@Derf: 2.750%
Regards,
Ted

FYI: Just rolled over BANKOFBARODA NEW YORK NY CD CPN: 2.250% Due : 2/12/2019 that I bought on 12/3/18 to Compass BK CD Birmingham AL CD CPN 2.300% Due 6/17/2019.
Regards,
Ted

Didn't read the article either, but doesn't seem to add anything new to the discussion. So I'll just reiterate my observations when the Buffett letter came out:
- I might have suggested 12% (that would amount to a three year buffer @4% drawdown/year), otherwise agree with MikeM
- Buffett (as well as Bogle) is enamored with the US market; I'd prefer a more global equity allocation.
Note also that Buffett did not instruct the trustee to invest 90/0/10 as the article claims. That was merely his advice:

My advice to the trustee could not be more simple: Put 10% of the cash in short-term government bonds and 90% in a very low-cost S&P 500 index fund. (I suggest Vanguard’s.) I believe the trust’s long-term results from this policy will be superior to those attained by most investors – whether pension funds, institutions or individuals – who employ high-fee managers.

http://www.berkshirehathaway.com/2013ar/2013ar.pdf

Thanks David, but I just don't see the significance in how it did in the 4th quarter down-turn if you are holding it as part of a long term portfolio strategy. Maybe I just think differently than others. All fine funds you mentioned, but they have not performed better than DSENX as a long term holding (sadly only 3-5 year data available). Tamer and probably better downside risk, but you lose that gain on the upside.

I went and graphed Oct-Dec $10k change for CAPE, DSEEX, SP500, low-vol LC ETFs, plus DOD, MMTM, QUAL, SCHD, VIG.... And yeah, everyone has already beat me to the point: DSEEX and CAPE did not do any better, to the contrary, did somewhat worse.
(I too have wanted to use CAPE for Merrill no-cost trading but cannot.)
I was v impressed to see how comparatively well TWEIX, YACKX, and PRBLX did during that significant slump. Yay for active management sometimes.

@Sven, DSENX is not a balanced fund (as thoroughly discussed in past discussions here. msf I believe had some good info on that point) so that comparison you gave ends up being apples to oranges. I suppose it could be called a "hybrid" type fund for whatever that means. For me it's just a large cap fund that has a really good return record and does better than the index, whether that's the LC Value or S&P 500 index. And what is meant by your comment that the 2018 drawdown is sizeable? In 2018 per M* the fund lost -4.3% while the LC value index lost -8.5% (S&P500 was -4.4%). It is a little more volatile if you are basing that on the STD, but does that matter if your holding the fund long term and not trying to get in and out to time the market? Higher STD is a bad thing if you don't hold on to your funds. In any case, there is nothing to say this fund is significantly more risky than your typical large cap fund. Take a look at the upside/downside capture ratio. Again DSENX has more upside than the S&P500 index and less downside. It blows the LCV index out of the water by that measure.
@MikeW, didn't really pay much attention before, but per M*, DSENX lost -15.6% and in comparison the S&P500 lost -13.5% in the 4th qtr. The CAPE ETF also lost about the same as DSENX so apparently it relates to the S&P500 low valuation sectors the CAPE formula was invested in at the time. It is not a low-volatility fund if that's what you are looking for.

By Jim Sloan at SeekingAlpha:
"Summary
•Buffett's 2013 Shareholder Letter stated that he would instruct the trustee of his wife's bequest to invest 90% in an S&P 500 index fund and 10% in short Treasuries.
•An academic back study shows that this unorthodox allocation produces not only high returns but a much lower failure rate than conventional 40/60 and 30/70 portfolios.
•The essence of the Buffett portfolio is to divide the future into the short term in which money is needed and the long term in which stock returns are superior.
•The effect, in bond manager lingo, is a "barbell" portfolio with concentration at very short and very long maturities and an excluded middle - the Berkshire term structure.
•It turns out that the barbell may be the best way of matching maturities to the needs of pension funds, institutions, insurance companies, and individuals - including some retirees."
https://seekingalpha.com/article/4239453-buffetts-barbell-90-percent-equities-10-percent-cash-wife-berkshire-maybe-retirees?ifp=0

David, why would you need a CAPE stand in?
You turned me on to DSENX years ago and it remains one of my top holdings. FDSAX seems a poor substitute for DOD and it hasn't even kept up with the S&P500 let alone DSENX. Some times more is less. Maybe not even sometimes.

