Monthly Archives: March 2012

Manager changes, March 2012

By Chip

Because bond fund managers, traditionally, had made relatively modest impacts of their funds’ absolute returns, Manager Changes typically highlights changes in equity and hybrid funds.

Fund Out with the old In with the new Dt
American Beacon Treasury Inflation Protected Securities (ATPIX) William Quinn Seven comanagers remain. 3/12
Ariel Appreciation(CAAPX) Matthew Sauer is leaving to join Lateef Investment Management and perhaps help with the erratic Lateef Fund (LIMAX) John Rogers and Timothy Fidler will remain as comanagers. 3/12
BlackRock High Yield Bond (BHYAX) No one, but … Charlie McCarthy is a new comanager. 3/12
Buffalo China (BUFCX) No one, but … Yulin Li has been added as a comanager. 3/12
Davis Financial (RPFGX) Charles Cavanaugh is stepping down. Lead manager, Kenneth Feinberg, remains. 3/12
Dreyfus/Standish Fixed Income (SDFIX) Peter Vaream is out The rest of the comanagers remain
Fidelity Advisor Stock Selector Mid Cap (FMCDX) Comanager Michael Valentine Rayna Lesser 3/12
Fidelity Inflation-Protected Bond (FINPX) No one, but … Franco Castagliuolo joins the team. 3/12
Fidelity Series Inflation-Protected Bond Index (FSIPX) No one, but … Alan Bembenek will be a new comanager. 3/12
Fidelity Series Small Cap Opportunities No one, but … Eirene Kontopoulos joins the team 3/12
Fidelity Stock Selector Small Cap (FDSCX) No one, but … Eirene Kontopoulos joins the team 3/12
Fidelity Total International Equity (FTIEX) Robert von Rekowsky Ashish Swarup joins the existing managers, Jed Weiss and Alexander Zavratsky 3/12
GE Institutional Small-Cap Equity (GSVIX) Jeffrey Schwartz Marc Shapiro joins the remaining subadvisors 3/12
Hartford Advisers (ITTAX) Steven Irons Karen Grimes 3/12
Henderson International Opportunities(HFOAX) Iain Clark will no longer manage as of April 4, 2012. The eight other managers remain. 3/12
Invesco High Income Municipal (AHMAX) Gerard Pollard and Franklin Ruben The current comanagers remain. 3/12
Invesco Van Kampen High Yield Municipal (ACTHX) Gerard Pollard and Franklin Ruben The current comanagers remain. 3/12
JPMorgan Intrepid America (JIAAX) Christopher Blum, who has been appointed the head of global equity solutions at JP Morgan’s asset management division. Dennis Ruhl and Pavel Vaynshtok will be added as comanagers. 3/12
JPMorgan Intrepid Growth (JIGAX) Christopher Blum Dennis Ruhl and Pavel Vaynshtok 3/12
JPMorgan Intrepid Multi Cap (JICAX) Christopher Blum Dennis Ruhl 3/12
JPMorgan Intrepid Value (JIVAX) Christopher Blum Dennis Ruhl and Pavel Vaynshtok 3/12
Lazard U.S. Equity Value (LEVIX) Nicholas Sordoni, J. Richard Tutino Jr, and Ronald Temple as of May 31, 2012 Christopher Blake will join the management team 3/12
Legg Mason Batterymarch Global Equity (CFIPX) Adam Petryk is no longer the manager, but remains at the firm. No one new. 3/12
Legg Mason Batterymarch International Equity(LGIEX) Adam Petryk No one new. 3/12
Legg Mason Batterymarch S&P 500 Index (SBSPX) Adam Petryk No one new. 3/12
Legg Mason Batterymarch U.S. Small Cap Equity (LMSIX) Adam Petryk No one new. 3/12
Legg Mason Western Asset Strategic Income (SDSAX) No one, but … Christopher Orndoff joined the management team 3/12
Loomis Sayles Small Cap Value (LSCRX) No one, but … Jeffrey Schwartz joins Joseph Gatz as a comanager 3/12
MFS Massachusetts Investors Trust (MITTX), which has been around since 1924 and has seen several management changes in that time Nicole Zatlyn, comanager since 2005, steps down. Comanager, Kevin Beatty, will be joined by Ted Maloney 3/12
Natixis U.S. Multi-Cap Equity (NEFSX) No one, but … Jeffrey Schwartz joins Joseph Gatz as a comanager 3/12
Northern Enhanced Large Cap (NOLCX) Joseph Wolfe The other managers remain. 3/12
Northern Large Cap Value (NOLVX) Stephen Atkins The other managers remain. 3/12
Nuveen Tradewinds Global All-Cap (NWGAX) David Iben leaves to join Vinik Asset Management Emily Alejos and Drew Thelen will take over. 3/12
Nuveen Tradewinds Global Flexible Allocation(NGEAX) Iben and Isabel Satra are . . . yes. You guessed it, off to Vinik Asset Management Analyst Ariane Mahler will join the remaining manager, Michael Hart 3/12
Nuveen Tradewinds Global Resources(NTGAX) Iben, Crespo, and Gregory Padilla all going to Vinik Asset Management There hasn’t been a new manager announced yet. 3/12
Nuveen Tradewinds International Value(NAIGX) Alberto Jimenez Crespo follows Iben to Vinik Asset Management Peter Boardman remains as the sole manager. 3/12
Nuveen Tradewinds Value Opportunities (NVOAX) David Iben leaves to join Vinik Asset Management Two analysts, Joann Barry and Rowe Michels, will take the helm. 3/12
Old Mutual Focused (OBFVX), now re-named Touchstone Focused Longtime manager Jerome Heppelmann is being replaced as part of Touchstone’s acquisition of 17 Old Mutual Funds. Fort Washington Investment Advisors 3/12
Principal Large Cap Value III (PLVIX) No one, but … Todd Williams joined the team 3/12
Principal Small Cap Value II (PPVIX) No one, but … Joseph Chi, Jed Fogdall, and Henry Gray joined the team 3/12
Prudential High-Yield (PBHAX) No one, but … Ryan Kelly has been added as portfolio manager. 3/12
Scout Global Equity Fund William B. Greiner has resigned as CIO of Scott Investments and is no longer lead manager. Gary Anderson and James A. Reed II will serve as co-lead portfolio managers. 3/12
Sentinel Balanced(SEBLX) No one, but . . . Dan Manion will become the lead manager, joined by Jason Doiron. 3/12
Sentinel Government Securities (SEGSX) No one, but . . . Jason Doiron joins. 3/12
Sentinel International Equity (SWRLX). Stacey Ho is stepping down The rest of the team remains. 3/12
Sentinel Short Maturity Government(SSIGX) No one, but . . . Jason Doiron joins. 3/12
Sentinel Sustainable Growth Opportunities (WAEGX), re-named as Sentinel Sustainable Mid Cap Opportunities on March 29, 2012. Comanagers Elizabeth Bramwell and Kelli Hill are stepping down, Bramwell for retirement. Betsy Pecor, Carole Hersam, and Matthews Spitznagle 3/12
Wells Fargo Global Opportunities(EKGAX) Francis Claro has left the firm. A small fund shop now owned by Wells Fargo, EverKey. 3/12
Westwood Balanced (WHGBX) Susan Byrne.  Byrne really has had a remarkable life, by the way. The rest of the team remains in place with Byrne as a mentor and guide. 3/12
Westwood Large Cap Value (WHGLX) Susan Byrne The rest of the team remains in place with Byrne as a mentor and guide. 3/12

 

Tributary Balanced (FOBAX), April 2012

By David Snowball

This profile has been updated. Find the new profile here. 

Objective and Strategy

Tributary Balanced Fund seeks capital appreciation and current income. They allocate assets among the three major asset groups: common stocks, bonds and cash equivalents. Based on their assessment of market conditions, they will invest 25% to 75% of the portfolio in stocks and convertible securities, and at least 25% in bonds. The portfolio is typically 70-75 stocks from small- to mega-cap and turnover is about half of the category average.  They currently hold about 50 bonds.

Adviser

Tributary Capital Management.  At base, Tributary is a subsidiary of First National Bank of Omaha and the Tributary funds were originally branded as the bank’s funds.  Tributary advises seven mutual funds, as well as serving high net worth individuals and institutions.  As December 31, 2011, they had about $1.1 billion under management.

Managers

Kurt Spieler and John Harris.  Mr. Spieler is the lead manager and the Managing Director of Investments for the advisor.  In that role, he develops and manages investment strategies for high net worth and institutional clients. He has 24 years of investment experience in fixed income, international and U.S. equities including a stint as Head of International Equities for Principal Global Investors and President of his own asset management firm.  Mr. Harris is a Senior Portfolio Manager for the advisor.  He joined Tributary in 2007 and this fund’s team in 2010.  He has 18 years of investment management experience including analytical roles for Principal Global Investors and American Equity Investment Life Insurance Company.

Management’s Stake in the Fund

Mr. Spieler has over $100,000 in the fund.  Mr. Harris has $10,000 in the fund, an amount limited by his “an interest in a more aggressive stock allocation.”

Opening date

August 6, 1996

Minimum investment

$1000, reduced to $100 for accounts opened with an automatic investing plan.

Expense ratio

1.22%, after a minor waiver, on $59 million in assets (as of 2/29/12).

Comments

Tributary Balanced does what you want to “balanced” fund to do.  It uses a mix of stocks and bonds to produce returns greater than those associated with bonds with volatility less than that associated with stocks.   Morningstar’s “investor returns” research supports the notion that this sort of risk consciousness is probably the most profitable path for the average investor to follow.

What’s remarkable is how very well, very quietly, and very consistently Tributary achieves those objectives.  The fund has returned 7.6% per year for the past decade, 50% better than its peer group, but has taken on no additional risk to achieve those returns.  Its Morningstar profile, as of 3/28/12, looks like this:

 

Rating

Returns

Risk

Returns relative to peers

Past three years

* * * * *

High

Average

Top 1%

Past five years

* * * * *

High

Average

Top 1%

Past ten years

* * * * *

High

Average

Top 2%

Overall

* * * * *

High

Average

n/a

Its Lipper rankings, as of 3/28/12, parallel Morningstar’s:

 

Total return

Consistency

Preservation

Past three years

* * * * *

* * * * *

* * * *

Past five years

* * * * *

* * * * *

* * * *

Past ten years

* * * * *

* * * * *

* * *

Overall

* * * * *

* * * * *

* * * *

We commissioned an analysis of the fund by the folks at Investment Risk Management Systems (a/k/a FundReveal), who looked at daily volatility and returns, and concluded “FOBAX is a well-managed, safe, low risk Moderate Allocation fund.

  • Its low volatility, high return performance is visible in cumulative 5 year, latest cumulative one year and latest quarter analysis results.
  • Its Persistence Rating (PR) is 60, indicating that it has maintained an “A-Best” rating over most of last 20 quarters.
  • This is also evident from the rolling 20 quarters Risk-Return ratings which have been between “A-Best” and “C-Less Risky.”

Our bottom line opinion is that FOBAX seems to be one of the better managed funds in the Moderate Allocation class.”

SmartMoney provides a nice visual representation of the risk-return relationships of funds.  Below is the three-year scatterplot for the balanced fund universe.  In general, an investor wants to be as near the upper-left corner (universe returns, zero risk) as possible.  There are three things to notice in this graph:

  1. Three funds form the group’s northwest boundary; that is, three that have a distinguished risk-return balance.  They are Tributary, Vanguard Balanced Index (VBINX) which is virtually unbeatable and Calvert Balanced (CSIFX) which provides middling returns with quite muted risk.
  2. The only funds with higher returns (Fidelity Asset Manager 85% FAMRX and T. Rowe Price Personal Strategy Growth TRSGX than Tributary have far higher stock allocations (around 85%), far higher volatility and took 70% greater losses in 2008.
  3. Ken Heebner is sad.  His CGM Mutual (LOMMX) is the lonely little dot in the lower right.

To what could we attribute Tributary’s success? Mr. Spieler claims three sources of alpha, or positive risk-adjusted returns.  They are:

  1. They have a flexible asset allocation, which is driven by a macro-economic assessment, profit analysis and valuation analysis.  In theory the fund might hold anywhere between 25-75% in equities though the actual allocation tends to sit between 50-70%.
  2. Stock selection tends to be opportunistic.  The portfolio tilts toward growth stocks and the managers are particularly interested in emerging markets growth stocks.  The neat trick is they pursue their interest without investing in foreign stocks by looking for US firms whose earnings benefit from emerging markets operations.  Pricesmart PSMT, for example, has 100% of its operations in South America while Cognizant Technology Solutions CTSH is a play on outsourcing to South Asia.  They’re also agnostic as to market cap.  Measured by the percentage of earnings from international sources, Tributary offers considerable international exposure.  They etimate that 48% of revenues of for their common stock holdings are from international sales. That compares to an estimated 42% of international sales for the S&P 500.
  3. Fixed-income selection is sensitive to duration targets and unusual opportunities. About 20% of the portfolio is invested in taxable municipal bonds, such as the Build America Bonds.  Those were added to the portfolio when irrational fear gripped the fixed income market and investors were willing to sell such bonds as a substantial discount in order to flee to the safety of Treasuries.  Understanding that the fundamentals behind the bonds were solid, the managers snatched them up and booked a solid profit.

