Category Archives: Funds

Akre Focus (AKREX), September 2014

By David Snowball

Objective

The fund seeks long-term capital appreciation by investing, mostly, in US stocks of various sizes and in “other equity-like instruments.”  The manager looks for companies with good management teams (those with “a history of treating public shareholders like partners”), little reliance on debt markets and above-average returns on equity. Once they find such companies, they wait until the stock sells at a discount to “a conservative estimate of the company’s intrinsic value.” The Fund is non-diversified, with both a compact portfolio (30 or so names) and a willingness to put a lot of money (often three or four times more than a “neutral weighting” would suggest) in a few sectors.

Adviser

Akre Capital Management, LLC, an independent Registered Investment Advisor located in Middleburg, VA. Mr. Akre, the founder of the firm, has been managing portfolios since 1986. As of June 30, 2014, ACM had approximately $3.8 billion in client assets under management, split between Akre Capital Management, which handles the firm’s separately managed accounts ($1 million minimum), a couple hedge funds, and Akre Focus Fund.  

Managers

John Neff and Chris Cerrone. 

Mr. Neff is a Partner at Akre Capital Management and has served as portfolio manager of the fund since August 2014, initially with founder Chuck Akre. Before joining Akre, he served for 10 years as an equity analyst at William Blair & Company. Mr. Cerrone is a Partner at Akre Capital Management and has served as portfolio manager of the fund since January 2020. Before that he served as an equity analyst for Goldman Sachs for two years.

Strategy capacity and closure

Mr. Akre allows that there “might be” a strategy limit. The problem, he reports, is that “Every time I answer that question, I’ve been proven to be incorrect.  In 1986, I was running my private partnership and, if you’d asked me then, I would have said ‘a couple hundred million, tops.’”  As is, he and his team are “consumed with producing outcomes that are above average.  If no opportunities to do that, we will close the fund.”

Active share

96. “Active share” measures the degree to which a fund’s portfolio differs from the holdings of its benchmark portfolio. High active share indicates management which is providing a portfolio that is substantially different from, and independent of, the index. An active share of zero indicates perfect overlap with the index, 100 indicates perfect independence. The active share for the Akre Focus Fund is 96, which reflects a very high level of independence from its benchmark S&P 500.

Management’s Stake in the Fund

Mr. Neff and Mr. Cerrone have each invested over $1 million of their own money in Akre Focus.

Opening date

August 31, 2009 though the FBR Focus fund, which Mr. Akre managed in the same style, launched on December 31, 1996.

Minimum investment

$2,000 for regular accounts, $1000 for IRAs and accounts set up with automatic investing plans. The fund also has an institutional share (AKRIX) class with a $250,000 minimum.

Expense ratio

1.3% on assets of about $4.2 billion, as of June 2023. There’s also a 1.00% redemption fee on shares held less than 30 days. The institutional share class on assets of about $7.2 billion has an expense ratio of 1.04% with the difference being the absence of a 12(b)1 fee. 

Comments

In 1997, Mr. Akre became of founding manager of FBR Small Cap Growth – Value fund, which became FBR Small Cap Value, then FBR Small Cap, and finally FBR Focus (FBRVX). Across the years and despite many names, he applied the same investment strategy that now drives Akre Focus. Here’s his description of the process:

  1. We look for companies with a history of above average return on owner’s capital and, in our assessment, the ability to continue delivering above average returns going forward.

    Investors who want returns that are better than average need to invest in businesses that are better than average. This is the pond we seek to fish in.

  2. We insist on investing only with firms whose management has demonstrated an acute focus on acting in the best interest of all shareholders.

    Managers must demonstrate expertise in managing the business through various economic conditions, and we evaluate what they do, say and write for demonstrations of integrity and acting in the interest of shareholders.

  3. We strive to find businesses that, through the nature of the business or skill of the manager, present clear opportunities for reinvestment in the business that will deliver above average returns on those investments.

    Whether looking at competitors, suppliers, industry specialists or management, we assess the future prospects for business growth and seek out firms that have clear paths to continued success.

The final stage of our investment selection process is to apply a valuation overlay…

Mr. Akre’s discipline leads to four distinguishing characteristics of his fund’s portfolio:

  1. It tends to have a lot of exposure to smaller cap stocks. His explanation of that bias is straightforward: “that’s where the growth is.”
  2. It tends to make concentrated bets. He’s had as much as a third of the portfolio in just two industries (gaming and entertainment) and his sector weightings are dramatically different from those of his peers or the S&P500. 
  3. It tends to stick with its investments. Having chosen carefully, Mr. Akre tends to wait patiently for an investment to pay off. In the past 15 years his turnover rate never exceeded 25% and is sometimes in the single digits.
  4. It tends to have huge cash reserves when the market is making Mr. Akre queasy. From 2001 – 04, FBRVX’s portfolio averaged 33.5% cash – and crushed the competition. It was in the top 2% of its peer group in three of those four years and well above average in the fourth year. At the end of 2009, AKREX was 65% in cash. By the end of 2010, it was still over 20% in cash. 

It’s been a very long time since anyone seriously wondered whether investing with Mr. Akre was a good idea. As a quick snapshot, here’s his record (blue) versus the S&P500 (green) from 1996 – 2009:

akrex1

And again from 2009 – 2014:

akrex2

Same pattern: while the fund lags the market from time to time – for as long as 18-24 months on these charts – it beats the market by wide margins in the long term and does so with muted volatility. Over the past three to five years AKREX has, by Morningstar’s calculation, captured only about half of the market’s downside and 80-90% of its upside.

There are two questions going forward: does the firm have a plausible succession plan and can the strategy accommodate its steadily growing asset base? The answers appear to be: yes and so far.

Messrs. Saberhagen and Neff have been promoted from “analyst” to “manager,” which Mr. Akre says just recognizes the responsibilities they’d already been entrusted with. While they were hired as analysts, one from a deep value shop and one from a growth shop, “their role has evolved over the five years. We operate as a group. Each member of the group is valued for their contributions to idea generation, position sizing and so on.” There are, on whole, “very modest distinctions” between the roles played by the three team members. Saberhagen and Neff can, on their own initiative, change the weights of stocks in the portfolio, though adding a new name or closing out a position remains Mr. Akre’s call. He describes himself as “first among equals” and spends a fair amount of his time trying to “minimize the distractions for the others” so they can focus on portfolio management. 

The continued success of his former fund, now called Hennessy Focus (HFCSX) and still managed by guys he trained, adds to the confidence one might have in the ultimate success of a post-Akre fund.

The stickier issue might be the fund’s considerable girth. Mr. Akre started as a small cap manager and much of his historic success was driven by his ability to ferret out excellent small cap growth names. A $3.3 billion portfolio concentrated in 30 names simply can’t afford to look at small cap names. He agrees that “at our size, small businesses can’t have a big impact.” Currently only about 3% of the portfolio is invested in four small cap stocks that he bought two to three years ago. 

Mr. Akre was, in our conversation, both slightly nostalgic and utterly pragmatic. He recalled cases where he made killings on an undervalued subprime lender or American Tower when it was selling for under $1 a share. It’s now trading near $100. But, “those can’t move the needle and so we’re finding mid and mid-to-large cap names that meet our criteria.” The portfolio is almost evenly split between mid-cap and large cap stocks and sits just at the border between a mid-cap and large cap designation in Morningstar’s system. So far, that’s working.

Bottom Line

This has been a remarkable fund, providing investors with a very reliable “win by not losing” machine that’s been compounding returns for decades. Mr. Akre remains in control and excited and is backed by a strong next generation of leadership. In an increasingly pricey market, it certainly warrants a sensible equity investor’s close attention.

Fund website

Akre Focus Fund

© Mutual Fund Observer, 2014. All rights reserved. The information here reflects publicly available information current at the time of publication. For reprint/e-rights contact us.

September 2014, Funds in Registration

By David Snowball

BBH Core Fixed Income Fund

BBH Core Fixed Income Fund will try to provide maximum total return, consistent with preservation of capital and prudent investment management. The plan is to buy a well-diversified portfolio of durable, performing fixed income instruments. The fund will be managed by Andrew P. Hofer and Neil Hohmann. The opening expense ratio has not yet been set. The minimum initial investment will be $25,000.

Brown Advisory Total Return Fund

Brown Advisory Total Return Fund will seek a high level of current income consistent with preservation of principal. The plan is to invest in a variety of fixed-income securities with an average duration of 3 to 7 years. Up to 20% might be invested in high yield. The fund will be managed by Thomas D.D. Graff. The opening expense ratio hasn’t been announced and the minimum initial investment will be $5,000, reduced to $2,000 for IRAs and funds with automatic investing plans.

Brown Advisory Multi-Strategy Fund

Brown Advisory Multi-Strategy Fund will seek long-term capital appreciation and current income. It will be a 60/40 fund of funds, including other Brown Advisory funds. The fund will be managed by Paul Chew. The opening expense ratio hasn’t been announced and the minimum initial investment will be $5,000, reduced to $2,000 for IRAs and funds with automatic investing plans.

Brown Advisory Emerging Markets Small-Cap Fund

Brown Advisory Emerging Markets Small-Cap Fund will seek total return by investing in, well, emerging markets small cap stocks. They have the option to use derivatives to hedge the portfolio. The fund will be managed by [                    ] and [                   ]. Here’s my reaction to that: an asset class is dangerously overbought when folks start filing prospectuses where they don’t even have managers lined up, much less managers with demonstrable success in the field. The opening expense ratio will be 1.92% for Investor Shares and the minimum initial investment will be $5,000, reduced to $2,000 for IRAs and funds with automatic investing plans.

Cambria Global Asset Allocation ETF (GAA)

Cambria Global Asset Allocation ETF (GAA) will seek “absolute positive returns with reduced volatility, and manageable risk and drawdowns, by identifying an investable portfolio of equity and fixed income securities, real estate, commodities and currencies.” The fund is nominally passive but it tracks a highly active index, so the distinction seems a bit forced. The fund will be managed by Mebane T. Faber and Eric W. Richardson. The opening expense ratio has not yet been announced.

Catalyst Tactical Hedged Futures Strategy Fund

Catalyst Tactical Hedged Futures Strategy Fund will seek capital appreciation with low correlation to the equity markets. The plan is to write short-term call and put options on S&P 500 Index futures, and invest in cash and cash equivalents, including high-quality short-term fixed income securities such as U.S. Treasury securities. The fund will be managed by Gerald Black and Jeffrey Dean of sub-adviser ITB Capital Management. The opening expense ratio is not yet set. The minimum initial investment will be $2500.

Catalyst/Princeton Hedged Income Fund

Catalyst/Princeton Hedged Income Fund will seek capital appreciation with low correlation to the equity markets. The plan is to invest 40% in floating rate bank loans and the rest in some combination of investment grade and high yield fixed income securities. They’ll then attempt to hedge risks by actively shorting some indexes and using options and swaps to manage short term market volatility risk, credit risk and interest rate risk. They use can a modest amount of leverage and might invest 15% overseas. The fund will be managed by Munish Sood of Princeton Advisory. The opening expense ratio is not yet set. The minimum initial investment will be $2500.

Causeway International Small Cap Fund

Causeway International Small Cap Fund will seek long-term capital growth. The plan is to use quantitative screens to identify attractive stocks with market caps under $7.5 billion. The fund might overweight or underweight its investments in a particular country by 5% relative to their weight in the MSCI ACWI ex USA Small Cap Index. They can also put 10% of the fund in out-of-index positions. The fund will be managed byArjun Jayaraman, MacDuff Kuhnert, and Joe Gubler. This same team manages Global Absolute Return, Emerging Markets and International Opportunities. The opening expense ratio will be 1.56% and the minimum initial investment will be $5,000, reduced to $4,000 for IRAs.

Context Macro Opportunities Fund

Context Macro Opportunities Fund will seek total return with low correlation to broad financial markets. The plan is to use a number of arbitrage and alternative investment strategiesincluding but not limited to, break-even inflation trading, capital structure arbitrage, hedged mortgage-backed securities trading and volatility spread trading to allocate the Fund’s assets. The fund will be managed by a team from First Principles Capital Management, LLC. There is a separate accounts composite whose returns have been “X.XX% since <<Month d, yyyy>>.” The opening expense ratio has not yet been announced. The minimum initial investment will be $2000, reduced to $250 for IRAs.

Crawford Dividend Yield Fund

Crawford Dividend Yield Fund will seek to provide attractive long-term total return with above average dividend yield, in comparison with the Russell 1000 Value© Index.  The plan is to buy stocks with above average dividend yields backed by consistent businesses, adequate cash flow generation and supportive balance sheets. The fund will be managed by John H. Crawford, IV, CFA. The opening expense ratio will be 1.01% and the minimum initial investment will be $10,000.

Greenleaf Income Growth Fund

Greenleaf Income Growth Fundwill seek increasing dividend income over time. The plan is to buy securities that the managers think will increase their dividends or other income payouts over time. Those securities might include equities, REITs and master limited partnerships (MLPs). They can also use covered call writing and put selling in an attempt to enhance returns. The fund will be managed by Geofrey Greenleaf, CFA, and Rakesh Mehra. The opening expense ratio will be 1.4x% and the minimum initial investment will be $10,0000 reduced to $5,000 for IRAs and funds with automatic investing plans.

Heartland Mid Cap Value Fund

Heartland Mid Cap Value Fund will seek long-term capital appreciation and “modest” current income. That’s actually kinda cute. The plan is to invest in 30-60 midcaps, using the same portfolio discipline used in all the other Heartland funds. The fund will be managed by Colin P. McWey and Theodore D. Baszler. For the past 10 years Mr. Baszler has co-managed Heartland Select Value (HRSVX) which is also a mid-cap value fund with about the same number of holdings and the same core discipline. Anyone even vaguely interested here owes it to themselves to check there first. The opening expense ratio will be 1.25% and the minimum initial investment will be $1,000, reduced to $500 for IRAs and Coverdells.

ICON High Yield Bond Fund

ICON High Yield Bond Fund will seek high current income and growth of capital (for now, at least, but since that goal was described as “non-fundamental” …). The plan is to buy junk bonds, including preferred and convertibles in that definition. Up to 20% might be non-dollar denominated. The fund will be managed by Zach Jonson and Donovan J. (Jerry) Paul. They manage two one-star funds (ICON Bond and ICON Risk-Managed Balanced) together. Caveat emptor. The opening expense ratio will be 0.80% and the minimum initial investment will be $1,000.

Leader Global Bond Fund

Leader Global Bond Fund will seek current income (hopefully a lot of it, given the expense ratio). The plan is to assemble a global portfolio of investment- and non-investment grade bonds. The fund will be managed by John E. Lekas, founder of Leader Capital Corp., and Scott Carmack. The opening expense ratio will be 1.92% for Investor shares and the minimum initial investment will be $2500.

WCM Alternatives: Event-Driven Fund (WCERX)

WCM Alternatives: Event-Driven Fund (WCERX) will try to provide attractive risk-adjusted returns with low relative volatility in virtually all market environments. They’ll try to capture arbitrage-like gains from events such as mergers, acquisitions, asset sales or other divestitures, restructurings, refinancings, recapitalizations, reorganizations or other special situations. The fund will be managed by Roy D. Behren and Mr. Michael T. Shannon of Westchester Capital Management. The opening expense ratio for Investor shares will be 2.23%. The minimum initial investment is $2000.

Wellington Shields All-Cap Fund

Wellington Shields All-Cap Fund will seek capital appreciation, according to a largely incoherent SEC filing. The plan is to use “various screens and models” to assemble an all-cap stock portfolio. The fund will be managed by “Cripps and McFadden.” The opening expense ratio will be something but I don’t know what – the prospectus is for retail shares but lists a 1.5% e.r. for a non-existent institutional class. The minimum initial investment will be $1000.

William Blair Directional Multialternative Fund

William Blair Directional Multialternative Fund will seek “capital appreciation with moderate volatility and directional exposure to global equity and bond markets through the utilization of hedge fund or alternative investment strategies.” That sounds expensive. The plan is to divide the money between a bunch of hedge funds and liquid alt teams. Sadly, they’re not yet ready to reveal who those teams will be. The opening expense ratio has not yet been disclosed. The minimum initial investment will be $2500.

Guinness Atkinson Global Innovators (IWIRX), August 2014

By David Snowball

Objective and strategy

The fund seeks long term capital growth through investing in what they deem to be 30 of the world’s most innovative companies. They take an eclectic approach to identifying global innovators. They read widely (for example Fast Company and MIT’s Technology Review, as well as reports from the Boston Consulting Group and Thomson Reuters) and maintain ongoing conversations with folks in a variety of industries. At base, though, the list of truly innovative firms seems finite and relatively stable. Having identified a potential addition to the portfolio, they also have to convince themselves that it has more upside than anyone currently in the portfolio (since there’s a one-in-one-out discipline) and that it’s selling at a substantial discount to fair value (typically about one standard deviation below its 10 year average). They rebalance about quarterly to maintain roughly equally weighted positions in all thirty, but the rebalance is not purely mechanical. They try to keep the weights “reasonably in line” but are aware of the importance of minimizing trading costs and tax burdens. The fund stays fully invested.

Adviser

Guinness Atkinson Asset Management. The firm started in 1993 as the US arm of Guinness Flight Global Asset Management and their first American funds were Guinness Flight China and Hong Kong (1994) and Asia Focus(1996). Guinness Flight was acquired by Investec, then Tim Guinness and Jim Atkinson acquired Investec’s US funds business to form Guinness Atkinson. Their London-based sister company is Guinness Asset Management which runs European funds that parallel the U.S. ones. The U.S. operation has about $460 million in assets under management and advises the eight GA funds.