CAPE, again, has outperformed DOD the last 6/5/4/3/1y periods. (Slightly.) I shoulda considered it when looking for a CAPE standin, instead of QUAL and MMTM and a few others. DOD sure has a higher UI, though, and by some degree.

FYI: Time to check in on some old friends: the Dogs of the Dow.
The “dogs” are just the 10 stocks with the highest dividend yields in the 122-year-old Dow Jones Industrial Average, which these days include Verizon (ticker: VZ), International Business Machines (IBM) and Pfizer (PFE).
It is an old stock-picking strategy grounded in the idea that you can make more money by buying cheap stocks than you can buying expensive stocks. Sounds simple, but it works.
Regards,
Ted
https://www.barrons.com/articles/buying-the-dow-stocks-with-the-highest-dividends-is-a-winning-strategy-51549620000?mod=hp_DAY_9
Dogs Of The Dow.Com:
http://www.dogsofthedow.com/

FYI: Just like the broader market this week, the rally in high yield credit stalled out a bit. Earlier on Friday, we highlighted the fact that the S&P 500 ran into resistance right at its 200-DMA earlier this week and has been pulling back ever since. In the case of the ETF that tracks the high yield credit market (HYG), we have seen a similar setup. Coming off the lows in December, high yield was a little bit late to the rally, but it quickly made up any lost ground and has since followed the move in the S&P 500 step for step. In fact, this week HYG even managed to briefly trade above its 200-DMA. In this case, though, HYG ran out of momentum pretty much right at the same spot (~$85) where recent bounce attempts also ran out of steam.
The fact that these rallies in both high yield and the broader equity market are stalling out right at key moving averages is no doubt a focus of technicians, but given the magnitude of the moves off the lows, they had to take a break at some point, so why not at a point where everyone was expecting it. The only test now is whether there are enough bids below current levels to support the market, or will sellers eventually overwhelm the balance.
Regards,
Ted
https://www.bespokepremium.com/think-big-blog/high-yield-stalls/

Yes, I remember when Kinder Morgan MLP shareholders received significant income in taxable and non-taxable accounts when the MLPs were converted into Kinder Morgan stock.
Here is a reminder of that incident:
https://www.investopedia.com/articles/financial-advisors/010516/mlp-investors-hit-surprise-tax-bill-ira-income.asp
Here is a link for Cramer on the same issue:
https://www.thestreet.com/story/11544379/1/cramer-on-retirement-can-master-limited-partnerships-hurt-your-ira.html

FYI:
Regards,
Ted
https://www.cnbc.com/video/2019/02/05/cashin-the-p-is-moving-up-and-the-e-is-slipping-down.html?&qsearchterm=Art Cashin

@FD1000, you make a good point looking at the last 3 month spurt. In that case I agree the time to buy was 3 months ago (sounds like a Geico commercial :) ). I was looking at it as what to expect from a long term, next 3-5 years, investment in Munis (or maybe bonds in general) and in that way I wouldn't be comfortable that 1 year or 3 year Muni returns will out-perform CD's or even a money market like they did in past years. But who knows. And maybe that changes if in a taxable account versus tax deferred.
I agree with the point you made though.

My choice for HY munis is ORNAX. 5 stars since forever at M*.