The managers are also risk-conscious, which is appropriate everywhere and especially so in a balanced fund.  The stock portfolio tends to be sector-neutral, and the number of names (typically 70-75) was based on an assessment of the amount of diversification needed for reasonable risk management.

Bottom Line

The empirical record is pretty clear.  Almost no fund offers a consistently better risk-return profile.  While it would be reassuring to see somewhat lower expenses or high insider ownership, Tributary has clearly earned a spot on the “due diligence” list for any investor interested in a hybrid fund.

Fund website

Tributary Funds.  FundReveal’s complete analysis of the fund is available on their blog.

© Mutual Fund Observer, 2012. All rights reserved. The information here reflects publicly available information current at the time of publication. For reprint/e-rights contact us.

Litman Gregory Masters Alternative Strategies (MASNX), April 2012

By David Snowball

This profile has been updated. Find the new profile here. 

Objective and Strategy

MASNX seeks to achieve long-term returns with lower risk and lower volatility than the stock market, and with relatively low correlation to stock and bond market indexes.  Relative to “moderate allocation” hybrid funds, the advisor’s goals are less volatility, better down market performance, fewer negative 12‐month losses, and higher returns over a market cycle. Their strategy is to divide the fund’s assets up between four teams, each pursuing distinct strategies with the whole being uncorrelated with the broad markets.  They can, in theory, maintain a correlation of .50 relative to the US stock market.

Adviser

Litman Gregory Fund Advisors, LLC, of Orinda, California. At base, Litman Gregory (1) conceives of the fund, (2) selects the outside management teams who will manage portions of the portfolio, and (3) determines how much of the portfolio each team gets.  Litman Gregory provides these services to five other funds (Equity, Focused Opportunities, International, Smaller Companies and Value). Collectively, the funds hold about $2.4 billion in assets.

Manager(s)

Jeremy DeGroot, Litman Gregory’s chief investment officer gets his name on the door as lead manager but the daily investments of the fund are determined bythree teams, and Jeff Gundlach. There’s a team from FPA led by Steve Romick, a team from Loomis Sayles led by Matt Eagan, a team from Water Island Capital led by John Orrico.  And Jeff Gundlach.

Management’s Stake in the Fund

None yet reported.

Opening date

September 30, 2011.

Minimum investment

$1000 for regular accounts, $500 for IRAs.  The fund’s available, NTF, through Fidelity, Scottrade and a few others.

Expense ratio

1.74%, after waivers, on $230 million in assets (as of 2/23/12).  There’s also a 2% redemption fee for shares held fewer than 180 days.  The expense ratio for the institutional share class is 1.49%.

Comments

Investors have, for years, been reluctant to trust the stock market.  Investors have pulled money for pure equity funds more often than they’ve invested in them.  An emerging conventional wisdom is that domestic bonds are at the end of a multi-decade bull market.  Investors have sought, and fund companies have provided, a welter of “alternative” funds.  Morningstar now tracks 262 funds in their various “alternative” categories.  Sadly, many such funds are bedeviled by a combination of untested management (the median manager tenure is just two years), opaque strategies and high expenses (the category average is 1.83% with a handful charging over 3% per year).

All of which makes MASNX look awfully attractive by comparison.

The Litman Gregory folks started with a common premise: “In the years ahead, we believe there will be mediocre returns and higher volatility from stocks, and low returns from bonds . . . [we sought] “alternative” strategies that we believe are not highly dependent on tailwinds from stocks and bonds to generate returns.”  Their search led them to hire four experienced fund management teams, each responsible for one sleeve of the fund’s portfolio.

Those teams are:

Matt Eagan and a team from Loomis-Sayles who are charged with implementing an Absolute-Return Fixed-Income which centers on high-yield and international bonds, with the prospect of up to 20% equities.  Their goal is “positive total returns over a full market cycle.”

John Orrico and a team from Water Island Capital, who are charged with an arbitrage strategy.  They manage the Arbitrage Fund (ARBFX) and target returns “of at least mid-single-digits with low correlation” to the stock and bond markets.  ARBFX averages 4-5% a year with low volatility; in 2008, for instance, is lost less than 1%.

Jeffrey Gundlach and the DoubleLine team, who will pursue an “opportunistic income” strategy.  The goal is “positive absolute returns” in excess of an appropriate broad bond index.  Gundlach uses this strategy in at least one hedge fund, a closed-end fund, DoubleLine Core Fixed Income (DLFNX) and Aston and RiverNorth funds for which he’s a subadvisor.

Steve Romick and a team from FPA, who will seek “contrarian opportunities” in pursuit of “equity-like returns over longer periods (i.e., five to seven years) while seeking to preserve capital.”   Romick manages FPA Crescent (FPACX) which wins almost universal acclaim (Five Star, Gold, LipperLeader) for its strong returns, risk consciousness and flexibility.

Litman Gregory picked these teams on two grounds: the fact that the strategies made sense taken as a portfolio and the fact that no one executed the strategies better than these folks.

The strategies are sensible, as a group, because they’re uncorrelated; that is, the factors which drive one strategy to rise or fall have little effect on the others.  As a result, a spike in inflation or a rise in interest rates might disadvantage one strategy while allow others to flourish. The inter-correlations between the four strategies are low (though “how low” will vary depending on market conditions).  Litman anticipates a correlation between the fund and the stock market in the range of 0.5, with a potentially-lower correlation to the bond markets.  That’s far lower than the two-year correlation between U.S. large cap stocks and, say, emerging markets stocks, REITs, international real estate or commodities.

The record of the sub-advisors speaks for itself: these really do represent the “A” team in the “alternatives without idiocy” space.  That is, these folks pursue sensible, comprehensible strategies that have worked over time.  Many of their competitors in the “multi-alternative” category pursue bizarre and opaque strategies (“hedge fund index replicant” strategies using derivatives) where the managers mostly say “trust us” and “pay us.”  On whole, this collection is far more reassuring.

Can Litman Gregory pull it off?  That is, can they convert a good idea and good managers into a good fund?  Likely.  First, the other Litman funds have been consistently solid if somewhat volatile performers.

 

Current Morningstar

Morningstar Risk

Current Lipper Total Return

Current Lipper Preservation

Equity

* *

Above Average

* * *

* * *

Focused Opportunities

* * *

Above Average

* * * * *

* * * *

International

* * * *

Above Average

* * * *

* *

Smaller Companies

* * *

Above Average

* * * *

* *

Value

* *

Above Average

* * *

* * *

(all ratings as of 3/30/2012)

Second, Alternative Strategies is likely to fare better than its siblings because of the weakness of its peer group.  As I note above, most of the “multi-alternative” funds are profoundly unattractive and there are no low-cost, high-performance competitors in the space as there is in domestic equities.

Third, the fund’s early performance is promising.  We commissioned an analysis of the fund by the folks at Investment Risk Management Systems (a/k/a FundReveal), who looked at daily volatility and returns, and concluded:

Despite its short existence, the daily returns produced by the fund can indicate the effectiveness of fund investment decision-making . . . We have analyzed the fund performance for 126 market days, using the last 2 rolling quarters of 63 market days each. The daily FundReveal information makes it possible to get an idea of how well the fund is being managed. . . Based on the data available, MASNX is a safe fund which maintains very low risk (volatility). This is important in turbulent and uncertain markets. It is one of the top ranking funds in the safety category. Very few funds have higher ADR (average daily return) and lower Volatility than MASNX.

IRMS and I both add the obvious caveat: it’s still a very limited dataset, reflects the fund’s earliest stages and its performance under a limited set of market conditions.

The final question is, could you do better on your own?  That is, could you replicate the strategy by simply buying equal amounts of four mutual funds?  Not quite.  There are three factors to consider.  First, the portfolios wouldn’t be the same.  Litman has commissioned a sort of “best ideas” subset from each of the managers, which will necessarily distinguish these portfolios from their funds’.  Second, the dynamics between the sleeves of your portfolio – rebalancing and reweighting – wouldn’t be the same.  While each portfolio has a roughly-equal weight now, Litman can move money both to rebalance between strategies and to over- or under-weight particular strategies as conditions change.  Few investors have the discipline to do that sort of monitoring and moving.  Finally, the economics wouldn’t be the same.  It would require $10,000 to establish an equal-weight portfolio of funds (the Loomis minimum is $2500) and Loomis carries a front load that’s not easily dodged.  Assuming a three-year holding period and payment of a front load, the portfolio of funds would cost 1.52% while MASNX costs 1.74%.

Bottom Line

In a February Wall Street Journal piece, I nominated MASNX as one of the three most-promising new funds released in 2011.  In normal times, investors might be looking at a moderate stock/bond hybrid for the core of their portfolio.  In extraordinary times, there’s a strong argument for looking here as they consider the central building blocks for their strategy.

Fund website

Litman Gregory Masters Alternative StrategiesThe fund’s FAQ is particularly thorough and well-written; I’d recommend it to anyone investigating the possibility of investing in the fund.  IRMS provides the more-complete discussion of MASNX on their blog.

2013 Q3 Report

Fund Facts

© Mutual Fund Observer, 2012. All rights reserved. The information here reflects publicly available information current at the time of publication. For reprint/e-rights contact us.

April 2012 – A Week of Podcasts

By Junior Yearwood

Do you remember the transistor radio?  For teens, it was an essential accessory – passport to hot tunes and popularity.  For adults, it was a passport of another sort – to the news of the day, world events, baseball contests, talk shows and a chance to learn something useful.  Static-y and limited to a handful of stations.

Just as transistors have been succeeding by microchips, a third of all adults and 20% of smartphone users listen to radio via the internet.  Half of them take radio in the form of podcasts, portable snippets of radio that they can listen to as they unwind at home (71%) or try to make a commute more pleasant and productive (45%).  Some of us (*cough* Snowball *cough*) even use them to make time at the gym more bearable.

In this month’s Best of the Web we will be presenting four business/financial podcasts – plus, as a bonus, a fifth podcast that you really want but can’t have yet (fingers crossed, Chuck).  Each, we believe, stands out from the pack. With so many choices out there we decided to narrow our choices to candidates that met five criteria:

  1. they had to be from a respected source that was trying to inform you, and not just sell you some pet theory or subscription stock-alert system. That alone eliminated a multitude of podcasts.
  2. they had to be both informative and engaging, since we were looking for resources you’d want to turn to week after week.
  3. their content had to be reasonably up to date, which we defined as “at least weekly” (except for Bill Gross).

In addition (4) there had to be a solid accompanying website and (5) perhaps most importantly the podcast had to be available for multiple platforms. So regardless of your portable device you will be able to download and transfer any one of our picks to your handheld and listen on the go wherever you are.

For each podcast we will give you a general overview of the content and highlight specific areas that we think will interest you. We will also have some info on the host and give you our overall opinion of the presentation.

We would like to thank everyone for the great support shown to last month’s feature and encourage you to contact me with suggestions, tips and advice.

Working through the week

The Week Ahead from The Economist

Mondays, like rainy days, are sometimes difficult to manage. It’s the start of the week, a week of ups and downs challenges and hopefully a few pleasant surprises. You need to be sharp and focused and you need to be on top of your game. Keeping up to date with current affairs that affect the global economy can help you do just that. And The Week Ahead podcast from The Economist is a simple, convenient and quick way to quickly bring yourself up to date with events around the globe that may affect the overall economy. The podcast is released every Friday (and you could also listen to it then) and is available free via The Economist’s website or as an iTunes podcast. The parent publication is a globally respected brand with a circulation that exceeds 1.5 million (combined print and digital), and offers reasoned and balanced analysis of important current events. The week ahead is hosted by executive editor Daniel Franklin. There is also a secondary presenter, last week’s being US editor Christopher Lockwood.

Style

The program is a conversation between the presenters.  It’s more typical to get a wide-ranging analysis than a set of pat conclusions.  The style of the program is reminiscent of a BBC program, the presentation is professional and sharp and has a serious yet conversational feel.

Substance

The Week Ahead covers major events around the world that can have an effect on the global economy. The coverage spans a variety of areas from political to social. They cover four stories in a ten minute show.  The stories for March 23rd were the US Supreme Court’s hearing on healthcare legislation, the Pope’s visit to Cuba, the upcoming meeting of major developing nations collectively referred to as the BRICS and a looming general strike in Spain.

Bottom Line

This podcast is an excellent way to start your week. It offers a concise overview of current events worldwide that may have ripple effects on the global economy and is short enough to listen while having a quick bite or on a short commute. At around ten minutes it is however long enough to provide thoughtful analysis of major events, and give useful information that can assist in keeping you on top of your game.  We think it’s well worth a listen.

