funds move, so your so-called big picture has no real relevancy, as per usual, to your own personal big picture, more or less, give or take.
@yogibb, thank you. I suspect that is the case. Wonder why?FRNs can be bought only through an agent, not online.
Cut the guy some slack - he has an almost 97% success rate predicting the past..A very quick look shows that
VIX(SP500 SD) < 15
MOVE(treasury SD)=87=low
SP500 is in an uptrend.
I don't need to check beyond that.
My big picture = "normal" market = I'm invested at 99+% for several months now.
but you're invested 99+% in bonds, not the SP500, and in "special" bonds that don't move the way most bond funds move, so you're so-called big picture has no real relevancy, as per usual, to your own personal big picture, more or less, give or take.
A very quick look shows that
VIX(SP500 SD) < 15
MOVE(treasury SD)=87=low
SP500 is in an uptrend.
I don't need to check beyond that.
My big picture = "normal" market = I'm invested at 99+% for several months now.
Strategas’ Chief Investment Strategist, Jason Trennert has a long track record of calling major investment themes. He shares his predictions for 2025.

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