Manager

Matthew Page and Ian Mortimer. Mr. Page joined GA in 2005 after working for Goldman Sachs. He earned an M.A. from Oxford in 2004. Dr. Mortimer joined GA in 2006 and also co-manages the Global Innovators (IWIRX) fund. Prior to joining GA, he completed a doctorate in experimental physics at the University of Oxford. The guys also co-manage the Inflation-Managed Dividend Fund (GAINX) and its Dublin-based doppelganger Guinness Global Equity Income Fund.

Strategy capacity and closure

Approximately $1-2 billion. After years of running a $50 million portfolio, the managers admit that they haven’t had much occasion to consider how much money is too much or when they’ll start turning away investors. The current estimate of strategy capacity was generated by a simple calculation: 30 times the amount they might legally and prudently own of the smallest stock in their universe.

Active share

96. “Active share” measures the degree to which a fund’s portfolio differs from the holdings of its benchmark portfolio. High active share indicates management which is providing a portfolio that is substantially different from, and independent of, the index. An active share of zero indicates perfect overlap with the index, 100 indicates perfect independence. The active share for Global Innovators is 96, which reflects a very high level of independence from its benchmark MSCI World Index.

Management’s stake in the fund

The managers are not invested in the fund because it’s only open to U.S. residents.

Opening date

Good question! The fund launched as the Wired 40 Index on December 15, 1998. It performed splendidly. It became the actively managed Global Innovators Fund on April 1, 2003 under the direction of Edmund Harriss and Tim Guinness. It performed splendidly. The current team came onboard in May 2010 (Page) and May 2011 (Mortimer) and tweaked the process, after which it again performed splendidly.

Minimum investment

$5,000, reduced to $1,000 for IRAs and just $250 for accounts established with an automatic investment plan.

Expense ratio

1.45% on assets of about $100 million, as of August 1, 2014. The fund has been drawing about $500,000/day in new investments this year.  

Comments

Let’s start with the obvious and work backward from there.

The obvious: Global Innovators has outstanding (consistently outstanding, enduringly outstanding) returns. The hallmark is Lipper’s recognition of the fund’s rank within its Global Large Cap Growth group:

One year rank

#1 of 98 funds, as of 06/30/14

Three year rank

#1 of 72

Five year rank

#1 of 69

Ten year rank

#1 of 38

Morningstar, using a different peer group, places it in the top 1 – 6% of US Large Blend funds for the past 1, 3, 5 and 10 year periods (as of 07/31/14). Over the past decade, a $10,000 initial investment would have tripled in value here while merely doubling in value in its average peer.

But why?

Good academic research, stretching back more than a decade, shows that firms with a strong commitment to ongoing innovation outperform the market. Firms with a minimal commitment to innovation trail the market, at least over longer periods. 

The challenge is finding such firms and resisting the temptation to overpay for them. The fund initially (1998-2003) tracked an index of 40 stocks chosen by the editors of Wired magazine “to mirror the arc of the new economy as it emerges from the heart of the late industrial age.” In 2003, Guinness concluded that a more focused portfolio and more active selection process would do better, and they were right. In 2010, the new team inherited the fund. They maintained its historic philosophy and construction but broadened its investable universe. Ten years ago there were only about 80 stocks that qualified for consideration; today it’s closer to 350 than their “slightly more robust identification process” has them track. 

This is not a collection of “story stocks.” The managers note that whenever they travel to meet potential US investors, the first thing they hear is “Oh, you’re going to buy Facebook and Twitter.” (That would be “no” to both.) They look for firms that are continually reinventing themselves and looking for better ways to address the opportunities and challenges in their industry. While that might describe eBay, it might also describe a major petroleum firm (BP) or a firm that supplies backup power to data centers (Schneider Electric). The key is to find firms which will produce disproportionately high returns on invested capital in the decade ahead, not stocks that everyone is talking about.

Then they need to avoid overpaying for them. The managers note that many of their potential acquisitions sell at “extortionate valuations.” Their strategy is to wait the required 12 – 36 months until they finally disappoint the crowd’s manic expectations. There’s a stampede for the door, the stocks overshoot – sometimes dramatically – on the downside and the guys move in.

Their purchases are conditioned by two criteria. First, they look for valuations at least one standard deviation below a firm’s ten year average (which is to say, they wait for a margin of safety). Second, they maintain a one-in-one-out discipline. For any firm to enter the portfolio, they have to be willing to entirely eliminate their position in another stock. They turn the portfolio over about once every three years. They continue tracking the stocks they sell since they remain potential re-entrants to the portfolio. They note that “The switches to the portfolio over the past 3.5 – 4 years have, on average, done well. The additions have outperformed the dropped stocks, on a sales basis, by about 25% per stock.”

Bottom Line

While we need to mechanically and truthfully repeat the “past performance is not indicative of future results” mantra, Global Innovator’s premise and record might give us some pause. Its strategy is grounded in a serious and sustained line of academic research. Its discipline is pursued by few others. Its results have been consistent across 15 years and three sets of managers. For investors willing to tolerate the slightly-elevated volatility of a fully invested, modestly pricey equity portfolio, Global Innovators really does command careful attention.

Fund website

GA Global Innovators Fund. While you’re there, please do read the Innovation Matters (2014) whitepaper. It’s short, clear and does a nice job of walking you through both the academic research and the managers’ approach.

© Mutual Fund Observer, 2014. All rights reserved. The information here reflects publicly available information current at the time of publication. For reprint/e-rights contact us.

KL Allocation Fund (formerly GaveKal Knowledge Leaders), (GAVAX/GAVIX), August 2014

By David Snowball

At the time of publication, this fund was named GaveKal Knowledge Leaders Fund.

Objective and strategy

The fund is trying to grow capital, with the particular goal of beating the MSCI World Index over the long term. They invest in between 40 and 60 stocks of firms that they designate as “knowledge leaders.” By their definition, “Knowledge Leaders” are a group of the world’s leading innovators with deep reservoirs of intangible capital. These companies often possess competitive advantages such as strong brand, proprietary knowledge or a unique distribution mechanism. Knowledge leaders are largely service-based and advanced manufacturing businesses, often operating globally.” Their investable universe is mid- and large-cap stocks in 24 developed markets. They buy those stocks directly, in local currencies, and do not hedge their currency exposure. Individual holdings might occupy between 1-5% of the portfolio.

Adviser

GaveKal Capital (GC). GC is the US money management affiliate of GaveKal Research Ltd., a Hong Kong-based independent research boutique. They manage over $600 million in the Knowledge Leaders fund and a series of separately managed accounts in the US as well as a European version (a UCITS) of the Knowledge Leaders strategy.

Manager

Steven Vannelli. Mr. Vannelli is managing director of GaveKal Capital, manager of the fund and lead author of the firm’s strategy for how to account for intangible capital. Before joining GaveKal, he served for 10 years at Denver-based money management firm Alexander Capital, most recently as Head of Equities. He manages about $600 million in assets and is assisted by three research analysts, each of whom targets a different region (North America, Europe, Asia).

Strategy capacity and closure

With a large cap, global focus, they believe they might easily manage something like $10 billion across the three manifestations of the strategy.

Active share

91. “Active share” measures the degree to which a fund’s portfolio differs from the holdings of its benchmark portfolio.  High active share indicates management which is providing a portfolio that is substantially different from, and independent of, the index. An active share of zero indicates perfect overlap with the index, 100 indicates perfect independence. The active share for the Knowledge Leaders Fund is 91, which reflects a very high level of independence from its benchmark MSCI World Index.

Management’s stake in the fund

Minimal. Mr. Vannelli seeded the fund with $250,000 of his own money but appears to have disinvested over time. His current stake is in the $10,000-50,000 range. As one of the eight partners as GaveKal, he does have a substantial economic stake in the advisor. There is no corporate policy encouraging or requiring employee investment in the fund and none of the fund’s directors have invested in it.

Opening date

September 30, 2010 for the U.S. version of the fund. The European iteration of the fund launched in 2006.

Minimum investment

$2500

Expense ratio

1.5% on A-share class (1.25% on I-share class) on domestic assets of $190 million, as of July 2014.

Comments

The stock investors have three nemeses:

  • Low long-term returns
  • High short-term volatility
  • A tendency to overpay for equities

Many managers specialize in addressing one or two of these three faults. GaveKal thinks they’ve got a formula for addressing three of three.

Low long-term returns: GaveKal believes that large stocks of “intangible capital” are key drivers of long-term returns and has developed a database of historic intangible-adjusted financial data, which it believes gives it a unique perspective. Intangible capital represents investments in a firm’s future profitability. It includes research and development investments but also expenditures to upgrade the abilities of their employees. There’s unequivocal evidence that such investments drive a firm’s long-term success. Sadly, current accounting practices punish firms that make these investments by characterizing them as “expenses,” the presence of which make the firm look less attractive to short-term investors. Mr. Vannelli’s specialty has been in tracking down and accurately characterizing such investments in order to assess a firm’s longer-term prospects. By way of illustration, research and development investments as a percentage of net sales are 8.3% in the portfolio companies but only 2.4% in the index firms.

High short-term volatility: there’s unequivocal empirical and academic research that shows that investors are far more cowardly than they know. While we might pretend to be gunslingers, we’re actually likely to duck under the table at the first sign of trouble. Knowing that, the manager works to minimize both security and market risk for his investors. They limit the size of any individual position to 5% of the portfolio. They entirely screen out a number of high leverage sectors, especially those where a firm’s fate might be controlled by government policies or other macro factors. The excluded sectors include financials, commodities, utilities, and energy. Conversely, many of the sectors with high concentrations of knowledge leaders are defensive.  Health care, for example, accounts for 86 of the 565 stocks in their universe.

Finally, they have the option to reduce market exposure when some combination of four correlation and volatility triggers are pulled. They monitor the correlation between stocks and bonds, the correlation between stocks within a broad equity index, the correlation between their benchmark index and the VIX and the absolute level of the VIX. In high risk markets, they’re at least 25% in cash (as they are now) and might go to 40% cash. When the market turns, though, they will move decisively back in: they went from 40% cash to 3% in under two weeks in late 2011.

A tendency to overpay: “expensive” is always relative to the quality of goods that you’re buying. GaveKal assigns two grades to every stock, a valuation grade based on factors such as price to free cash flow relative both to a firm’s own history and to its industry’s and a quality grade based on an analysis of the firm’s balance sheet, cash flow and income statement. Importantly, Gavekal uses its proprietary intangible-adjusted metrics in the analysis of value and quality.

The analysts construct three 30 stock regional portfolios (e.g., a 30 stock European portfolio) from which Mr. Vannelli selects the 50-60 most attractively valued stocks worldwide.

In the end, you get a very solid, mildly-mannered portfolio. Here are the standard measures of the fund against its benchmark:

 

GAVAX

MSCI World

Beta

.42

1.0

Standard deviation

7.1

13.8

Alpha

6.3

0

Maximum drawdown

(3.3)

(16.6)

Upside capture

.61

1.0

Downside capture

.30

1.0

Annualized return, since inception

10.5

13.4

While the US fund was not in operation in 2008, the European version was. The European fund lost about 36% in 2008 while its benchmark fell 46%.  Since the US fund is permitted a higher cash stake than its European counterpart, it follows that the fund’s 2008 outperformance might have been several points higher.

Bottom Line

This is probably not a fund for investors seeking unwaveringly high exposure to the global equities market. Its cautious, nearly absolute-return, approach to has led many advisors to slot it in as part of their “nontraditional/liquid alts” allocation. The appeal to cautious investors and the firm’s prodigious volume of shareholder communications, including weekly research notes, has led to high levels of shareholder loyalty and a prevalence of “sticky money.” While I’m perplexed by the fact that so little of the sticky money is the manager’s own, the fund has quietly made a strong case for its place in a conservative equity portfolio.

Fund website

GaveKal Knowledge Leaders. While you’re there, read the firm’s white paper on Intangible Economics and their strategy presentation (2014) which explains the academic research, the accounting foibles and the manager’s strategy in clear language.

© Mutual Fund Observer, 2014. All rights reserved. The information here reflects publicly available information current at the time of publication. For reprint/e-rights contact us.

August 2014, Funds in Registration

By David Snowball

Big 4 Onefund

Big 4 Onefund (no, I do not make these names up) will seek long-term capital gain by investing in a changing mixture of ETFs, closed-end funds, business development companies, master limited partnerships and REITs. The fund will be managed by Jim Hagedorn, CFA, Founder, President and CEO of Chicago Partners Investment Group, and John Nicholas. The minimum initial investment is $2000. The expense ratio has not yet been set.

Blue Current Global Dividend Fund

Blue Current Global Dividend Fund will seek current income and capital appreciation. The plan is to buy 25-35 “undervalued, high-quality dividend paying equities with a commitment to dividend growth and pay above-market dividend yields.” They reserve the right to do that through ETFs. Hmmm. Henry Jones and Dennis Sabo of Edge Advisers will manage the portfolio. The minimum initial investment is $2,500. The expense ratio has not yet been disclosed.

Gateway Equity Call Premium Fund

Gateway Equity Call Premium Fund will seek total return with less risk than U.S. equity markets by investing in a broadly diversified portfolio of 200 or so stocks, while also writing index call options against the full notional value of the equity portfolio. It will be run by some of the same folks who manage the well-respected Gateway Fund (GATEX). The minimum initial investment is $2500, reduced to $1000 for tax-advantaged accounts and those with an automatic investment plan. The initial expense ratio has not yet been released, though the “A” shares will carry a 5.75% load.

Gold & Silver Index Fund

Gold & Silver Index Fund will seek to replicate the total return of The Gold & Silver Index which itself seeks to track the spot price of gold and silver. The index, owned by the advisor, is 50% gold and 50% silver. It will be managed by Michael Willis of The Willis Group. The minimum initial investment is $1000. They haven’t yet released the fund’s expense ratio.

Index Funds S&P 500 Equal Weight

Index Funds S&P 500 Equal Weight will seek to match the performance of the S&P 500 Equal Weight Index. They’ll rebalance quarterly. Skeptics claim that such funds are a simple bet on mid-cap stocks in the S&P500 since an equal weight index dramatically boosts their presence compared to a market cap weighted one. It will be managed by Michael Willis of The Willis Group. The minimum initial investment is $1000. They haven’t yet released the fund’s expense ratio. The Guggenheim ETF in the same space charges 40 basis points, so this one can’t afford to charge much more.

Lazard Master Alternatives Portfolio

Lazard Master Alternatives Portfolio will seek long-term capital appreciation. The plan is to allocate money to four separately managed strategies: (1) global equity long/short; (2) US equity long/short; (3) Japanese equity long/short and (4) relative value convertible securities. The fund will be managed by Matthew Glaser, Jai Jacob and Stephen Marra of Lazard’s Alternatives and Multi-Asset teams. The minimum initial investment is $2,500 and the opening expense ratio is 2.86%. There’s also a 1% short-term redemption fee.

Leadsman Capital Strategic Income Fund

Leadsman Capital Strategic Income Fund will pursue a high level of current income by investing in some mix of stocks (common and preferred) and corporate bonds (investment grade and high yield). They anticipate holding 30-60 securities. The fund will be managed by a team from Leadsman Capital LLC. The minimum initial investment is $2500 and the expense ratio has not yet been announced.

Longbow Long/Short Energy Infrastructure Fund

Longbow Long/Short Energy Infrastructure Fund will seek “differentiated, risk-adjusted investment returns with low volatility and low correlation to both the U.S. equity and bond markets through a value-oriented investment strategy, focused on long-term capital appreciation.” Uh-huh. For this they will charge you 3.81%. The plan is to invest, long and short, in the energy infrastructure, utilities and power sectors. Up to 25% of the fund might be in MLPs. They’ll be between 60-100% long and 40-90% short. The fund will be managed by Thomas M. Fitzgerald, III and Steven S. Strassberg of Longbow Capital Partners. The firm manages about a quarter billion in assets. The minimum initial investment is $2500 and the aforementioned e.r. is 3.81% on retail shares.

TIAA-CREF Emerging Markets Debt Fund

TIAA-CREF Emerging Markets Debt Fund seeks a favorable long-term total return, through income and capital appreciation, by investing primarily in a portfolio of emerging markets fixed-income investments. The management team has not yet been named. The minimum initial investment is $2500 and the expense ratio is capped at 1.0%.

Artisan High Income (ARTFX), July 2014

By David Snowball

Objective and Strategy

Artisan High Income seeks to provide total return through a combination of current income and capital appreciation. They invest in a global portfolio of high yield corporate bonds and secured and unsecured loans. They pursue issuers with high quality business models that have compelling risk-adjusted return characteristics.

They highlight four “primary pillars” of their discipline:

Business Quality, including both the firm’s business model and the health of the industry. 

Financial Strength and Flexibility, an inquiry strongly conditioned by the firm’s “history and trend of free cash flow generation.”

Downside Analysis. Their discussion here is worth quoting in full: “The team believes that credit instruments by their nature have an asymmetric risk profile. The risk of loss is often greater than the potential for gain, particularly when looking at below investment grade issuers. The team seeks to manage this risk with what it believes to be conservative financial projections that account for industry position, competitive dynamics and positioning within the capital structure.”

Value Identification, including issues of credit improvement, relative value, catalysts for business improvement and “potential value stemming from market or industry dislocations.”

The portfolio is organized around high conviction core positions (20-60% of assets), “spread” positions where the team fundamentally disagrees with the consensus view (10-50%) and opportunistic positions which might be short-term opportunities triggered by public events that other investors have not been able to digest and respond to (10-30%).

Adviser

Artisan Partners, L.P. Artisan is a remarkable operation. They advise the 14 Artisan funds (all of which have a retail (Investor) share class since its previously institutional emerging markets fund advisor share class was redesignated in February.), as well as a number of separate accounts. The firm has managed to amass over $105 billion in assets under management, of which approximately $61 billion are in their mutual funds. Despite that, they have a very good track record for closing their funds and, less visibly, their separate account strategies while they’re still nimble. Seven of the firm’s 14 funds are closed to new investors, as of July 2014.  Their management teams are stable, autonomous and invest heavily in their own funds.