Planet Money from National Public Radio

I had a friend a long time ago. One day I was attempting to explain something to him. I can’t remember what it was but it had to be complicated because to this day I can remember his response after suffering through a few minutes of my attempt.  “Take that action and break it down into fractions.” His words had the effect of lightening the mood and we all had a good laugh while I proceeded to take his advice, using terms that were simple and easy to understand. Planet Money takes a similar approach, taking serious and complicated topics that deal with the economy as a whole (both domestic and global), and breaking them down into bite sized tidbits that are easy to digest and assimilate. NPR has been, and remains a well-respected source of information for the public covering a wide variety of topics and subject areas. In 2009 it was estimated that over 27 million people listened to at least one of the 25 plus programs that they produce. The Planet Money podcast is available on Tuesdays and Fridays and is hosted by David Kestenbaum. Co-hosts include Chana Joffee-Walt and Jacob Goldstien.

Style

Planet Money uses simple language and a light conversational format to make complicated issues and topics accessible to a mainstream audience. They explain their standards this way:

We have two rules for ourselves: 1. Everything has to be interesting (and, preferably, fun or funny or poignant or somehow grabby). 2. Everything should be economically smart, but not economically dull.

By and large this approach works. Difficult issues are explained in a common sense way that listeners of all levels will readily understand. What makes the podcast stand out is the fact that the “average Joe” approach to the conversation is married to recognition that Joe is himself smart and interested.  They get under the hood serving up a fair amount of detail and technical information making it both an easy and satisfying listen.

Substance

Each podcast (both Tuesday and Friday) covers one main topic and is broken down into two segments. Section one is a brief commentary titled The Planet Money Indicator and section two is the main feature. The indicator is a number that is used to highlight something of importance that relates to the main feature. The number for Tuesday, March 20th was 35. That represented the 35% increase in housing starts year over year that could be seen as an indicator that demand is once again stimulating supply in the housing market. The main feature of the podcast for Friday 23rd dealt with The History of Income Tax in America (what do four wars, one dying Supreme Court justice and a duck have in common? You need to listen to find out). Tuesday 20th was on the crisis in housing and featured precious teen Willow Tufano, a seemingly typical Florida kid who saved $6000 that she made selling “junk” then convinced her mother to buy a house with her.

Bottom line

Let’s take the Planet Money whole and break it into fractions. It’s one part accessible, one part informative and two parts fun. Why not have a listen?  You know you are curious about the duck.

PIMCO Investment Outlook from Pacific Investment Management Company

Pacific Investment Management Company is currently the world’s largest bond investment firm with $1.3 trillion ($1,300,000,000,000) in assets under management.  It was founded in 1971 by Bill Gross who is their co-chief investment officer and the author of this podcast.  Gross manages 16 funds, including that quarter-trillion dollar PIMCO Total Return fund.  Collectively, his funds have nearly $300 billion in assets under management.  That’s roughly the size of the entire Greek economy.   If he and his investors were a country, they’d rank as the 34th-largest economy on earth.  Unlike the other shows we’ve profiled, Gross’s podcast is monthly, and focuses on a single issue each month.

Style

William H. “Bill” Gross is perhaps best described as idiosyncratic. His podcasts reflect his underlying nature.  They’re sometimes dour, frequently rambling and unpredictable but always very well informed, incisive and occasionally funny, with good use of metaphors and sometimes dry wit. 

Substance

Investment Outlook is a monthly feature that deals with different aspects of investment and finance. It is a well written monologue that is presented by one of the most respected individuals in investing globally. It is essentially a presentation of opinion but you could do far worse than considering Gross, given both the enormous analytic resources at his disposal and the power of his actions to move markets. The March issue dealt with defensive strategies in investing. It makes the argument that now may be the time to focus on defensive strategies at least as much if not more than offensive investing strategies. The audio podcast is supplemented by a pdf of the full text of the audio. The full transcript is also available on the website itself. The audio podcast is released on the 11th or 12th of each month but the online text transcript and pdf for April are available now.

Bottom Line

Gross presents a podcast that is a bit different but in this case different is good. The program presents a clear exposition of his opinions on a variety of topics that specifically deal with investing and finance. His tendency to use metaphors and his occasional attempts at humor makes his podcasts interesting and nicely balances out his sometimes dour delivery.  You can find his podcasts here.

Marketplace Money from American Public Media

By Friday, most of us have had just about enough of Bernanke, Goldman and the VIX.  Collectively the Marketplace programs reach 9 million listeners each week, the largest audience of any business or economics program on radio or television.  Marketplace Money, hosted since 2006 by journalist and Northwestern alum Tess Vigeland, tries to help listeners translate the week’s leading economic stories into practical terms with a nice balance of facts, common sense and opinion. The weekly, hour-long program offers advice and information to help people better manage, save and spend money.  A typical 50 minute episode presents a comprehensive feature that is subdivided into individual story segments.

Style

Marketplace Money is one of the best produced and presented podcasts online across all categories. It is a rare case of journalism at its best. The presentation is sharp and the pacing of the individual segments is near perfect. It’s a podcast that you can be equally comfortable with during your morning commute, at the gym or at home in front of your computer.

Substance

The weekly podcast features in depth analysis of a featured topic. The program is broken into individual segments. Each segment can be treated as a separate story but each one deals with an aspect of the overall topic. The March 21st podcast dealt with what has come to be known as “The Great Recession.”  It presents seven individual stories that show us the personal side of the ongoing event, the overall theme being that perhaps the worst is behind us and America is coming back.

Bottom line

Practical take on the news, useful in understanding the economics that affects your household more than what’s up with your portfolio.  A refreshing piece of quality journalism that you can access at your convenience.


On to the weekend!

It should not be hard for you to stop sometimes and look into the stains of walls, or ashes of a fire, or clouds, or mud or like places, in which… you may find really marvelous ideas. (Leonardo da Vinci, Notebooks, circa 1480)

We don’t consider the weekend simply a time to veg or, worse, to sit and feel guilty about all the work that you’re not getting done.  With a little thought, your weekend can be the most productive and most enjoyable part of your week.  It’s a time to stop listening to the same incessant drone that everyone else is listening to, to look in new places, to look in new ways, and to laugh.  Sam Anderson, New York Magazine’s book critic put it this way In Defense of Distraction:

Focus is a paradox—it has distraction built into it. The two are symbiotic; they’re the systole and diastole of consciousness. Attention comes from the Latin “to stretch out” or “reach toward,” distraction from “to pull apart.” We need both . . . The truly wise mind will harness, rather than abandon, the power of distraction.

Since I’m more of a hard news and politics fan, I asked our leisure-loving leader for his recommendations. David thinks he’s found three that Leonardo would have enjoyed on his weekends.

Freakonomics

Freakonomics starts with two simple premises: that a lot of our everyday assumptions about how the world works are often terribly wrong and that an economist’s habits of thought are useful in seeing where we went wrong and what might be right.  Freakonomics, the book that explored bizarre baby names and the rigged real estate market, sold four million copies.  SuperFreakonomics (drunk walks and global warming anyone?) is creeping toward another four million.  It’s entertaining and provocative.  Their March 29, 2012 show “begins with this simple, heretical question: Does the President of the United States really matter as much as we believe, and on which dimensions?” and ends by examining the truism

… hitchhiking is terribly, horribly, ridiculously dangerous. But how true is that truism? It’s true that hitchhiking has declined in America, but why? Was it really as dangerous as we believed? And even if so, what other factors were at play?  You’ll hear a variety of hitchhiking stories, including from Levitt and me. We also talk to baseball-data wizard and crime writer Bill James, who says our risk aversion to hitchhiking makes it more dangerous, and transportation scholar Alan Pisarski, who looks at how hitchhiking can inform future transportation policy. And we wonder: would a society that encourages hitchhiking be, on balance, a better society?

You can read, and listen, here

A Way with Words

A Way with Words describes itself as a “show about words, language, and how we use them.  Funny, informative, and fast-paced ….”  Language both reflects and affects the way we think.  The show is the very antithesis of those miserable dry grammar lectures we endured in school.  It plays with language, from word and phrase origins and old sayings to regional dialects and curious family expressions.   It has an intensely loyal audience (including the gym-bound Snowball) who enjoy listening to smart, funny people (hosts Martha Barnette, Grant Barrett and their callers) who are curious about language.

Their March 10, 2012 show looks at the origins of a bunch of financial phrases (“taking a bath” or “taking a haircut” on an investment), at why politicians “suspend” their campaigns, the disturbing prospect that you leave a “vaporwake” in your trail as you walk and the question “What is it about lifelike robots and the humanoid characters in movies like The Polar Express that feels so disturbing?”  Robotics scientist Masahiro Mori dubbed this phenomenon “the uncanny valley.” Grant and Martha discuss the notion and their website offers links to articles on Slate, Wired, and on the NPR blog.

You can read show summaries, and listen, here.  They also host a fairly active discussion forum that covers a lot of ground and offers a lot of leads.

Wait, Wait, Don’t Tell Me

Billed as “the oddly informative news quiz,” the show features host Peter Sagal, four panelists (drawn from a pool of 11 including P.J. O’Rourke, Roy Blount Jr., Amy Dickinson of The Chicago Tribune and Roxanne Roberts of The Washington Post) and one guest (Nora Ephron, Patrick Stewart, chef Rick Bayless) for the “Not My Job” segment.  The material for the show is drawn from the week’s news but goes well beyond the ability of a Jon Stewart or David Letterman monologue to leave you informed about (but not depressed by) the week’s news.  The fact that it’s often laugh out loud funny is an additional charm of it.  After quoting a Romney staffer’s celebration of primary wins in American Samoa, Guam and the Northern Mariana Islands – whose residents are citizens of the US but are not permitted to vote in the presidential election – the host observed, “the vote may not get Romney nearer to being president but does make him well-positioned for another job: volcano god.”

They have a rich website with audio of the shows and bunches of follow-up features.



An Update: MoneyLife is Here!

You don’t expect a financial podcast to cause you to laugh out loud. Financial podcasts are supposed to be serious and predictable, even the “fun” ones have a certain level of formality. It seems that Chuck didn’t get the memo, and for that we should all be thankful. MoneyLife is a witty, straight talking financial podcast, that will inform and entertain you, and most likely leave you wanting more. Sometimes irreverent (no-pants Fridays) sometimes slapstick (hilarious audio “special effects”), but always professional and informative, the podcast is released daily Monday through Friday. Here is what the MoneyLife website has to say about the show’s host:

“MoneyLife host Chuck Jaffe is senior columnist for MarketWatch. His three weekly columns are syndicated nationally, and his “Your Funds” column is the most widely read feature on mutual fund investing in America. In 2009, Chuck was named to MutualFundWire’s list of the 40 Most Influential People in Fund Distribution, the only journalist ever to make the list.”

You can listen to it online or download it for free at the show’s website, or find it on iTunes.

Style

The show has an easy conversational style, it is a relaxed, yet professional presentation of straight talking financial opinion and fact. Jaffe mixes his A-list talent with “B” movie camp to wonderful effect. A smooth operator who falls easily into the role of laid back master of ceremonies, and knows when to fade out the humor and ask the tough questions that we want answered.

Substance

The daily hour long podcast is content heavy. It contains one feature interview (the big interview), which the host describes as “swimming in the brain fluid” of a financial expert, commentary by Chuck Jaffe and several secondary segments. The secondary segments change daily, with certain sections only available on specific days. The segments include buy and sell of the week, personal finance tip of the week, market call, economy watch, weird financial news, ETF of the week, technical difficulties, survey says, and hold it or fold it. The different segments are presented in the form of a conversation between the host and a guest expert. Regular guests include Tom Lydon, editor and publisher of ETF Trends; Greg McBride CFA, Vice President, Senior Financial Analyst, for Bankrate.com; Robert Powell, president of Unison, LLC, a communications and consulting firm and Executive Producer of PBS’ More Than Money; and Charles Rotblut, a vice president with the American Association of Individual Investors.

The Big Interview for Tuesday, June 26th featured financial author Jonathan Davis, Founder and chairman of Independent Investor,  and discussed the investment philosophy of Sir John Templeton

Bottom Line

If I was stranded on an island and allowed only one financial podcast, this might very well be it. The show combines a large serving of financial facts and information, with a diverse and sometimes contradictory, range of expert views and opinions. Chuck may be naturally funny, but make no mistake, the entertainment is merely the dessert to the main course.

April 2012 Funds in Registration

By David Snowball

Black Select Long/Short

Black Select Long/Short will seek long-term capital appreciation over a full market cycle.  They invest both long and short in a focused, global portfolio of mid- to large-cap companies. Gary Black, president of the adviser, will manage the fund.  This is the same Gary Black who was president, CEO and/or chief investment officer of Janus from 2004-2009. During his watch, at least 15 equity managers left Janus and one won a multi-million dollar suit against the company.  Despite a war on the star managers, he’s credited with an important reorganization of the place.  Before that he was chief investment officer for Goldman Sachs’ global equities group. Minimum initial investment will be $2500. Expenses for the Investor share class are capped at 2.25%.