FYI: RiverPark Advisors, LLC today announced the conversion of the RiverPark Floating Rate CMBS Fund (RCRIX, RCRFX) to an open-end mutual fund with daily liquidity from an interval fund. The strategy is managed by Edward L. Shugrue III, as it has been since its inception in 2010. The strategy has not had a down year since its inception and has averaged 6.16% per year over that period. The conversion was effective as of November 12, 2018.
Regards,
Ted
https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20190205005181/en

FYI: -Catalyst Funds, an alternative-focused mutual fund company, today announced the launch of the Catalyst Enhanced Income Strategy Fund (EIXIX). The Fund employs an income-focused strategy that invests in a variety of non-traditional income asset classes.
Regards,
Ted
https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20190205005219/en

(Unable to read the wsj article.)
I’ve normally gravitated to funds that preached value investing. There are are many different ways to define what a “value stock” represents. But the most important thing IMHO is that the “worst news” has already been discounted by the market so that these stocks aren’t likely to fall much further. Should be just the recipe for a patient long term investor.
Obviously, value hasn’t been the place to be for at least a decade. But it would be sad if managers who preach value investing were to begin acting contrary to the contract they have with their investors and stray from the value approach in search of better return.
Louis Navellier made 10 recommendations in late 2018 for stocks he felt were top value picks. https://investorplace.com/2018/11/10-value-stocks-to-buy-for-december/.
Here’s Navellier’s list:
Wendy’s, Boeing, Intel, Microsoft, Amazon?, Berkshire Hathaway, J.P. Morgan Chase, Proctor & Gamble, United Health Care, Chevron
Of the above, only one, United Health Care, is among OAKBX’s top 25 holdings (my previous post).
:) Just noticed OAKBX holds Phillip Morris. Hard to argue with that one. I think it’s been considered a “value stock” for about as long as I’ve been investing (50 years).

The Hulbert article offers the following list of value stocks for the DIYer who can't find a fund for the job:
• Bank OZK OZK 3.55% (OZK)
• Brighthouse Financial BHF -0.83% (BHF)
• Capital One Financial COF 0.63% (COF)
• Citigroup C 0.61% (C)
• Goldman Sachs GS 0.60% (GS)
• Gulfport Energy GPOR -0.12% (GPOR)
• Mallinckrodt MNK -0.67% PLC (MNK)
• New York Community Bancorp (NYCB)
• PennyMac Mortgage Investment Trust PMT 1.24% (PMT)
Financial services figure prominently. OAKBX has a few, but Citigroup is the only one in common.

I deserted OAKBX late in 2018 after a near 15-year marriage. It got ravaged during the December market rout. It is, of course, supposed to be a value fund. BTW - It’s been hot ever since I left. :)
Interested what folks think of these top 25 holdings. Is that fund still true to its value roots, or has it morphed into something else? Thanks for any observations.
Symbol Name % Weight
GM General Motors Co 4.95%
BAC Bank of America Corporation 4.80%
TEL TE Connectivity Ltd 3.93%
-- United States Treasury Notes 1.25%
MA Mastercard Inc A 3.11%
NSRGY Nestle SA ADR 2.98%
CVS CVS Health Corp 2.58%
UNH UnitedHealth Group Inc 2.36%
DEO Diageo PLC ADR 2.26%
GOOG Alphabet Inc Class C 2.18%
PM Philip Morris International Inc 2.12%
-- United States Treasury Notes 2.12%
C Citigroup Inc 1.82%
CHTR Charter Communications Inc A. 1.78%
-- United States Treasury Notes 1.75%
FL Foot Locker Inc 1.73%
ORCL Oracle Corp 1.69%
ALLY Ally Financial Inc 1.67%
BWA BorgWarner Inc 1.63%
-- United States Treasury Notes 2.38%
-- United States Treasury Notes 1.62%
NOV National Oilwell Varco Inc 1.41%
LEA Lear Corp 1.30%
GLEN Glencore PLC 1.30%
AIG American International Group Inc. 1.23%
Source: https://ycharts.com/mutual_funds/M:OAKBX/holdings