Manager

Bryan C. Krug.  Mr. Krug joined Artisan in December 2013.  From 2001 until joining Artisan, Mr. Krug worked for Waddell & Reed and, from 2006, managed their Ivy High Income Fund (WHIAX).  Mr. Krug leads Artisan’s Kansas City-based Credit Team. His work is supported by three analysts (Joanna Booth, Josh Basler and Scott Duba).  Mr. Krug interviewed between 40 and 50 candidates in his first months at Artisan and seems somewhere between upbeat and giddy (well, to the extent fixed-income guys ever get giddy) at the personal and professional strengths of the folks he’s hired.

Strategy capacity and closure

There’s no preset capacity estimate. Mr. Krug makes two points concerning the issue. First, he’s successfully managed $10 billion in this strategy at his previous fund. Second, he’s dedicated to being an investment organization first and foremost; if at any point market changes or investor inflows threaten his ability to benefit his investors, he’ll close the fund. Artisan Partners has a long record of supporting their managers’ decision to do just that.

Management’s Stake in the Fund

Not yet disclosed. In general, Artisans staff and directors have invested between hundreds of thousands to millions of their own dollars in the Artisan complex.

Opening date

March 19, 2014

Minimum investment

$1,000

Expense ratio

0.95% on assets of $6.5 Billion, as of June 2023. There’s also a 2.0% redemption fee on shares held under 90 days.

Comments

There is a real question about whether mid 2014 is a good time to begin investing in high yield bonds. Skeptics point to four factors:

  • Yields on junk bonds are at or near record lows (see “Junk bond yields at new and terrifying lows,” 06/24/2014)
  • The spread from junk and investment grade bonds, that is, the addition income you receive for investing in a troubled issuer, is at or near record lows (“New record low,” 06/17/2014).
  • Demand for junk is at or near record highs.
  • Issuance of new junk – sometimes stuff being rushed to market to help fatten the hogs – is at or near record highs. Worried about high demand and low standards, Fed chair Janet Yellen allowed that “High-yield bonds have certainly caught our attention.” The junk market immediately rallied on the warning, with yields falling even lower (“Yellen’s risky debt warning leads to rally in risky debt,” 06/20/2014).

All of that led the estimable John Waggoner to announce that it’s “Time to sell your junk” (06/26/2014.).

None of that comes as news to Bryan Krug. His fund attracted nearly $300 million in three months and, as of late June, he reported that the portfolio was fully invested. He makes two arguments in favor of Artisan’s new fund:

First. Pricing in high yield debt is remarkably inefficient, so that even in richly valuable markets there are exploitable pockets of mispricing. “[W]e believe there is no shortage of inefficiencies … the market is innately complex and securities are frequently mispriced, which benefits those investors who are willing to roll up their sleeves and perform detailed, bottom-up analysis.” The market’s overall valuation is important primarily if you’re invested in a passive vehicle.

Second. High yield and loans do surprisingly well in many apparently hostile environments. In the past quarter century, there have been 16 sharp moves up in interest rates (more than 70 bps in a quarter); high yield bonds have returned, on average, 2.5% during those quarters and leveraged loans returned 3.9%. Even if we exclude the colossal run-up in the second quarter of 2009 (the turn off the March market bottom, where both groups gained over 20% in three months) returns for both groups are positive, though smaller.

Returns for investment grades bonds were, on average, notably negative. Being careful about the quality of the underlying business makes a huge difference. In 2008 Mr. Krug posted top tier results not because his bonds held up but because they didn’t go to zero. “We avoided permanent loss of capital by investing in better businesses, often asset-light firms with substantial, undervalued intellectual property.” There were, he says, no high fives that year but considerable relief that they contained the worst of the damage.

The fund has the flexibility of investing elsewhere in a firm’s capital structure, particularly in secured and unsecured loans. As of late June, those loans occupied about a third of the portfolio. That’s nearly twice the amount that he has, over the long term, committed to such defensive positions. His experience, concern for quality, and ability to shift has allowed his funds to weave their way through several tricky markets: over the past five years, his fund outperformed in all three quarters when the high yield group lost money and all four in which the broad bond market did. Indeed, he posted gains in three of the four quarters in which the bond market fell.

If you decide that you want to increase your exposure to such investments, there are few safer bets than Artisan. Artisan’s managers are organized into six autonomous teams, each with responsibility for its own portfolios and personnel. The teams are united by four characteristics:

  • pervasive alignment of interests with their shareholders – managers, analysts and directors are all deeply invested in their funds, the managers have and have frequently exercised the right to close funds and other manifestations of their strategies, the partners own the firm and the teams are exceedingly stable.
  • price sensitivity – Mr. Krug reports Artisan’s “firm believe that margins of safety should not be compromised,” which reflects the firm-wide ethos as well.
  • a careful, articulate strategy for portfolio weightings – the funds generally have clear criteria for the size of initial positions in the portfolio, the upsizing of those positions with time and their eventual elimination, and
  • uniformly high levels of talent – Artisan interviews a lot of potential managers each year, but only hires managers who they believe will be “category killers.” 

Those factors have created a tradition of consistent excellence across the Artisan family. By way of illustration:

  • Eleven of Artisan’s 14 retail funds are old enough to have Morningstar ratings. Eight of those funds have earned four or five stars. 
  • Ten of the 11 have been recognized as “Silver” or “Gold” funds by Morningstar’s analysts. 
  • Artisan teams have been nominated for Morningstar’s “manager of the year” award nine times in the past 15 years; they’ve won four times.

And none are weak funds, though some do get out of step with the market from time to time. That, by the way, is a good thing.

Bottom Line

In general, it’s unwise to make long-term decisions based on short-term factors. While valuation concerns are worrisome and might reasonably influence your decisions about new money in your portfolio, it makes no sense to declare high yield off limits because of valuation concerns any more than it would be to declare that equities or investment grade bonds (both of which might be less attractively valued than high income securities) have no place in your portfolio. Caution is sensible. Relying on an experienced manager is sensible. Artisan High Income is sensible. I’d consider it.

Fund website

Artisan High Income. There’s a nice six page research report, Recognizing Opportunities in Non-Investment Grade Credit, available there.

By way of disclosure: while the Observer has no financial relationship with or interest in Artisan, I do own shares of two of the Artisan funds (Small Cap Value ARTVX and International Value ARTKX) and have done so since the funds’ inception.

© Mutual Fund Observer, 2014. All rights reserved. The information here reflects publicly available information current at the time of publication. For reprint/e-rights contact us.

Zeo Short Duration Income (ZEOIX), July 2014

By David Snowball

At the time of publication of this profile, the fund was named Zeo Strategic Income.

Objective and strategy

Zeo seeks “income and moderate capital appreciation.” They describe themselves as a home for your “strategic cash holdings, with the goals of protecting principal and beating inflation by an attractive margin.” While the prospectus allows a wide range of investments, the core of the portfolio has been short-term high yield bonds, secured floating rate loans and cash. The portfolio is unusually compact for a fixed-income fund. As of June 2014, they had about 30 holdings with 50% of their portfolio in the top ten. Security selection combines top-down quantitative screens with a lot of fundamental research. The advisor consciously manages interest rate, default and currency risks. Their main tool for managing interest rate risk is maintaining a short duration portfolio. It’s typically near a one year duration though might be as high as four in some markets. They have authority to hedge their interest rate exposure but rather prefer the simplicity, transparency and efficiency of simply buying shorter dated securities.

Adviser

Zeo Capital Advisors of San Francisco. Zeo provides investment management services to the fund but also high net worth individuals and family offices through its separately managed accounts. They have about $146 million in assets under management, all relying on some variation of the strategy behind Zeo Strategic Income.

Managers

Venkatesh Reddy and Bradford Cook. Mr. Reddy is the founder of Zeo Capital Advisors and has been the Fund’s lead portfolio manager since inception. Prior to founding Zeo, Mr. Reddy had worked with several hedge funds, including Pine River Capital Management and Laurel Ridge Asset Management which he founded. He was also the “head of delta-one trading, and he structured derivative products as a portfolio manager within Bank of America’s Equity Financial Products group.” As a guy who specialized in risk management and long-tail risk, he was “the guy who put the hedging into the hedge fund.” Mr. Cook’s career started as an auditor for PricewaterhouseCoopers, he moved to Oaktree Capital in 2001 where he served as a vice president on their European high yield fund. He had subsequent stints as head of convertible strategies at Sterne Agee Group and head of credit research in the convertible bond group at Thomas Weisel Partners LLC before joining Zeo in 2012. Mr. Reddy has a Bachelor of Science degree in Computer Science from Harvard University and Mr. Cook earned a Bachelor of Commerce from the University of Calgary.

Strategy capacity and closure

The fund pursues “capacity constrained” strategies; that is, by its nature the fund’s strategy will never accommodate multiple billions of dollars. The advisor doesn’t have a predefined bright line because the capacity changes with market conditions. In general, the strategy might accommodate $500 million – $1 billion.

Management’s stake in the fund

As of the last Statement of Additional Information (April 2013), Mr. Reddy and Mr. Cook each had between $1 – 10,000 invested in the fund. The manager’s commitment is vastly greater than that outdated stat reveals. Effectively all of his personal capital is tied up in the fund or Zeo Capital’s fund operations. None of the fund’s directors had any investment in it. That’s no particular indictment of the fund since the directors had no investment in any of the 98 funds they oversaw.

Opening date

May 31, 2011.

Minimum investment

$5,000 and a 15 minute suitability conversation. The amount is reduced to $1,500 for retirement savings accounts. The minimum for subsequent investments is $1,000. That unusually high threshold likely reflects the fund’s origins as an institutional vehicle. Up until October 2013 the minimum initial investment was $250,000. The fund is available through Fidelity, Schwab, Scottrade, Vanguard and a handful of smaller platforms.

Expense ratio

The reported expense ratio is 1.50% which substantially overstates the expenses current investors are likely to encounter. The 1.50% calculation was done in early 2013 and was based on a very small asset base. With current fund assets of $104 million (as of June 2014), expenses are being spread over a far larger investor pool. This is likely to be updated in the next prospectus.

Comments

ZEOIX exists to help answer a simple question: how do we help investors manage today’s low yield environment without setting them up for failure in tomorrow’s rising rate one? Many managers, driven by the demands of “scalability” and marketing, have generated complex strategies and sprawling portfolios (PIMCO Short Term, for example, has 1500 long positions, 30 shorts and a 250% turnover) in pursuit of an answer. Zeo, freed of both of those pressures, has pursued a simpler, more elegant answer.

The managers look for good businesses that need to borrow capital for relatively short periods at relatively high rates. Their investable universe is somewhere around 3000 issues. They use quantitative screens for creditworthiness and portfolio risk to whittle that down to about 150 investment candidates. They investigate those 150 in-depth to determine the likelihood that, given a wide variety of stressors, they’ll be able to repay their debt and where in the firm’s capital structure the sweet spot lies. They end up with 20-30 positions, some in short-term bonds and some in secured floating-rate loans (for example, a floating rate loan at LIBOR + 2.8% to a distressed borrower secured by the borrower’s substantial inventory of airplane spare parts), plus some cash.

Mr. Reddy has substantial experience in risk management and its evident here.

This is not a glamorous niche and doesn’t promise glamorous returns. The fund returned 3.6% annually over its first three years with essentially zero (-0.01) correlation to the aggregate bond market. Its SMA composite has posted negative returns in six of 60 months but has never lost money in more than two consecutive months (during the 2011 taper tantrum). The fund’s median loss in a down month is 0.30%.

The fund’s Sharpe ratio, the most widely quoted calculation of an investment’s risk/return balance, is 2.35. That’s in the top one-third of one percent of all funds in the Morningstar database. Only 26 of 7250 funds can match or exceed that ratio and just six (including Intrepid Income ICMUX and the closed RiverPark Short Term High Yield RPHYX funds) have generated better returns.

Zeo’s managers, like RiverPark’s, think of the fund as a strategic cash management option; that is, it’s the sort of place where your emergency fund or that fraction of your portfolio that you have chosen to keep permanently in cash might reside. Both managers think of their funds as something appropriate for money that you might need in six months, but neither would be comfortable thinking of it as “a money market on steroids” or any such. Both are intensely risk-alert and have been very clear that they’d far rather protect principal than reach for yield. Nonetheless, some bumps are inevitable. For visual learners, here’s the chart of Zeo’s total returns since inception (blue) charted against RPHYX (orange), the average short-term bond fund (green) and a really good money market fund (Vanguard Prime, the yellow line).

ZEOIX

Bottom Line

All funds pay lip service to the claim “we’re not for everybody.” Zeo means it. Their reluctance to launch a website, their desire to speak directly with you before you invest in the fund and their willingness to turn away large investments (twice of late) when they don’t think they’re a good match with their potential investor’s needs and expectations, all signal an extraordinarily thoughtful relationship between manager and investor. Both their business and investment models are working. Current investors – about a 50/50 mix of advisors and family offices – are both adding to their positions and helping to bring new investors to the fund, both of which are powerful endorsements. Modestly affluent folks who are looking to both finish ahead of inflation and sleep at night should likely make the effort to reach out and learn more.

Fund website

Effectively none. Zeo.com contains the same information you’d find on a business card. (Yeah, I know.) Because most of their investors come through referrals and personal interactions it’s not a really high priority for them. They aspire to a nicely minimalist site at some point in the foreseeable future. Until then you’re best off calling and chatting with them.

Fund Fact Sheet

© Mutual Fund Observer, 2014. All rights reserved. The information here reflects publicly available information current at the time of publication. For reprint/e-rights contact us.

July 2014, Funds in Registration

By David Snowball

Lazard Global Strategic Equity Portfolio

Lazard Global Strategic Equity Portfolio will pursue long-term capital appreciation by investing in a global portfolio of firms with “sustainably high or improving returns and trading at attractive valuations.”  While legally diversified, they expect to hold a fairly small number of charges.  They also maintain the right to go to cash, just in case. The fund will be managed by a team drawn from Lazard’s International, Global and European Equity teams. The initial expense ratio will be 1.40%. The minimum initial investment is $2500.

Lazard International Equity Concentrated Portfolio

Lazard International Equity Concentrated Portfolio will pursue long-term capital appreciation by investing in underpriced growth companies, typically domiciled in developed markets. The plan is to invest in 20-30 stocks, with the proviso that they might invest in EM domiciled stocks, too. The EM portion is weirdly capped: they might invest “an amount up to the current emerging markets component of the Morgan Stanley Capital International All Country World Index ex-US plus 15%.” The fund will be managed by Lazard’s international equity team. The initial expense ratio 1.45%. The minimum initial investment is $2500.

Lazard US Small Cap Equity Growth Portfolio

Lazard US Small Cap Equity Growth Portfolio will pursuelong-term capital appreciation by investing in domestic small cap growth stocks. (Woo hoo!) The fund will be managed by Frank L. Sustersic, head of Lazard’s small cap growth team. The initial expense ratio 1.37%. The minimum initial investment is $2500.

New Sheridan Developing World Fund

New Sheridan Developing World Fund will pursue long-term capital appreciation by investing in the stock of firms tied to the emerging markets. Which stocks? Uhhh, “[t] he Adviser analyzes countries, sectors and individual securities based on a set of predetermined factors.” So, stocks matching their predetermined factors. The fund will be managed by Russell and Richard Hoss. They don’t advertise any prior EM track record. Both previously worked for Roth Capital Partners, “an investment banking firm dedicated to the small-cap public market.” The initial expense ratio has not yet been disclosed, though there will be a 2% redemption fee on shares held less than a month. The minimum initial investment is $2500.

PCS Commodity Strategy Fund

PCS Commodity Strategy Fund, N shares, will try to replicate the returns of the Rogers International Commodity Index. The plan is to hold a combination of derivations and high-quality bonds. The fund will be managed by a four person team. The initial expense ratio will be 1.35%. The minimum initial investment is $5,000.

Schwab Fundamental Global Real Estate Index Fund

Schwab Fundamental Global Real Estate Index Fundwill try to replicate the returns of the Russell Fundamental Global Select Real Estate Index. They might not be able to reproduce all of the index investments but will try to match the returns. They’ll invest in a global REIT portfolio which includes emerging markets but excludes timber and mortgage REITs. The fund will be managed by two Schwabies: Agnes Hong and Ferian Juwono. The initial expense ratio is not yet disclosed, though the existence of a 2% early redemption fee is. The minimum initial investment is $100, through Schwab of course.

T. Rowe Price Institutional Frontier Markets Equity Fund

T. Rowe Price Institutional Frontier Markets Equity Fund will pursue long-term growth by investing in the stocks of firms whose home countries are not in the MSCI All Country World Index. Examples include Saudi Arabia, Ukraine, Vietnam and Trinidad and Tobago. The discipline is Price’s standard bottom-up, GARP investing. The fund will be managed by Oliver D.M. Bell who also runs Price Africa and Middle East (TRAMX). The initial expense ratio will be 1.35%. The minimum initial investment is $1,000,000. A little high for my budget, but it’s good to know where the industry leaders are going so we thought we’d mention it.

T. Rowe Price International Concentrated Equity Fund

T. Rowe Price International Concentrated Equity Fund will pursuelong-term growth of capital through investments in stocks of 40-60 non-U.S. companies. They’re registered as non-diversified which means they might put a lot into a few of those stocks. The fund will be managed by Federico Santilli. The initial expense ratio is 0.90%. The minimum initial investment is $2500, reduced to $1000 for IRAs.