Braver Tactical Equity Opportunity Fund

Braver Tactical Equity Opportunity Fund will seek capital appreciation with low volatility and low correlation to the broad domestic equity markets.  The plan is to both time the market (they may go 100% to cash in order to avoid market declines) and to rotate among sectors using ETFs.  It will be managed by a team led by Andrew Griesinger, Braver’s chief investment officer. The team uses the same strategy in their separate accounts.  Information in the prospectus shows those accounts trailing the S&P500 and a hedge fund benchmark for the trailing year, three years and period since inception (though leading over the trailing five years).  They provide no volatility data. $1000 minimum initial investment.  Expenses capped at 1.5%.

Global X

Global X Top Hedge Fund Equity Holdings, Top Value Guru Holdings, Top Activist Investor Holdings, Listed Hedge Funds ETFs will all invest in indexes designed to track the activities of the mythically talented.  They will all be managed by Global X’s top two executives, Bruno del Ama and Jose C. Gonzalez. Expenses not yet set.

ProShares Listed Private Equity and ProShares Merger Arbitrage

ProShares Listed Private Equity and ProShares Merger Arbitrage ETFs.  With great conviction, ProShares reports: “ProShares Merger Arbitrage (the “Fund”) seeks investment results, before fees and expenses, that track the performance of the [            ] Merger Arbitrage Index (the “Index”). The Index was created by [            ] (the “Index Sponsor”).” Trans: we’re going to track some index (we don’t  know which), created by somebody (we don’t know who).  Trust us, this is a compelling idea whose time has come.  Alexander Ilyasov will manage the ETFs.  Expenses not yet set.

Reinhart Mid Cap Private Market Value Fund

Reinhart Mid Cap Private Market Value Fund will seek long-term capital appreciation by purchasing a diversified portfolio of mid-cap stocks which are selling at a 30% discount to their “true intrinsic value.”  Brent Jesko, Principal and Senior Portfolio Manager of the Adviser, is the Fund’s lead portfolio manager.  $5000 minimum initial investment.  Expenses not yet set.

T. Rowe Price Emerging Markets Corporate Bond Fund

T. Rowe Price Emerging Markets Corporate Bond Fund will pursue high current income, with a secondary goal of capital appreciation.  The plan is to buy bonds, primarily dollar-denominated and primarily intermediate-term, that are issued by companies that are located or listed in, or conduct the predominant part of their business activities in, emerging markets. Michael J. Conelius will manage the fund. $2500 investment minimum for regular accounts, $1000 for various tax-advantaged products. Expenses are capped at 1.15%.  They intend to launch on May 24, 2012.

USAA Cornerstone Funds

USAA Cornerstone Funds (Conservative, Moderately Conservative, Aggressive, Equity) will each invest in other funds.  Each has a set asset allocation, ranging from 20 – 100% equities.  Two existing funds will be rebranded as Moderate and Moderately Aggressive to round out the collection.  Each will be team managed, with John P. Toohey and Wasif A. Latif, Vice President of Equity Investments being present on all of the teams.  Expenses vary, but are uniformly low.  The minimum initial investment is $3000, reduced to $500 for accounts established with automatic investment plans. They anticipate launch in June 2012.

 

GRT Value (GRTVX), March 2012

By David Snowball

Update: This fund has been liquidated.

Objective

The fund’s investment objective is capital appreciation, which they hope to obtain by investing primarily in undervalued small cap stocks.  Small caps are defined as those comparable to those in the Russell 2000, whose largest stocks are about $3.3 billion.  They can also invest up to 10% in foreign stocks, generally through ADRs.  There’s a comparable strategy – the “GRT Value Strategy – Long only U.S. Equity Strategy” – used when they’re investing in private accounts. They describe the objective there in somewhat more interesting terms.  In those accounts, they want to achieve “superior total returns while” – this is the part I like – “minimizing the probability of permanent impairment of capital.”

Adviser

GRT Capital Partners.  GRT was founded in 2001 by Gregory Fraser, Rudolph Kluiber and Timothy Krochuk.  GRT offers investment management services to institutional clients and investors in its limited partnerships.  As of 09/30/2011, they had about $315 million in assets under management.  They also advise the GRT Absolute Return (GRTHX) fund.

Managers

The aforementioned Gregory Fraser, Rudolph Kluiber and Timothy Krochuk.  Mr. Kluiber is the lead manager.  From 1995 to 2001, he ran State Street Research Aurora (SSRAX), a small cap value fund which is now called BlackRock Aurora.  Before that, he was a high yield analyst and assistant manager on State Street Research High Yield.  Mr. Fraser managed Fidelity Diversified International from 1991 to 2001.  Mr. Krochuk managed Fidelity TechnoQuant Growth Fund from 1996 to 2001 and Fidelity Small Cap Selector fund in 2000 and 2001.  The latter two “work closely with Mr. Kluiber and play an integral part in generating investment ideas and making recommendations for the Fund.” Since 2001, they’ve worked together on limited partnerships and separate accounts forGRT Capital. All three managers earned degrees from Harvard, where Mr. Kluiber and Mr. Fraser were roommates.

Management’s Stake in the Fund

As of 07/31/2011, Messrs Kluiber and Fraser each had $500,000 – $1,000,000 in the fund while Mr. Krochuk had more than $1 million.

Opening date

May 1, 2008.

Minimum investment

$2,500 for regular accounts, $500 for retirement accounts and $250 for spousal IRAs.

Expense ratio

1.30%, after waivers, on assets of $120 million, unchanged since the fund’s launch.  There’s also a 2% redemption fee for shares held fewer than 14 days.

Comments

Investors looking to strengthen the small cap exposure in their portfolios owe it to themselves to look at GRT Value.  It’s that simple.

On the theme of “keeping it simple,” I’ll add just two topics: what do they do? And why should you consider them?

What do they do?

GRT Value follows a long-established discipline.  It invests, primarily, in undervalued small company stocks.  Because of a quirk in data reporting, the portfolio might seem to have more growth stock exposure than it does.  The manager highlights three sorts of investments:

Turnaround Companies – those “that have declined in value for business or market reasons, but which may be able to make a turnaround because of, for instance, a renewed focus on operations and the sale of assets to help reduce debt.” Because indexes might be reconstituted only once or twice a year, some of the fund’s holdings remain characterized as “growth stocks” despite a precipitous decline in valuation.

Deep Value Companies – those which are cheap relatively to “the value of their assets, the book value of their stock and the earning potential of their business.”

Post-Bankruptcy Companies – which are often underfollowed and shunned, hence candidates for mispricing.

The fortunes of these three types of securities don’t move in sync, which tends to dampen volatility.

As with some of the Artisan teams, GRT uses an agricultural analogy for portfolio construction.  They have “a ‘farm team’ investment process [in which] positions often begin relatively small and increase in size as the Adviser’s confidence grows and the original investment thesis is confirmed.”  The manager’s cautious approach to new positions and broad diversification (188 names, as of 10/31/11), work to mitigate risk.

The managers are pretty humble about all of this: “There is no magic formula,” they write.  “It simply comes down to experienced managers, using well-established risk guidelines for portfolio construction” (Annual Report, 07/31/11).

Why should you consider them?

They’re winners.  The system works.  High returns, muted risk.

GRTValue seems to be an upgraded version of State Street Research Aurora, which Mr. Kluiber ran with phenomenal success for six years.  Morningstar’s valedictory assessment when he left the fund was this:

Kluiber, the fund’s manager since its 1995 inception, built it into a category standout during his tenure. In fact, the fund gained an average of 28.9% per year from March 1995 throughApril 30, 2001, while its average small-cap value peer gained 15.5%.

The same analyst noted that the fund’s risk scores were low and that “[m]anagement’s willingness to go farther afield in small-value territory has been a boon over the long haul. For instance, management doesn’t shy away from investing in traditionally more growth-oriented sectors, such as technology, if valuations and fundamentals” are compelling.  The article announcing his departure concluded, “Kluiber had built a topnotch record since Aurora’s 1995 inception. The fund’s trailing three- and five-year returns for the period endingApril 27, 2001, rank in the top 5% of the small-cap value category;Auroraalso boasted relatively low volatility and superior tax efficiency.”

Hmmm . . . high returns, low risk, high tax efficiency all maintained over time.  Those seek like awfully promising attributes in your lead manager.

Since 2004, the trio have been managing separate accounts using the strategies embodied in both Aurora andGRTValue.  They modestly trailed the Russell 2000 index in their first year of operation, then substantially clubbed it in the following three.  That reflects a focus on getting it right, every day. “We’re just grinders,” Mr. Krochuk noted.  “We come in every day and do our jobs together.”  In baseball terms, they were hoping to make contact and hit lots of singles rather than counting on swinging for the fences in pursuit of rare, spectacular gains.

Since 2008, GRT Value has continued the tradition of clubbing the competition.  At this point, the story gets muddied by Morningstar’s mistake.  Morningstar categorizes GRTVX as a mid-cap blend fund.  It’s not.  Never has been.  The portfolio is more than 80% small- and micro-cap.  The fund’s average market cap – $790 million – is less than half of the average small blend fund’s.  It’s below the Russell 2000 average.  That miscategorization throws off all of Morningstar’s peer assessments for star rating, relative returns, and relative risk.  Judged as a small-blend or small-value fund, they’re actually better than Morningstar’s five-star rating implies.

GRTVX has substantially outperformed its peers since inception: $10,000 invested at the fund’s opening has grown to $13,200, compared to $11,800 at its average peer

GRTVX has outperformed its benchmark in down markets: it has lost less, or actually registered gains, in 11 of the 14 months in which the index declined (from 01/09 – 02/12).  That’s consistent both with Mr. Kluiber’s risk-consciousness and his long-term record.

GRTVX has a consistently better risk-return profile than the best small blend funds. Morningstar analysts have identified five best-of-the-best funds in the small blend category.  Those are Artisan Small Cap Value (ARTVX, closed), Bogle Small Growth (BOGLX, the retail shares), Royce Special (RYSEX, closed), Vanguard Small Cap Index (NAESX, the retail shares) and Vanguard Tax-Managed Small-Cap Fund (VTMSX, the Admiral Shares).  Using Fund Reveal’s fine-grained risk and return data, GRTVX offers a better risk-return profile – over the trailing one, two and three year periods – than any of them.  The only fund (RYSEX) with somewhat-lower volatility has substantially lower returns.  And the only fund with better average daily returns (BOGLX) has substantially higher volatility.

Bottom Line

Nothing in life is certain, but the prospects forGRT Value’s future are about as close as you’ll get.  The managers have precisely the right experience.  They have outstanding, complementary track records.  They have an organizational structure in which they have a sense of control and commitment.  Its three year record, however measured, has been splendid.

Fund website

The fund’s website is virtually nonexistent. There’s a little more information available at the parent site, but not all that much.

© Mutual Fund Observer, 2012. All rights reserved. The information here reflects publicly available information current at the time of publication. For reprint/e-rights contact us.

Matthews Asia Strategic Income (MAINX) – February 2012, revised March 2012

By David Snowball

Objective and Strategy

MAINX seeks total return over the long term with an emphasis on income. The fund invests in income-producing securities which will include government, quasi-governmental and corporate bonds, dividend-paying stocks and convertible securities (a sort of stock/bond hybrid).  The fund may hedge its currency exposure, but does not intend to do so routinely.  In general, at least half of the portfolio will be in investment-grade bonds.  Equities, both common stocks and convertibles, will not exceed 20% of the portfolio.

Adviser

Matthews International Capital Management. Matthews was founded in 1991.  As of December 31, 2011, Matthews had $15.3 billion in assets in its 13 funds.  On whole, the Matthews funds offer below average expenses. Over the past three years, every Matthews fund has above-average performance except for Asian Growth & Income (MACSX). They also publish an interesting and well-written newsletter on Asian investing, Asia Insight.

Manager(s)

Teresa Kong is the lead manager.  Before joining Matthews in 2010, she was Head of Emerging Market Investments at Barclays Global Investors (now BlackRock) and responsible for managing the firm’s investment strategies in Emerging Asia, Eastern Europe, Africa and Latin America. In addition to founding the Fixed Income Emerging Markets Group at BlackRock, she was also Senior Portfolio Manager and Credit Strategist on the Fixed Income credit team.  She’s also served as an analyst for Oppenheimer Funds and JP Morgan Securities, where she worked in the Structured Products Group and Latin America Capital Markets Group.  Kong has two co-managers, Gerald Hwang, who for the past three years managed foreign exchange and fixed income assets for some of Vanguard’s exchange-traded funds and mutual funds, and Robert Horrocks, Matthews’ chief investment officer.

Management’s Stake in the Fund

Every member of the team is invested in the fund, but the extent – typically substantial at Matthews – is not yet disclosed.

Opening date

November 30, 2011.

Minimum investment

$2500 for regular accounts, $500 for IRAs.  The fund’s available, NTF, through Fidelity, Vanguard, Scottrade and a few others.

Expense ratio

1.0%, after waivers, on $19 million in assets (as of 2/23/12).  That’s a 40 basis point decline from opening expense ratio. There’s also a 2% redemption fee for shares held fewer than 90 days.

