There may be a place for tax-exempt municipal bond funds in the portfolios of middle-class and upper-middle-class American households as well as for those in the upper-income group. I have about 15% of my fixed-income funds invested in municipal bonds. They may be suitable in long-term after-tax accounts where you want to reduce taxes. State-focused municipal bond funds may also reduce state income taxes. This article discusses Continue reading →
Author Archives: Charles Lynn Bolin
Searching For Yield in All of The Safe Places
What kind of investor are you? Do you want yield, safety, yield with a reasonable risk, or total return? I created a ranking system to combine Risk, Yield, Return, Quality, Trend, and Tax-Efficiency factors into an overall rating. I used yield divided by Ulcer Index which measures the depth and duration of drawdowns to limit the number of categories that I evaluate.
My favorites may not be the same as yours. Table #1 shows how I rank the categories. I will be discussing Continue reading →
Income Investment Strategy For 2025
Uncertainty is in the air. Do you feel it? The price-to-earnings ratio of the S&P 500 is approaching 30 and is within bubble territory which implies below average long-term returns. Thirty-five percent is concentrated in the top ten holdings and 46% is concentrated in the Technology and Financial Sectors. The economy is stronger than expected and inflation pressures still exist so volatility is high. The yield on the 10-year treasury fell from 4.7% last April to 3.6% in September back up to 4.8% last month and has fallen to 4.6%. Bond investors are expecting rates to remain higher for longer and want to be compensated for duration risk.
President Trump campaigned on the platform of tax cuts which are a stimulus but Continue reading →
My ETF Picks for the Bucket Approach In 2025
My retirement planning for the past two years since retiring has focused on the Bucket Approach to have the right funds in the right investment buckets to have high-risk adjusted returns while minimizing taxes over my lifetime. This article focuses on forty of the top performing ETFs that I believe can form a good foundation for the coming decade. I wrote Investing in 2025 And the Coming Decade describing why I think bonds will outperform stocks on a risk-adjusted basis Continue reading →
Lifetime Investment Strategies For Younger Investors
“For the young the days go fast and the years go slow; for the old the days go slow and the years go fast.” – Anna Quindlen, Lots of Candles, Plenty of Cake: A Memoir of a Woman’s Life.
Secular bear markets with low returns along high volatility often deter younger investors from starting to invest, yet they offer tremendous buying opportunities. Prioritizing the long-term need to save for retirement over Continue reading →
Investing in 2025 And the Coming Decade
It is that time of the year for the prognosticators to make their forecasts of what the markets will be like next year and perhaps for the adventurous few to project out the next ten to thirty years. “Do I have enough saved to retire if the stock and bond markets do not keep up with inflation for twenty years?” It is not a rhetorical question to ask ourselves.
I don’t want to be the Grinch who steals Christmas, but I hope for the best and prepare for lower long-term returns. Enjoy your favorite holiday meals, especially the desserts.
After reviewing Continue reading →
Envisioning the Chaos Protected Portfolio
President-elect Trump is picking his staff appointees who are perceived by some to be controversial, unqualified, or even extremists. The justification is often that they are disruptors who will challenge the status quo. The rhetoric is increasing about adding tariffs, eliminating agencies, reducing regulations, and cutting Federal spending and staff. Rhetoric moves markets. This article is about protecting our portfolios from chaos during times of high uncertainty.
During the first three years of President Trump’s first term, Federal spending increased by nine percent after adjusting for inflation. This was partly because the 2017 tax cuts did not generate sufficient growth to pay for themselves. During the next four years with the pandemic-era stimulus, Federal spending increased by an additional seventeen percent adjusted for inflation. Federal spending is Continue reading →
Top Performing Multi-Cap Core Funds (FCTDX, VTI, VTCLX)
How simply can we invest without getting too simple? Three of my largest holdings are multi-cap core funds held in accounts managed by Fidelity, Vanguard, or myself. I own Vanguard Total Stock Market Index ETF (VTI), Fidelity Strategic Advisers US Total Stock (FCTDX), and Vanguard Tax-Managed Capital Appreciation Admiral (VTCLX). What is under the hood of these funds and how well do they perform compared to the market?
According to the Refinitiv Lipper U.S. Mutual Fund Classifications, multi-cap core funds “by portfolio practice, invest in a variety of market capitalization ranges without Continue reading →
Living Paycheck To Paycheck and the Role of Financial Counselors
For most of us, saving money is the first step to investing, yet 25% to 35% of Americans are living paycheck to paycheck. This article looks at why people are living paycheck to paycheck and how lower- and middle-income Americans in particular may be able to increase emergency savings leading to saving more for retirement. The concepts are just as relevant to higher-income people as well.
In addition to volunteering at Habitat For Humanity, I also volunteer at a local non-profit organization, Neighbor To Neighbor, which offers programs in eviction avoidance, utility shut-off avoidance, affordable housing, housing search, foreclosure prevention, and counseling including financial coaching, debt consolidation, and reverse mortgages. Many of the people seeking assistance at Neighbor To Neighbor have experienced Continue reading →
Trending Funds at the Inflection of Falling Rates
Investors waited impatiently as the Federal Reserve considered cutting interest rates. Will it be 0.25% or 0.5%? They finally cut rates by 0.5% on September 18th. The S&P 500 is up 20% year to date as investors contemplated whether we would have a recession or manage the elusive soft landing. There have been three periods this year where the market fell 5% or more. The S&P 500 has been relatively flat for the past three months but spiked over 1% after the Fed made the cut.