WST Asset Manager – U.S. Bond Fund

WST Asset Manager – U.S. Bond Fund will pursue total return from income and capital appreciation. The plan is to invest in both investment grade and junk bonds, with their “a proprietary quantitative model” telling them how much to allocate to each strategy.  They warn that the model’s allocation “may change frequently,” so that investors might expect turnover “significantly greater than 100%.” The fund will be managed by Wayne F. Wilbanks, the advisor’s CIO, Roger H. Scheffel Jr. and Tom McNally. They began managing separate accounts using this strategy in 2006. Since then those accounts have returned an average of 9.3% per year while the average multisector bond fund earned 6%. They trail their peer group for the past one- and three-year periods and exceed it modestly for the past five years. That signals the fact that the accounts performed exceptionally well in the 2006-08 period, though details are absent. The initial expense ratio is a stunning 1.81%. The minimum initial investment is $1000.

RiverNorth/Oaktree High Income (RNOTX/RNHIX) – June 2014

By David Snowball

Objective and strategy

The fund tries to provide total return, rather than just income. The strategy is to divide the portfolio between two distinctive strategies. Oaktree Capital Management pursues a “barbell-shaped” strategy consisting of senior bank loans and high-yield debt. RiverNorth Capital Management pursues an opportunistic closed-end fund (CEF) strategy in which they buy income-producing CEFs when those funds are (1) in an attractive sector and (2) are selling at what the manager’s research estimates to be an unsustainable discount to NAV. In theory, the entire portfolio might be allocated to any one of the three strategies; in practice, RiverNorth anticipates a “neutral position” in which 25 – 33% of the portfolio is invested in CEFs.

Adviser

RiverNorth Capital Management. RiverNorth is a Chicago-based firm, founded in 2000 with a distinctive focus on closed-end fund arbitrage. They have since expanded their competence into other “under-followed, niche markets where the potential to exploit inefficiencies is greatest.” RiverNorth advises the five RiverNorth funds: Core (RNCOX, closed), Managed Volatility (RNBWX), Equity Opportunity (RNEOX), RiverNorth/DoubleLine Strategic Income (RNDLX) and this one. They manage about $1.9 billion through limited partnerships, mutual funds and employee benefit plans.

Manager

Patrick Galley and Stephen O’Neill of RiverNorth plus Desmund Shirazi, Sheldon M. Stone and Shannon Ward of Oaktree. Mr. Galley is RiverNorth’s founder, president and chief investment officer; Mr. O’Neill is the chief trader, a remarkably important position in a firm that makes arbitrage gains from trading on CEF discounts. Mr. Shirazi is one of Oaktree’s senior loan portfolio managers, former head of high-yield research and long-ago manager of TCW High Yield Bond. Ms. Ward, who joined this management team just a year ago, was a vice president for high-yield investments at AIG back when they were still identified with The Force. The RiverNorth portion of the team manages about $2 billion in assets. The Oaktree folks between them manage about $200 million in mutual fund assets and $25 billion in private accounts and funds.

Strategy capacity and closure

In the range of $1 billion, a number that the principals agree is pretty squishy. The major capacity limiter is the fund’s CEF strategy. When investors are complacent, CEF discounts shrink which leaves RiverNorth with few opportunities to add arbitrage gains. The managers believe, though, that two factors will help keep the strategy limit high. First, “fear is here to stay,” so investor irrationality will help create lots of mispricing. Second, on March 18 2014, RiverNorth received 12(d)1 exemptive relief from the SEC. That exemption allows the firm to own more than 3% of a CEF’s outstanding shares, which then expands the amount they might profitably invest.

Management’s stake in the fund

The RiverNorth Statement of Additional Information is slightly screwed-up on this point. It lists Mr. Galley as having either $0 (page 33) or “more than $100,000” (page 38). The former is incorrect and the latter doesn’t comply with the standard reporting requirement where the management stake is expressed in bands ($100,000-500,000, $500,000 – $1 million, over $1 million). Mr. O’Neill has between $10,000 and $50,000 in the fund. The Oaktree managers and, if the SAI is correct, the fund’s directors have no investment in the fund.

Opening date

December 28, 2012

Minimum investment

$5,000, reduced to $1,000 for IRAs.

Expense ratio

1.44% for “I” class shares and 1.69% for “R” class shares on assets of $54.9 million, as of July 2023. 

Comments

In good times, markets are reasonably rational. In bad times, they’re bat-poop crazy. The folks are RiverNorth and Oaktree understand you need income regardless of the market’s mood, and so they’ve attempted to create a portfolio which operates well in each. We’ll talk about the strategies and then the managers.

What are these people up to?

The managers will invest in a variable mix of senior loans, high yield bonds and closed-end funds.

High yield bonds are a reasonably well understood asset class. Firms with shaky credit have to pay up to get access to capital. Structurally they’re like other bonds (that is, they suffer in rising rate environments) but much of their attraction arises from the relatively high returns an investor can earn on them. As investors become more optimistic about the economy, the premium they demand from lower-credit firms rises; as their view darkens, the amount of premium they demand rises. Over the past decade, high yield bonds have earned 8.4% annually versus 7.4% for large cap stocks and 6.5% for investment–grade corporate bonds. Sadly, investors crazed for yield have flooded into high-yield bonds, driving up their prices and driving their yield down to 5.4% in late May.

Senior loans represent a $500 billion asset class, which is about the size of the high-yield bond market. They represent loans made to the same sorts of companies which issue high-yield bonds. While the individual loans are private, collections of loans can be bundled together and sold to investors (a process called “securitizing the loans”). These loans have two particularly attractive structural features: they have built-in protection against loss of principal because they’re “senior” in the firm’s capital structure, which means that there’s collateral behind them and their owners would receive preferential treatment in the case of a bankruptcy. Second, they have built-in protection against loss of interest because they’re floating rate loans; as interest rates rise, so does the amount paid to the loan’s owner. These loans have posted positive returns in 15 of the past 16 years (2008 excepted).

In general, these loans yield a lot more than conventional investment grade bonds and operate with a near-zero correlation to the broad bond market.

Higher income. Protection against loss of capital. Protection against rising rates. High diversification value. Got it?

Closed-end funds share characteristics of traditional mutual funds and of other exchange-traded securities, like stocks and ETFs. Like mutual funds, they represent pools of professionally managed securities. The amount that one share of a mutual fund is worth is determined solely by the value of the securities in its portfolio. Like stocks and ETFs, CEFs trade on exchanges throughout the day. The amount one share of a CEF is worth is not the value of the securities in its portfolio; it’s whatever someone is willing to pay you for the share at any particular moment in time. Your CEF share might be backed by $100 in stocks but if you need to sell it today and the most anyone will offer is $70, then that share is worth $70. The first value ($100) is called the CEF’s net asset value (NAV) price, the second ($70) is called its market price. Individual CEFs have trading histories that show consistent patterns of discounts (or premiums). A particular fund might always have a market price that’s 3% below its NAV price. If that fund is sudden available at a 30% discount, an investor might buy a share that’s backed by $100 in securities for $70 and sell it for $97 when panic abates. Even if the market declined 10% in the interim, the investor could still sell a share purchased as $70 for $87 (a 10% NAV decline and a 3% discount) when rationality returns. As a result, you might pocket gains both from picking a good investment and from arbitrage as the irrational discount narrows; that arbitrage gain is independent of the general direction of the market.

RiverNorth/Oaktree High Income combines these three high-income strategies: an interest-rate insensitive loan strategy and a rate-sensitive high-yield one plus an opportunistic market-independent CEF arbitrage strategy.

Who are these guys, and why should we trust them?

Oaktree Capital Management was founded in April 1995 by former TCW professionals. They specialize in specialized credit investing: high yield bonds, convertible securities, distressed debt, real estate and control investments (that is, buying entire firms). They manage about $80 billion for clients on five continents. Among their clients are 100 of the 300 largest global pension plans, 75 of the 100 largest U.S. pension plans, 300 endowments and foundations, 11 sovereign wealth funds and 38 state retirement plans in the United States. Oaktree is widely recognized as an extraordinarily high-quality firm with a high-quality investment discipline.

To be clear: these are not the sorts of clients who tolerate carelessness, unwarranted risk taking or inconsistent performance.

RiverNorth Capital Management pursues strategies in what they consider to be niche markets where inefficiencies abound. They’re the country’s pre-eminent practitioner of closed-end fund arbitrage. That’s most visible in the (closed) RiverNorth Core Opportunity Fund (RNCOX), which has $700 million in assets and five-year returns in the top 13% of all moderate allocation funds. A $10,000 investment made in RNCOX at inception would be worth $19,000 by May 2014 while its average competitor would have returned $14,200.

Their plan is to grow your money steadily and carefully.

Patrick Galley describes this as “a risk-managed, high-yield portfolio” that’s been “constructed to maximize risk-adjusted returns over time, rather than shooting for pure short-term returns.” He argues that this is, in his mind, the central characteristic of a good institutional portfolio: it relies on time and discipline to steadily compound returns, rather than luck and boldness which might cause eye-catching short term returns. As a result, their intention is “wealth preservation: hit plenty of singles and doubles, rely on steady compounding, don’t screw up and get comfortable with the fact that you’re not going to look like a hero in any one year.”

Part of “not screwing up” requires recognizing and responding to the fact that the fund is investing in risky sectors. The managers have the tactical freedom to change the allocation between the three sleeves, depending on evolving market conditions. In the fourth quarter of 2013, for example, the managers observed wide discounts in CEFs and had healthy new capital flows, so they quickly increased CEF allocation to over 40% from a 25-33% neutral position. They’re now harvesting gains, and the CEF allocation is back under 30%.

So far, they’ve quietly done exactly what they planned. The fund is yielding 4.6% over the past twelve months. It has outperformed its multi-sector bond benchmark every quarter so far. Below you can see the comparison of RNOTX (in blue) and its average peer (in orange) from inception through late May 2014.

rnotx

Bottom Line

RNOTX is trying to be the most sensible take possible on investing in promising, risky assets. It combines two sets of extremely distinguished investors who understand the demands of conservative shareholders with an ongoing commitment to use opportunism in the service of careful compounding. While this is not a low-risk fund, it is both risk-managed and well worth the attention of folks who might otherwise lock themselves into a single set of high-yield assets.

Fund website

RiverNorth/Oaktree High Income. Interested in becoming a better investor while you’re browsing the web? You really owe it to yourself to read some of Howard Marks’ memos to Oaktree’s investors. They’re about as good as Buffett and Munger, but far less known by folks in the mutual fund world.

Fact Sheet

© Mutual Fund Observer, 2014. All rights reserved. The information here reflects publicly available information current at the time of publication. For reprint/e-rights contact us.

Dodge and Cox Global Bond (DODLX), June 2014

By David Snowball

Objective and strategy

DODLX is seeking a high rate of total return consistent with long-term preservation of capital. They’ll invest in both government and corporate securities, including those of firms domiciled in emerging markets. They begin with a set of macro-level judgments about the global economy, currency fluctuation and political conditions in various regions. The security selection process seems wide-ranging. They’re able to hedge currency, interest rate and other risks.

Adviser

Dodge & Cox was founded in 1930, by Van Duyn Dodge and E. Morris Cox. The firm, headquartered in San Francisco, launched its first mutual fund (now called Dodge & Cox Balanced) in 1931 then added four additional funds (Stock, Income, International and Global Stock) over the next 85 years. Dodge & Cox manages around $200 billion, of which $160 billion are in their mutual funds. The remainder is in 800+ separate accounts. Their funds are all low-cost, low-turnover, value-conscious and team-managed.

Managers

Dana Emery, Diana Strandberg, Thomas Dugan, James Dignan, Adam Rubinson, and Lucinda Johns.  They are, collectively, the Global Bond Investment Policy Committee. The fact that the manager bios aren’t mentioned, and then briefly, until page 56 of the prospectus but the SAI lists the brief bio of every investment professional at the firm (down to the assistant treasurer) tells you something about the Dodge culture. In any case, the members have been with D&C for 12 – 31 years and have a combined 116 years with the firm.

Strategy capacity and closure

Unknown, but the firm is prone to large funds. They’re also willing to close those funds and seem to have managed well the balance between performance and assets.

Management’s stake in the fund

Unknown since the fund opened after the reporting data in the SAI. That said, almost every director has a substantial personal investment in almost every fund, and every director (except a recent appointee, who has under $50,000 but has been onboard for just one year) has over $100,000 invested with the firm. Likewise every member of the Investment Committee invests heavily in every D&C; most managers have more than $1 million in each fund. The smallest reported holding is still over $100,000.

Opening date

December 5, 2012 if you count the predecessor fund, a private partnership, or May 1, 2014 if you date it from conversion to a mutual fund.

Minimum investment

$2,500 initial minimum investment, reduced to $1,000 for IRAs.

Expense ratio

0.45% on assets of $1.9 Billion, as of July 2023. 

Comments

Many people assume that the funds managed by venerable “white shoe” firms are automatically timid. They are not. They are frequently value-conscious, risk-conscious, tax-conscious and expense-conscious. They are frequently very fine. But they are not necessarily timid. Welcome to Dodge & Cox, a firm founded during the Great Depression to help the rich remain rich. They are, by all measures, an exemplary institution. Their funds are all run by low-profile teams of long-tenured professionals and they are inclined to avoid contact with the media. Their decision-making is legitimately collective and their performance is consistently admirable. Here’s the argument for owning what Dodge & Cox sells:

Name Ticker Inception M* Ranking M* Analyst Rating M* Expenses
Balanced DODBX 1931 Four star Gold Low
Global Stock DODWX 2008 Four star Gold Low
International Stock DODFX 2001 Four star Gold Low
Income DODIX 1989 Four star Gold Low
Stock DODGX 1965 Four star Gold Low

Here’s the argument against it:

    Assets, in billions Peer rank in 2008 M* risk Great Owl or not MFO Risk Group
Balanced DODBX 15 Bottom 11% High No Above average
Global Stock DODWX 5 n/a Above average No Average
International Stock DODFX 59 Bottom 18% Above Average to High No High
Income DODIX 26 Top third Average No High
Stock DODGX 56 Bottom 9% Above Average No High

The sum of the argument is this: D&C is independent. They have perspectives not shared by the vast majority of their competitors. When they encounter what they believe to be a fundamentally good idea, they move decisively on it. Sometimes their decisive moves are premature, and considerable dislocation can result. Dodge & Cox Global Fund started as a private partnership and documents filed with the SEC suggests that the fund had a single shareholder. As a result, the portfolio could be quite finely tuned to the risk tolerance of its investors. The fund’s current portfolio contains 25.4% emerging markets bonds. It has 14% of its money in Latin American bonds (the average global bond fund has 1%) and 5% in African bonds (versus 1%). 59% of the bond is rated by Moody’s as Baa (lower medium-grade bonds) or lower. Those imply a different risk-return profile than you will find in the average global bond fund. Why worry about a global bond fund at all? Four reasons come to mind:

  1. International bonds now represent the world’s largest asset class: about 32% of the total value of the global stock and bond market, up from 19% of the global market in 2000.

  2. The average American investor has very limited exposure to non-U.S. bonds. Vanguard’s analysis (linked below) concludes “ U.S. investors generally have little, if any, exposure to foreign bonds in their portfolios.”

  3. The average American investor with non-U.S. bond exposure is likely exposed to the wrong bonds. Both index funds and timid managers replicate the mistakes embodied in their indexes: they weight their portfolios by the amount of debt issuance rather than by the quality of issuer. What does that mean? It means that most bond indexes (hence most index and closet-index funds) give the largest weighting to whoever issues the greatest volume of debt, rather than to the issuers who are most capable of repaying that debt promptly and in full.

  4. Adding “the right bonds” to your portfolio will fundamentally improve your portfolio’s risk/return profile. A 2014 Vanguard study on the effects of increasing international bond exposure reaches two conclusions: (1) adding unhedged international bonds increases volatility without offsetting increase in returns because it represents a simple currency bet but (2) adding currency-hedged international bond exposure decreases volatility in almost all portfolios. They report:

    It is interesting that, once the currency risk is removed through hedging, the least-volatile portfolio is 42% U.S. stocks, 18% international stocks, and 40% international bonds. Further, with bond currency risk negated, the inclusion of international bonds has relatively little effect on the allocation decision regarding international stocks. In other words, a 30% allocation to international stocks within the equity portion of the portfolio (18% divided by 60%) remains optimal for reducing volatility over the period analyzed, regardless of the level of international bond allocation.

    This makes it easier for investors to assess the impact of adding international bonds to a portfolio. In addition, we find that hedged international bonds historically have offered consistent risk-reduction benefits: Portfolio volatility decreases with each incremental allocation to international bonds.

    The greatest positive effect they found was from the addition of emerging markets bonds.

Bottom Line

The odds favor the following statement: DODLX will be a very solid long-term core holding. The managers’ independence from the market, but dependence on D&C’s group culture, will occasionally blow up. If you check your portfolio only once every three-to-five years, you’ll be very satisfied with D&C’s stewardship of your money.

Fund website

Dodge & Cox Global Bond Fund. For those interested in working through the details of the D&C Global Bond Fund L.L.C., the audited financials are available through the SEC archive. © Mutual Fund Observer, 2014. All rights reserved. The information here reflects publicly available information current at the time of publication. For reprint/e-rights contact us.

June 2014, Funds in Registration

By David Snowball

American Beacon AHL Managed Futures Strategy Fund

American Beacon AHL Managed Futures Strategy Fund will pursue capital growth. The strategy will be to be use futures, options and forward contracts linked to stock indices, currencies, bonds, interest rates, energy, metals and agricultural products. They’ll invest in areas with positive price momentum and short ones with negative momentum; the prospectus doesn’t give much detail, though, on the use of shorting and hedges. The prospectus does offer an admirable amount of detail concerning the sorts of risk that this strategy entails. The enumerated risks include:

Asset Selection

Commodities

Counterparty

Credit

Currency

Derivatives

Emerging Markets

Foreign Investing

High Portfolio Turnover

Interest Rate

Investment

Issuer

Leveraging

Liquidity

Market Direction

Market Events

Market

Model and Data

Obsolescence

Crowding/Convergence

Non-Diversification

Other Investment Companies

Management

Sector

Short Position

Subsidiary

Tax

U.S. Government Securities and Government Sponsored Enterprises

Valuation

Volatility

The fund will be managed by Matthew Sargaison and Russell Korgaonkar of AHL Partners LLP.  The opening expense ratio is 1.93% after waivers. The minimum initial investment is $ 2500.