Comments

With the Federal Reserve’s January 2012 announcement of their intent to keep interest rates near zero through 2014, conservative investors are being driven to look for new sources of income.  Ms. Kong highlights a risk the bond investors haven’t previously wrestled with: shortfall risk.  The combination of microscopic domestic interest rates with the slow depreciation of the U.S. dollar (she wouldn’t be surprised at a 2% annual loss against a basket of foreign currencies) and the corrosive effects of inflation, means that more and more “risk-free” fixed-income portfolios simply won’t meet their owners’ needs.  Surmounting that risk requires looking beyond the traditional.

For many investors, Asia is a logical destination.  Three factors support that conclusion:

  1. Asian governments and corporations are well-positioned to service their debts.  On whole, debt levels are low and economic growth is substantial.  Haruhiko Kuroda of the Asian Development Bank projected (in late January 2012) that Asian economies — excluding Japan, Australia and New Zealand — to grow by around 7% in 2012, down from about 7.5% in 2011 and 9% in 2010.  France, by contrast, projects 0.5% growth, the Czech Republic foresees 0.2% and Germany, Europe’s soundest economy, expects 0.7%.
    This high rate of growth is persistent, and allows Asian economies to service their debt more and more easily each year.  Ms. Kong reports that Fitch (12/2011) and S&P (1/2012) both upgraded Indonesian debt, and she expects more upgrades than downgrades for Asia credits.
  2. Most Asian debt supports infrastructure, rather than consumption.  While the Greeks were borrowing money to pay pensions, Asian governments were financing roads, bridges, transport, water and power.  Such projects often produce steady income streams that persist for decades, as well as supporting further growth.
  3. Most investors are under-exposed to Asian debt markets.  Bond indexes, the basis for passive funds and the benchmark for active ones, tend to be debt-weighted; that is, the more heavily indebted a nation is, the greater weight it has in the index.  Asian governments and corporations have relatively low debt levels and have made relatively light use of the bond market.

Ms. Kong illustrated the potential magnitude of the underexposure.  An investor with a global diversified bond portfolio (70% Barclays US Aggregate bond index, 20% Barclays Global Aggregate, 10% emerging markets) would have only 7% exposure to Asia.  However you measure Asia’s economic significance (31% of global GDP, rising to 38% in the near future or, by IMF calculations, the source of 50% of global growth), even fairly sophisticated bond investors are likely underexposed.

The European debt crisis, morphing into a banking crisis, is making bank loans harder to obtain.  Asian borrowers are turning to capital markets to raise cash.  Asian blue chip firms issued $14 billion in bonds in the first two months of 2012, in a development The Wall Street Journal described as a “stampede” (02/23/12). The market for Asian debt is becoming larger, more liquid and more transparent.  Those are all good things for investors.

The question isn’t “should you have more exposure to Asian fixed-income markets,” but rather “should you seek exposure through Matthews?”  The answer, in all likelihood, is “yes.”   Matthews has the largest array of Asia investment products in the U.S. market, the deepest analytic core and the broadest array of experience.  They also have a long history of fixed-income investing in the service of funds such as Matthews Asian Growth & Income (MACSX).   Their culture and policies are shareholder-friendly and their success has been consistent.

Asia Strategic Income will be their first income-oriented fund.  Like FPA Crescent (FPACX) in the U.S. market, it has the freedom range across an entity’s capital structure, investing in equity, debt, hybrid or derivative securities depending on which offers the best returns for the risk.  The manager argues that the inclusion of modest exposure to equities will improve the fund’s performance in three ways.

  1. They create a more favorable portfolio return distribution.  In essence, they add a bit more upside and the manager will try “to mitigate downside by favoring equities that have relatively low volatility, high asset coverage and an expected long term yield higher than the local 10 year Treasury.”
  2. They allow the fund to exploit pricing anomalies.  There are times when one component of a firm’s capital structure might be mispriced by the market relative to another. .  Ms. Kong reports that the fund bought the convertible shares of an “Indian coal mining company.  Its parent, a London-listed natural resource company, has bonds outstanding at the senior level.  At the time of purchase, the convertibles of the subsidiary offered higher yield, higher upside than the parent’s bonds even though the Indian coal mining had better fundamentals, less leverage, and were structurally senior since the entity owns the assets directly.”
  3. They widen the fund’s opportunity set.  Some governments make it incredibly difficult for foreigners to invest, or invest much, in their bonds.  Adding the ability to invest in equities may give the managers exposure to otherwise inaccessible markets.

Unlike the indexes, MAINX will weight securities by credit-worthiness rather than by debt load, which will further dampen portfolio risk.  Finally, the fund’s manager has an impressive resume, she comes across as smart and passionate, and she’s supported by a great organization.

Bottom Line

MAINX offers rare and sensible access to an important, under-followed asset class.  The long track record of Matthews’ funds suggests that this is going to be a solid, risk-conscious and rewarding vehicle for gaining access to that class.  Despite the queasiness that conservative investors, especially, might feel about investing what’s supposed to be their “safe” money overseas, there’s a strong argument for looking carefully at this as a supplement to an otherwise stagnant fixed-income portfolio.

Fund website

Matthews Asia Strategic Income

© Mutual Fund Observer, 2012. All rights reserved. The information here reflects publicly available information current at the time of publication. For reprint/e-rights contact us.

March 2012 Funds in Registration

By David Snowball

Baron Global Growth

Baron Global Growth will pursue capital appreciation. It will be a diversified fund that uses the same selection criteria as the other Baron products. It will invest domestically, and in developed and developing markets. It’s nominally an all-cap fund, though Baron’s tradition is to focus especially on small- to mid-cap stocks. Alex Umansky, a former Morgan Stanley manager who also runs Baron Fifth Avenue Growth (BFTHX), will manage the fund. $2,000 investment minimum, reduced to $500 for accounts with an AIP. Expenses not yet set.

Fidelity Global Bond

Fidelity Global Bond Fund will seek high current income by investing, mostly, in investment grade corporate and government bonds.  Up to 20% of the fund might be in junk bonds.  As with the International Bond fund (below), there’s an odd promise of index-hugging:   “FMR uses the Barclays Capital® Global Aggregate GDP Weighted Index as a guide in structuring the fund and selecting its investments.” The fund will be managed by Jamie Stuttard, formerly head of European and U.K. Fixed Income for Schroder Investment Management (London) and a portfolio manager.  $2500 minimum initial investment, reduced to $500 for IRAs.  0.75% e.r.  Expect the fund to launch in May 2012.

Fidelity Global Equity Income Fund

Fidelity Global Equity Income Fund will seek “reasonable income” but will also “consider the potential for capital appreciation.”   The plan is to invest in dividend-paying stocks, but they won’t rule out the possibility to high-yield bonds.   One goal is to provide a higher yield than its benchmark, currently 2.3%.  Ramona Persaud will manage the fund.  She managed Select Banking for a couple years , became an analyst for Diversified International (since November 2011) and comanages Equity- Income (FEQIX). I’m not sure what to make of that.  Equity-Income has been consistently mediocre.  A new team, including Persaud, took over in October but hasn’t made a measurable difference yet.   Expenses of 1.20%.  Minimum investment of $2500.  Expect the fund to launch in May 2012.

Fidelity International Bond Fund

Fidelity International Bond Fund will seek a high level of current income by investing in investment-grade non-U.S securities, including some in the emerging markets.  In a vaguely disquieting commend, the prospectus notes “FMR uses the Barclays Capital® Global Aggregate Ex USD GDP Weighted Index as a guide in structuring the fund and selecting its investments.”  That seems to rule out adding much value beyond what the index offers.  The fund will be managed by Jamie Stuttard, formerly head of European and U.K. Fixed Income for Schroder Investment Management (London) and a portfolio manager.  He’ll be assisted by Curt Hollingsworth, a long-time Fidelity employee.  There’s a $2500 investment minimum, reduced to $500 for IRAs, and an e.r. of 0.80%.  This is also set to be a May 2012 launch.

Fidelity Spartan Inflation-Protected Bond Index Fund

Fidelity Spartan Inflation-Protected Bond Index Fund will own the inflation-protected debt securities included in the Barclays Capital U.S. Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities.  The fund will be co-managed by Alan Bembenek and Curt Hollingsworth.  There will be a $10,000 investment minimum and a 0.20% e.r.  The fund will launch in May 2012.

Flex-Funds Spectrum Fund

Flex-Funds Spectrum Fund will seek long-term capital appreciation by investing in domestic and foreign mutual funds, ETFs, closed-end funds, unit investment trusts, S&P Drawing Rights, futures and common stocks. It will be global and all-cap.  It can go 100% to fixed income if the equity market gets scary.  The fund will be managed by a team led by Robert Meeder, who’s been with the advisor since 2005. Expenses not yet set.  Initial minimum investment of $2500, reduced to $500 for IRAs.

iShares Morningstar Multi Asset High Income Index ETF

iShares Morningstar Multi Asset High Income Index ETF will try to match a proprietary Morningstar index which is global, broadly diversified and seeks to deliver high current income while gaining some long term capital appreciation.  This will be a fund of funds, investing mostly in ETFs.  Its asset allocation target is 20% equities (two dividend and two infrastructure funds), 60% fixed income (including Treasuries, high-yield and emerging markets) and 20% in REITs and preferred shares (designated as an “alternatives” asset class).  It will be managed, to the extent index funds are, by James Mauro and Scott Radell.  Expenses not yet set.

Martin Focused Value Fund

Martin Focused Value Fund will be a focused, global, all-cap stock fund which pursues long-term growth of capital.  The manager reserves the right to move to cash and bonds “during market downturns, or until compelling bargains in the securities markets are found.” Frank K. Martin, who earned his BA in 1964 and advertises “45 years of investment industry experience,” will manage the fund.  Expenses capped at 1.40% for the retail shares.  $2500 minimum initial investment.

Manager changes, February 2012

By Chip

Because bond fund managers, traditionally, had made relatively modest impacts of their funds’ absolute returns, Manager Changes typically highlights changes in equity and hybrid funds.

Fund Out with the old In with the new Dt
AllianceBernstein Global Real Estate Investment (AREAX). No one, but . . . Eric Franco, a current manager at International Value will assume the lead role. 2/12
AllianceBernstein Global Value (ABAGX) No one, but . . . Avi Lavi and Takeo Aso have joined the team. 2/12
AllianceBernstein Greater China (GCHAX) Richard Chow Jean Van De Walle 2/12
AllianceBernstein International Value (ABIAX) No one, but . . . Two managers have been added to the team 2/12
AllianceBernstein Large Cap Growth (APGAX) Manager Scott Wallace and his team. This is the fifth change since 2003. Frank Caruso 2/12
American Century Mid Cap Value (ACLAX) No one but . . . Brian Woglom joins the team as a portfolio manager. 2/12
Artisan International Small Cap (ARTJX) No one, but … Charles-Henri Hamker has been named comanager with Mark Yockey who’s run the fund since inception in 2001 2/12
Artisan International (ARTIX) No one, but … Charles-Henri Hamker and Andrew Euretig have been named associate managers, with Mark Yockey who’s run the fund since inception in 1995 2/12
Artisan Mid Cap Value(ARTQX), Artisan Small Cap Value (ARTVX), and  Artisan Value (ARTLX) No one, but . . . Daniel Kane has been named associate manager with the winning team of Scott Satterwhite, Jim Keiffer, and George Sertl 2/12
Aston/Crosswind Small Cap Growth (ACWDX) Subadvisor, Crosswind Investments, is out as Aston follows manager, Andrew Morey, to . . .  . . . new subadvisor, Lee Munder Capital Group. 2/12
Brandywine Blue (BLUEX) John Regard Scott Gates 2/12
Brandywine (BRWIX) – founded by Foster “just put an aspirin between your knees” Freiss John Regard Scott Gates 2/12
CSC Small Cap Value (CSCSX) No one, but . . . Cove Street Capital is now advisor rather than sub-advisor 2/12
Dreyfus Intermediate Municipal Bond (DITEX) No one, but . . . Christine Todd joins Thomas Casey and Steven Harvey as a portfolio manager 2/12
Dreyfus Municipal Bond (DRTAX) and a bunch of other Dreyfus muni funds James Welch is stepping down as comanager. The team remains. 2/12
Fidelity Balanced (FBALX) George Fischer, who is taking a different position within the firm. Pramod Atluri will lead the existing team. 2/12
Fidelity Puritan (FPURX) George Fischer, who is taking a different position within the firm. Pramod Atluri will lead the existing team. 2/12
Fidelity Select Banking(FSRBX), Communications Equipment (FSDCX), Air Transportation (FSAIX), Transportation (FSRFX),  Defense & Aerospace (FSDAX), and Construction & Housing (FSHOX). No one, yet, but . . . Several analysts have been promoted to comanager roles. Hmmm. 2/12
Fidelity Stock Selector Small Cap(FDSCX) No one, but . . . Anmol Mehra joins the current team. 2/12
JPMorgan Asia Equity (JAEAX) Joshua Tay and Patrick Chiu Edward Pulling and Howard Wang join as managing directors. Pauline Ng remains. 2/12
Legg Mason BW Absolute Return Opportunities (LROAX) No one but . . . Brian Hess joined the management team 2/12
Legg Mason BW Global Bond Opportunities (GOBAX) No one but . . . Brian Hess joined the management team 2/12
Legg Mason BW International Opportunities Bond(LMOTX) No one but . . . Brian Hess joined the management team 2/12
Lord Abbett Emerging Markets Currency (LDMAX) No one, but . . . David Ritt joins Leah Traub as comanager 2/12
Meridian Equity Income (MEIFX) Founder, Richard F. Aster, passed away. James England, manager of Meridian Value (MVALX), will join comanager, James O’Connor. 2/12
Meridian Growth (MERDX) Founder, Richard F. Aster, passed away. James England, manager of Meridian Value (MVALX), will join current comanager, William Tao. 2/12
Northern Multi-Manager International Equity (NMIEX) No one, but . . . They added Northern Cross as a subadvisor 2/12
PACE Alternative Strategies Investments (PASIX) Goldman Sachs is no longer an advisor. Four other sub- advisors remain but given the fund’s tepid performance … 2/12
Pioneer Research (PATMX) Kim Galle The rest of the team remains. 2/12
Schwab Global Real Estate(SWASX) Dionisio Meneses Jr. Paul Alan Davis 2/12
Third Avenue Value (TAVFX) Marty Whitman will leave after managing the fund since he launched over 20 years ago. Ian Lapey, comanager since 2009, will take the lead. 2/12
Thornburg Core Growth(THCGX ) Alex Motola, a very talented manager who’s retiring in 2012. Tim Cunningham and Greg Dunn, currently associate portfolio managers, will take over 2/12
Thornburg International Growth (TIGAX) Alex Motola, who has managed this fund since inception, is retiring this year. Tim Cunningham and Greg Dunn, currently associate portfolio managers, will work with Motola for a few months more and then take over 2/12
Vanguard Equity-Income (VEIPX) No one, but . . . James Troyer and Michael Roach, both long time employees, join James Stetler and Michael Reckmeyer. 2/12
Vantagepoint Equity Income (VPEIX) Mark Giambrone, of Barrow, Hanley, Mewhinney & Strauss, is no longer running a portion of the fund’s assets. The rest of the team – folks from T Rowe Price and Longleaf – remains. 2/12
Vantagepoint Growth (VPGRX) All  three subadvisors were fired : Legg Mason, Tukman Grossman, and D.G. Capital Management. Atlanta Capital Management and Victory Capital Management.  Given that the fund has sucked for years, shareholders are not likely to be worse off. 2/12
Virtus Balanced Allocation (HIBZX) Carol Lyons and Maureen Svagera Daniela Mardarovici and Peter Arts join Daniel Sido and Thomas Lettenberger as portfolio managers 2/12
Wells Fargo Advantage Diversified International (SILAX) Francis X. Claro Jeff Everett, of the recently purchased EverKey Global Partners joins as a comanager as does Dale Winner. 2/12
Wells Fargo Advantage International Equity (WFEAX) Francis X. Claro Jeff Everett, of the recently purchased EverKey Global Partners, joins as a comanager as does Dale Winner. 2/12
Winslow Green Growth(WGGFX) Elizabeth Levy left Karina Funk and David Powell remain. 2/12