My survival instinct tells me to sell stocks and buy bonds, but my self-control tells me Continue reading →
Underconsumption Core and Financial Counselors
In addition to volunteering at Habitat For Humanity, I also volunteer at Neighbor To Neighbor which offers programs in eviction avoidance, utility shut-off avoidance, affordable housing, housing search, foreclosure prevention, and counseling including Financial Coaching, Debt Consolidation, and reverse mortgages, among other services. My role is to prescreen people to get assistance within Neighbor To Neighbor and direct them to external sources of assistance.
As a housing opportunity resource for Northern Colorado, Neighbor to Neighbor (N2N) services are designed to meet each individual where they are now – from homeless and low-income individuals seeking a place to live; to families needing assistance to secure their existing homes; to prospective buyers ready to explore the homebuying process. Our trained housing professionals assist clients through obstacles and develop personalized solutions to help them achieve their housing goals.
Neighbor To Neighbor’s Financial Coaching includes Continue reading →
The Wisdom of the Elders
I celebrated my 69th birthday last month and will just be reaching my prime next year. I volunteer at Habitat For Humanity two days per week building homes for those that might not otherwise be able to afford them. I have been greatly influenced by the wisdom of the now elders in finance. My friend Dave Hogle and I used to take a three-hour drive to the nearest Costco and discuss Continue reading →
Bits and Pieces
“Bits and Pieces” is a collection of things that I have learned over the past few months. David Snowball suggested that I write articles about transitioning into retirement. This “Bits and Pieces” article contains a few Continue reading →
If Berkshire Hathaway was a mutual fund, what would it be?
My largest holding by far is an actively managed, total stock market fund of funds with a tilt toward large-cap growth stocks. According to multpl.com, the Price-to-earnings ratio of the S&P 500 is 28.5 which is 50% higher than the average of 19.8 since 1970 and higher than 80% of the years since 1970. Table #1 shows the price-to-earnings ratio of Vanguard sectors and style exchange-traded funds. While most sectors are Continue reading →
Fund Family Performance for Equity ETFs
I went on a Bucket List Adventure to Yellowstone National Park last month and stayed at the historic Old Faithful Inn built in 1904. We saw the geysers, the Grand Canyon of Yellowstone with its beautiful falls, majestic bison with their calves, powerful grizzly bears with their cubs, and a coyote crossing through a congested intersection without concern for the traffic.
The other adventure that I went on last month was to take a deeper dive into “Fund Family” performance for exchange-traded funds that invest in domestic equities, global and international equities, and emerging market equities. The concept is Continue reading →
Financial Planning For Tax Uncertainty
Since retiring nearly two years ago, I have been aligning our assets with tax characteristics of our accounts following the Bucket Approach. In this article, I review the tax laws that sunset at the end of next year, President Biden’s proposed tax changes, tax characteristics of account types, and provide Continue reading →
Funds For Long-Term Tax-Efficient Investment (VTCLX, DGRW)
It’s a good practice to take a thorough review annually of investment performance including fees and taxes. A dual-income household may accumulate a half dozen or more accounts because of tax characteristics, ownership, and goals. A good way to start is to list the accounts in order of planned withdrawals. The next step is to make sure that each account has the appropriate amount of risk and that the assets within are tax-efficient for the type of account. I am in the process of converting Traditional IRAs to Roth IRAs and the conversion is taxed as ordinary income. Municipal Bonds are included in Modified Adjusted Gross Income and may impact Continue reading →
Mystery Solved: Fidelity Actively Managed ETFs (FMIL >= FFLC)
I wrote Outperforming Actively Managed ETFs last month in the Mutual Fund Observer Newsletter and described Fidelity New Millenium Fund (FMIL) in my “Short List of Great Owl Funds”, but before the newsletter was published, FMIL just up and disappeared! Several members brought it up in the Discussion Board – FMIL Confusion. Fortunately, Charles Boccadoro has solved the mystery by finding “Q&A: Fidelity to Introduce Fundamental Active ETF Suite”.
Fidelity New Millennium ETF (FMIL) has gotten Continue reading →
Outperforming Actively Managed ETFs
David Snowball wrote The Rise of the Active ETFs in the July 2019 Mutual Fund Observer newsletter describing actively managed exchange-traded funds as:
“Active ETFs are a sort of hybrid between more traditional ETFs and actively managed mutual funds. Like traditional ETFs, they trade on the secondary market which means that the advisor doesn’t need to keep cash on hand in order to meet day-to-day withdrawal needs. Some of the expenses traditionally borne by the advisor either don’t exist (ETFs have fewer shareholder reports than, by law, mutual funds do) or are shifted to the brokerage firm. They also offer a structural tax advantage: shareholders aren’t responsible for the yearly tax consequences (and record-keeping) of the manager’s moves; shareholders are taxed only when they sell their shares.”
No, The 60/40 Portfolio Is Not Dead
The reported death of the 60/40 portfolio is premature. It did suffer some serious illness as the stock market fell and interest rates rose last year. I help family and friends work with Financial Advisors to set up managed portfolios of mutual funds and exchange traded funds at Edward Jones, Fidelity, and Vanguard. Jeff DeMaso from The Independent Vanguard Advisor was kind enough to provide a Moderate Portfolio for this article. In this article, I am describing Continue reading →