American Beacon Bahl & Gaynor Small Cap Growth Fund

American Beacon Bahl & Gaynor Small Cap Growth Fund will pursue long-term capital appreciation. The strategy will be to invest in high-quality dividend-paying small cap stocks. The managers pursue a fundamental approach to security selection and a bottom-up approach to portfolio construction. The fund will be managed by Edward Woods, Scott Rodes and Stephanie Thomas of Bahl & Gaynor. The opening expense ratio is 1.37% after waivers. The minimum initial investment is $2500.

American Century Emerging Markets Debt Fund

American Century Emerging Markets Debt Fund will pursue capital growth. The strategy will be to invest in dollar-denominated debt instruments issued by E.M. governments and corporations. The managers may invest in both investment grade and high-yield debt. They’ll attempt to hedge other sorts of risk, including currencies, interest rates and individual country risk. The fund will be managed by a team led byMargé Karner, who just joined American Century after serving as a senior portfolio managers for E.M. debt at HSBC Global Asset Management. The opening expense ratio is 0.97%. The minimum initial investment is $2500, reduced to $2000 for Coverdell education savings accounts.

Coho Relative Value Equity Fund

Coho Relative Value Equity Fund will pursue total return. The strategy will be to invest in mid- to large-cap dividend-paying stocks. The portfolio will generally be comprised of 20 to 35 equity securities that demonstrate “stability, dividend- and cash-flow growth.” The fund will be managed by Brian Kramp and Peter Thompson of Coho Investment Partners. The opening expense ratio is 1.30% plus a 2% redemption fee on shares held fewer than 60 days. The minimum initial investment is $2,000, reduced to $500 for retirement accounts.

Emerald Insights Fund

Emerald Insights Fund will seek long-term growth through capital appreciation. Their preference is for “[c]ompanies with perceived leadership positions and competitive advantages in niche markets that do not receive significant coverage from other institutional investors.” The fund will be managed by David Volpe, a managing director at Emerald. The opening expense ratio is 1.40% after waivers. The minimum initial investment is $2000.

Horizon Active Risk Assist Fund

Horizon Active Risk Assist Fund “seeks to capture the majority of the returns associated with equity market investments, while exposing investors to less risk than other equity investments.”  The plan is to invest in up to 30 ETFs representing about a dozen asset classes, then to hedge that exposure with their “risk assist” strategy. “Risk Assist is an active de-risking strategy intended to guard against catastrophic market events and maximum drawdowns.” Translation: they’ll hold cash and Treasuries. The fund will be managed by a team headed by Horizon’s president, Robbie Cannon. Normal operating expenses are capped at 1.42%.  The minimum initial investment is $2500.

Lyrical Liquid Hedged Fund

Lyrical Liquid Hedged Fund will pursue long-term capital growth. The strategy will be to invest under normal circumstances in liquid long and short equity positions in an attempt to benefit from rising markets and hedge against falling markets.  They expect to be at last 40% net long usually. The “liquid” part means “easily traded securities,” which translates mostly to mid- and large-cap US stocks. The fund will be managed by Andrew Wellington, CIO of Lyrical Asset Management, LP. The opening expense ratio is 2.20% after waivers.  The minimum initial investment is $2,500.

Scharf Global Opportunity Fund

Scharf Global Opportunity Fund will pursue long-term capital appreciation. The strategy will be to invest in a global collection of “growth stocks at value prices” (their wording), though they could invest up to 30% in fixed income. The fund will be managed by Brian A. Krawez, president of the advisor. The opening expense ratio is 0.51% after a waiver of about 250 bps, plus a 2.0% redemption fees on shares held fewer than 15 days.  (15 days?  Really?)  The minimum initial investment is $10,000, reduced to $5,000 for tax-advantaged accounts or those set up with automatic investing plans.

Sirius S&P Strategic Large-Cap Allocation Fund

Sirius S&P Strategic Large-Cap Allocation Fund seeks long term growth and preservation of capital through investment in large cap equity and market index funds. At base, they’ll invest – long and short – in the S&P 500 index, companies or sectors.  The fund will be managed by Sirius Fund Advisor’s founder, Constance D. Russello. The expense ratio is not yet set.  The minimum initial investment is $2500.

V2 Hedged Equity Fund

V2 Hedged Equity will seek to provide long-term capital appreciation with reduced volatility. The fund may invest up to 100% in 30-50 stocks in the S&P500 and (2) up to 100% in CBOE FLexible EXchange index call options. The prospectus makes two claims that I can’t immediately reconcile: “the Adviser seeks to achieve the Fund’s investment objective by investing at least 90% of its net assets in U.S. common stocks” and “The net long exposure of the Fund (gross long exposures minus gross short exposures) is usually expected to be between 20% and 80%.” In 2010, the adviser had four separate accounts which used this strategy for private investors. In 2012, those four accounts morphed into the core of a hedge fund using the strategy.  In July, the hedge fund will become the mutual fund’s institutional class. From August 2010 to December 2013, the strategy returned 14.16% annually which compares favorably to the 5.74% earned by the average long/short fund over that same period. Victor Viner and Brett Novosel of V2 will manage the account.  The minimum initial investment will be $5,000.

Weitz Core Plus Income Fund

Weitz Core Plus Income Fund will pursue current income, capital preservation and long-term capital appreciation. They’ll invest in “debt securities” which includes preferred stock, foreign bonds, and taxable munis as well as more-traditional fare. Up to 25% of the portfolio might be invested in non-investment grade debt. They can also use various derivatives “for investment purposes consistent with the Fund’s investment objective and [to] mitigate or hedge risks.” They anticipate an average portfolio maturity of about 10 years. Thomas D. Carney, a portfolio manager since 1996, and Nolan P. Anderson of Weitz Investment Management will run the fund.  The initial expense ratio will be 0.85% for the Investor class shares. The minimum initial investment is $2500.

William Blair Bond Fund

William Blair Bond Fund will try to “outperfrorm the Lehman Brothers U.S. Aggregate Index by maximizing total return through a combination of income and capital appreciation.” They’ll invest in dollar-denominated, investment grade securities, issued both here and overseas. They might also sneak in a few bond-like equity securities. The fund will be managed by James Kaplan, Christopher Vincent, and Benjamin Armstrong, whose “core fixed income composite” seems not to have performed noticeably better than the index over the past decade. The initial expense ratio will be 0.65%. The minimum initial investment is $5000, reduced to $3000 for IRAs.

Martin Focused Value (MFVRX)

By David Snowball

Update: This fund has been liquidated.

Objective and strategy

The Fund seeks to achieve long-term capital growth of capital by investing in an all-cap portfolio of undervalued stocks.  The managers look for three qualities in their portfolio companies:

  • High quality business, those companies that have a competitive advantage, high profit margins and returns on capital, sustainable results and/or low-cost operations,
  • High quality management, an assessment grounded in the management’s record for ethical action, inside ownership and responsible allocation of capital
  • Undervalued stock, which factors in future cash flow as well as conventional measures such as price/earnings and price/sales.

Mr. Martin summarizes his discipline this way: “When companies we favor reach what our analysis concludes are economically compelling prices, we will buy them.  Period.” If there are no compelling bargains in the securities markets, the Fund may have a substantial portion of its assets in cash or cash equivalents such as short-term Treasuries. The fund is non-diversified and has not yet had more than 9% in equities, although that would certainly rise if stock prices fell dramatically.

Adviser

Martin Capital Management (MCM), headquartered in Elkhart, IN.  Established in 1987, MCM has stated an ongoing commitment to a “rational, disciplined, concentrated, value-oriented investment philosophy.”  Their first priority is preservation of capital, but seek opportunities for growth when they find underpriced, but well-run companies. They manage about $160 million, roughly 10% of which is in their mutual fund.

Manager

Frank Martin is portfolio manager, as well as the founder and CIO of the adviser. A 1964 graduate of Northwestern University’s investment management program, Mr. Martin went on to obtain an MBA from Indiana University. He does a lot of charitable work, including his role as founder and chairman of the board of DreamsWork, a mentoring and scholarship program for inner-city children. Mr. Martin has published two books on investing, Speculative Contagion and A Decade of Delusions.  He’s assisted by a four person research team.

Strategy capacity and closure

Mr. Martin allows that the theoretical capacity is “pretty darn large,” but that having a fund that was big is “too distracting” from the work on investing so he’d look for a manageable portfolio size.

Active share

Not formally calculated but undoubtedly near 100, given a portfolio with just four stocks.

Management’s stake in the fund

Mr. Martin has invested over $1 million in the fund and, as of the early 2014, is the fund’s largest shareholder. No member of the board of directors has invested in the fund but then four of the six directors haven’t invested in any of the 18 funds they oversee. The firm’s employees invest in this strategy largely through separately managed accounts, which reflects the fact that the fund did not exist when his folks began investing. The portfolio is small enough that Mr. Martin knows many of his shareholders, five of whom own 35% of the retail shares between them.

Opening date

May 03, 2012

Minimum investment

$2,500 for an initial investment for retail shares. $100 minimum for subsequent investments.

Expense ratio

1.39%, after waivers, on about $15 million in assets (as of April 2014). There’s also an institutional share class (MFVIX) with an e.r. of 0.99% and a $100,000 minimum.

Comments

Absolute value investors are different.  These are guys who don’t want to live at the edge.  They take the phrase “margin of safety” very seriously.  For them, “risk” is about “permanent losses,” not “foregone gains.” They don’t BASE jump. They don’t order fugu. They don’t answer the question “I wonder if this will hold my weight?” by hopping on it.  They do drive, often in Volvos and generally within five MPH of the posted speed limit, to Omaha every May to hear The Word from Warren and fellowship with like-minded investors.

Unlike relative value and growth guys, they don’t believe that you hired them to pick the best stocks available.  They do believe you hired them to compose the best equity portfolio available.  The difference is that “the best equity portfolio” might well be one that, potentially for long periods, holds few stocks and huge amounts of cash.  Why? Because markets are neither efficient nor rational; they are the aggregated decisions of millions of humans who often move as herds and sometimes as stampeding herds.  Those stampedes – sometimes called manias or bubbles, sometimes simply frothy markets or periods of irrational exuberance – are a lot of fun while they last and catastrophic when they end.  We don’t know when they will end, but we do know that every market that overshoots on the upside is followed by one that overshoots on the downside.

In general, absolute value investors try to protect you from those entirely predictable risks.  Rather than relying on you to judge the state of the market and its level of riskiness, they act on your behalf by leaving early, sacrificing part of the gain in order to spare you as much of the pain as possible.

In general, that translates to stockpiling cash (or implementing some sort of hedging position) when stocks with absolutely attractive valuations are unavailable, in anticipation of being able to strike quickly on the day when attractively-priced stocks are again available.

Mr. Martin takes that caution one step further.  In addition to protecting you from predictable risks (“known unknowns,” in Mr. Rumsfeld’s parlance), he has attempted to create a portfolio that offers some protection against risks that are impossible to anticipate (“unknown unknowns” for Mr. Rumsfeld, “black swans” if you prefer Mr. Taleb’s term).  His strategy, also drawing from Mr. Taleb’s research, is to create an “antifragile” portfolio; that is, one which grows stronger as the stress on it rises.

Mr. Martin, a value investor with 40 years of experience, has won praise from the likes of Jack Bogle, Jim Grant and Edward Studzinski.  Earlier in his career, he ran fully-invested portfolios.  In the past 20 years, he’s become less willing to buy marginally-priced stocks and has rarely been more than 70% invested in the market.  With the launch of Martin Focused Value Fund in 2011, he moved more decisively into pursuing a barbell strategy in his portfolio, which he believes to be decidedly anti-fragile.  The bulk of the portfolio is now invested in short-term Treasuries while under 10% is in undervalued, high-quality equities.  In normal markets, the equities will provide much of the fund’s upside while the bonds contribute modest returns.  The portfolio’s advantage is that in market crises, panicked investors are prone to bid up the price of the ultra-safe bonds in his portfolio, giving him both downside protection and “dry powder” to deploy when stocks tank.

The result is a low volatility portfolio which has produced consistent results.  While his mutual fund is new, he’s been using the same discipline in private accounts and those investments have decisively outperformed the S&P this century. The following chart reflects the performance of those private accounts:

mcm

Those returns include the effects of some outstanding stock picking.  The equity portion of Mr. Martin’s portfolio returned 13.1% annually from 2000 – 2014Q1, while the S&P banked just 3.7% for the same period.  He and his analysts are, in short, really talented at picking stocks.  Over this same period, the composite had a standard deviation (a measure of volatility) of 3.4% while the S&P 500 bounced 12.3%, a difference of 350%.

Why might you want to consider a low-equity, antifragile portfolio?  Like many absolute value investors, Mr. Martin believes that we’re now seeing “a market that seems increasingly detached from its fundamental moorings.”  That’s a “known unknown.”  He goes further than most and posits the worrisome presence of an unknown unknown.  Here’s the argument: corporations can do one of four things with their income (technically, their free cash flow):

  1. They can invest in the business through new capital expenditures or by hiring new workers.
  2. They can give money back to their investors in the form of dividends.
  3. They can buy back shares of the corporation’s stock on the open market.
  4. They can acquire someone else’s company to add to the corporate empire.

Of these four activities, one and only one – re-investment – is consistently beneficial to a corporation’s long-term prospects.  It is also the one that least interests corporate leaders who are being pushed to maximize immediate stock returns; focusing on the long-term now poses a palpable risk of being dismissed if it causes short-term performance to lag.

Amazon’s chief and founder, Jeff Bezos, and Amazon’s stock are both being pounded in mid-2014 because Bezos stubbornly insists on pouring money into research and development and capital projects.  Amazon’s stock has fallen 25% YTD through May 1, an event that Bezos can survive when most other CEOs would fall.

“Since 2008, the proportion of cash flow invested in capital assets is the lowest on record” while both the debt to GDP ratio and the amount of margin debt (that is, money borrowed to speculate in the market) are at their highest levels ever. At the same time, the 100 largest companies in the U.S. have spent a trillion dollars buying back stock since 2008 while dividend payments in 2013 were 40% above their 10-year average; by Mr. Martin’s calculation, “90% of cash flow is being expended for purposes that don’t increase the value of most companies over the longer-term.”  In short, stock prices are rising steadily for firms whose futures are increasingly at risk.

His aim, then, is to build a portfolio which will, first, preserve investors’ wealth and then grow it over the course of a life.

Potential investors should note two cautions:

  1. They need to understand that double-digit returns will be relatively rare; his separate account composition had returns above 10% in four of 14 years from 2000-13.
  2. Succession planning at the firm has not yet born fruit.  At 71, Mr. Martin is actively, but so far unsuccessfully, engaged in a search for a successor.  He wants someone who shares his passion for long-term success and his willingness to sacrifice short-term gains when need be.  One simple test that he’s subjected candidates to is to look at whether their portfolios outperformed the S&P during the 2007-09 meltdown.  So far, the answer has mostly been “no.”

Bottom Line

There are some investors for whom this strategy is a very good fit, though few have yet found their way to the fund.  Folks who share Mr. Martin’s concern about the effects of perverse financial incentives (or even the growing risks of global technology that’s outracing our ability to comprehend, much less control, its consequences) should consider the fund.  Likewise investors who are trying to preserve wealth against the effects of inflation over decades would find a comfortable home here.  Folks who are convinced that they can outsmart the market, who are banking on double-digit rights and expect to out-time its gyrations are apt to be disappointed.

Fund website

www.martinfocusedvaluefund.com.  He’s got a remarkable body of writings at the fund website, but rather more at the main Martin Capital Management site.  His essays are well-written, both substantial and wide-ranging, sort of the antithesis of the usual marketing stuff that passes for mutual fund white papers.

May 2014, Funds in Registration

By David Snowball

Acuitas International Small Cap Fund

Acuitas International Small Cap Fund will seek via investing in (duh) international small cap stocks. Small caps range up to $4 billion. The fund will be managed by multiple sub-advisors including Advisory Research, Algert Coldiron Investors, and DePrince, Race & Zollo. The minimum initial investment is $2500. The opening expense ratio has not been set.

Acuitas Us Microcap Fund

Acuitas Us Microcap Fund will seek capital appreciation via investing in (duh) US microcap stocks. Small caps range up to $1 billion. The fund will be managed by multiple sub-advisors including Clarivest Asset Management, Falcon Point Capital, and Opus Capital Management. Falcon Point has a reasonably successful microcap strategy with a three year record; the two other advisers don’t advertise a dedicated microcap strategy. The minimum initial investment is $2500. The opening expense ratio has not been set.

 AMG Renaissance International Equity Fund

 AMG Renaissance International Equity Fund will seek long-term growth by investing in 50-60 global equities. There’s no clearly articulated discipline. Up to one-third of the portfolio might be EM companies. The fund will be managed by Joe G. Bruening of Renaissance Group. The minimum initial investment is $2,000, reduced to $1,000 for IRAs. The opening expense ratio will be 1.30%.

Catalyst Activist Investor Fund

Catalyst Activist Investor Fund will seek long term capital appreciation by investing in stocks of companies that are experiencing significant activist investor activity.  Those are mostly domestic large caps, but the manager is free to go elsewhere.  The fund is classified as non-diversifed. The fund will be managed by David Miller of Catalyst. The minimum initial investment is $2,500, reduced to $100 for accounts with an automatic investing plan. The opening expense ratio is 1.25%.