 

March 2012 – Mutual Fund Rating Sites

By Junior Yearwood

With 6700 U.S.-registered mutual funds to choose from, the Holy Grail of sites is one that answers the simple question: which of these damned things is going to give me the information I need to make money without making me sick!  A bunch of sites promise answers.  Almost none of them deliver.  While we thought we’d need to wade through an embarrassment of riches, mostly we found a swamp.

After reviewing a dozen sites and doing a lot of digging, we’ve decided that three are worth your attention.  Our criteria were simple: the site had to have useful, accessible (which is to say, free) content and it had to have research to back up the validity of its ratings.  These three did.  For each of them, we’ll walk you through the site’s history and focus, identify its best features, and offer up a few cautionary words as well.  After that, we’ll give you the short summary of the other sites we reviewed and didn’t recommend.

Gold, Silver, Bronze

Morningstar

There’s no real secret about the #1 site.  Now the 800 pound gorilla of the industry, Morningstar started in Joe Mansueto’s apartment as a very modest operation that applied the style (but not the substance) of the Value Line rating system for stocks to mutual funds. With data on approximately 330,000 investment offerings, a wealth of free content, including many useful tools and screeners and a solid track record. They are the Gold Standard of commercial fund sites. Read the full profile.


Do you remember that Jerry Seinfeld joke? The one about the Olympics?  “I think I have a problem with that silver medal. Because when you think about it, you win the gold – you feel good . . .  But when you win that silver it’s like, ‘Congratulations, you almost won. Of all the losers you came in first of that group. You’re the number one loser. No one lost ahead of you!’”

Lipper

It would be easy, but wrong, to dismiss Lipper as “the best loser around.” We have all heard the quote “XYZ beat their ten year Lipper average,” at the end of an ad for a mutual fund or related company. That quote might be meaningless marketing speak but there is no doubt that Lipper is synonymous with performance, and with good reason. Lipper is one of the most widely used and respected commercial fund sites online, and on average their top picks tend to outperform their peers.  The Lipper Leaders search tool is one of the most intuitive screeners out there, and throughout information is provided in a way that is clear and easy to understand.  Add in investment walkthrough for new or inexperienced investors and easily accessible FREE webcasts and videos and you have a site worth checking. Read the full profile.


Fund Reveal


The ancient Greek poet Archilochus once observed, “πόλλ’ οἶδ’ ἀλώπηξ, ἀλλ’ ἐχῖνος ἓν μέγα.” So true, so true. For those of you whose Greek is rusty, he says “the fox knows many things, but the hedgehog knows one big thing”. Fund Reveal plays hedgehog to Morningstar’s fox. Fund Reveal does only one thing, without adornment and with great focus. Fund Reveal studies the day-to-day volatility of every fund in existence, and has used that wealth of data to generate a simple model with a fair amount of predictive power. By looking simultaneously at average daily returns and standard deviations calculated daily, they believe they’ve identified factors which persistently predict fund performance. Their spartan website is devoted to two simple tools for playing with that data.. Read the full profile.

The Rest of the Story

BarCharts.com: welcome to the bizarre world of 50-day parabolic time/price indicators.  BarCharts offers buy and sell signals on funds, based on 13 technical indicators.  The funds homepage has lists of high volatility and “hot” funds.

Fund Mojo: the site illustrates why the Observer remains non-commercial.  Ads for Vanguard, J C Penney, structured annuity settlements and a payday loan locator adorn the homepage.  Their goal is “to help you find the top 1% of mutual fund managers.”  You get a grade.  It’s based on your score.  The score is derived from eight, variously-weighted criteria (plus “We also apply various filters and calculations on each factor to ensure best representation of the fund performance”).  Why the score makes sense isn’t exactly explained.  They do have lots of lists.

MAX Funds: a nice little site, especially if you like speedometer-type gauges. They offer a glacially-slow fund screener which allows you to tap into both their proprietary ratings and more standard measures such as expense ratios.

S&P: run away!  Run away!  The site’s almost impossible to use, rates only fixed-income and bond funds, makes it hard to search for the ratings, and then makes inexplicable decisions about what to rate.  Their fund ratings, for example, list no Fidelity or PIMCO bond funds.

TheStreet.com: common to many sites, TSC offers simple ratings (A+ for Sit Minnesota Tax Free Income – their “best fund for 2012”), lists of “best funds for 2012” and occasional articles (we only found one 2012 article) by Frank, Gregg and Stan.  Their “best” lists are easy to find, but no one says how the grades are derived (there’s the usual chatter about risk-adjusted returns, then the leap to “we believe this fund is among the most likely to deliver superior performance relative to risk in the future as well.”  There is, sadly, no evidence of that.

U.S. News: can you say “garbage in, garbage out”?  U.S. News takes the ratings from five other sites, assumes they’re all valid (they aren’t), permutes them in ways not intended by their creators, and then averages them.

Value Line: the Value Line website is mostly a sales catalog for its many products.  The mutual funds “research hub” has a handful of articles, none (other than “top returning funds” lists) less than six months old.  The Value Line mutual funds live on a separate website.

Zacks: like a late night infomercial that won’t go away, Zacks seeks to lure you into purchasing their premium package while never giving you enough of a reason to do so. They may be a widely used by media based companies, but their website does them a serious disservice. It almost feels like you would be buying cut rate car insurance when you know you need the full comprehensive package.

March 1, 2012

By David Snowball

Dear friends,

In the midst of the stock market’s recent generosity – 250 mutual funds booked returns of 20% or more in the first two months of 2012 – it’s easy to forget how bad 2011 was for the smart money crowd.  The average equity hedge fund, represented by the HFRX Equity Hedge Index, lost 19% for the year.  The value guys lost more than the growth guys. The Economist took some glee in reproducing a hypothetical letter from a hedge fund manager.  It reads, in part,

It is also time to move on from the concept of delivering “alpha”, the skill you’ve paid us such fat fees for. Upon reflection, we have decided that we’re actually much better at giving you “smart beta”. This term is already being touted at industry conferences and we hope shortly to be able to explain what it means. Like our peers we have also started talking a lot about how we are “multi-strategy” and “capital-structure agnostic”, and boasting about the benefits of our “unconstrained” investment approach. This is better than saying we don’t really understand what’s going on.

As an unofficial representative of the dumb money crowd, I’ll peel my eyes away from the spectacle of the Republican Party deciding which vital organ to stab next, just long enough to offer a cheery “nyah-nyah-nyah.”

The Observer in The Journal

As many of you know, The Wall Street Journal profiled the Observer in a February 6 article entitled “Professor’s Advice: It’s Best to Be Bored.” I talked a bit about the danger of “exciting” opportunities, offered leads on a dozen cool funds, and speculated about two emerging bubbles.  Neither should be a great surprise, but both carry potentially enormous consequences.

The bubbles in question are U.S. bonds and gold.  And those bubbles are scary because those assets have proven to be the last refuge for tens of millions of older investors (who, by the way, vote in huge numbers) whose portfolios were slammed by the stock market’s ferocious, pointless decade.  Tim Krochuk of GRT Capital Partners volunteers the same observation in a conversation this week.  “If rates return to normal – 4 or 5% – holders of long bonds are going to lose 40 – 50%.  If you thought that a 40% stock market fall led to blood in the streets, wait until you see what happens after a hit that big in retirees’ ‘safe’ portfolios.”  Folks from Roger Ibbotson to Teresa Kong have, this week, shared similar concerns.

For visual learners, here are the two graphs that seem best to reflect the grounds for my concern.

The first graph is the yield on benchmark 10-year Treasuries.  When the line is going up, Treasuries are in a bear market.  When the line is going down, they’re in a bull market.  Three things stand out, even to someone like me who’s not a financial professional:

  • A bear market in bonds can last decades.
  • The current bull market in bonds has proceeded, almost without interruption for 30 years.
  • With current yields at 2% and inflation at 3% (i.e., there’s a negative real yield already), there’s nowhere much for the bull to go from here.

The second graph is the price of gold.  Since investing in gold is a matter of theology rather than economics, there’s not much to say beyond “gee, do you suppose it’ll rise forever?”

It might.  Thomas Sowell’s Basic Economics calculates that $1 investing in U.S. stocks in 1800 and held for about 200 years would be worth $500,000.   $1 in gold would be worth $0.78.  But this time’s different.  It always is.

In celebration of boring investments

In investing terms, “income” was once dismissed as the province of the elderly whose other eccentricities included reflection on the state of their bowel movements and strong convictions about Franklin Roosevelt.  Market strategies abjured dividend-paying firms, reasoning that dividends only arose when management was too timid or stupid to find useful things to do with their earnings.  And equity managers who were trapped by the word “income” in their fund name tried various dodges to avoid it.  In the mid-90s, for example, Fidelity Dividend Growth fund (FDGFX) invested in fast growing small caps, under the theory that  those firms had “the potential to increase (or begin paying) dividends in the future.”  Even today, it’s possible to find funds (Gabelli, Columbia, Huber, FAM) named “Equity Income” with yields below 0.6%.

The problem was compounded by organizational structures that isolated the equity and fixed-income teams from each other.  Even most stock/bond hybrid funds maintained the division: 60% of the portfolio was controlled by the equity manager, 40% by the fixed income manager.  Period.   Only a handful of managers – chief among them, David Winters at Wintergreen (WGRNX) and his forebears at the Mutual Series, Marty Whitman at Third Avenue Value (TAVFX), Steve Romick at FPA Crescent (FPACX) and Andrew Foster and Paul Matthews at Matthews Asian Growth and Income (MACSX) – had the freedom, the confidence and the competence to roam widely over a firm’s capital structure.

Today, some of the best analysis and most innovative product design is being done on income-sensitive funds.  That might reflect the simple fact that funds without income (alternately, gold exposure) have had a disastrous decade.  Jeremy Grantham observes in his latest quarterly letter

The U.S. market was terrible for the last 10 years, gaining a pathetic 0.5% per year overall, after inflation adjustments and even including dividends. Without dividends, the [S&P 500] index itself has not gone up a penny in real terms from mid-1997 to end-2011, or 14½ years. This is getting to be a long time!