Catalyst Insider Income Fund

Catalyst Insider Income Fund will seek “high current income with low interest rate sensitivity” by investing in the short-term bonds of corporations whose executives are buying back the firm’s common stock.  They’ve extensively back-tested the strategy (oh good!) and they believe it will allow them to avoid companies at risk of bankruptcy.  I’m as-yet unclear how much of a risk bankruptcy is for investors looking to buy short-term bonds. The fund will be managed by David Miller. The minimum initial investment is $2,500, reduced to $100 for accounts with an automatic investing plan. The opening expense ratio is 1.20%.

Catalyst Absolute Total Return Fund

Catalyst Absolute Total Return Fund will seek “sustainable income and capital appreciation with positive returns in all market conditions.”  The not-entirely-unique plan is to be high dividend securities and sell covered calls. The fund will be managed by Shawn Blau of ATR Advisors.  His separate account composite, dating back to 2003, strikes me as very solid.  He had one disastrous year (2007, when he dropped 15% while the market was up 5%), a very strong performance in 2008 (down 1%) and a string of years in which he outperformed the S&P.  They have not yet released the calculation of annualized returns, just year by year ones. The minimum initial investment is $2,500, reduced to $100 for accounts with an automatic investing plan. The opening expense ratio is 1.75%.

Catalyst/Stone Beach Income Opportunity Fund

Catalyst/Stone Beach Income Opportunity Fund will seek “high current income consistent with total return and capital preservation” by investing primarily in mortgage-backed securities (akin to Gundlach’s specialty at DoubleLine). The fund will be managed by David Lysenko and Ed Smith of Stone Beach Investment Management.  The firm’s hedge fund, using the same strategy, has dramatically outperformed an MBS index. The minimum initial investment is $2,500, reduced to $100 for accounts with an automatic investing plan. The opening expense ratio is 1.30%.

Catalyst/Groesbeck Aggressive Growth Fund

Catalyst/Groesbeck Aggressive Growth Fund will seek long term capital appreciation by investing in small- to mid-cap domestic growth stocks. The fund will be managed by Robert Groesbeck of Groesbeck Investment Management. The minimum initial investment is $2,500, reduced to $100 for accounts with an automatic investing plan. The opening expense ratio is 1.30%.

Cupps All Cap Growth Fund

Cupps All Cap Growth Fund will seek “growth of capital over a long-term investment period” via investing in domestic growth stocks. The fund will be managed by Andrew S. Cupps, former manager (1998-2000) of Strong Enterprise Fund. He also runs separate accounts in the same style, but has not yet released their performance record. The minimum initial investment is $2,000. The opening expense ratio is not yet set.

Cupps Mid Cap Growth Fund

Cupps Mid Cap Growth Fund will seek long-term growth via investing in domestic mid-cap growth stocks. The fund will be managed by Andrew S. Cupps, former manager (1998-2000) of Strong Enterprise Fund. That fund had the typical meteoric path up (a 54% gain in his first 16 months) and down (a 39% loss in his last six months). He also runs separate accounts in the same style, but has not yet released their performance record. The minimum initial investment is $2,000. The opening expense ratio is not yet set.

HCM Tactical Growth Fund

HCM Tactical Growth Fund, “R” shares, will seek long-term capital appreciation via market timing. Their proprietary HCM – BuyLine® model will dictate whether they’re in cash or equities. When they’re in equities, the portfolio will be divided between individual stocks and funds. The fund will be managed by Vance Howard of Howard Capital Management. There’s no evidence in the prospectus that documents any previous success with this expensive strategy. The minimum initial investment is $2500, reduced to $1000 for IRAs. The opening expense ratio will be 1.98%.

LSV U.S. Managed Volatility Fund

LSV U.S. Managed Volatility Fund will seek long-term growth via investing in low-volatility value stocks. The fund will be managed byJosef Lakonishok, CEO, CIO, and Partner, Menno Vermeulen, and Puneet Mansharamani. Lakonishok is a famous academic who pioneered much of the behavioral finance field. He and his team have a separate accounts composite that has slightly bested the S&P 500 (presumably with less volatility) since 2010. The team also runs three four-star equity funds which, ironically, are marked by distinctly elevated volatility. The minimum initial investment is $1,000. The opening expense ratio will be 0.80%.

LSV GLOBAL Managed Volatility Fund

LSV GLOBAL Managed Volatility Fund will seek long-term growth via investing in low-volatility global stocks. The fund will be managed by Josef Lakonishok, CEO, CIO, and Partner, Menno Vermeulen, and Puneet Mansharamani. Lakonishok is a famous academic who pioneered much of the behavioral finance field. He and his team have a separate accounts composite that has slightly bested the S&P 500 (presumably with less volatility) since 2010. The team also runs three four-star equity funds which, ironically, are marked by distinctly elevated volatility. The minimum initial investment is $1,000. The opening expense ratio will be 1.0%.

North Star Bond Fund

North Star Bond Fund, I shares,will seek via investing in bonds, convertible securities and (potentially) equities issued by small cap companies. That’s certainly distinctive. The fund will be managed by a team that includes their microcap equity and opportunistic equity managers. The minimum initial investment is $5,000. The opening expense ratio is not yet set.

Rothschild Larch Lane Alternatives Fund

Rothschild Larch Lane Alternatives Fund will seek “to generate consistent returns relative to risk and maintain low correlation to equity and bond markets” by pursuing a jumble of hedge fund-inspired trading strategies. The fund will be managed by Ellington Management Group, Karya Capital, Mizuho Alternative Investments, and Winton Capital Management. The minimum initial investment is $1,000 for Investor shares or $10,000 for Institutional ones. The opening expense ratio will be 2.86% for the Investor shares.

Sound Point Floating Rate Income Fund

Sound Point Floating Rate Income Fund will seek “to provide a high level of current income consistent with strong risk-adjusted returns” via investing primarily in senior floating rate loans. The fund will be managed by Stephen Ketchum, principal owner of Sound Point Capital Management, and Rick Richert. They ran this portfolio as a closed-end fund, with modest success, in 2013. The minimum initial investment is $1,000. The opening expense ratio will be 1.15%.

The Tocqueville Alternative Strategies Fund

The Tocqueville Alternative Strategies Fund will seek “higher returns and lower volatility than the S&P 500 Index over a 3-5 year time horizon” and positive absolute returns over any two year period by using long-biased and market neutral arbitrage trading strategies. The fund will be managed by as as-yet unnamed person. The minimum initial investment is $1,000, reduced to $250 for IRAs. The opening expense ratio is not yet set.

Huber Select Large Cap Value (formerly Huber Capital Equity Income), (HULIX), April 2014

By David Snowball

At the time of publication, this fund was named Huber Equity Income.
This fund was formerly named Huber Capital Equity Income.

Objective and strategy

The Fund is pursuing both current income and capital appreciation. They typically invest in 40 of the 1000 largest domestic large cap stocks. It normally invests in stocks with high cash dividends or payout yields relative to the market but can buy non-payers if they have growth potential unrecognized by the market or have undergone changes in business or management that indicate growth potential.

Adviser

Huber Capital Management, LLC, of Los Angeles. Huber has provided investment advisory services to individual and institutional accounts since 2007. The firm has about $4 billion in assets under management, including $450 million in its three mutual funds.

Manager

Joseph Huber. Mr. Huber was a portfolio manager in charge of security selection and Director of Research for Hotchkis and Wiley Capital Management from October 2001 through March 2007, where he helped oversee over $35 billion in U.S. value asset portfolios. He managed, or assisted with, a variety of successful funds across a range of market caps. He is assisted by seven other investment professionals.

Strategy capacity and closure

Approximately $10 billion. That’s based on their desire to allow each position to occupy about 2% of the fund’s portfolio while not owning a controlling position in any of their stocks. Currently they manage about $1.5 billion in their Select Large Value strategy.

Active share

Not calculated. “Active share” measures the degree to which a fund’s portfolio differs from the holdings of its benchmark portfolio. High active share indicates management which is providing a portfolio that is substantially different from, and independent of, the index. An active share of zero indicates perfect overlap with the index, 100 indicates perfect independence. Mr. Huber, independently enough, dismisses it as “This year’s new risk-control nomenclature. Next year it’ll be something else.” 

Management’s stake in the fund

Mr. Huber has over $1 million invested in each of his three funds. His analysts are all on track to become partners and equity owners of the advisor.

Opening date

June 29, 2007

Minimum investment

$5,000 for regular accounts and $2,500 for retirement accounts.

Expense ratio

1.39% on $85 million in assets, as of July 2023. 

Comments

There’s no question that it works.

None at all.

Morningstar thinks it works:

huber1

Lipper lavishly thinks so:

huber2

And the Observer mostly concurs, recognizing both of the established Huber funds as Great Owls based on their consistently excellent risk-adjusted performance:

huber3

In addition to generating top-tier absolute and risk-adjusted returns, the Huber funds also generate very light tax burdens. By consciously managing when to sells securities (preferably when they qualify for lower long-term rates) and tax-loss harvesting, his investors have lost almost nothing to taxes over the past five years.

It works.

There’s only one question: does it work for you?

Mr. Huber pursues a rigorous, research-driven, value-oriented style. He’s been refining it for 20 years but the core has remained unchanged since his Hotchkis & Wiley days. He has done a lot of reading in behavioral finance and has identified a series of utterly predictable mistakes that investors – his team as much as other folks – are prone to make over and over. His strategy is two-fold:

Exploit other investors’ mistakes. Value investors tend to buy too early and sell too early; growth investors do the opposite. Both sides tend to extrapolate too much from the present, assuming that companies with miserable financials (for example, extremely low return on capital) will continue to flounder. His research demonstrates the inevitability of mean reversion, the currently poorest companies will tend to rise over time and the currently-strongest will fall. By targeting low ROC firms, which most investors dismiss as terminal losers, he harvests over time a sort of arbitrage gain as ROC rises toward the mean on top of market gains.

Guard against his own tendency to make mistakes. He’s created a red flags list, a sort of encyclopedia of all the errors that he or other investors have made, and then subjects each holding to a red flag review. They also have a “negative first to negative second derivative” tool that keeps them from doubling down on a firm whose rate of decline is accelerating and a positive version that might slow down their impulse to sell early.

Beyond that, they do rigorous and distinctive research. While many investors believe that large caps occupy the most efficient part of the market, Mr. Huber strongly disagrees. His argument is that large caps have an enormous number of moving parts, divisions within the firm that have their own management, culture, internal dynamics and financials. Pfizer, a top holding, has divisions specializing in Primary Care; Specialty Care and Oncology; Established Products and Emerging Markets; Animal Health; and Consumer Healthcare. Pfizer need not report the divisions’ financials separately, so many investors are stuck with investing backs on aggregate free cash flow firm-wide and a generic metric about what that flow should be. The Huber folks approach it differently: they start by looking at smaller monoline firms (for example, a firm that just specializes in animal care) which allows them to see that area’s internal dynamics. They then adjust the smaller firm’s financials to reflect what they know of Pfizer’s operations (Pfizer might, for example, have lower cost of capital than the smaller firm). By modeling each unit or division that way and then assembling the parts, they end up with a surrogate for Pfizer as a whole. 

Huber’s success is illustrated when we compare HULIX to three similarly-vintaged large-value funds:

Artisan Value (ARTLX), mostly because Artisan represents consistent excellence and this four-star fund from the U.S. Value team is no exception.

LSV Conservative Core (LSVPX) because LSV’s namesake founders published some 200 papers on behavioral finance and incorporated their research into LSV’s genes.

Hotchkis and Wiley Diversified Value (HWCAX) because Mr. Huber was the guy who built, designed and implemented H&W’s state of the art research program.

huber4

Higher returns, competitive downside, and higher risk-adjusted returns (those are all the ratios on the right where higher is better).

The problem is those returns are accompanied by levels of volatility that many investors are unprepared to accept. It’s a problem that haunted two other Morningstar Manager of the Decade award winners. Here are the markers to keep in mind:

    • Morningstar risk: over the past five years is high.
    • Beta: over the past five years is 1.18, or 18% greater than average.
    • Standard deviation: over the past five years is 18% compared to 14.9 for its peers.
    • Investor returns: by Morningstar’s calculation, the average investor in the fund over the past five years has earned 23.9% while the fund returned 32.1%. That pattern usually reflects bad investor behavior: buying in greed, selling in fear. This pattern is generally associated with funds that are more volatile investors can bear. (There’s an irony in the prospect that investors in the fund might be undone by the very sorts of behavioral flaws that the manager so profitably exploits.)

He also remains fully invested at all times, since he assumes that his clients have made their own asset allocation decisions. His job is to buy the best stocks possible for them, not to decide whether they should be getting conservative or aggressive.

Mr. Huber’s position on the matter is two-fold. First, short-term volatility should have no place in an investor’s decision-making. For the 45 year old with a 40 year investment horizon, nothing that happens over the next 40 months is actually consequential. Second, he and his team try to inform, guide, educate and calm their investors through both written materials and conference calls.

Bottom Line

Huber Equity Income has all the hallmarks of a classic fund: it has a disciplined, distinctive and repeatable process. There’s a great degree of intention and thought in its design.  Its performance, like that of its small cap sibling, is outstanding. It is a discipline well-suited to Huber’s institutional and pension-plan accounts, which contribute 90% of the firm’s assets. Those institutions have long time horizons and, one hopes, the sort of professional detachment that allows them to understand what “investing for the long-term” really entails. The challenge is deciding whether, as a small investor or advisor, you will be able to maintain that same cool, unflustered demeanor. If so, this might be a very, very good move for you.

Fund website

Huber Capital Equity Income Fund

© Mutual Fund Observer, 2014. All rights reserved. The information here reflects publicly available information current at the time of publication. For reprint/e-rights contact us.

Evermore Global Value (EVGBX), April 2014

By David Snowball

 

This profile has been updated. Find the new profile here.
This is an update of our profile from April 2011.  The original profile is still available.

Objective and Strategy

Evermore Global Value Fund seeks capital appreciation by investing in a global portfolio of 30-40 securities. Their focus is on micro to mid-cap. They’re willing “to dabble” in larger cap names, but it’s not their core. Similarly they may invest beyond the equity market in “less liquid” investments such as distressed debt. They’ve frequently held short positions to hedge market risk and are willing to hold a lot of cash.

Adviser

Evermore Global Advisors, LLC. Evermore was founded by Mutual Series alumni David Marcus and Eric LeGoff in June 2009. David Marcus manages the portfolios. While they manage several products, including their US mutual fund, all of them follow the same “special situations” strategy. They have about $400 million in AUM.

Manager

David Marcus. Mr. Marcus co-founded the adviser. He was hired in the late 1980s by Michael Price at the Mutual Series Funds, started there as an intern and describes himself as “a believer” in the discipline pursued by Max Heine and Michael Price. He managed Mutual European (MEURX) and co-managed Mutual Discovery (MDISX) and Mutual Shares (MUTHX), but left in 2000 to establish a Europe-domiciled hedge fund with a Swedish billionaire partner. Marcus liquidated this fund after his partner’s passing and spent several years helping manage his partner’s family fortune and restructure a number of the public and private companies they controlled. He then went back to investing and started another European-focused hedge fund. In that role he was an activist investor, ending up on corporate boards and gaining additional operational experience. That operational experience “added tools to my tool belt,” but did not change the underlying discipline.

Strategy capacity and closure

$2 – 3 billion, which is large for a fund with a strong focus on small firms. Mr. Marcus explains that he’s previously managed far larger sums in this style, that he’s willing to take “controlling” positions in small firms which raises the size of his potential position in his smallest holdings and raises the manageable cap. He currently manages about $400 million, including some separate accounts which rely on the same discipline. He’ll close if he’s ever forced into style drift.

Active share

100. “Active share” measures the degree to which a fund’s portfolio differs from the holdings of its benchmark portfolio.  High active share indicates management which is providing a portfolio that is substantially different from, and independent of, the index.  An active share of zero indicates perfect overlap with the index, 100 indicates perfect independence. The active share for Evermore is 100.6, which reflects extreme independence plus the effect of several hedged positions.

Management’s stake in the fund

Substantial. The fund provides all of Mr. Marcus’s equity exposure except for long-held legacy positions that predate the launch of Evermore. He’s slowly “migrating assets” from those positions to greater investments in the fund and anticipates that his holdings will grow substantially. His family, business partner and all of his employees are invested. In addition, he co-owns the firm to which he and his partner have committed millions of their personal wealth. It’s striking that one of his two outside board members, the guy who helped build the Oppenheimer Funds group, has invested more than a million in the fund (despite receiving just a few thousand dollars a year for his work with the fund). That’s incredibly rare.

Opening date

December 31, 2009.

Minimum investment

$5000, reduced to $2000 for tax-advantaged accounts. The institutional share class (EVGIX) has a $1 million minimum, no load and a 1.37% expense ratio.

Expense ratio

1.62%, on assets of $235 million. There’s a 5% sales load which, because of agreements with advisers and financial intermediaries, is almost never paid.

Comments

Kermit the Frog famously crooned (or croaked) the song “It’s Not Easy Being Green” (“it seems you blend in with so many other ordinary things, And people tend to pass you over”). I suspect that if Mr. Marcus were the lyricist, the song would have been “It’s Not Easy Being Independent.” By any measure, Evermore Global is one of the most independent funds around.

Everyone else wants to be Warren Buffett. They’re all about buying “a wonderful company at a fair price.”  Mr. Marcus is not looking for “great companies selling at a modest price.” There are, he notes, a million guys already out there chasing those companies. That sort of growth-at-a-reasonable price focus isn’t in his genes and isn’t where he can distinguish himself. He does, faithfully and well, what Michael Price taught him to do: find and exploit special situations, often in uncovered or under-covered smaller stocks. That predisposition is reflected in his fund’s active share: 100.6 on a scale that normally tops-out at 100.

An active share of 100 means that it has essentially no overlap with its benchmark. The same applies to its peer group: Evermore has seven-times the exposure to small- and micro-cap stocks as does its peers. It has half of the US exposure and twice the European exposure of the average global fund.  And it has zero exposure to three defensive sectors (consumer defensive, healthcare, utilities) that make up a quarter of the average global fund.

The fund focuses on a small number of positions – rarely more than 40 – that fall into one of two categories:

  1. Cheap with a catalyst: he describes this as a private-equity mentality where “cheap” is attractive only if there’s good reason to believe it’s not going to remain cheap. The goal is to find businesses that merely have to stop being awful in order to recruit a profit to their investors, rather than requiring earnings growth to do so. This helps explain why the fund is lightly invested in both Japan (cheap, few catalysts) and the U.S. (lot of catalysts, broadly overpriced).
  2. Compounders: a term that means different things to different investors. Here he means family owned or controlled firms that have activist internal management. Some of these folks are “ruthless value creators.”  The key is to get to know personally the patriarch or matriarch who’s behind it all; establish whether they’re “on the same side” as their investors, have a record of value creation and are good people.

Mr. Marcus thinks of himself as an absolute value investor and follows Seth Klarman’s adage, “invest when you have the edge; when you don’t have the edge, don’t invest.”

There are two real downsides to being independent: you’re sometimes disastrously out-of-step with the herd and it’s devilishly hard to find an appropriate benchmark for the fund’s risk-return profile.

Evermore was substantially out-of-step for its first three years. It posted mid-single digit returns in 2010 and 2012, and crashed in 2011.  2011 was a turbulent year in the markets and Evermore’s loss of nearly 20% was among the worst suffered by global stock funds. Mr. Marcus would ask you to keep two considerations in mind before placing too much weight on those returns:

  1. Special situations stocks are, almost by definition, poorly understood, feared or loathed. These are often battered or untested companies with little or no analyst coverage. When markets correct, these stocks often fall fastest and furthest. 
  2. Special situations portfolios take time to mature. By definition, these are firms with unusual challenges. Mr. Marcus invests when there’s evidence that the firm is able to overcome their challenges and is moving to do so (i.e., there’s a catalyst), but that process might take years to unfold. In consequence, it takes time for the underlying value to be unlocked. He argues that the stocks he purchased in 2010-11 were beginning to pay off in 2012 and, especially, 2013. In baseball terms, he believes he now has a solid line-up of mid- to late-inning names.

The upside of special situations investing is two-fold. First, mispricing in their securities can be severe. There are few corners of the market further from efficient pricing than this. These stocks can’t be found or analyzed using standard quantitative measures and there are fewer and fewer seasoned analysts out there capable of understanding them. Second, a lot of the stocks’ returns are independent of the market. That is, these firms don’t need to grow revenue in order to see sharp share-price gains. If you have a firm that’s struggling because its CEO is a dolt and its board is in revolt, you’re likely to see the firm’s stock rebound once the dolt is removed. If you have a firm that used to be a solidly profitable division of a conglomerate but has been spun-off, you should expect an abnormally low stock price relatively to its value until it has a documented operating history. Investors like Mr. Marcus buy them cheap and early, then wait for what are essentially arbitrage gains.

Bottom Line

There’s no question that Evermore Global Value is a hard fund to love. It sports a one-star Morningstar rating and bottom-tier three year returns. The question is, does that say more about the fund or more about our ability to understand really independent, distinctive funds? The discipline that Max Heine taught to Michael Price, that Michael Price (who consulted on the launch of this fund) taught to David Marcus, and that David Marcus is teaching to his analysts, is highly-specialized, rarely practiced and – over long cycles – very profitable. Mr. Marcus, who has been described as the best and brightest of Price’s protégés, has attracted serious money from professional investors. That suggests that looking beyond the stars might well be in order here.

Fund website

Evermore Global Value Fund. In general, when a fund is presented as one manifestation of a strategy, it’s informative to wander around the site to learn what you can. With Evermore, there’s a nice discussion under “Active Value” of Mr. Marcus’s experience as an operating officer and its relevance for his work as an investor.

© Mutual Fund Observer, 2014. All rights reserved. The information here reflects publicly available information current at the time of publication. For reprint/e-rights contact us.

April 2014, Funds in Registration

By David Snowball

AR Capital International Real Estate Income Fund

AR Capital International Real Estate Income Fund, Advisor shares, will pursue current income with the potential for capital appreciation by investing in income producing securities related to the real estate industry.  “International” actually means “global,” since they expect “at least” 40% non-US and even that will be mostly achieved through ADRs.  The manager has not yet been named.  The minimum initial investment is $2500, raised to $100,000 for those buying directly from the advisor.  The opening expense ratio will be capped, but hasn’t yet been specified.

CM Advisors Defensive Fund

CM Advisors Defensive Fund will pursue capital preservation in all market conditions by using “various investment strategies and techniques.”  Uh-huh.  The only strategies or techniques clearly laid out are shorting and holding cash.  The managers will be James D. Brilliant and Stephen W. Shipman of Van Den Berg Management.  The minimum initial investment for “R” shares is $1,000.  The opening expense ratio will be 1.50%.

Day Hagan Tactical Dividend Fund

Day Hagan Tactical Dividend Fund, I shares, will pursue long-term capital appreciation with the possibility of current income by investing in large-cap, domestic dividend paying stocks.  Here’s the twist: they’ll target industries “at or near the top of their respective dividend yield cycle given the inverse relationship between price and yield.” The managers will be Robert Herman, Jeffrey Palmer of Gries Financial, and Donald Hagan of, well, “Donald L. Hagan LLC, also known as Day Hagan Asset Management.” The minimum initial investment is $1,000 for regular and IRA accounts, and $100 for an automatic investment plan account. The opening expense ratio will be 1.35%.

Schroder Global Multi-Asset Income Fund

Schroder Global Multi-Asset Income Fund will pursue income and capital growth over the medium to longer term by investing in a global portfolio high-quality, dividend-paying stocks and fixed income securities which promise sustainable income flows.  The managers will be Aymeric Forest and Iain Cunningham, both of Schroder Investment Management NA. They’ve also run reasonably successful separate accounts using this strategy but the track record there (less than two years) is too brief to provide much insight. The minimum initial investment for Advisor shares, which are intended to be sold through third-parties, is $2,500. The minimum for Investor shares, purchased directly from Schroder, is $250,000. (Can you tell they’d prefer you invest through Schwab?) The opening expense ratio has not yet been released.

T. Rowe Price Asia Opportunities Fund

T. Rowe Price Asia Opportunities Fund will pursue long-term growth of capital by investing in mid- to large-cap stocks of firms in, or tied to, China, Hong Kong, India, Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Singapore, South Korea, Taiwan, and Thailand. The emphasis will be on high-quality, blue chip firms. The fund is registered as non-diversified, though that seems unlikely in practice given T. Rowe’s style.  The manager will be Eric C. Moffett, a long-time research analyst based in Hong Kong.  The minimum initial investment is $2500, reduced to $1000 for various sorts of tax-advantaged accounts.  The opening expense ratio will be 1.15%. 

Poplar Forest Partners Fund (PFPFX), April 2014

By David Snowball

Objective and strategy

The Fund seeks to deliver superior, risk-adjusted returns over full market cycles by investing primarily in a compact portfolio of domestic mid- to large-cap stocks. They invest in between 25-35 stocks. They’re fundamental investors who assess the quality of the underlying business and then its valuation. Factors they consider in that assessment include expected future profits, sustainable revenue or asset growth, and capital requirements of the business which allows them to estimate normalized free cash flow and generate valuation estimates. Typical characteristics of the portfolio:

  • 85% of the portfolio to be invested in investment grade companies
  • 85% of the portfolio to be invested in dividend paying companies
  • 85% of the portfolio to be invested in the 1,000 largest companies in the U.S.

Adviser

Poplar Forest Capital. Poplar Forest was founded in 2007. They launched a small hedge fund, Poplar Forest Fund LP, in October 2007 and their mutual fund in 2009. The firm has just over $1 billion in assets under management, as of March 2014, most of which is in separate accounts for high net worth individuals.

Manager

J. Dale Harvey. Mr. Harvey founded Poplar Forest and serves as their CEO, CIO and Investment Committee Chair. Before that, he spent 16 years at the Capital Group, the advisor to the American Funds. He was portfolio counselor for five different American Funds, accounting for over $20 billion of client funds. He started his career in the Mergers & Acquisitions department of Morgan Stanley. He’s a graduate of the University of Virginia and the business school at Harvard University. He’s been actively engaged in his community, with a special focus on issues surrounding children and families.

Management’s stake in the fund

Over $1 million. “Substantially all” of his personal investment portfolio and the assets of his family’s charitable foundation, along with part of his mom’s portfolio, are invested in the fund. One of the four independent members of his board of directors has an investment (between $50,000 – 100,000) in the fund. In addition, Mr. Harvey owns 82% of the advisor, his analysts own 14% and everyone at the firm is invested in the fund. While individuals can invest their own money elsewhere, “there’s damned little of it” since the firm’s credo is “If you’ve got a great idea, we should own it for our clients.”

Strategy capacity and closure

$6 billion, which is reasonable given his focus on larger stocks. He has approximately $1 billion invested in the strategy (as of March 2014). Given his decision to leave Capital Group out of frustration with their funds’ burgeoning size, it’s reasonable to believe he’ll be cautious about asset growth.

Active share

90.2. “Active share” measures the degree to which a fund’s portfolio differs from the holdings of its benchmark portfolio.  High active share indicates management which is providing a portfolio that is substantially different from, and independent of, the index. An active share of zero indicates perfect overlap with the index, 100 indicates perfect independence. The active share for Poplar Forest is 90.2, which reflects a very high level of independence from its benchmark, the S&P 500 index.

Opening date

12/31/2009

Minimum investment

$25,000, reduced to $5,000 for tax-advantaged accounts. Morningstar incorrectly reports a waiver of the minimum for accounts with automatic investment provisions.

Expense ratio

1.20% on about $319 million in assets. The “A” shares carry a 5% sales load but it is available without a load through Schwab, Vanguard and a few others. The institutional share class (IPFPX) has a 0.95% expense ratio and $1 million minimum.

(as of July 2023)

Comments

Dale Harvey is looking for a few good investors. Sensible people. Not the hot money crowd. Folks who take the time to understand what they’ve invested in, and why. He’s willing to work to find them and to keep them.

That explains a lot.

It explains why he left American Funds, where he had a secure and well-paid position managing funds that were swelling to unmanageable, or perhaps poorly manageable, size. “I wanted to hold 30 names but had to hold 80. We don’t want to be big. We’re not looking for hot money. I still remember the thank-you notes from investors we got when I was young man. Those meant a lot.”

It explains why he chose to have a sales load and a high minimum. He really believes that good advisors add immense value and he wants to support and encourage them. Part of that encouragement is through the availability of a load, part through carefully-crafted quarterly letters that try to be as transparent as possible.  His hope is that he’ll develop “investor-partners” who will stay around long enough for Poplar Forest to make a real difference in their lives.

So far he’s been very pleased with the folks drawn to his fund. He notes that the shareholder turnover rate, industry-wide, is something like 25% a year while Poplar Forest’s rate is in the high teens. That implies a six or seven year holding period. Even during an early rough patch (“we were a year too early buying the banks and our results deviated from the benchmark negatively but we still didn’t see big redemptions”), folks have hung on. 

And, in truth, Mr. Harvey has given them reason to. The fund’s 17.1% annualized return places it in the top 1% of its peer group over the past three years, through March 2014. It has substantially outperformed its peers in three of its first four years; because of his purchase of financial stocks he was, he says, “out of sync in one of four years. Investing is inherently cyclical. It’s worked well for 17 years but that doesn’t mean it works well every year.”

So, what’s he do?  He tries to figure out whether a firm is something he’d be willing to buy 100% of and hold for the next 30 years. If he wouldn’t want to own all of it, he’s unlikely to want to own part of it. There are three parts to the process:

Idea generation: they run screens, read, talk to people, ponder. In particular, “we look for distressed areas. There are places people have lost confidence, so we go in to look for the prospect of babies being tossed with the bathwater.” Energy and materials illustrate the process. A couple years ago he owned none of them, today they’re 20% of the portfolio. Why? “They tend to be highly capital intensive but as the bloom started coming off the rose in China and the emerging markets, we started looking at companies there. A lot are crappy, commodity businesses, but along the way we found interesting possibilities including U.S. natural gas and Alcoa after it got bounced from the Dow.” 

Modeling:  their “big focus is normalized earnings power for the business and its units.” They focus on sustainable earnings growth, a low degree of capital intensity – that is, businesses which don’t demand huge, repeated capital investments to stay competitive – and healthy margins.  They build the portfolio security by security. Because “bond surrogates” were so badly bid up, they own no utilities, no telecom, and only one consumer staple (Avon, which they bought after it cut its dividend).

Reality checks: Mr. Harvey believes that “thesis drift is one of the biggest problems people have.”  An investor buys a stock for a particular reason, the reasoning doesn’t pan out and then they invent a new reason to keep from needing to sell the stock. To prevent that, Poplar Forest conducts a “clean piece of paper review every six months” for every holding. The review starts with their original purchase thesis, the date and price they bought it, and price of the S&P.”  The strategy is designed to force them to admit to their errors and eliminate them.   

Bottom Line

So why might he continue to win?  Two factors stand out. The first is experience: “Pattern recognition is helpful, you know if you’ve seen this story before. It’s like the movies: you recognize a lot of plotlines if you watch a lot of movies.”  The second is independence. Mr. Harvey is one of several independent managers we’ve spoken with who believe that being away from the money centers and their insular culture is a powerful advantage. “There’s a great advantage in being outside the flow that people swim in, in the northeast. They all go to the same meetings, hear the same stuff. If you want to be better than average, you’ve got to see things they don’t.” Beyond that, he doesn’t need to worry about getting fired. 

One of the biggest travesties in the industry today is that everyone is so afraid of being fired that they never differentiate from their benchmarks …  Our business is profitable, guys are getting paid, doing it because I get to do it and not because I’ve got to do it. It’s about great investment results, not some payday.

Fund website

Poplar Forest Partners Fund. While the fund’s website is Spartan, it contains links to some really thoughtful analysis in Mr. Harvey’s quarterly commentaries.  The advisor’s main website is more visually appealing but contains less accessible information.  

Fact Sheet

© Mutual Fund Observer, 2014. All rights reserved. The information here reflects publicly available information current at the time of publication. For reprint/e-rights contact us.

Walthausen Select Value (WSVRX), April 2014

By David Snowball

 
This is an update of our profile from September 2011.  The original profile is still available.

Objective

The Fund pursues long-term capital appreciation by investing primarily in common stocks of small and mid-cap companies, those with market caps under $5 billion. The Fund typically invests in 40 to 50 companies. The manager reserves the right to go to cash as a temporary move but is generally 94-97% invested.

Adviser

Walthausen & Co., LLC, which is an employee-owned investment adviser located in Clifton Park, NY. Mr. Walthausen founded the firm in 2007. In September 2007, he was joined by the entire investment team that had worked previously with him at Paradigm Capital Management, including an assistant portfolio manager, two analysts and head trader. Subsequently this group was joined by Mark Hodge, as Chief Compliance Officer, bringing the total number of partners to six. It specializes in small- and mid-cap value investing through separate and institutional accounts, and its two mutual funds. They have about $1.4 billion in assets under management.

Manager

John B. Walthausen. Mr. Walthausen is the president of the Advisor and has managed the fund since its inception. Mr. Walthausen joined Paradigm Capital Management on its founding in 1994 and was the lead manager of the Paradigm Value Fund (PVFAX) from January 2003 until July 2007. He oversaw approximately $1.3 billion in assets. He’s got about 35 years of experience and is supported by four analysts. He’s a graduate of Kenyon College (a very fine liberal arts college in Ohio), the City College of New York (where he earned an architecture degree) and New York University (M.B.A. in finance).

Strategy capacity and closure

In the neighborhood of $2 billion. That number is generated by three constraints: he wants to own 40 stocks, he does not want to own more than 5% of the stock issued by any company, and he wants to invest in companies with market caps in the $500 million – $5 billion range. In the hypothetical instance that  market conditions led him to invest mostly in $1 billion stocks, the calculation is $50 million invested in each of 40 stocks = $2 billion. Right now the strategy holds about $200 million.

Active share

Not calculated. “Active share” measures the degree to which a fund’s portfolio differs from the holdings of its benchmark portfolio. High active share indicates management which is providing a portfolio that is substantially different from, and independent of, the index. An active share of zero indicates perfect overlap with the index, 100 indicates perfect independence. They’ve done the calculation for an investor in their separate accounts but haven’t seen demand for it with the mutual funds.

Management’s stake in the fund

Mr. Walthausen has between $500,000 and $1,000,000 in this fund, over $1 million invested in his flagship fund, and he also owns a majority stake in the fund’s adviser.

Opening date

December 27 2010.

Minimum investment

$2,500 for all accounts. There’s also an institutional share class with a $100,000 minimum and 1.22% expense ratio.

Expense ratio

1.47% on an asset base of about $40 million (as of 03/31/2014).

Comments

It’s hard to know whether to be surprised by Walthausen Select Value’s excellent performance. On the one hand, the fund has some fairly pedestrian elements. It invests primarily in small- to mid-cap domestic stocks. Together they represent more than 90% of the portfolio, which is about average for a small-blend fund. Likewise for the average market cap. The portfolio is compact – about 40 names – but not dramatically so. Their strategy is to pursue two sorts of investments:

Special situations (firms emerging from bankruptcy or recently spun-off from larger corporations), which average about 20% of the portfolio though there’s no set allocation to such stocks.