Now dividend-stocks are (unwisely) declared as an alternative to bonds (“stock dividends, as an alternative or supplement to bonds, are shaping up to have better yields and less risk” notes a 2012 article in Investment News) and investors poured money into them in 2011.

The search for income is increasingly global.  Morningstar reports that “There now are 24 equity income funds that invest at least 25% of their assets outside of the U.S. and 30 funds that invest at least 75%, with the majority of those funds being launched in the last few years, according to Lipper.”

Among the cool options now available:

Calamos Evolving World Growth (CNWGX), which invests broadly in emerging market stocks, the stocks of developed market firms which derive at least 20% of sales in emerging markets, then adds convertibles or bonds to manage volatility. 4.75% front load, 1.68% e.r.

Global X Permanent ETF (PERM) which will pursue a Permanent Portfolio-like mix of 25% stocks, 25% gold and silver, 25% short-term bonds, and 25% long-term government bonds.  Leaving aside the fact that with Global X nothing is permanent, this strategy for inflation-proofing your portfolio has some merits.  We’ll look at PERM and its competitors in detail in our April issue.

Innovator Matrix Income Fund (IMIFX), which intends to rotate through a number of high-yielding surrogates for traditional asset classes.  Those include master limited partnerships, royalty trusts, REITs, closed end funds and business development companies.  In, for example, a low-inflation, low-growth environment, the manager would pursue debt REITs and closed-end bond funds to generate yield but might move to royalty trusts and equity REITs if both inflation and growth accelerated.  Hmmm.

iShares Morningstar Multi-Asset High Income Index Fund, still in registration, which will invest 20% in stocks, 60% in bonds (including high-yield corporates, emerging markets and international) and 20% in “alternative assets” (which means REITs and preferred shares).  Expenses not yet announced.

WisdomTree Emerging Markets Equity Income (DEM), which launched in 2007.  It holds the highest-paying 30% of stocks (about 300) in the WisdomTree Emerging Markets Dividend Index.  The fund has returned 28% annually over the past three years (through 1/31/12), beating the emerging markets average by 5% annually.  By Morningstar’s calculation, the fund outperforms its peers in both rising and falling markets. Expenses of 0.63%.

In September of 2010, I lamented “the best fund that doesn’t exist,” an emerging markets balanced fund.  Sophisticated readers searched and did find one closed-end fund that fit the bill, First Trust Aberdeen Emerging Opportunities (FEO), which I subsequently profiled as a “star in the shadows.”  A pack of emerging markets balanced funds have since comes to market:

AllianceBernstein Emerging Markets Multi Asset (ABAEX) will hold 0-65% bonds (currently 40%), with the rest in stocks and cash.  4.25% front load, 1.65% e.r.

Dreyfus Total Emerging Markets (DTMAX), which has an unconstrained allocation between stocks and bonds.  5.75% load, 1.65% e.r.

Fidelity Total Emerging Markets (FTEMX), launched in November and already approaching $100 million in assets, the fund has a pretty static 60/40 allocation.  No-load, 1.40% e.r.

First Trust/Aberdeen Emerging Opportunities (FEO), a closed-end fund and an Observer “Star in the Shadows” fund.  About 60% bonds, 40% stocks.  Exchange traded, 1.76% e.r.

Lazard Emerging Markets Multi-Strategy (EMMOX), which has a floating allocation between stocks, bonds (including convertibles) and currency contracts. No-load, 1.60% e.r.

PIMCO Emerging Multi-Asset (PEAAX), the most broadly constructed of the funds, is benchmarked against an index which invests 50/50 between stocks and bonds.  The fund itself can combine stocks, bonds, currencies and commodities. 5.5% load for the “A” shares, 1.74% expenses.

Templeton Emerging Markets Balanced (TAEMX), which must have at least 25% each in stocks and bonds but which is currently 65/30 in favor of stocks.  5.75% front load, 1.54% expenses.

While the options for no-load, low-cost investors remain modest, they’re growing – and growing in a useful direction.

Launch Alert (and an interview): Seafarer Overseas Growth and Income

In my February 2012 Commentary, I highlighted the impending launch of Seafarer Overseas Growth and Income (SFGIX and SIGIX).  I noted

The fund will be managed by Andrew Foster, formerly manager of Matthews Asia Growth & Income (MACSX) and Matthews’ research director and acting chief investment officer.

The great debate surrounding MACSX was whether it was the best Asia-centered fund in existence or merely one of the two or three best funds in existence.  Here’s the broader truth within their disagreement: Mr. Foster’s fund was, consistently and indisputably one of the best Asian funds in existence.

The launch provoked three long, thoughtful discussion threads about the prospects of the new fund, the Seafarer prospectus was our most downloaded document in the month of February and Chip, our sharp-eyed technical director, immediately began plotting to buy shares of the fund for her personal portfolio.

Mr. Foster and I agreed that the best way to agree potential investors’ questions was, well, to address potential investors’ questions.  He read through many of the comments on our discussion broad and we identified these seven as central, and often repeated.

Kenster1_GlobalValue:  Could he tell us more about his investment team? He will be lead manager but will there be a co-manager? If not, then an Assistant Manager? How about the Analysts – tell us more about them? Does he plan to add another analyst or two this year to beef up his team?

He’s currently got a team of four.  In addition to himself, he works with:

Michelle Foster, his wife, CFO, Chief Administrator and partner.  She has a remarkable investing resume.  She started as an analyst with JP Morgan, was a Principal at Barclay’s Global Investors (BGI) where she developed ETFs (including one that competed directly with Andrew’s India fund), and then joined investment advisory team at Litman/Gregory Asset Management.

William Maeck, his Associate Portfolio Manager and Head Trader.  William was actually Foster’s first boss at A. T. Kearney in Singapore where Andrew worked before joining Matthews.  Before joining Seafarer, he worked with Credit Suisse Securities as an investment advisor for high net worth individuals and family offices.  For now, William mostly monitors trading issues for the fund and has limited authority to execute trades at Foster’s direction.  With time, he should move toward more traditional co-manager responsibilities.

Kate Jaquet, Senior Research Analyst and Chief Compliance Officer.  Kate brings a lot of experience in fixed-income and high-yield investing and in Latin America.  She began her career in emerging markets in 1995 as an economic policy researcher for the international division of The Adam Smith Institute in London.  In 1997, she joined Credit Suisse First Boston as an investment banking and fixed-income analyst within their Latin America group. In 2000, she joined Seneca Capital Management in San Francisco as a senior research analyst in their high yield group.  She worked on high yield and distressed issuers, the metals & mining, oil & gas, and utilities industries, emerging market sovereigns and select emerging market corporate issuers.

AndyJ : I’m still mildly curious about the context of his leaving Matthews. Simply “pursuing other opportunities” might be the whole story, or it might not – even if perfectly true, there’s likely a context that would be interesting to know about.

Good and fair question.  Mr. Foster has a deep and abiding respect for Matthews and a palpable concern for his former shareholders.  When he joined Matthews in 1998, the firm managed $180 million.  It had grown a hundredfold by the time he left.  As a long-time member of the team, sometime chief investment officer, chief research officer and portfolio manager, he’d made a huge and rewarding commitment to the company.  About his leaving Mr. Foster made two points:

  1. A fund like this has been on his mind for a decade.  It wasn’t clear, ten years ago, whether Matthews would remain purely Asia-focused or would broaden its geographic horizons.  As part of those deliberations, Paul Matthews asked Andrew to design a global version of MACSX.  He was very excited about the potential of such a fund.  After a long debate, Matthews concluded that it would remain an Asia specialist.  He respects their decision (indeed, as manager, helped make it pay off) but never gave up the dream of the broader fund and knew it would never fit at Matthews.
  2. He did not leave until he was sure that his MACSX shareholders were in good hands.  He worked hard to build “an extremely capable team,” even celebrating the fact that he only hired “people smarter than me.”  He became convinced that the fund was in the hands of folks who’d put the shareholders first.  In order to keep it that way, he “made sure I didn’t do anything to advance [Seafarer] at the expense of Matthews.”  As a result, his current team is drawn from outside Matthews and he has not sought to aggressively recruit former shareholders out of the prior fund so as to drive growth in the new one.

Kenster1_GlobalValue: What does he see as potentially the top 3 countries in the fund if he were investing & managing the Seafarer fund right now? As an example – Indonesia looks great but what are his thoughts on this country? How would he rate it? Would he be lightly invested in Indonesia because he feels it might be too growthy at this time?

While he didn’t address Indonesia in particular, Mr. Foster did highlight six markets that were “particularly interesting.”  They are:

  1. Vietnam
  2. Brazil
  3. Mexico
  4. Turkey
  5. Poland
  6. South Africa

He argues that there are substantial political and cultural challenges in many of these countries, and that that turmoil obscures the fundamental strength of the underlying economy.  While it’s possible to conclude that you’d have to be nuts to sink your money in broken countries, Andrew notes that “broken can be good . . . the key is determining whether you’re experiencing chaos or progress, both raise a lot of dust.”  His general conclusion, having lived through generations of Asian crisis, “I’ve seen this story before.”

Maurice: I’d be interested in what Mr. Foster brings new to the table. Why would I not if invest new dollars with Matthews?

He thinks that two characteristics will distinguish Seafarer:

  1. The Fund can provide exposure to multiple asset classes, as its strategy allows for investment in equities, convertible bonds, and fixed income.
  2. The Fund has a broad geographical mandate. It’s not just broader than Asia, it’s also broader than “emerging markets.”   SFGIX / SIGIX  is pursuing exposure to emerging and frontier markets around the world, but Mr. Foster notes that in some instances the most effective way to gain such exposure is through the securities in neighboring countries.  For example, some of the best access to China is through securities listed in Singapore and Hong Kong; Australia plays a similar role for some Asian markets.

MikeM :  It seems to me that if you are looking for Asian exposure, this may not be your fund. This fund is not supposed to be an Asian concentrated fund like his previous fund at Matthews, MACSX.

Yes and no.  Mr. Foster can invest anywhere and is finding a lot of markets today that have the characteristics that Asia had ten years ago.  They’re fundamentally strong and under-recognized by investors used to looking elsewhere.  That said, he considers Asia to be “incredibly important” (a phrase he used four times during our conversation) and that “a large portion of the portfolio, particularly at the outset” will be invested in the Asian markets with which he’s intimately acquainted.

AndyJ: It’s danged expensive. There’s a closed-end fund, FEO, from the long-successful people at Aberdeen, which has a proven track record using a “balanced” EM strategy and costs the same as the investor shares of the Foster fund will. So, I’m not totally sure that Seafarer as a brand new entity is worthier of new $ at this point than FEO.

His response: “I hear you.”  His money, and his family’s, is in the fund and he wants it to be affordable. The fund’s opening expense ratio is comparable to what Matthews charged when they reached a billion in assets. He writes, “I view it as one of the firm’s central duties to ensure that expenses become more affordable with scale, and over time.” Currently, he can’t pass along the economies of scale, but he’s committed to do so as soon as it’s economically possible. His suspicion is that many funds get complacent with their expense structure, and don’t work to aggressively pursue savings.

fundalarmit’s almost exclusively about pay. If you’re a star, and your name is enough to attract assets, why would you want to share the management fee with others when you can have your own shop. Really. Very. Simple.  Answer.

While Mr. Foster didn’t exactly chuckle when I raised this possibility, he did make two relevant observations.  First, if he were just interested in his own financial gain, he’d have stayed with Matthews. Second, his goal is to pursue asset growth only to the degree that it makes economic sense for his shareholders.  By his estimation, the fund is economically sustainable at $100-125 million in assets.  As it grows beyond that level, it begins accumulating economies of scale which will benefit shareholders.  At the point where additional assets begin impairing shareholder value, he’ll act to restrict them.

Seafarer represents a thoughtfully designed fund, with principled administration and one of the field’s most accomplished managers.  It’s distinctive, makes sense and has been under development for a decade.  It’s worthy of serious consideration and will be the subject of a fund profile after it has a few months of operation.

Launch Alert: Wasatch Frontier Emerging Small Countries Fund (WAFMX)

Just as one door closes, another opens. Wasatch closed their wildly successful Emerging Markets Small Cap Fund (WAEMX) to new investors on February 24, 2012.  The fund gathered $1.2 billion in assets and has returned 51% per year over the three years ending 2/29/2012. They immediately opened another fund in the same universe, run by the same manager.

Wasatch Frontier Emerging Small Countries Fund (WAFMX) became available to retail investors on March 1, 2012.  It has been open only to Wasatch employees for the preceding weeks.  It will be a non-diversified, all-cap fund with a bias toward small cap stocks.  The managers report:

In general, frontier markets and small emerging market countries, with the exception of the oil-producing Persian Gulf States, tend to have relatively low gross national product per capita compared to the larger traditionally-recognized emerging markets and the world’s major developed economies. Frontier and small emerging market countries include the least developed markets even by emerging market standards. We believe frontier markets and small emerging market countries offer investment opportunities that arise from long-term trends in demographics, deregulation, offshore outsourcing and improving corporate governance.