Good dull plodders – about 80% of the portfolio. These are solid businesses with good management teams that know how to add value. This second category seems widely pursued by other funds under a variety of monikers, mid-cap blue chips and steady compounders among them.

His top holdings are shared with 350-700 other funds.

And yet, the portfolio has produced top-tier results. Over the past three years, the fund’s 17.8% annualized returns places it in the top 3% of all small-blend funds. It has finished in the top half of its peer group each year. It has never trailed its peer group for more than two consecutive months.

Should we be surprised? Not really. He’s doing here what he’s been doing for decades. The case for Walthausen Select Value is Paradigm Value (PVFAX), Paradigm Select (PFSLX) and Walthausen Small Cap Value (WSCVX). Those three funds had two things in common: each holds a mix of small and mid-cap stocks and each has substantially outperformed its peers.

Paradigm Select turned $10,000 invested at inception into $16,000 at his departure. His average mid-blend peer would have returned $13,800.

Paradigm Value turned $10,000 invested at inception to $32,000 at his departure. His average small-blend peer would have returned $21,400. From inception until his departure, PVFAX earned 28.8% annually while its benchmark index (Russell 2000 Value) returned 18.9%.

Walthausen Small Cap Value turned $10,000 invested at inception to $26,500 (as of 03/28/2014). His average small-value peer would have returned $17,200. Since inception, WSCVX has out-performed every Morningstar Gold-rated fund in the small-value and small-blend groups. Every one. Want the list? Sure:

  • Artisan Small Cap Value
  • DFA US Microcap
  • DFA US Small Cap
  • DFA US Small Cap Value
  • DFA US Targeted Value
  • Diamond Hill Small Cap
  • Fidelity Small Cap Discovery
  • Royce Special Equity
  • Vanguard Small Cap Index, and
  • Vanguard Tax-Managed Small Cap

The most intriguing part? Since inception (through March 2014), Select Value has outperformed the stellar Small Cap Value.

There are, of course, reasons for caution. First, like Mr. Walthausen’s other funds, this has been a bit volatile. Beta (1.02) and standard deviation (17.2) are just a bit above the group norm. Investors here need to be looking for alpha (that is, high risk-adjusted returns), not downside protection. Because it will remain fully-invested, there’s no prospect of sidestepping a serious market correction. Second, this fund is more concentrated than any of his other charges. It currently holds 40 stocks, against 80 in Small Cap Value and 65 in his last year at Paradigm Select. Of necessity, a mistake with any one stock will have a greater effect on the fund’s returns. At the same time, Mr. Walthausen believes that 80% of the stocks will represent “good, unexciting companies” and that it will hold fewer “special situation” or “deeply troubled” firms than does the small cap fund. And these stocks are more liquid than are small or micro-caps. All that should help moderate the risk. Third, Mr. Walthausen, born in 1945, is likely in the later stages of his investing career

Bottom line

There’s reason to give Walthausen Select careful consideration. There’s a quintessentially Mairs & Power feel about the Walthausen funds. In conversation, Mr. Walthausen is quiet, comfortable, thoughtful and understated. In execution, the fund seems likewise. It offers no gimmicks – no leverage, no shorting, no convertibles, no emerging markets – and excels, Mr. Walthausen suggests, because of “a dogged insistence on doing our own work and reaching our own conclusions.” He’s one of a surprising number of independent managers who attribute part of their success to being “far from the madding crowd” (Malta, New York, in his case). Folks willing to deal with a bit of volatility in order to access Mr. Walthausen’s considerable skill at adding alpha should carefully consider this splendid little fund.

Website

Walthausen Funds homepage, which remains a pretty durn Spartan spot but there’s a fair amount of information if you click on the tiny text links across the top.

© Mutual Fund Observer, 2014. All rights reserved. The information here reflects publicly available information current at the time of publication. For reprint/e-rights contact us.

Guinness Atkinson Dividend Builder (GAINX), March 2014

By David Snowball

*This fund has been converted into an ETF (February 2021)*

Objective and Strategy

Guinness Atkinson Inflation Managed Dividend seeks consistent dividend growth at a rate greater than the rate of inflation by investing in a global portfolio of about 30 dividend paying stocks. Stocks in the portfolio have survived four screens, one for business quality and three for valuation. They are:

  1. They first identify dividend-paying companies that have provided an inflation-adjusted cash flow return on investment of at least 10% in each of the last 10 years. (That process reduces the potential field from 14,000 companies to about 400.) That’s the “10 over 10” strategy that they refer to often.
  2. They screen for companies with at least a moderate dividend yield, a history of rising dividends, low levels of debt and a low payout ratio.
  3. They do rigorous fundamental analysis of each firm, including reflections on macro issues and the state of the company’s business.
  4. They invest in the 35 most attractively valued stocks that survived those screens and weight each equally in the portfolio.

Active share is a measure of a portfolio’s independence, the degree to which is differs from its benchmark. In general, for a fund with a large cap bias, a value above 70 is desirable. The most recent calculation (February 2014) places this fund’s active share at 92.

Adviser

Guinness Atkinson Asset Management. The firm started in 1993 as the US arm of Guinness Flight Global Asset Management and their first American funds were Guinness Flight China and Hong Kong (1994) and Asia Focus (1996). Guinness Flight was acquired by Investec, then Tim Guinness and Jim Atkinson’s acquired Investec’s US funds business to form Guinness Atkinson. Their London-based sister company is Guinness Asset Management which runs European funds that parallel the U.S. ones. The U.S. operation has about $375 million in assets under management and advises the eight GA funds.

Manager

Ian Mortimer and Matthew Page. Dr. Mortimer joined GA in 2006 and also co-manages the Global Innovators (IWIRX) fund. Prior to joining GA, he completed a doctorate in experimental physics at the University of Oxford. Mr. Page joined GA in 2005 and working for Goldman Sachs. He earned an M.A. from Oxford in 2004. The guys also co-manage European versions of their funds including the Dublin-based version of this one, called Guinness Global Equity Income.

Strategy capacity and closure

About $1 billion. The smallest stock the fund will invest in is about $1 billion. With a compact, equal-weighted portfolio, having much more than $1 billion in the strategy would impede their ability to invest in their smallest targeted names.

Management’s stake in the fund

It’s a little complicated. The managers, both residents of England, do not own shares of the American version of the fund but both do own shares of the European version. That provides the same portfolio, but a different legal structure and far better tax treatment. Matt avers “it’s most of my pension pot.” Corporately Guinness Atkinson has about $180,000 invested in the fund and, separately, President Jim Atkinson appears to be the fund’s largest shareholder

Opening date

March 30, 2012. The European version of the fund is about a year older.

Minimum investment

$10,000, reduced to $5,000 for IRAs. There are lower minimums at some brokerages. Schwab, for example, has the fund NTF for $2500 for regular accounts and $1000 for IRAs. Fidelity requires $2500 for either sort of account.

Expense ratio

0.68% on assets of $3 million (as of February 2014). That’s competitive with the ETFs in the same space and lower than the ETNs.

Comments

There are, in general, two flavors of value investing: buy cigar butts on the cheap (wretched companies whose stocks more than discount their misery) or buy great companies at good prices. GAINX is firmly in the latter camp. Many investors share their enthusiasm for the sorts of great firms that Morningstar designates as having “wide moats.”

The question is: how can we best determine what qualifies as a “great company”? Most investors, Morningstar included, rely on a series of qualitative judgments about the quality of management, entry barriers, irreproducible niches and so on. Messrs. Mortimer and Page start with a simpler, more objective premise: great companies consistently produce great results. They believe the best measurement of “great results” is high and consistent cash flow return on investment (CFROI). In its simplest terms, CFROI asks “when a firm invests, say, a million dollars, how much additional cash flow does that investment create?” Crafty managers like cash flow calculations because they’re harder for firms to manipulate than are the many flavors of earnings. One proof of its validity is the fact that a firm’s own management will generally use CFROI – often called the internal rate of return – to determine whether a project, expansion or acquisition is worth undertaking. If you invest a million and get $10,000 in cash flows the first year, your CFROI is 1%. At that rate, it would take the firm a century to recoup its investment.

The GAINX managers set a high and objective initial bar: firms must be paying a dividend and must have a CFROI greater than 10% in each of the past 10 years. Only about 3% of all publicly-traded companies clear that hurdle. Cyclical firms whose fortunes soar and dive disappear from the pool, as well as many utilities and telecomm firms whose “excess” returns get regulated away. More importantly, they screen out firms whose management do not consistently and substantially add demonstrable value. That 3% are, by their standards, great companies.

One important signal that they’ve found a valid measure of a firm’s quality is the stability of the list. About 95% of the stocks that qualify this year will qualify next year as well, and about 80% will continue to qualify four years hence. This helps contribute to the fund’s very low turnover rate, 13%.

Because such firms tend to see their stocks bid up, the guys then apply a series of valuation and financial stability screens as well as fundamental analyses of the firm’s industry and challenges. In the end they select the 30-35 most attractively valued names in their pool. That value-consciousness led them to add defense contractors when they hit 10 year valuation lows in the midst of rumors of defense cutbacks and H&R Block when the specter of tax simplification loomed. Overall, the portfolio sells at about a 9% discount to the MSCI World index despite holding higher-quality firms.

The fund has done well since inception: from inception through December 30, 2013, $10,000 in GAINX would have grown to $13,600 versus $12,900 in its average global stock peer. In that same period the fund outperformed its peers in five of six months when the peer group lost money.

The fund underperformed in the first two months of 2014 for a surprising reason: volatility in the emerging markets. While the fund owns very few firms domiciled in the emerging markets, about 25% of the total revenues of all of their portfolios firms are generated in the emerging markets. That’s a powerful source of long-term growth but also a palpable drag during short-term panics; in particular, top holding Aberdeen Asset Management took a huge hit in January because of the performance of their emerging markets investments.

Bottom Line

The fund strives for two things: investments in great firms and a moderate, growing income stream (current 2.9%) that might help investors in a yield-starved world. Their selection criteria strike us as distinctive, objective, rigorous and reasonable, giving them structural advantages over both passive products and the great majority of their active-managed peers. While no investment thrives in every market, this one has the hallmarks of an exceptional, long-term holding. Investors worried about the fund’s tiny U.S. asset base should take comfort from the fact that the strategy is actually around $80 million when you account for the fund’s Dublin-domiciled version.

Fund website

Guinness Atkinson Inflation-Managed Dividend. Folks interested in the underlying strategy might want to read their white paper, 10 over 10 Investment Strategy. The managers offered a really nice portfolio update, in February 2014, for their European investors.

© Mutual Fund Observer, 2014. All rights reserved. The information here reflects publicly available information current at the time of publication. For reprint/e-rights contact us.

Intrepid Income (ICMUX), March 2014

By David Snowball

Objective and strategy

The fund is pursuing both high current income and capital appreciation. The fund primarily invests in shorter-term high-yield corporate bonds, bank debt, convertibles and U.S. government securities. They have the option of buying a wider array of income-producing securities, including investment-grade debt, dividend-paying common or preferred stock. It shifts between security types based on what the manager’s believe offers the best risk-adjusted prospective returns and is also willing to hold cash. The portfolio is generally very concentrated. 

Adviser

Intrepid Capital Management of Jacksonville Beach, Florida. Intrepid, founded in 1994, primarily serves high net worth individuals.  As of December 30, 2013, it had $1.4 billion in assets under management. Intrepid advises the four Intrepid funds (Capital, Small Cap, Disciplined Value and Income).

Manager

Jason Lazarus, with the help of Ben Franklin, and Mark Travis. Messrs. Franklin and Lazarus joined Intrepid in 2008 after having completed master’s degrees at the University of North Florida and Florida, respectively. Mr. Travis is a founding partner and has been at Intrepid Capital since 1994. Before that, he was Vice President of the Consulting Group of Smith Barney and its predecessor firms for ten years.

Strategy capacity and closure

The managers estimate they might be able to handle up to $1 billion in this strategy. Currently the strategy manifests itself here, in balanced separate accounts and in the fixed-income portion of Intrepid Capital Fund (ICMBX/ICMVX).  In total, they’re currently managing about $300 million.   

Management’s stake in the fund

All of the managers have investments in the fund. Mr. Lazarus has invested between $50,000 – 100,000; Mr. Franklin has invested between $10,000 – 50,000 and Mr. Travis has between $100,000 – 500,000. That strikes me as entirely reasonable for relatively young investors committing to a relatively conservative fund.

Opening date

You get your pick! The High-Yield Fixed Income strategy, originally open only to private clients, was launched on April 30, 1999.  The fund’s Investor class was launched on July 2, 2007 and the original Institutional class on August 16, 2010.

Minimum investment

$2,500.  On January 30, 2014, the Investor and Institutional share classes of the fund were merged. Technically the surviving fund is institutional, but it now carries the low minimum formerly associated with the Investor class.

Expense ratio

0.90% on assets of $106 million. With the January 2014 merger, retail investors saw a 25 bps reduction in their fees, which we celebrate.

Comments

There are some very honorable ways to end up with a one-star rating from Morningstar.  Being stubbornly out-of-step with the herd is one path, being assigned to an inappropriate peer group is another. 

There are a number of very good conservative managers running short-term high yield bond funds who’ve ended up with one star because their risk-return profiles are so dissimilar from their high-yield bond peer group.  Few approach the distinction with as much panache as Intrepid Income:

intrepid

Why the apparent lack of concern for a stinging and costly badge? Two reasons, really. First, Intrepid was founded on the value of independence from the investment herd. Mr. Lazarus reports that “the firm is set up to avoid career risk which frequently leads to closet-indexing.  Mark and his dad [Forrest] started it, Mark believes in the long-term so managers are evaluated on process rather than on short-term outcomes. If the process is right but the returns don’t match the herd in the short term, he doesn’t care.”  Their goal, and expectation, is to outperform in the long-term. And so, doing the right thing seems to be a more important value than getting recognized.

In support of that observation, we’ll note that Intrepid once employed the famously independent Eric Cinnamond, now of Aston/River Road Independent Value (ARIVX), as a manager – including on this fund.

Second, they recognize that their Morningstar rating does not reflect the success of their strategy. Their intention was to provide reasonable return without taking unnecessary risks. In an environment where investment-grade bonds look to return next-to-nothing (by GMO’s most recent calculations, the aggregate US bond market is priced to provide a real – after inflation – yield of 0.4% annually for the remainder of the decade), generating a positive real return requires looking at non-investment-grade bonds (or, in some instances, dividend-paying equities). 

They control risk – which they define as “losing money” or “permanent loss of capital,” as opposed to short-term volatility – in a couple ways.

First, they need to adopt an absolute value discipline – that is, a willingness both to look hard for mispriced securities and to hold cash when there are no compelling options in the securities market – in order to avoid the risk of permanent impairment of capital. That generally leads them to issuers in healthy industries, with predictable free cash flow and tangible assets. It also leads to higher-quality bonds which yield a bit less but are much more reliable.

Second, they tend to invest in shorter-term bonds in order to minimize interest rate risk. 

If you put those pieces together well, you end up with a low volatility fund that might earn 3.5 to 4.5% in pricey markets and a multiple of that in attractively valued ones. Because they’ve never had a bond default and they rarely sell their bonds before they’re redeemed (Mr. Lazarus recalls that “I can count on two hands the number of core bond positions we’ve sold in the past five years,” though he also allows that they’ve sold some small “opportunistic” positions in things like convertibles), they can afford to ignore the day-to-day noise in the market. 

In short, you end up with Intrepid Income, a fund which might comfortably serve as “a big part of your mother’s retirement account” and which “lots of private clients use as their core fixed-income fund.”

In both the short- and long-term, their record is excellent.  The longest-term picture comes from looking at the nearly 15 year record of the High-Yield Fixed Income strategy which is manifested both in separate accounts and, for the past seven years, in this fund.

riskreturn 

Since inception, the strategy has earned 7.25% annually, trailing the Merrill Lynch high-yield index by just 38 basis points.  That’s about 94% of the index’s total return with about 60% of its volatility.  Over most shorter periods (in the three to ten year range), annual returns have been closer to 5-6%.

In the shorter term, we can look at the risks and returns of the fund itself.  Here’s Intrepid Income charted against its high-yield peer group.

intrepid chart 

By every measure, that’s a picture of very responsible stewardship of their shareholders’ money.  The fund’s beta is around 0.25, meaning that it is about one-fourth as volatile as its peers. Its standard deviation from inception to January 2014 is just 5.52 while its peers are around nine. Its maximum drawdown – 14.6% – occurred over a period of just three months (September – November 2008) before the fund began rebounding. 

Bottom Line

The fund’s careful, absolute value focus – shorter term, higher quality high-yield bonds and the willingness to hold cash when no compelling values present themselves – means that it will rarely keep up with its longer-term, lower quality, fully invested peer group.

And that’s good. By the Observer’s calculation, Intrepid Income qualifies as a “Great Owl” fund. That’s determined by looking at the fund’s risk-adjusted returns (measured by the fund’s Martin Ratio) for every period longer than one year and then recognizing only funds which are in the top 20% for every period. Intrepid is one of the few high-yield funds that have earned that distinction. While this is not a cash management account, it seems entirely appropriate for conservative investors who are looking for real absolute returns and have a time horizon of at least three to five years. You owe it to yourself to look beyond the star rating to the considerable virtues the fund holds.

Fund website

We think it’s entirely worth looking at both the Intrepid Income Fund homepage and the homepage for the underlying High-Yield Fixed Income strategy. Because the strategy has a longer public record and a more sophisticated client base, the information presented there is a nice complement to the fund’s documentation.

© Mutual Fund Observer, 2014. All rights reserved. The information here reflects publicly available information current at the time of publication. For reprint/e-rights contact us.