The Fund may invest in the equity securities of companies of any size, although we expect a significant portion of the Fund’s assets to be invested in the equity securities of companies under US$3 billion at the time of purchase.

We travel extensively outside the U.S. to visit companies and expect to meet with senior management. We use a process of quantitative screening followed by “bottom up” fundamental analysis with the objective of owning the highest quality growth companies tied economically to frontier markets and small emerging market countries.

The manager is Laura Geritz.  She has been a portfolio manager for the Wasatch Emerging Markets Small Cap Fund since 2009 and for the Wasatch International Opportunities Fund since 2011. The minimum investment is $2000, reduced to $1000 for accounts with an automatic investing plan.  The expense ratio will be 2.25%, after waivers.    We will, a bit after launch, try to speak with Ms. Geritz and will provide a full profile of the fund.

Fidelity is Thinking Big

(May God have mercy on our souls.)

Despite the ironic timing – they simultaneously announce a bunch of long overdue but still pretty vanilla bond funds at the same time they trumpet their big ideas – Fido has launched its first major ad campaign which doesn’t involve TV.  Fidelity is thinking big.

In one of those “did they have the gang at Mad Magazine write this?” press releases, Fido will be “showcasing thought-provoking insights” which “builds on Fidelity’s comprehensive thought leadership” “through an innovative new thought leadership initiative.”

Do you think so?

So what does “thinking big” look like?  At their “thinking big” microsite, it’s a ridiculous video that runs for under three minutes, links that direct you to publishers websites so that you can buy three to five year old books, and links to articles that are a year or two old.  The depth and quality of analysis in the video are on par with a one-page Time magazine essay.  It mixes fun facts (it takes 635 gallons of water to make one pound of hamburger), vacuous observations (water shortages “could further exacerbate regional water issues”) and empty exhortations (“think about it.  We do.”).

According to the Boston Business Journal, the campaign “was created by Fidelity’s internal ad agency, Fidelity Communications and Advertising. Arnold Worldwide, the mutual fund firm’s ad agency of record, did not work on the campaign.”  It shows.  While the VP for communications described this as “the first campaign where we’ve actually attempted to create a viral program without a large supporting TV effort,” he also adds that Fidelity isn’t taking a position on these issues, they’re just “stating the facts.”

Yep.  That’s the formula for going viral: corporate marketing footage, one talking head and a “just the facts” ethos.

A quick suggestion from the guy with a PhD in communication: perhaps if you stopped producing empty, boilerplate shareholder communications (have you read one of your annual reports?) and stopped focusing on marketing, you might actually educate investors.  A number of fund companies provide spectacularly good, current, insightful shareholder communications (T. Rowe Price and Matthews Asia come immediately to mind).  Perhaps you could, too?

The Best of the Web: A new Observer experiment

This month marks the debut of the Observer’s “best of the web” reviews.  The premise is simple: having a million choices leaves you with no choices at all.  When you’ve got 900 cable channels, you’ll almost always conclude “there’s nothing on” and default to watching the same two stations. It’s called “the paradox of choice.”  Too many options cause our brains to freeze and make us miserable.

The same thing is true on the web.  There are a million sites offering financial insight; faced with that daunting complexity, we end up sticking with the same one or two.  That’s comforting, but may deny you access to helpful perspectives.

One solution is to scan the Observer’s discussion board, where folks post and discuss a dozen or more interesting topics and articles each day.  Another might be our best of the web feature.  Each month, based on reader recommendations and his own evaluations, contributing editor Junior Yearwood will post reviews for three to five related sites.  Each is a page long and each highlights what you need know: what’s the site about, what does it do well, what’s our judgment?

The debut issue features fund rating sites.  Everyone knows Morningstar, but how many folks have considered the insights available from, and strengths or weaknesses of, its dozen smaller competitors?  Take the case of a single splendid fund, Artisan International Value (ARTKX).  Depending on who you ask, it’s seen as somewhere between incredibly excellent (for our money, it is) and utterly undistinguished.  Here’s the range of assessments from a variety of sites:

    • BarCharts.com: 96% buy
    • Morningstar: Five stars, Gold
    • FundMojo: 89/100, a Master
    • Lipper: 24 of 25 possible points, a Leader
    • U.S. News: 8.1/100
    • FundReveal: less risky, lower return
    • MaxFunds 79/100, good
    • TheStreet.com: C-, hold
    • Zacks: 3/5, hold.

After a month of reading, Junior and I identified three sites that warranted your time, and named eight more that you probably won’t be bookmarking any time soon.

If you’re wondering “what do those mean?”  Or “does Zacks know something that Morningstar doesn’t?” – or even if you’re not – we’re hoping you’ll check out the best of the web.”

Numbers that you really shouldn’t trust

Claymore/Mac Global Solar Energy Index ETF (XTANX) is up 1120% YTD!

(Source: BarCharts.com, YTD Leaders, as of 2/29/2012)

Or not.  First, it’s a Guggenheim ETF now.  Second, there was a 10:1 reverse split on February 15.  BarCharts has a “strong buy” rating on the shares.

GMO Domestic Bond III (GMBDX) is up 767%!

(Same source)

Uhh.  No.  9:1 reverse split on January 17.

There are 77 T. Rowe Price funds that waive the investment minimum for investors with an automatic investing plan!

(Source: Morningstar premium fund screener, 2/29/2012)

Uhh. No.  T. Rowe discontinued those waivers on August 1, 2011.

The “real” expense of running Manning & Napier Dividend Focus (MNDFX) is 5.6%.

(Source: Manning and Napier website, 2/29/2012)

Likewise: no.  An M&N representative said that the figures represented the fund’s start-up state (high expenses, no shareholders) but that they weren’t allowed to change them yet.  (???)  The actual e.r. without an expense waiver is 1.05%, but they have no intention of discontinuing the waiver.

NorthRoad International is a five-star fund that offers tiny beta and huge alpha

(Source: Morningstar profile, 2/29/2011)

Uhh.  No.  Not even a little.  Why not?  Because until June 30, 2011, this was the Madison Mosaic Small/Mid-Cap Fund.  Because US smaller stocks were bouncing back from the bloody meltdown from October 2007 – March 2009, this fund returns that were great by international large cap standards and those returns have been folded seamlessly into Morningstar’s assessment.

In NorthRoad’s defense: the fund’s own publicity material makes the change very clear and refuses to include any comparisons that precede the fund’s new mandate.  And, since the change, it has been a distinctly above-average international fund with reasonable fees.  It’s just not the fund that Morningstar describes.

Any three-year performance number.  The market reached its bottom in the first week of March, 2009 and began a ferocious rally.  We are now entering the point where the last remnants of a fund’s performance during the market downturn are being cycled-out of the three-year averages.  As of 3/01/2012, there are 18 funds which have returned more than 50% per year, on average for the past three years.  Half of all funds have three-year returns above 21% per year.  Forester Value (FVALX), the great hero of 2008 and the recipient of a ton of money in 2009, now has three-year returns that trail 99% of its peers.

Two funds and why they’re worth your time . . .

Really, really worth your time.

Each month we provide in-depth profiles of two funds that you should know more about, one new and one well-established.

Matthews Asia Strategic Income (MAINX): most US investors have little or no exposure to Asian fixed-income markets, which are robust, secure and growing. Matthews, which already boasts the industry’s deepest corps of Asia specialists, has added a first-rate manager and made her responsible for the first Asian income fund available to U.S. retail investors.

GRT Value (GRTVX): what do you get when you combine one of the best and most experienced small cap investors, a corps of highly professional and supportive partners, a time-tested, risk-conscious strategy and reasonable expenses? GRTVX investors are finding out.

Briefly noted:

T. Rowe Price Real Assets (PRAFX) opened to retail investors in December, 2011.  The fund invests in companies that own “stuff in the ground.”  The fund was launched in May 2011 but was only available for use in other T. Rowe Price funds.  A 5% allocation to real assets became standard in their target-date funds, and might represent a reasonable hedge in most long-term portfolios.  The fund’s opening to retail investors was largely unexplained and unnoticed.

Wasatch Microcap Value (WAMVX) has reopened to new investors through Schwab, Fidelity, TD Ameritrade, and other intermediaries.

Talented managers with good marketers attract cash!  What a great system.  The folks at Grandeur Peaks passed $100 million in assets after four months of operation.  The exceedingly fine River Park /Wedgewood Fund (RWGFX) just passed $200 million.   When I first profiled the fund, July 2011, it had $200,000 in assets.  Dave Rolfe, the manager, estimates that the fund’s strategy can accommodate $5 billion.

Vanguard finally put Vanguard Asset Allocation out of its misery by merging it into Vanguard Balanced Index fund (VBINX) on 2/10/2012.  Last fall the Observer identified Vanguard Asset Allocation as one of the fund universe’s 12 worst funds based on its size and its wretched consistency.  We described funds on the list this way:

These funds that have finished in the bottom one-fourth of their peer groups for the year so far.  And for the preceding 12 months, three years, five years and ten years.  These aren’t merely “below average.”  They’re so far below average they can hardly see “mediocre” from where they are.

RiverNorth DoubleLine Strategic Income (RNSIX) will close to new investors on March 30, 2012. The fund, comanaged by The Great Gundlach, gathered $800 million in its first 14 months.

Wells Fargo will liquidate Wells Fargo Advantage Social Sustainability (WSSAX) and Wells Fargo Advantage Global Health Care (EHABX) by the end of March, 2012.  It’s also merging Wells Fargo Advantage Strategic Large Cap Growth (ESGAX) into Wells Fargo Advantage Large Cap Growth (STAFX), likely in June.

Bridgeway is merging Bridgeway Aggressive Investors 2 (BRAIX) into Bridgeway Aggressive Investors 1 (BRAGX) and Bridgeway Micro-Cap Limited (BRMCX) into Bridgeway Ultra-Small Company (BRUSX).   Bridgeway had earlier announced a change in BRUSX’s investment mandate to allow for slightly larger (though still tiny) stocks in its portfolio.  In hindsight, that appears to have been the signal of the impending merger.  BRUSX, which closed when it reached just $22.5 million in assets, is a legendary sort of fund.  $10,000 invested at its 1994 launch would now be worth almost $120,000 against its peers $50,000.

Invesco Small Companies (ATIIX) will close to new investors on March 5, 2012.  That’s in response to an entirely-regrettable flood of hot money triggered by the fund’s great performance in 2011.  Meanwhile, Invesco also said it will reopen Invesco Real Estate (IARAX) to new investors on March 16.

Delaware Large Cap Value (DELDX) is merging into Delaware Value (DDVAX), itself an entirely-respectable large cap value fund with noticeably lower expenses.

Likewise Lord Abbett is merged Lord Abbett Large-Cap Value (LALAX) into Lord Abbett Fundamental Equity (LDFVX).

Proving the adage that nothing in life is certain but death and taxes, State Street Global Advisors will kill its Life Solutions funds on May 15.  Among the soon-to-be decedents are Balanced, Growth and Income & Growth.  Also going are SSgA Disciplined Equity (SSMTX) and Directional Core Equity (SDCQX).

Speaking of death, the year’s second mass execution of ETFs occurred on February 17 when Global X took out eight ETFs at once: Farming, Fishing, Mexico Small Caps, Oil, Russell Emerging Markets Growth, Russell Emerging Markets Value, and Waste Management.  The 17 HOLDRS Trusts, which promised to “revolutionize stock investing” were closed in December and liquidated on January 9, 2012.

Our chief programmer, Accipiter, was looking for a bit of non-investing reading this month and asked folks on the board for book recommendations. That resulting outpouring was so diverse and thoughtful that we wanted to make it available for other readers. As a result, our Amazon store (it’s under Books, on the main menu bar) now has a “great non-investing reads” department. You’ll be delighted by some of what you find there.

Oh, and Accipiter: there will be a quiz over the readings.

Amazon’s time limit

If you’re one of the many people who support the Observer, thank you!  Thank you, thank you, thank you!  A dozen readers contributed to the Observer this month (thank you!) by mail or via PayPal.  That’s allowed us to more than offset the rising costs caused by our rising popularity.  You not only make it all worthwhile, you make it all possible.

If you’re one of the many people who support the Observer by using our link to Amazon.com, thank you – but here’s a warning: the link you create expires or can be wiped out as you navigate.

If you enter Amazon using the Observer’s link (consider bookmarking it), or any other Associate’s link, and put an item in your Shopping Cart, the item carries a special code which serves to identify the referring site (roughly: “us”).  It appears the link expires about 24 hours after you set it, so if something’s been in your shopping cart for six weeks (as sometimes happens with me), you might want to re-add it.

Which I mention because Amazon just restated their policy.

A WORD OF WARNING BEFORE YOU GO:

We are going try to cull dead accounts from our email list in the next month, since the monthly charge for sending our notice climbs precipitously after we pass 2500 names.  Anyone who has subscribed to receive an email notice but who has never actually opened one of them (it looks like more than a hundred folks) will be dropped.  We’d feel bad if we inadvertently lost you, so please do be sure to open the email notice (don’t just look at it in a preview pane) at least once so we know you’re still there.

Take great care and I’ll write again, soon.